Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 61, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 21, 2013Cass County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Jun 21, 2013, 8:55 PM CDT for Cass County, North Dakota. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2013, 8:55 PM CDT (01:55 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2013, 11:47 AM CDT
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Cass County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Maple River (ND) near Mapleton (South of I-94) (MPLN8). The gauge peaked at 19.75 ft at Jun 22, 2013, 12:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10152006/2206/2306/2406/25
Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
21 ft
Major stage
23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05060000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

278 
WGUS43 KFGF 220155
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
855 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 
   FLOOD WARNING (NEW) FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN NORTH DAKOTA...

  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AT...
  *  MAPLETON...ON THE MAPLE RIVER...IN CASS COUNTY.
  

.UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL FALLING OVER THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY HAS 
CAUSED THE STAGE OF THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLETON TO RISE SHARPLY TODAY. IT 
IS APPROACHING MINOR FLOOD STAGE AND WILL RISE ABOVE THIS MARK TONIGHT. 

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC017-220255-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0061.130622T0157Z-130624T1647Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.130622T0157Z.130622T1800Z.130623T1047Z.NO/
855 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 904.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 905.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 906.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
      4700 9698

$$
WJB
4 follow-up statements
206 
WGUS83 KFGF 220214
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THIS RIVER LOCATION IN 
NORTH DAKOTA...

  * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND)...IN RICHLAND COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
NORTH DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA...

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THIS RIVER LOCATION 
IN NORTH DAKOTA...

  * MAPLETON...ON THE MAPLE RIVER ...IN CASS COUNTY


.NEW FOR THIS ISSUANCE...MAPLETON HAS BEEN ADDED TO THE FLOOD LIST AND 
ABERCROMBIE TAKEN AWAY AS IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THIS POINT WILL 
ACHIEVE FLOOD STAGE DURING THIS EVENT. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130628T2200Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.130621T2235Z.130623T1800Z.130627T1600Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY JUNE 28...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 4 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.3 FEET SOMETIME 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 13.3 ON SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.5 FEET, BRECKENRIDGE...NORTH MAIN STREET
  AND BRIDGE ARE CLOSED.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          12.5   13.3   12.6   11.7   10.7    9.7    9.1


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.130623T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130623T0300Z.130627T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.6 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 24.6 ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 25.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.FARGO...
  CITY PARKS AND RECREATION AREAS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

RED RIVER
  FARGO             17.8   19.8   22.1   23.7   24.5   24.5   23.4


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

MNC027-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0057.130623T0925Z-130626T1400Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.130623T0925Z.130624T0000Z.130625T0800Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 12.9 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.9 ON SUNDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             10.9   12.9   12.4   11.3   10.3    9.3    8.7


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0058.130623T0300Z-130625T1800Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.130623T0300Z.130623T0600Z.130624T1200Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 7.2 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 7.2 ON EARLY SUNDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.8    7.1    6.8    6.4    6.1    5.9    5.6


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0059.130624T1240Z-130629T0600Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.130624T1240Z.130625T1800Z.130628T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY JUNE 29...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY JUNE 29...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MID-MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 15.1 ON TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, GAGE NOT ACCESSABLE ABOVE 15 
  FEET.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           7.6   10.5   13.6   15.1   14.0   12.0   10.5


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

NDC077-220244-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-130627T0448Z/
/ABRN8.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.5 FEET 
  MONDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 9.5 ON MONDAY MID-MORNING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE. LOW BANK 
  OVERFLOWS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE        5.9    9.0    9.5    8.4    7.5    6.8    6.2


LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696


$$

NDC017-231413-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130624T1647Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.130622T0157Z.130622T1800Z.130623T1047Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 904.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 905.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 906.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 906.0 ON SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 907.0 FEET, FLOODING BEGINS ON HIGH GROUND 
  NEAR GAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

MAPLE RIVER
  MAPLETON         905.9  903.7  901.9  901.0  900.6  900.2  899.7


LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
      4700 9698                      

$$
WJB
685 
WGUS83 KFGF 221704
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1204 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
NORTH DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA...

