Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 57, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 21, 2013Clay County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Jun 21, 2013, 12:49 PM CDT for Clay County, Minnesota. It took effect at Jun 21, 2013, 11:09 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2013, 12:49 PM CDT (17:49 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 21, 2013, 11:09 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 28, 2013, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clay County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Branch Buffalo River at Sabin (SABM5). The gauge peaked at 15.74 ft at Jun 27, 2013, 7:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101506/2106/2206/2306/2406/2506/2606/2706/2806/29
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05061500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

870 
WGUS43 KFGF 211749
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1249 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 
   FLOOD WARNING (NEW) FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH
DAKOTA...

  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AT...
  *  WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES.
  
  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AT...
  *  FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES.
  
  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AT...
  *  SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY.
  
  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AT...
  *  HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY.
  
  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AT...
  *  DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY.
  
  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AT...
  *  ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND)...IN RICHLAND COUNTY.
  

. A SECOND NIGHT OF HEAVY RAIN HAS BROUGHT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 4 INCHES 
OF ACCUMULATION TO PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN. SEVERAL LOCATIONS
ALONG THE MAINSTEM RED RIVER AS WELL AS THE BUFFALO AND WILD RICE RIVERS HAVE
STARTED TO RISE RAPIDLY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND 
INTO TONIGHT WITH MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. EXACT
PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS STILL UNKNOWN AT THIS POINT...BUT ADDITIONAL
RUNOFF OVER THE WEEKEND COULD AFFECT RIVER LEVELS AND THE FORECASTS ARE SUBJECT 
TO REVISION.  

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-211849-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0055.130621T2315Z-130628T1200Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.130621T2315Z.130623T1800Z.130627T0600Z.NO/
1249 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY JUNE 28.
* AT 12:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684

$$

MNC027-NDC017-211849-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0056.130623T0430Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130623T0430Z.130627T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1249 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671

$$

MNC027-211849-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0057.130622T0409Z-130628T0800Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.130622T0409Z.130623T1800Z.130627T0200Z.NO/
1249 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY JUNE 28.
* AT 11:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 14.7 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670

$$

MNC027-211849-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0058.130622T2000Z-130625T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.130622T2000Z.130623T0600Z.130624T0000Z.NO/
1249 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.3 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.

&&

LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601

$$

MNC027-211849-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0059.130623T1232Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.130623T1232Z.130625T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1249 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MID-MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650

$$

NDC077-211849-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0060.130623T2230Z-130627T0448Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.130623T2230Z.130624T1800Z.130625T2248Z.NO/
1249 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 12:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696

$$
3 follow-up statements
101 
WGUS83 KFGF 211801
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS 
IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) ...IN RICHLAND COUNTY

. A SECOND NIGHT OF HEAVY RAIN HAS BROUGHT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 4 INCHES 
OF ACCUMULATION TO PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN. SEVERAL LOCATIONS
ALONG THE MAINSTEM RED RIVER AS WELL AS THE BUFFALO AND WILD RICE RIVERS HAVE
STARTED TO RISE RAPIDLY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND 
INTO TONIGHT WITH MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. EXACT
PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS STILL UNKNOWN AT THIS POINT...BUT ADDITIONAL
RUNOFF OVER THE WEEKEND COULD AFFECT RIVER LEVELS AND THE FORECASTS ARE SUBJECT 
TO REVISION.  

