Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 13, NWS Kansas City, MO

March 10, 20134 counties in Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 10, 2013, 3:09 PM CDT for 4 counties in Missouri. It took effect at Mar 10, 2013, 4:52 PM CDT. It was in force for 44 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2013, 3:09 PM CDT (20:09 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 10, 2013, 4:52 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 12, 2013, 1:01 PM CDT
In force
44 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Grand River near Sumner (SNZM7). The gauge peaked at 29.88 ft at Mar 11, 2013, 4:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate10203003/1003/1103/1203/13
Action stage
21 ft
Minor stage
26 ft
Moderate stage
28 ft
Major stage
40 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06902000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

373 
WGUS43 KEAX 102009
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
309 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013
  

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-112009-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0013.130310T2152Z-130312T2013Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2152Z.130311T0600Z.130311T2013Z.NO/
309 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.9 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   24.3   SUN 03 PM   29.9 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MJ
7 follow-up statements
223 
WGUS83 KEAX 110007
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS 
  COUNTIES.

  CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND AFFECTING RAY COUNTY.

  MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE AFFECTING HOWARD COUNTY.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

  BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN AFFECTING CASS...HENRY AND JOHNSON 
  COUNTIES.

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES.

  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH AFFECTING BATES...CASS AND HENRY 
  COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-120007-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130312T1741Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.130310T0755Z.130310T1600Z.130311T1741Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN      20   22.9   SUN 06 PM   22.4 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC101-159-120007-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130312T1827Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.130309T2218Z.130310T2300Z.130311T1827Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT 27.7 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN
  FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY E NEAR VALLEY CITY AND HIGHWAY 23 
  NEAR THE PERRY STATE WILDLIFE AREA ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   27.6   SUN 06 PM   27.2 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-195-120007-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130315T0336Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.130309T2111Z.130312T0600Z.130314T0336Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALSO OCCURS TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   28.9   SUN 07 PM   30.5 EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T1700Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0600Z.130312T1700Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FARMLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS IN THE CHARITON RIVER 
  FLOODPLAIN ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   19.4   SUN 07 PM   19.5 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC177-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130312T0827Z/
/RICM7.1.ER.130310T0952Z.130311T0600Z.130311T0827Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERTOP A GRAVEL ROAD ABOUT 1 MILE 
  SOUTH OF THE F AND B HIGHWAY INTERSECTION.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL ROADS ALONG WITH CROPLAND AND 
  WOODLANDS FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CROOKED RIVER
  RICHMOND        20   20.8   SUN 06 PM   20.9 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130312T2013Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T0600Z.130311T2013Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   27.8   SUN 07 PM   29.9 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130312T0600Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.130309T1843Z.130310T1045Z.130311T0600Z.NO/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SOME GRAVEL ROADS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  OTTERVILLE ARE UNDER WATER. IN ADDITION STATE HIGHWAY 135 MAY BE 
  OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS 2 MILES NORTH OF CLIFTON CITY.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   18.6   SUN 06 PM   15.0 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC089-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130312T0553Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.130309T1410Z.130310T0430Z.130311T0553Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FIELDS ALONG MONITEAU CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MONITEAU CREEK
  FAYETTE         16   17.8   SUN 06 PM   17.6 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130312T1727Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.130309T1403Z.130310T2100Z.130311T1727Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.5 FEET...THE CREEK FLOODS U HIGHWAY ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST 
  OF BOONVILLE.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   21.3   SUN 06 PM   20.7 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC013-037-083-120006-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130312T2100Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.130310T1349Z.130311T0600Z.130311T2100Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:42 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.4 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5 
  MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
  WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH           24   25.7   SUN 07 PM   26.4 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-120006-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T1027Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.130310T0605Z.130310T2300Z.130311T1027Z.UU/
707 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 18.3 FEET THIS EVENING. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   18.2   SUN 06 PM   17.5 EARLY MONDAY MORNING

$$
697 
WGUS83 KEAX 111300
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
800 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013
   
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC041-121-121300-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T0240Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0130Z.130312T0240Z.NO/
800 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   17.7   MON 08 AM   16.3 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-121259-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T0611Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T0611Z.NO/
800 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   29.7   MON 08 AM   29.2 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
773 
WGUS83 KEAX 111901
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013
   
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING JOHNSON AND PETTIS 
  COUNTIES.

