Severe Thunderstorm Warning 185, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
629 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

.AVIATION...
TSRA HAVE AFFECTED THE METROPLEX TAF SITES LATE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH MORE TO THE SOUTH. EXPECTING THE CURRENT ACTIVITY TO PUSH
NORTH OF THE TAF SITES BY 00Z BUT ANOTHER CLUSTER TO THE SOUTH
SHOULD BE ARRIVING ABOUT THE SAME TIME. THUS WILL CONTINUE
TSRA/VCTS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH 02Z ACROSS
THE METROPLEX SITES.

KACT SHOULD SEE SOME ON AND OFF AGAIN ACTIVITY AS WELL THROUGH
02Z.

WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY VCSH 02-08Z AT ALL TERMINALS WITH A RETURN
OF MVFR CIGS 07-09Z. MVFR CIGS SHOULD TRANSITION TO VFR CIGS
19-20Z ON THURSDAY.    75

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013/
CURRENT RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS FROM NEAR CHILDRESS TO SWEETWATER. MORE
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIRMASS OVER NORTH TEXAS. AS OF 20Z THE MOST ACTIVE AREAS CONTINUE
TO BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES. EXPECT
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE...LIKELY THROUGH SUNSET.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE UPPER LEVEL
IMPULSES ARE ADDING UNFOCUSED LIFT TO THE REGION. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO THE AREA AND BEGINS TO SWEEP THE LOWER
LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST.

SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...MAINLY WITH SPOTTY LIGHT
RAINFALL. BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL BE ALONG THE RED
RIVER TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE GOING COMPLETELY
DRY ON FRIDAY. A BRIEF RETURN TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A WARMING
TREND FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

WITH RESPECT TO THE NEXT WEATHER CHANGE...NUMERICAL WEATHER MODELS
REMAIN CONSISTENT...ON THE LATE SEASON COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT.
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ANOTHER WARMING TREND ARE IN THE FORECAST
FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.

VANSPEYBROECK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  73  87  74  91  74 /  40  20  10   0  10
WACO, TX              73  88  75  90  75 /  40  20   5   0  10
PARIS, TX             70  83  72  86  73 /  40  20  20   0  10
DENTON, TX            72  87  73  90  72 /  50  20  10   0  10
MCKINNEY, TX          72  85  74  88  73 /  40  20  10   0  10
DALLAS, TX            74  86  77  90  77 /  40  20  10   0  10
TERRELL, TX           72  86  75  89  74 /  40  20  10   0  10
CORSICANA, TX         72  87  75  90  76 /  40  20   5   0  10
TEMPLE, TX            72  87  75  90  75 /  40  20   5   0  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     71  87  72  92  72 /  50  20  10   0  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

75/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-301230-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
320 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS
EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE
INTERSTATE 35 EAST CORRIDOR. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY THIS
EVENING WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...THOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH MORE DISCRETE
SEVERE STORMS. IN ADDITION...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
MINOR FLOODING WHERE STORMS TRAIN ACROSS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
LESSEN OVERNIGHT...AS THE THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 380 CORRIDOR FROM GRAHAM TO
SULPHUR SPRINGS.

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL RETURN TO AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20
LATE SATURDAY...THEN ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...MAINLY
ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 EAST CORRIDOR.

05/

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>