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * MAPLETON...ON THE MAPLE RIVER...IN CASS COUNTY

.THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLETON IS CRESTING THIS MORNING AND THE RED RIVER AT 
WAHPETON WILL CREST LATE TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. THAT WAVE OF WATER OF THE RED
WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE FARGO MOORHEAD AREA...PEAKING MID WEEK.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-231704-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130628T1800Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.130621T2235Z.130624T0600Z.130627T1200Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.4 FEET SOMETIME 
  SUNDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...BANKFULL 
  STAGE.BRECKENRIDGE...STORM SEWER VALVES ARE CLOSED AND INTERIOR 
  PUMPING BEGINS.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          12.1   12.4   11.9   10.9   10.0    9.1    8.4


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-231704-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.130623T1930Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130623T1930Z.130626T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 23.0 FEET, FARGO...NORTH BROADWAY BRIDGE 
  FLOODS.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

RED RIVER
  FARGO             17.6   19.4   21.5   22.4   22.5   21.8   20.3


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

NDC017-231703-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130625T0000Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130622T1800Z.130623T1800Z.NO/
1204 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 906.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 905.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 906.3 FEET SOMETIME 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 907.0 FEET, FLOODING BEGINS ON HIGH GROUND 
  NEAR GAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

MAPLE RIVER
  MAPLETON         905.7  902.8  900.7  899.6  899.2  899.1  899.0


LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
      4700 9698                      

$$
783 
WGUS83 KFGF 230229
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
929 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * MAPLETON...ON THE MAPLE RIVER...IN CASS COUNTY

.THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-241429-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130628T0900Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.130621T2235Z.130624T0000Z.130627T0300Z.NO/
929 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET SOMETIME 
  SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  NIGHT.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.1 ON SUNDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...BANKFULL 
  STAGE.BRECKENRIDGE...STORM SEWER VALVES ARE CLOSED AND INTERIOR 
  PUMPING BEGINS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          12.1   11.9   11.1   10.1    9.3    8.7    8.4


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-241429-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.130623T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130623T1800Z.130626T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 22.4 ON WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 23.0 FEET, FARGO...NORTH BROADWAY BRIDGE 
  FLOODS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

RED RIVER
  FARGO             18.4   20.5   21.9   22.4   22.2   20.9   19.4


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

NDC017-241428-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130624T2217Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130622T1845Z.130623T1617Z.NO/
929 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 906.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT DAY...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 905.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 907.0 FEET, FLOODING BEGINS ON HIGH GROUND 
  NEAR GAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

MAPLE RIVER
  MAPLETON         903.8  901.2  899.9  899.1  898.7  898.5  898.2


LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
      4700 9698                      

$$
WJB
057 
WGUS83 KFGF 231735
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
NORTH DAKOTA...

  * MAPLETON...ON THE MAPLE RIVER...IN CASS COUNTY

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS 
IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) ...IN RICHLAND COUNTY
  * KINDRED...ON THE SHEYENNE RIVER ...IN CASS AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * WEST FARGO DIVERSION...ON THE SHEYENNE RIVER ...IN CASS COUNTY
  * HARWOOD...ON THE SHEYENNE RIVER ...IN CASS COUNTY

.THE RIVER AT MAPLETON HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE SO THE WARNING HAS 
BEEN CANCELLED. ELSEWHERE THE RIVERS ARE ON THE RISE AS RUNOFF FROM LAST NIGHTS 
RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE AREA RIVERS TO RISE TO 
MODERATE LEVELS AT ABERCROMBIE...WEST FARGO...HARWOOD...WAHPETON AND FARGO.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-241735-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130629T0200Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.130621T2235Z.130624T1800Z.130627T2000Z.NO/
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.9 FEET SOMETIME 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, START TO PUT-UP FLOOD WALL IF 
  RIVER FORECAST TO GO ABOVE 15 FEET (BRECK).

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          12.8   12.6   11.6   10.4    9.4    8.8    8.3


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-241735-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.2.ER.130623T1042Z.130627T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 26.5 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, FARGO...12TH STREET TOLL BRIDGE 
  IS CLOSED. MOORHEAD...15TH AVENUE NORTH RIVER BRIDGE IS CLOSED. 