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-221801-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0055.130621T2315Z-130628T1200Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.130621T2315Z.130623T1800Z.130627T0600Z.NO/
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY JUNE 28...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 13.5 ON SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.5 FEET, BRECKENRIDGE...NORTH MAIN STREET
  AND BRIDGE ARE CLOSED.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          11.4   13.2   13.3   12.4   11.1    9.7    8.7


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-221800-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0056.130623T0430Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130623T0430Z.130627T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 24.5 ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 25.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.FARGO...
  CITY PARKS AND RECREATION AREAS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

RED RIVER
  FARGO             17.2   18.5   20.9   22.9   24.1   24.5   24.0


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

MNC027-221800-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0057.130622T0409Z-130628T0800Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.130622T0409Z.130623T1800Z.130627T0200Z.NO/
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY JUNE 28...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 14.7 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 14.7 ON SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.2   14.6   14.5   13.6   12.7   11.5   10.5


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-221800-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0058.130622T2000Z-130625T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.130622T2000Z.130623T0600Z.130624T0000Z.NO/
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.3 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 7.3 ON EARLY SUNDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.5    7.2    6.7    6.3    6.0    5.8    5.6


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-221800-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0059.130623T1232Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.130623T1232Z.130625T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MID-MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 19.6 ON TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           8.4   11.9   17.1   19.5   18.9   16.7   14.2


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

NDC077-221800-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0060.130623T2230Z-130627T0448Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.130623T2230Z.130624T1800Z.130625T2248Z.NO/
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 11.0 ON MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. CITY 
  STARTS TO MOBILIZE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE        5.1    8.8   10.8   10.7    9.0    7.7    7.2


LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696


$$
206 
WGUS83 KFGF 220214
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THIS RIVER LOCATION IN 
NORTH DAKOTA...

  * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND)...IN RICHLAND COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
NORTH DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA...

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THIS RIVER LOCATION 
IN NORTH DAKOTA...

  * MAPLETON...ON THE MAPLE RIVER ...IN CASS COUNTY


.NEW FOR THIS ISSUANCE...MAPLETON HAS BEEN ADDED TO THE FLOOD LIST AND 
ABERCROMBIE TAKEN AWAY AS IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THIS POINT WILL 
ACHIEVE FLOOD STAGE DURING THIS EVENT. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130628T2200Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.130621T2235Z.130623T1800Z.130627T1600Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY JUNE 28...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 4 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.3 FEET SOMETIME 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 13.3 ON SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.5 FEET, BRECKENRIDGE...NORTH MAIN STREET
  AND BRIDGE ARE CLOSED.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          12.5   13.3   12.6   11.7   10.7    9.7    9.1


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.130623T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130623T0300Z.130627T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.6 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 24.6 ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 25.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.FARGO...
  CITY PARKS AND RECREATION AREAS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

RED RIVER
  FARGO             17.8   19.8   22.1   23.7   24.5   24.5   23.4


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

MNC027-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0057.130623T0925Z-130626T1400Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.130623T0925Z.130624T0000Z.130625T0800Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 12.9 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.9 ON SUNDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             10.9   12.9   12.4   11.3   10.3    9.3    8.7


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0058.130623T0300Z-130625T1800Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.130623T0300Z.130623T0600Z.130624T1200Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 7.2 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 7.2 ON EARLY SUNDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.8    7.1    6.8    6.4    6.1    5.9    5.6


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-231414-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0059.130624T1240Z-130629T0600Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.130624T1240Z.130625T1800Z.130628T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY JUNE 29...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY JUNE 29...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MID-MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 15.1 ON TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, GAGE NOT ACCESSABLE ABOVE 15 
  FEET.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           7.6   10.5   13.6   15.1   14.0   12.0   10.5


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

NDC077-220244-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-130627T0448Z/
/ABRN8.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.5 FEET 
  MONDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 9.5 ON MONDAY MID-MORNING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE. LOW BANK 
  OVERFLOWS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE        5.9    9.0    9.5    8.4    7.5    6.8    6.2


LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696


$$

NDC017-231413-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-130624T1647Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.130622T0157Z.130622T1800Z.130623T1047Z.NO/
914 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 904.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 905.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 906.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 906.0 ON SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 907.0 FEET, FLOODING BEGINS ON HIGH GROUND 
  NEAR GAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28

MAPLE RIVER
  MAPLETON         905.9  903.7  901.9  901.0  900.6  900.2  899.7


LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
      4700 9698                      

$$
WJB
629 
WGUS83 KFGF 221657
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1157 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY

