Severe Thunderstorm Warning 182, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
314 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS FROM NEAR CHILDRESS TO SWEETWATER. MORE
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIRMASS OVER NORTH TEXAS. AS OF 20Z THE MOST ACTIVE AREAS CONTINUE
TO BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES. EXPECT
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE...LIKELY THROUGH SUNSET.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE UPPER LEVEL
IMPULSES ARE ADDING UNFOCUSED LIFT TO THE REGION. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO THE AREA AND BEGINS TO SWEEP THE LOWER
LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST.

SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...MAINLY WITH SPOTTY LIGHT
RAINFALL. BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL BE ALONG THE RED
RIVER TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE GOING COMPLETELY
DRY ON FRIDAY. A BRIEF RETURN TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A WARMING
TREND FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

WITH RESPECT TO THE NEXT WEATHER CHANGE...NUMERICAL WEATHER MODELS
REMAIN CONSISTENT...ON THE LATE SEASON COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT.
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ANOTHER WARMING TREND ARE IN THE FORECAST
FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.

VANSPEYBROECK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  73  87  74  91  74 /  40  20  10   0  10
WACO, TX              73  88  75  90  75 /  40  20   5   0  10
PARIS, TX             70  83  72  86  73 /  40  20  20   0  10
DENTON, TX            72  87  73  90  72 /  50  20  10   0  10
MCKINNEY, TX          72  85  74  88  73 /  40  20  10   0  10
DALLAS, TX            74  86  77  90  77 /  40  20  10   0  10
TERRELL, TX           72  86  75  89  74 /  40  20  10   0  10
CORSICANA, TX         72  87  75  90  76 /  40  20   5   0  10
TEMPLE, TX            72  87  75  90  75 /  40  20   5   0  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     71  87  72  92  72 /  50  20  10   0  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

05/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-301230-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
320 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS
EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE
INTERSTATE 35 EAST CORRIDOR. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY THIS
EVENING WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...THOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH MORE DISCRETE
SEVERE STORMS. IN ADDITION...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
MINOR FLOODING WHERE STORMS TRAIN ACROSS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
LESSEN OVERNIGHT...AS THE THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 380 CORRIDOR FROM GRAHAM TO
SULPHUR SPRINGS.

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL RETURN TO AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20
LATE SATURDAY...THEN ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...MAINLY
ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 EAST CORRIDOR.

05/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
512 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

TXZ133-145-292245-
HILL TX-JOHNSON TX-
512 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN HILL COUNTY
  JOHNSON COUNTY

AT 512 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KEENE...MOVING NORTH AT 40
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ALVARADO...BLUM...
BURLESON...CLEBURNE...COVINGTON...GODLEY...GRANDVIEW...ITASCA...
JOSHUA...KEENE...VENUS AND CLEBURNE STATE PARK.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3255 9761 3255 9709 3211 9709 3208 9748
      3213 9750 3214 9747 3217 9746 3218 9747
      3216 9751 3213 9752 3215 9756 3222 9762
      3254 9762
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 174DEG 34KT 3224 9724

HAMPSHIRE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
535 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

TXZ118-119-292300-
DALLAS TX-TARRANT TX-
535 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN DALLAS COUNTY
  EASTERN TARRANT COUNTY

AT 535 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MANSFIELD...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ARLINGTON...BEDFORD...
COLLEYVILLE...DALWORTHINGTON GARDENS...EULESS...FARMERS BRANCH...
GRAND PRAIRIE...GRAPEVINE...HURST...IRVING...KENNEDALE...MANSFIELD...
PANTEGO...SOUTHLAKE AND CEDAR HILL STATE PARK.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3295 9687 3255 9700 3255 9719 3255 9722
      3296 9719
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 186DEG 35KT 3258 9711