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

RED RIVER
  FARGO             20.9   24.3   26.0   26.5   26.5   25.5   23.2


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

NDC077-241734-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0062.130623T1917Z-130630T2200Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.130623T1917Z.130625T1800Z.130629T1600Z.NO/
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY JUNE 30...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.8 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 16.0 FEET, BANKFULL STAGE AT GAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       14.1   15.7   15.6   14.1   11.7   10.2    9.1


LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696


$$

NDC017-077-241734-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0063.130624T0920Z-130628T1048Z/
/KNDN8.1.ER.130624T0920Z.130625T0600Z.130627T0448Z.NO/
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER NEAR KINDRED.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, PORTIONS OF 55TH ST ARE 
  UNDERWATER.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

SHEYENNE RIVER
  KINDRED           16.4   18.0   17.4   15.4   13.5   12.1   10.9


LAT...LON 4659 9729 4645 9731 4663 9688 4672 9701


$$

NDC017-241734-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0064.130624T0325Z-130629T0900Z/
/WFON8.2.ER.130624T0325Z.130625T1800Z.130628T0300Z.NO/
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT WEST FARGO DIVERSION.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE...APPROXIMATE 
  STAGE WHERE FLOODING BEGINS IN AREAS ALONG THE SHEYENNE RIVER NORTH
  OF THE DIVERSION CHANNEL TO HARWOOD...ND.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

SHEYENNE RIVER
  WEST FARGO DIVER  19.0   20.4   20.4   18.9   17.4   16.2   15.3


LAT...LON 4667 9702 4663 9689 4693 9686 4692 9699


$$

NDC017-241734-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0065.130623T2100Z-130628T1059Z/
/HWDN8.2.ER.130623T2100Z.130625T1800Z.130627T0459Z.NO/
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT HARWOOD.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 883.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 886.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 886.2 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 886.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

SHEYENNE RIVER
  HARWOOD          884.9  886.1  885.5  883.3  880.9  879.4  878.4


LAT...LON 4701 9698 4692 9699 4693 9686 4697 9683 4709 9683


$$

NDC017-231805-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130624T2217Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130622T1845Z.130623T1655Z.NO/
1235 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON.
* AT 12:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 905.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:55 AM SUNDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 904.0 FEET BY MONDAY 
  MID-MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 905.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

MAPLE RIVER
  MAPLETON         904.0  903.8  902.3  901.0  900.4  900.1  900.0


LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
      4700 9698                      

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 21, 7:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 7:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
736 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 726 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

MAIN MCS MOVING TOWARD THE TWIN CITIES...NORTHWEST EDGE OF SYSTEM
PRODUCING LIGHT RAIN AND SOME THUNDER MOVING OUT OF FAR SE ND INTO
WCNTRL MN. WATER VAPOR SHOW NICE SHORT WAVE WITH SYSTEM NR ST
CLOUD-ALEXANDRIA. ONCE THIS RAIN AREA EXISTS THINGS WILL BE QUIET
FOR A WHILE. BATCH OF TSTMS THAT WAS NORTHEAST OF BISMARCK IS
WEAKENING. FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS NOT SEEING A BIG THREAT FOR
PRECIP IN THE FCST AREA....AS LOW LEVEL JET IS TO OUR SOUTH FROM
SOUTHEAST SD INTO SRN MN AND NEAR WARM FRONT WHICH HAS BEEN PUSHED
BACK SOUTH DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM TSTM COMPLEX BACK TOWARD YANKTON-
MANKATO LINE. ALSO SHORT WAVE FROM MONTANA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO SASK WIL GIVE A RISK OF STORMS TO NW ND OVERNIGHT. SO FCST
AREA MORE IN BETWEEN. DID FOLLOW SOME SURROUNDING OFFICES IN
REDUCING POPS TO 40-50S OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW 1500 J/KG MXD LAYER CAPE
(2000 J/KG SFC BASED) OVER NORTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA WITH VERY
WEAK 0 - 6 KM SHEAR OVER MAJORITY OF THE CWA. NAM PRODUCED MOST
INSTABILITY FOR 21Z AND 00Z THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...PROGGING 3K
TO 4K J/KG IN NORTHWEST MN. THIS AREA HAS BEEN MOSTLY CLEAR
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HOWEVER...WITH NO SHEAR IN THE AREA ANY
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTN WOULD LIKELY BE NON SEVERE. THE
GREATEST INSTABILITY (CAPES AROUND 4000 J/KG OR HIGHER) WILL
REMAIN OVER SOUTH DAKOTA TONIGHT...WITH 60 KTS BULK SHEAR MOVING
FROM NORTH CENTRAL SD INTO NORTHEAST SD THIS AFTN. WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH 85 F T0 90 F SFC TEMPS OVER SOUTHEASTERN SD WILL
HELP TRIGGER STRONGEST STORMS TONIGHT...SOME OF WHICH MAY BECOME
TORNADIC. SPC ISSUED TORNADO WATCH FOR NORTHEASTERN SD UP TO OUR
CWA BOUNDARY...BUT WITH STRONGEST SHEAR/SFC
CONVERGENCE/INSTABILITY SOUTH OF OUR AREA...KEPT OUR SOUTHERNMOST
TIER OF COUNTIES OUT OF WATCH AREA.

