Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Kansas City, MO

March 9, 2013Chariton County, Macon County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 9, 2013, 7:55 PM CST for Chariton County, Macon County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 10, 2013, 7:48 AM CDT. It was in force for 34 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2013, 7:55 PM CST (01:55 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 10, 2013, 7:48 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 11, 2013, 5:56 PM CDT
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Chariton County, MO, Macon County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 161 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Chariton River near Prairie Hill (PRIM7). The gauge peaked at 19.45 ft at Mar 10, 2013, 5:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152003/1003/1103/12
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
21 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06905500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

960 
WGUS43 KEAX 100155
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
755 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013
  

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.
...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MINOR SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC041-121-110155-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0009.130310T1649Z-130313T0107Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.130310T1649Z.130311T0600Z.130312T0107Z.NO/
755 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15    7.6   SAT 07 PM   18.2 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-110155-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130311T2256Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.130309T1843Z.130310T0600Z.130310T2256Z.NO/
755 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* AT  7:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SOME GRAVEL ROADS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  OTTERVILLE ARE UNDER WATER. IN ADDITION STATE HIGHWAY 135 MAY BE 
  OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS 2 MILES NORTH OF CLIFTON CITY.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   17.9   SAT 07 PM   18.5 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-110154-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130312T1450Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.130309T1403Z.130311T0000Z.130311T1450Z.UU/
755 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* AT  7:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   18.7   SAT 07 PM   20.5 SUNDAY EVENING

$$
7 follow-up statements
350 
WGUS83 KEAX 100946
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN AFFECTING CASS...HENRY AND JOHNSON COUNTIES.

  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS 
  COUNTIES.

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES.

  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND AFFECTING RAY COUNTY.

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE AFFECTING HOWARD COUNTY.

  SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH AFFECTING BATES...CASS AND HENRY 
  COUNTIES.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-110946-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0010.130310T0945Z-130312T1708Z/
/BLRM7.1.ER.130310T0755Z.130311T0000Z.130311T1708Z.UU/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  4:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN      20   21.3   SUN 04 AM   22.5 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC101-159-110946-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130312T0931Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.130309T2218Z.130310T1800Z.130311T0931Z.NO/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  4:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY E NEAR VALLEY CITY AND HIGHWAY 23 
  NEAR THE PERRY STATE WILDLIFE AREA ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   25.8   SUN 04 AM   26.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-195-110946-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130314T1942Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.130309T2111Z.130312T0000Z.130313T1942Z.NO/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.4   SUN 04 AM   29.5 MONDAY EVENING

$$

MOC041-121-110946-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.130310T1510Z-130313T1021Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.130310T1510Z.130311T0600Z.130312T1021Z.NO/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  3:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 18.8 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   12.0   SUN 04 AM   18.8 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC177-110946-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130312T0222Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.130310T0902Z.130310T1800Z.130311T0222Z.NO/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
* AT 21.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERTOP A GRAVEL ROAD ABOUT 1 MILE 
  SOUTH OF THE F AND B HIGHWAY INTERSECTION.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL ROADS ALONG WITH CROPLAND AND 
  WOODLANDS FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CROOKED RIVER
  RICHMOND        20   19.9   SUN 03 AM   21.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-110946-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130312T0200Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.130309T1843Z.130310T1200Z.130311T0200Z.NO/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SOME GRAVEL ROADS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  OTTERVILLE ARE UNDER WATER. IN ADDITION STATE HIGHWAY 135 MAY BE 
  OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS 2 MILES NORTH OF CLIFTON CITY.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   18.8   SUN 04 AM   19.0 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC089-110946-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130312T0030Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.130309T1410Z.130310T1200Z.130311T0030Z.UU/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   18.3   SUN 04 AM   19.0 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC053-110946-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130312T1450Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.130309T1403Z.130310T1800Z.130311T1450Z.UU/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   19.8   SUN 03 AM   20.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC013-037-083-110945-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130312T1400Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130311T0000Z.130311T1400Z.UU/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 25.8 
  FEET THIS EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5 
  MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
  WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH           24                      25.8 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-110945-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T0752Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.130310T0605Z.130310T1800Z.130311T0752Z.UU/
446 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  4:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.6   SUN 04 AM   18.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
200 
WGUS83 KEAX 101248
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
748 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC041-121-111248-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.130310T1248Z-130313T2046Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T1200Z.130312T2046Z.NO/
748 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FARMLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS IN THE CHARITON RIVER 
  FLOODPLAIN ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   16.1   SUN 07 AM   19.3 MONDAY MORNING

$$
303 
WGUS83 KEAX 101557
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS 
  COUNTIES.