.THE FORECASTED RAINFALL DID NOT OCCUR LAST NIGHT RESULTING IN LESS 
RUNOFF OF RAINFALL INTO THE RIVERS. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-221727-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130626T1400Z/
/SABM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1157 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT 10:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.4 FEET 
  SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 11.0 FEET, FORECAST SERVICE STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             11.2   11.4   11.1   10.2    9.6    8.9    8.3


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-221727-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-130625T1800Z/
/HWYM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1157 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT 10:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.3 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6.0 FEET 
  SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.5 FEET, FORECAST SERVICE STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             5.8    5.9    5.1    4.8    4.6    4.5    4.4


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-221727-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-130629T0600Z/
/DILM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1157 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT 11:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.5 FEET 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           9.3   10.3   11.2   11.5   11.3   10.8   10.2


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 21, 12:43 PM CDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 12:43 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1243 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

CURRENT VIS SHOWING WESTERN ZONES BEGINNING TO HAVE MID/HIGH CLOUD
ADVECT IN FROM WEST WITH VALLEY ON EAST MOSTLY CLEAR. WHEN
COMPARING GFS...NAM...AND 00Z ECMWF...ALL THREE FOCUS THE BEST SFC
BASED CAPES OVER SOUTH DAKOTA WITH NORTH DAKOTA GENERALLY IN THE
1K TO 3K J/KG RANGE. HOWEVER...NAM IS THE ONLY ONE BRINGING HIGHER
CAPES TO THE NORTHWEST MINNESOTA REGION...WHERE CLEAR SKIES REMAIN
AND DEW POINTS ARE CLIMBING INTO THE MID 60S. WILL NEED TO WATCH
THIS AREA FOR CONVECTION LATER THIS AFTN. OVERALL FOR POPS THROUGH
EVENT MAINTAINING ECMWF-FLAVORED CONTINUITY UNTIL 12Z RUN COMES IN
AND CAN COMPARE TO NAM/GFS FOR SAT AND SUN. HAVE MADE SOME POP
ADJUSTMENTS BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH WITH ANY MODEL TO INCLUDE
LIKELY BREAKS IN ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...SO IN GENERALLY
PLAN ON KEEPING CHANCE POPS AT A MINIMUM THROUGH THE WKND...AGAIN
PENDING 12Z ECMWF GUIDANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FORECAST
WILL EJECT A SHORT WAVE ACROSS ND/SOUTHERN MAN LATE SUN NIGHT WHILE
ORIGINAL LOW REMAINS OVER ALTA. UPPER AIR BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE
THEREAFTER AS SHORT WAVES MOVE IN FROM THE WEST COAST. WATER VAPOR
LOOP INDICATED A SHORT WAVE/JET STREAK OVER WESTERN MN.

MODELS PLACE MOST UNSTABLE AIR FOR TOMORROW NIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN
RED RIVER VALLEY. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH FRI
NIGHT. WILL PREFER THE ECMWF. MODEL CROSS SECTION INDICATES
DIFFERENTIAL THETA-E ADVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR FRI NIGHT AND SO
WILL THE THREAT FOR WIND.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

ANOTHER SHORT FORECAST FOR SAT NIGHT AND PRECIPITATION WOULD BE MOST
LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY.

WITH PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE NIGHT MAINLY OVER
THE SOUTHEAST HALF OR TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA...HAVE EXPANDED THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR EASTERN ZONES.