BEST THREAT OF ANY SEVERE IN OUR CWA WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
VALLEY.

TONIGHT...FOR TONIGHT...WILL USE 4KM WRF AND ECMWF FOR GUIDANCE ON
BEST CHANCES FOR CONVECTION. ECMWF BRINGS HEAVIEST PRECIP RIGHT UP
TO ND STATE LINE THROUGH 00Z...SO HAVE TRIMMED BACK CHANCE POPS.
DOES HAVE BROAD LOW QPFS OVER MAJORITY OF THE AREA AND WITH WRF
SHOWING SOME CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN VALLEY WILL KEEP LOW POPS
ACROSS NORTHWEST MN...WHERE SKIES HAVE BEEN CLEAR ALL DAY. ECMWF
THEN BRINGS HEAVIER RAIN/TSTM ACTIVITY INTO SOUTHERN VALLEY WITH
BRINGS AROUND AN INCH QPF FOR 00Z TO 06Z TIMEFRAME. THIS AREA HAS
ALREADY HAD OVERLAND FLOODING ISSUES AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
IF THESE AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED. ANOTHER WAVE OF STORMS WILL LIFT
THROUGH WESTERN/CNTRL ND SO KEPT LIKELY POPS IN THE FAR WEST.
AFT 06Z...MODELS THEN FOCUS ON EASTERN ZONES FOR BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP
AND ANOTHER THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH QPF WITH DECREASING CHANCES
IN THE NORTHWEST. ALL MODELS SHOWING A SHARP VORT MAX MOVING
THROUGH NORTHWEST MN TONIGHT SO SOME HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STRONGER
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH
SHORT WAVES MOVING ACROSS ND...HOWEVER MAY SEE A BREAK IN THE
VALLEY WITH HIGHER CHANCES EAST WITH DEPARTING WAVE AND WEST WITH
ANOTHER WAVE MOVING ACROSS WRN DAKOTAS. WILL RETAIN LOW CHANCE
POPS FOR AREA...HOWEVER...AS NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FOR ANY GIVEN
TIMEFRAME TO PULL POPS. ANOTHER WAVE WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
DAKOTA SAT NIGHT AND ONCE AGAIN TARGET THE SOUTHERN
VALLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN ZONES. FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHERN
VALLEY AND EASTERN ZONES STILL LOOKS REASONABLE BUT CHANCES FOR
THE NORTH CENTRAL ZONES ARE DIMINISHING. AN INCH AND A HALF TO TWO
INCHES AREAL AVERAGE STILL POSSIBLE FOR RICHLAND THROUGH OTTER
TAIL THROUGH HUBBARD COUNTIES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE DUE TO CONVECTION.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF EARLY IN THE EXTENDED THEN TRENDING TOWARD
THE ECMWF IN DAYS 6/7. AN ACTIVE PATTERN LATE IN THE WEEKEND AS
THE UPPER LOW REMAINS SITUATED TO THE NW ACROSS CANADA AND S/WV
ENERGY ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE LOW. A FAIRLY STRONG S/WV WILL EXIT
THE FCST AREA EARLY MON. THERE WILL BE A LULL MON/MON NITE THEN A
RETURN TO A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN LATE TUE/WED WITH PASSAGE OF A
S/WV TROF ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. BY MIDWEEK THE UPPER
PATTERN CHANGES AS HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION AND TROFING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS PUTS THE UPPER
MIDWEST IN NW FLOW ALOFT THRU THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THE
RESULT WILL BE DRIER CONDITIONS FOR DAYS 6/7. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY THEN COOLING A FEW DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL ON FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 726 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