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES.

  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND AFFECTING RAY COUNTY.

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI... 

  BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN AFFECTING CASS...HENRY AND JOHNSON 
  COUNTIES.

  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE AFFECTING HOWARD COUNTY.
  
  SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH AFFECTING BATES...CASS AND HENRY 
  COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-111557-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130312T1741Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.130310T0755Z.130310T1800Z.130311T1741Z.UU/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS AT THE WEST APPROACH TO THE N 
  HIGHWAY BRIDGE LOCATED 0.2 MILES WEST OF BLAIRSTOWN. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS ACROSS B HIGHWAY NEAR BIG CREEK WHICH IS SEVERAL MILES 
  NORTHWEST OF BLAIRSTOWN.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN      20   23.3   SUN 10 AM   23.3 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC101-159-111557-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130312T1509Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.130309T2218Z.130310T1800Z.130311T1509Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY E NEAR VALLEY CITY AND HIGHWAY 23 
  NEAR THE PERRY STATE WILDLIFE AREA ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   26.8   SUN 10 AM   27.0 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-195-111557-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130315T0336Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.130309T2111Z.130312T0600Z.130314T0336Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALSO OCCURS TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   28.6   SUN 11 AM   30.5 EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-111557-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T1700Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0000Z.130312T1700Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY 129 IS OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS 8 
  MILES NORTH OF SALISBURY.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FARMLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS IN THE CHARITON RIVER 
  FLOODPLAIN ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   18.6   SUN 11 AM   20.1 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC177-111557-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130312T0537Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.130310T0952Z.130311T0000Z.130311T0537Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERTOP A GRAVEL ROAD ABOUT 1 MILE 
  SOUTH OF THE F AND B HIGHWAY INTERSECTION.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL ROADS ALONG WITH CROPLAND AND 
  WOODLANDS FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CROOKED RIVER
  RICHMOND        20   20.3   SUN 10 AM   21.5 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-111557-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130312T0600Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.130309T1843Z.130310T1045Z.130311T0600Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SOME GRAVEL ROADS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  OTTERVILLE ARE UNDER WATER. IN ADDITION STATE HIGHWAY 135 MAY BE 
  OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS 2 MILES NORTH OF CLIFTON CITY.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   18.7   SUN 10 AM   18.6 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC089-111557-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130312T0030Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.130309T1410Z.130310T0430Z.130311T0030Z.UU/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY LATE
  THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   18.0   SUN 10 AM   18.0 LATE THIS MORNING

$$

MOC053-111557-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130312T1655Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.130309T1403Z.130310T1530Z.130311T1655Z.UU/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   21.1   SUN 10 AM   21.0 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC013-037-083-111557-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130312T2100Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.130310T1339Z.130311T0600Z.130311T2100Z.UU/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:53 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 26.4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5 
  MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
  WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH           24   23.7   SUN 08 AM   26.4 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-111557-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T0949Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.130310T0605Z.130311T0000Z.130311T0949Z.UU/
1057 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   16.9   SUN 10 AM   18.0 THIS EVENING

$$
223 
WGUS83 KEAX 110007
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS 
  COUNTIES.

  CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND AFFECTING RAY COUNTY.

  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE AFFECTING HOWARD COUNTY.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

  BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN AFFECTING CASS...HENRY AND JOHNSON 
  COUNTIES.

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES.