MONDAY-THURSDAY...MODELS IN AGREEMENT THAT THE PERIOD WILL BEGIN
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND TRANSITION TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AS
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. TIMING OF SHORTWAVES
WITHIN THIS FLOW HARD TO DETERMINE...AND MODELS EACH HAVE THEIR OWN
IDEA. MONDAY SHOULD BE DRY...WITH INCREASING THUNDER CHANCES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL VALUES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

CU FIELD HAS DEVELOPED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE 2K FT
RANGE WITH CI BLOWOFF FROM CONVECTION ACROSS SW ND AND SD. EXPECT
VFR CONDS THRU THE AFTN AND EVENING WITH PERIODS OF MVFR TONIGHT
DURING TSTMS. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY NE EXCEPT FOR ELY AT KBJI WITH
ALL SITES BECOMING SE AFTER 03Z SAT. CONVECTION SHUD IMPACT THE FAR
SRN VALLEY THIS EVENING WITH CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT THAT WILL
AFFECT ALL SITES AFTER 05Z. MOST PRECIP SHOULD BE EAST OF BJI LATER
SAT MORNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 943 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL STRUCK AGAIN LAST NIGHT...WITH
SEVERAL LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 200 CORRIDOR SEEING 2 TO 5
INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS.  FLASH FLOOD AND AREAL
FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ONGOING THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
FORECAST AREA...AND THERE HAVE BEEN RIVERS ALONG SOME OF THE RIVERS
IN THAT AREA. SEVERAL RIVER POINTS HAVE FLOOD WATCHES AND ARE IN THE
PROCESS OF BEING UPDATED WITH INCOMING PRECIP REPORTS. WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AGAIN
OVER THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY...THE WATER SITUATION COULD BE
EXACERBATED.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR NDZ006>008-014>016-
     024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.

MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR MNZ001>009-013>017-
     022>024-027>032-040.

&&

UPDATE...SPEICHER
SHORT TERM...HOPPES
LONG TERM...HOPPES/TG
AVIATION...FRAZIER
HYDROLOGY...JR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 7:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
700 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-221200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
700 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER ALL OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTH
WEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE STORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY
AFTER 4 PM CDT. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING HAIL AND A TORNADO. ALSO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED.

AN AREA OF MOIST UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTH DAKOTA AND
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND AREAS TO THE SOUTH. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND BRING UNSTABLE AIR
NORTHWARD AND PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY
SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM TURTLE RIVER TO FOSSTON MINNESOTA TO
VALLEY CITY NORTH DAKOTA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO OCCUR.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AND
PRODUCE THE SEVERE WEATHER.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KEELIHER TO SABIN MINNESOTA TO HANKINSON
NORTH DAKOTA. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING AND SHIFT
EAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AND
PRODUCE THE SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

HOPPES

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 21, 10:50 AM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1050 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             10 N BATTLE LAKE        46.43N 95.72W
06/20/2013  E1.00 INCH       OTTER TAIL         MN   PUBLIC

            PEA TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT MOLLS BERRY FARM

&&

JKAISER
Local storm report, Jun 21, 11:27 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1127 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DAVENPORT               46.71N 97.07W
06/20/2013                   CASS               ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN AT FARMSTEAD WITH LOTS OF SMALLER BRANCHES
            DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

JAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Norman57 min
Jun 20, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay66 min
Jun 20, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail55 min
Jun 20, 8:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFClay56 min
Jun 20, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay56 min
Jun 20, 9:09 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGFClay15 hr
Jun 20, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker61 min
Jun 20, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail63 min
Jun 20, 9:35 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchFGFWilkin6 days
Jun 20, 9:35 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchFGFClay4 days
Jun 20, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay55 min
Jun 20, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay59 min
Jun 20, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Otter Tail, Wilkin55 min
Jun 20, 10:55 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Otter Tail13 hr
Jun 20, 11:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Otter Tail, Wilkin41 min
Jun 21, 12:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant59 min
Jun 21, 2:57 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGFBecker, Hubbard, Otter Tail, Wadena9 hr
Jun 21, 12:49 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFWilkin7 days
Jun 21, 12:49 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFClay14 days
Jun 21, 12:49 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFClay4 days
Jun 21, 12:49 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFClay67 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.