River Flood Warning 22, NWS Des Moines, IA

319 
WGUS83 KDMX 272100
FLSDMX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
400 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING 
RIVERS IN IOWA...CEDAR RIVER...WEST FORK CEDAR RIVER...SHELL ROCK 
RIVER...BEAVER CREEK...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...BLACK HAWK...BREMER...
  BUTLER
  
RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

.ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST
STAGES OR ADDITIONAL CRESTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED AREA...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE 
ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

MORE INFORMATION IS AT  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES .

&&

IAC013-282100-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130604T0600Z/
/CEDI4.3.ER.130527T1535Z.130530T1200Z.130603T0600Z.NO/
400 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER AT CEDAR FALLS...OR FROM THE WEST FORK CEDAR 
  RIVER...TO THE CEDAR FALLS-WATERLOO CITY LIMITS.
* UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  2:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 88.3 FEET...OR 0.3 FEET ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 88.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 93.2 FEET...OR 5.2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...
  THURSDAY MORNING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST
  STAGES OR ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT  93.2 FEET...WATER COVERS GREELY STREET SOUTH OF GRANT 
  STREET. WATER COVERS THE 900 BLOCK OF LINCOLN STREET JUST EAST OF 
  ROOSEVELT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4255 9255 4264 9255 4264 9233 4255 9236

$$

IAC013-282100-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0019.130528T0215Z-130602T1424Z/
/ALOI4.1.ER.130528T0215Z.130530T1200Z.130601T1424Z.NO/
400 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER AT WATERLOO...OR FROM THE WATERLOO-CEDAR FALLS CITY
  LIMITS...TO SPRING CREEK NEAR LA PORTE CITY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET...OR 1.9 FEET BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS EVENING. CONTINUE RISING 
  TO 15.5 FEET...OR 3.4 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND
  24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT  16.0 FEET...THE RIVERVIEW RECREATION AREA IS CLOSED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4255 9252 4230 9222 4230 9207 4238 9207 4255 9236

$$

IAC013-017-023-282100-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0022.130530T0300Z-130531T1800Z/
/FNHI4.1.ER.130530T0300Z.130530T1200Z.130530T1800Z.NO/
400 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST FORK CEDAR RIVER AT FINCHFORD...OR FROM MCCLURE CREEK...TO
  THE SHELL ROCK RIVER.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET...OR 5.9 FEET BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. CONTINUE 
  RISING TO 17.2 FEET...OR 0.2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...THURSDAY 
  MORNING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR
  ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT  17.0 FEET...HIGHWAY T71 IS OVERTOPPED NORTH OF THE 
  RIVER. THE TOWN OF FINCHFORD IS THREATENED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4276 9271 4264 9257 4264 9248 4260 9249 4262 9277

$$

IAC013-017-023-282059-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0023.130529T1000Z-130531T0000Z/
/SHRI4.1.ER.130529T1000Z.130529T1200Z.130530T0000Z.NO/
400 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHELL ROCK RIVER AT SHELL ROCK...OR FROM FLOOD CREEK NEAR 
  CLARKSVILLE...TO THE CEDAR RIVER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET...OR 1.9 FEET BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE RISING 
  TO 13.6 FEET...OR 0.1 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
  GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND
  24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT  13.5 FEET...EAST WASHINGTON STREET IS CLOSED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4291 9289 4264 9257 4264 9248 4269 9249 4291 9273

$$

IAC013-023-282059-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-130530T0600Z/
/NHRI4.2.ER.130527T1212Z.130528T0000Z.130529T0600Z.NO/
400 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BEAVER CREEK AT NEW HARTFORD...OR FROM JOHNSON CREEK NEAR 
  PARKERSBURG...TO THE CEDAR RIVER.
* UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET...OR 1.3 FEET ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 13.5 FEET...OR 1.5 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...THIS
  EVENING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR
  ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT  13.0 FEET...AREAS BETWEEN SARATOGA AND YORK STREETS 
  AND EAST OF PACKWAUKEE STREET ARE AFFECTED. AT THIS STAGE FLOODING
  OCCURS OVER ONE HALF OF TOWN.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4256 9249 4261 9250 4263 9302 4256 9302

$$

ZOGG

652 
WGUS83 KDMX 280305
FLSDMX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1005 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...WEST FORK CEDAR RIVER...SHELL ROCK 
RIVER...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...BLACK HAWK...BREMER...
  BUTLER
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...CEDAR RIVER...BEAVER CREEK...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...BLACK HAWK...BUTLER
  
RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED AREA...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE 
ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

MORE INFORMATION IS AT  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES .

&&

IAC013-290305-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130603T1000Z/
/CEDI4.2.ER.130527T1535Z.130529T1200Z.130602T1000Z.NO/
1005 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER AT CEDAR FALLS...OR FROM THE WEST FORK CEDAR 
  RIVER...TO THE CEDAR FALLS-WATERLOO CITY LIMITS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 89.8 FEET...OR 1.8 FEET ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 88.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO 91.3 FEET...OR 3.3 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
  RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR 
  ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT  91.2 FEET...WATER COVERS PORTIONS OF LAKE STREET.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4255 9255 4264 9255 4264 9233 4255 9236

$$

IAC013-290305-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-130601T1000Z/
/ALOI4.1.ER.130528T0324Z.130528T1800Z.130531T1000Z.NO/
1005 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER AT WATERLOO...OR FROM THE WATERLOO-CEDAR FALLS CITY
  LIMITS...TO SPRING CREEK NEAR LA PORTE CITY.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET...OR 0.3 FEET BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE TO FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS EVENING. CONTINUE RISING 
  TO 14.4 FEET...OR 1.4 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND 24 
  HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MANY STORM SEWERS ARE CLOSED ALONG BLACK 
  HAWK CREEK AND THE CEDAR RIVER. THE FLETCHER AVENUE LEVEE GATES 
  ARE CLOSED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4255 9252 4230 9222 4230 9207 4238 9207 4255 9236

$$

IAC013-017-023-280335-
/O.CAN.KDMX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130531T1800Z/
/FNHI4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WEST FORK CEDAR RIVER AT FINCHFORD...OR FROM MCCLURE CREEK...TO
  THE SHELL ROCK RIVER.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET...OR 5.7 FEET BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FORECAST...CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A STAGE OF 15.5 FEET...OR 
  1.5 FEET BELOW FLOOD STAGE...WEDNESDAY EVENING. WHILE THE NEAR TERM 
  THREAT FOR FLOODING HAS ENDED...ADDITIONAL RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATER 
  IN THE WEEK THAT COULD CAUSE TO RIVER TO RISE CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE 
  ONCE AGAIN.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER THREATENS THE ROAD FILL AREA ALONG 
  HIGHWAY T71 JUST NORTH OF THE RIVER. WATER ALSO THREATENS THE 
  BRIDGE 1000 FEET NORTH WHICH SPANS THE OVERFLOW AREA.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4276 9271 4264 9257 4264 9248 4260 9249 4262 9277

$$

IAC013-017-023-280335-
/O.CAN.KDMX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130531T0000Z/
/SHRI4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SHELL ROCK RIVER AT SHELL ROCK...OR FROM FLOOD CREEK NEAR 
  CLARKSVILLE...TO THE CEDAR RIVER.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET...OR 1.7 FEET BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FORECAST...CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A STAGE OF 12.5 FEET...OR 
  1.0 FEET BELOW FLOOD STAGE...WEDNESDAY MORNING. WHILE THE NEAR TERM 
  THREAT FOR FLOODING HAS ENDED...ADDITIONAL RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATER 
  IN THE WEEK THAT COULD CAUSE TO RIVER TO RISE CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE 
  ONCE AGAIN.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...SEEPAGE OCCURS IN SEVERAL BASEMENTS CLOSE 
  TO THE RIVER.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4291 9289 4264 9257 4264 9248 4269 9249 4291 9273

$$

IAC013-023-290305-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-130529T1330Z/
/NHRI4.2.ER.130527T1212Z.130527T1915Z.130528T1330Z.NO/
1005 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BEAVER CREEK AT NEW HARTFORD...OR FROM JOHNSON CREEK NEAR 
  PARKERSBURG...TO THE CEDAR RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET...OR 0.9 FEET ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
  RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR 
  ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AREAS BETWEEN SARATOGA AND YORK STREETS 
  AND EAST OF PACKWAUKEE STREET ARE AFFECTED. AT THIS STAGE FLOODING
  OCCURS OVER ONE HALF OF TOWN.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4256 9249 4261 9250 4263 9302 4256 9302

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
341 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY /...
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