  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH AFFECTING BATES...CASS AND HENRY 
  COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-120007-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130312T1741Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.130310T0755Z.130310T1600Z.130311T1741Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN      20   22.9   SUN 06 PM   22.4 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC101-159-120007-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130312T1827Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.130309T2218Z.130310T2300Z.130311T1827Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT 27.7 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN
  FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY E NEAR VALLEY CITY AND HIGHWAY 23 
  NEAR THE PERRY STATE WILDLIFE AREA ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   27.6   SUN 06 PM   27.2 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-195-120007-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130315T0336Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.130309T2111Z.130312T0600Z.130314T0336Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALSO OCCURS TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   28.9   SUN 07 PM   30.5 EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T1700Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0600Z.130312T1700Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FARMLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS IN THE CHARITON RIVER 
  FLOODPLAIN ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   19.4   SUN 07 PM   19.5 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC177-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130312T0827Z/
/RICM7.1.ER.130310T0952Z.130311T0600Z.130311T0827Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERTOP A GRAVEL ROAD ABOUT 1 MILE 
  SOUTH OF THE F AND B HIGHWAY INTERSECTION.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL ROADS ALONG WITH CROPLAND AND 
  WOODLANDS FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CROOKED RIVER
  RICHMOND        20   20.8   SUN 06 PM   20.9 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130312T2013Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T0600Z.130311T2013Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   27.8   SUN 07 PM   29.9 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130312T0600Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.130309T1843Z.130310T1045Z.130311T0600Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SOME GRAVEL ROADS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  OTTERVILLE ARE UNDER WATER. IN ADDITION STATE HIGHWAY 135 MAY BE 
  OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS 2 MILES NORTH OF CLIFTON CITY.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   18.6   SUN 06 PM   15.0 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC089-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130312T0553Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.130309T1410Z.130310T0430Z.130311T0553Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   17.8   SUN 06 PM   17.6 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130312T1727Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.130309T1403Z.130310T2100Z.130311T1727Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   21.3   SUN 06 PM   20.7 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC013-037-083-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130312T2100Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.130310T1349Z.130311T0600Z.130311T2100Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:42 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.4 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5 
  MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
  WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH           24   25.7   SUN 07 PM   26.4 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T1027Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.130310T0605Z.130310T2300Z.130311T1027Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 18.3 FEET THIS EVENING. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   18.2   SUN 06 PM   17.5 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$
697 
WGUS83 KEAX 111300
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
800 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013
   
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC041-121-121300-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T0240Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0130Z.130312T0240Z.NO/
800 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   17.7   MON 08 AM   16.3 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-121259-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T0611Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T0611Z.NO/
800 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   29.7   MON 08 AM   29.2 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
773 
WGUS83 KEAX 111901
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013
   
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS 
  COUNTIES.

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130313T0108Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.130309T2218Z.130311T0300Z.130312T0108Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   24.7   MON 01 PM   22.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130315T1730Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.130309T2111Z.130312T1200Z.130314T1730Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.8 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALSO OCCURS TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   28.8   MON 02 PM   29.8 TUESDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-121901-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T0240Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0130Z.130312T0240Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   16.0   MON 02 PM   15.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-121901-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T0611Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T0611Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   29.3   MON 02 PM   28.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130313T0400Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.130309T1403Z.130310T2100Z.130312T0400Z.UU/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   19.1   MON 01 PM   17.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130313T0112Z/
/CAXM7.2.ER.130310T0605Z.130311T1500Z.130312T0112Z.UU/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 19.1 FEET...WATER REACHES THE BOTTOM OF THE SOUTH MAIN STREET 
  BRIDGE OVER WAKENDA CREEK.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   19.5   MON 01 PM   16.8 THIS EVENING

$$
834 
WGUS83 KEAX 112256
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
556 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

&&

MOC041-121-112326-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T0240Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0130Z.130311T2207Z.NO/
556 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* AT  5:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 13.3 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   14.8   MON 06 PM   14.4 THIS EVENING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 9, 5:45 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 5:45 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
545 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2013

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

Short Range (Tonight through Monday)...