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES.

  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE AFFECTING COOPER COUNTY.

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AFFECTING CHARITON AND MACON 
  COUNTIES.

  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC101-159-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130313T0108Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.130309T2218Z.130311T0300Z.130312T0108Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   24.7   MON 01 PM   22.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-195-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130315T1730Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.130309T2111Z.130312T1200Z.130314T1730Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.8 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALSO OCCURS TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   28.8   MON 02 PM   29.8 TUESDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-121-121901-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T0240Z/
/PRIM7.2.ER.130310T1035Z.130311T0130Z.130312T0240Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   16.0   MON 02 PM   15.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-121901-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T0611Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T0611Z.NO/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   29.3   MON 02 PM   28.0 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC053-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130313T0400Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.130309T1403Z.130310T2100Z.130312T0400Z.UU/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   19.1   MON 01 PM   17.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-121901-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130313T0112Z/
/CAXM7.2.ER.130310T0605Z.130311T1500Z.130312T0112Z.UU/
201 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* AT 19.1 FEET...WATER REACHES THE BOTTOM OF THE SOUTH MAIN STREET 
  BRIDGE OVER WAKENDA CREEK.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   19.5   MON 01 PM   16.8 THIS EVENING

$$
221 
WGUS83 KEAX 120048
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
748 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-130048-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T1045Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T1045Z.NO/
748 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   28.8   MON 07 PM   27.9 EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

$$
230 
WGUS83 KEAX 121409
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-131409-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T1553Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T1553Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   26.6   TUE 09 AM   25.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
926 
WGUS83 KEAX 121500
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1000 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI... 

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK AFFECTING COOPER AND SALINE 
  COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-195-131500-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130315T1600Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.130309T2111Z.130312T1445Z.130314T1600Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 29.0 FEET...LIVESTOCK IN PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE 
  ENDANGERED. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALSO OCCURS TO CROPLAND AND PASTURE.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   29.1   TUE 10 AM   29.0 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-131500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T1601Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T1601Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   26.4   TUE 10 AM   25.4 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-131500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130313T2136Z/
/CAXM7.2.ER.130310T0605Z.130311T1500Z.130312T2136Z.UU/
1000 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   17.3   TUE 09 AM   16.6 THIS AFTERNOON

$$
683 
WGUS83 KEAX 121801
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
101 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER AFFECTING LIVINGSTON...CARROLL...CHARITON 
  AND LINN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC033-041-115-117-121831-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130313T1601Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.130310T2120Z.130311T1000Z.130312T1627Z.NO/
101 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:27 AM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 18.0 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   25.9   TUE 12 PM   23.0 THIS EVENING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 10, 12:59 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 12:59 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1259 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

.DISCUSSION...

The deformation band of snow that was expected to move into
northwest Missouri bringing the potential for 1-3 inches of snow has
remained north and west of the area this afternoon. This coupled
with air temperatures as well as roadway temperatures remaining
above freezing has led to the canceling of the winter weather
advisory across northern Missouri. This band is still expected to
move into the area by late this afternoon and this evening however
snowfall amounts are expected to be on the order of one half to two
inches across the northwestern CWA. This is also supported by short
range models.

.PREV DISCUSSION...

Today/Tonight...