WIDESPREAD HIGH CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA DUE TO MCS IN CNTRL
MN...WITH AREAS OF MID CLOUDS ASSOC WITH RAIN AREA WAHPETON-
FERGUS FALLS-WADENA. OVERALL EXPECT VFR CLOUD COVER TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. VARIABLE LIGHT WIND FAR-BJI-GFK THIS EVE
OTHERWISE TURNING GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT-SATURDAY
MORNING. RISK OF ADDITIONAL TSTMS AND SHOWERS OVERNIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING NOT HIGH BUT CANNOT DISCOUNT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

WITH DRY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE DAY MOST LOCATIONS HAVE SEEN
AREAL FLOODING RECEDE ALTHOUGH A FEW COUNTY ROADS AND VALLEY CITY
STREETS ARE STILL SEEING WATER. LET THE FLOOD ADVISORIES EXPIRE AT
NOON AND DOWNGRADED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING TO A URBAN/SMALL STREAMS
ADVISORY.

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS THE PAST FEW NIGHTS HAVE FINALLY ALLOWED
RIVERS TO RESPOND IN THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN. SOME GAGES HAVE
SHOWN RAPID RISES...WITH WHAPETON NOW FORECASTED TO REACH MODERATE
FLOOD STAGE.  THE RED AT FARGO AND THE WILD RICE AT ABERCROMBIE AS
WELL AS A FEW POINTS ALONG THE BUFFALO RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO GET UP
TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE. WHILE SOME SPOTS MAY NOT BE RISING AS MUCH AS
THE FORECAST THERE WILL BE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TONIGHT AND AGAIN
OVER THE WEEKEND THAT COULD IMPACT RIVER LEVELS.  LET THE WATCHES GO
AND WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THE
AFOREMENTIONED POINTS.  THE SHEYENNE RIVER HAS ALSO SEEN SOME RISES
BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR BELOW ACTION STAGE.  WILL MONITOR
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND TO WATCH FOR
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AND IMPACTS TO THE RIVERS.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR NDZ006>008-014>016-
     024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.

MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR MNZ001>009-013>017-
     022>024-027>032-040.

&&

UPDATE...RIDDLE
SHORT TERM...SPEICHER
LONG TERM...FRAZIER/SPEICHER
AVIATION...RIDDLE
HYDROLOGY...JR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 7:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
750 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-221200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
750 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OF OUR REGION
WITH THE MAIN EMPHASIS FROM NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA WHERE A
WARM FRONT WAS LOCATED.  THE RAIN IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL END
BY MIDNIGHT.  OTHERWISE THERE IS STILL A RISK OF A FEW SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT IN EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWESTERN
MINNESOTA BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS QUITE LOW IT NOW
APPEARS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A RISK OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH THE MAIN SEVERE RISK BEING FROM SOUTH DAKOTA
INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WITH THE NORTHERN EDGE NEAR A BEMIDJI TO
WAHPETON LINE.  HEAVY RAIN THREAT AS WELL FOR THE MINNESOTA LAKES
COUNTRY.  THE RAIN THREAT WILL EXIT SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

RIDDLE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 22, 4:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchFGFBarnes, Benson, Cass, Cavalier, Eddy, Grand Forks and 11 more26 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.