A strong late winter season storm system will bring a double punch
of weather with scattered convection continuing this evening within
the warm sector. Satellite imagery shows the growing plume of
convection stretching from north central TX through west central MO.
Elevated CAPE in the 300-600 J/kg range will continue to support
isolated thunderstorms over all but the northern 1/4 of the CWA.
Climatologically high PW values have resulted in a very efficient
convective process. While the 6-hr qpf forecast is a more general
forecast there will be pockets of convection which will double those
values through tonight. Satellite imagery also shows a pronounced
dry slot behind this convection. While this dry slot will spread
into the western CWA this evening it will likely only temporarily
lead to a decrease in precipitation. Since the main upper system
will remain well upstream believe there will be additional pieces of
energy that eject northeast and refill the dry slot with deeper
moisture and renewed scattered convection.

Model disagreement on Sunday lowers overall confidence in forecast a
bit. 12Z NAM looks to be an outlier as it develops the 500 hPa and
850 hPa lows further south than the GFS/ECMWF. The NAMs much
stronger dynamic cooling results in huge snow totals within a
deformation zone that forms in the northwest quadrant of the upper
system over eastern KS and northwest MO. While the GFS and ECMWF do
maintain the development of this deformation band the snow output
falls more in line with HPC guidance and a composite of an average
of 15 analogs based on similar storm systems. But it should be
pointed out that these same analogs show considerable spread with
some storms dumping in excess of a foot of snow. For now will issue
a winter weather advisory for parts of northwest MO and northeast KS
for Sunday afternoon/night. Later shifts will need to
monitor/evaluate future model trends as there is some concern
current snow amounts could be on the low side.

Monday will be a relatively quiet but cold day in comparison as
downglide with northwest flow aloft and a building surface ridge
scour out the clouds from west to east. Temperatures over northern
MO will be impacted by whatever snow cover is left behind.

MJ

Medium Range (Tuesday through Saturday)...

A secondary shortwave trough, currently approaching the Pacific
Northwest, will slide southeast and merge near the Great Lakes
region with the wave currently over western Kansas by the start of
the period. On the backside of this trough, another pocket of cold
H85 temperatures will graze much of the CWA, keeping highs in the
40s north of Interstate 70, with lower 50s elsewhere on Tuesday.
Surface high pressure will build into the region on Wednesday, with
light/calm winds through of the day and Wednesday night. Maximum
temperatures will only be a few degrees warmer than Tuesday, with
highs in the middle 40s to middle 50s. A notable warming trend will
begin on Thursday and persist into Saturday with above normal
readings as surface high pressure shifts to the east and a weak
upper ridge builds across the Plains. High temperatures Thursday
through Saturday are expected to reach the 50s and 60s.
Precipitation chances look low through the period with a relatively
dry atmosphere anticipated and no notable upper disturbances are
projected to move through the area.

Blair

&&

.AVIATION...

For the 00Z TAFs...band of rain and embedded thunder is making steady
eastward progress into northern and central MO, with back edge of
this band timed into the KC area in the 03Z to 04Z time frame. May
see some additional scattered shower activity develop for a few hours
after this band passes through until pronounced dry slot spreads in
for the remainder of the night.

Cold front will drop through the region toward 12Z, and expect rain
showers to redevelop, mixing with and changing to snow through the
afternoon. At this time the best chance for any prolonged and
accumulating snowfall looks to be the STJ-IRK corridor and points
north.

Hawblitzel

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 1 PM Sunday to 1 AM CDT Monday FOR
     MOZ001>005-011-012.

KS...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 1 PM Sunday to 1 AM CDT Monday FOR
     KSZ102.

&&

WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 6:09 PM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
609 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-101130-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
609 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING
AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS ACTIVITY...WHICH COMBINED WITH RECENT SNOW MELT COULD LEAD TO
MINOR FLOODING ESPECIALLY ALONG FLOOD-PRONE CREEKS AND STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO SNOW OVER NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NORTH
OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO PRINCETON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN
INCH ARE POSSIBLE AS FAR SOUTH AS THE MISSOURI RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAWBLITZEL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 8:42 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXCass, Henry, Johnson36 hr
Mar 9, 8:42 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXBates, Cass, Henry36 hr
Mar 9, 11:17 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXRay37 hr
Mar 10, 12:03 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Cooper, Howard, Linn, Livingston and 3 more48 hr
Mar 10, 3:09 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Linn, Livingston46 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.