Expansive area of precipitation has shifted out of the CWA as of
early this morning, leaving low clouds behind. A cold front was
moving through the northwestern portions of the CWA as observed
through surface observations and a radar fine line. With the earlier
precipitation in combination with the remaining snowmelt over central
MO, area streams and rivers are or will be at elevated levels with
some flooding expected. Short term operational models depict another
round of precipitation to overspread/develop the CWA beginning mid
morning and persist through the afternoon hours. Focus turns to the
potential for winter weather as the day progresses, primarily over
far northwestern MO. Moderate forecast uncertainty exists with
regards to the potential for accumulating snowfall. Vertical
temperature profiles will gradually support snow over NW MO beginning
late morning into the afternoon. The primary TROWAL structure should
reside mainly to the north of the CWA, while models have trended to
lower QPF amounts over the area. Additionally, surface temperatures
during the day are expected to reside in the 32-35 degree range over
NW MO, and with warm ground temperatures, confidence is not
particularly high that sufficient snow rates will exist in our area
for snowfall to accumulate on roadways. A slightly more favorable
window for snowfall accumulations will arrive between 20-02Z, when
colder air and the close proximity of the TROWAL may allow for better
accumulations before the system shifts northeastward. Trimmed back
some of the advisory area as overall impacts for the timing of the
season and day of the week in combination with the lower anticipated
snowfall accumulations should be low. For the remaining winter
weather advisory, total snowfall accumulations of 2 inches, with some
isolated areas up to 3 inches, are expected, especially on elevated
and grassy surfaces. Precipitation chances will continue to lower
throughout the evening/overnight hours, with only a couple tenths of
an inch of additional snowfall accumulation expected after midnight
across the northern CWA. Temperatures in some locations will
gradually fall throughout the day as cooler air behind the cold front
advects into the area.

Blair

Monday and Tuesday...

The deformation zone fueling snowfall across northern portions of
the forecast area should exit the area shortly after sunrise Monday.
Any additional snowfall Monday morning should be very light, while
the strongest dynamics lift northeast of the region. Cold air
wrapping around the back side of the low will keep high temperatures
unseasonably cool on Monday, and also lowered highs for Tuesday as a
second clipper drops south into the back side of the main trough,
bringing a re-enforcing shot of cold air into northern Missouri. Dry
air in the wake of the current system should limit any precipitation
potential with the second wave, keeping this portion of the forecast
period dry.

Wednesday through Sunday...

A warming trend will begin by Wednesday and continue through the
weekend, as the deep trough over the Great Lakes shifts northeast
and allows ridging to build back into the eastern Rockies and High
Plains. Temperatures should head back to near- to above-normal
values for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, with no precipitation
expected. On Sunday, a few model solutions bring a weak clipper
system into northern Missouri, possibly fueling a few light showers
and decreasing temperatures a few degrees; however, significant
rainfall is not anticipated and cooler conditions should be
short-lived.

Laflin

&&

.AVIATION...

For the 18Z TAFs...IFR cigs with vsbys reduced to 3-5SM with light
fog will be the rule this afternoon. Some rain showers may also be
in the VC of the terminals this afternoon as well. Light fog and IFR
conditions will continue into this evening with the chance for light
snow or flurries in the VC of the terminals. Little to no
accumulation is expected. Any chance for precipitation will end
during the early morning hours and cigs may lift some to low MVFR.

Winds during the period will be out of the northwest between
10-15kts. Gusts 20-25kts will be possible through the afternoon
hours before subsiding tonight.

73

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 12:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1248 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111215-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1248 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO SNOW OVER NORTHWEST MISSOURI
BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE HALF TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NORTH OF A LINE
FROM OREGON TO BETHANY...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES.

EARLIER RAINFALL AND THE RECENT SNOW MELT HAS LED TO MINOR TO
MODERATE RIVER FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI. IT HAS
ALSO LED TO ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO WATER OVER SECONDARY ROADWAYS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL TOTALS AND SNOWFALL
MEASUREMENTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

MELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 7:55 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXChariton, Macon45 hr
Mar 9, 8:42 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXCass, Henry, Johnson36 hr
Mar 9, 8:42 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXBates, Cass, Henry36 hr
Mar 9, 11:17 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXRay37 hr
Mar 10, 12:03 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Cooper, Howard, Linn, Livingston and 3 more48 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.