DECENT S/WV MOVING ACROSS THE STATE THIS MORNING WITH A WELL
DEVELOPED BOW ECHO ENTERING THE WESTERN CWA PRESENTLY.  CONCERNS FOR
TODAY ARE WITH THE BOW ECHO AND WIND AS FAR AS SEVERE WEATHER IS
CONCERNED...AND WITH FLOODING MOST OF THE CWA.  BOW ECHO IS
PRODUCING CONSISTENT 40 TO 55 MPH WINDS AND EXPECT TO SEE SOME
SPOTTY SEVERE WINDS WITH IT.  AREAS OF TSRA DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE
LINE MAY LIMIT THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE HIGH WINDS...BUT LEAD TO
FURTHER FLOODING PROBLEMS.  BULK OF ACTIVITY WILL BE EAST OF THE CWA
BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS REMAINING.  WARM FRONT
WILL HAVE A TOUGH TIME PROGRESSING NWD WITH REINFORCEMENT OF COOL
POOL BY THE MCS'S.  FOR THAT REASON...WENT BELOW MOS FORECASTS HIGHS
TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NERN HALF OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

PERSISTENT WET PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH
OF THE PERIOD...WITH CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER NOW ADDED TO THE
MIX...ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS IN STORE FOR CENTRAL IOWA
AGAIN OVERNIGHT. STATIONARY FRONT WILL LIFT TO THE NORTH...AND
ANTICIPATE IT TO BE ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA BY TONIGHT...WHICH MAY BE
THE FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT...AS WELL AS A SHORTWAVE
PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA. ALONG WITH SHORTWAVE...ANOTHER
BAND OF THETA-E ADVECTION AND GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BE
FOCUSED ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA THROUGH 12Z. ANTICIPATE THIS TO BE
THE BEST AREA FOR HEAVY RAIN...HOWEVER ANY RAIN ACROSS THE NORTH
COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS GIVEN ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS. WILL ALLOW FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH
12Z...AND MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FURTHER SOUTH.

AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS WESTERN KS/NE LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
REMAIN ACROSS IOWA...THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM AND WILL
ALSO KEEP GOOD MOISTURE FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK BOUNDARY IS
SET TO PUSH EASTWARD FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY FOR
TUESDAY...AND THIS MAY BE THE FOCUS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE
STATE WITH AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT LIKELY. HAVE TRENDED POPS DOWN A
BIT FOR TUESDAY MORNING...WITH ONLY LINGERING PRECIPITATION...BUT
WITH POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT HAVE BROUGHT POPS BACK UP
AGAIN FOR THE AFTERNOON...HOWEVER COVERAGE MAY BE MORE LIMITED.
SHEAR INCREASES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL AS CAPE VALUES AND COULD
SEE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND MAY SEE LINGERING POPS
ACROSS THE NORTH FOR WEDNESDAY...BUT DO NOT HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE.
HOWEVER...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH EAST AS WELL BEHIND FRONT.

LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW THEN DOMINATES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS
LOW TRACKS ACROSS NORTHERN PLAINS. GFS CONTINUES TO DIG LOW SOUTH
WHILE ECMWF DOES NOT. ANTICIPATE PRECIPITATION ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS IOWA FOR THURSDAY...AND AGAIN
DEVELOPMENT FRIDAY BEHIND BOUNDARY. PLACEMENT AND DEVELOPMENT OF
LOW HOWEVER WILL PLAY A BIG ROLE IN SEVERE CHANCES...BOTH MODELS
DRAG A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH ACROSS IOWA...AND SEVERE CHANCES
WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED WITH FUTURE UPDATES.

&&

.AVIATION...27/06Z
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT SUN MAY 26 2013

THUNDERSTORMS AND LOW STRATUS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD THOUGH PERIODS OF VFR WILL REACH KDSM AND KOTM AT TIMES.
FARTHER NORTH...IFR TO MVFR STRATUS SHOULD MAINTAIN FOR MUCH OF
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND IS LIKELY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTHEAST BUT WILL BE
VARIABLE DIRECTION NEAR THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

PWAT VALUES REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE STATE...NEAR 1.5 WHICH IS WELL
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE MAY. IN ADDITION GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT
REMAINS WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW. WITH ANTICIPATED CONVECTION
ABLE TO PRODUCE HIGH RAINFALL RATES...AND GIVEN SEVERAL NIGHTS OF
VERY HIGH PRECIPITATION TOTALS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH MORE
CONVECTION EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WILL KEEP FLASH FLOOD WATCH
THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. AREAS OUTSIDE THE WATCH WILL ALSO BE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING IF HEAVY RAINS AGAIN TRACK ACROSS
THE AREA. IN ADDITION...RIVERS ARE BEGINNING TO RESPOND TO HEAVY
RAINFALL AND WILL SEE CONTINUED RISES...WITH MORE RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS POSSIBLE.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR BLACK HAWK-BOONE-
BREMER-BUTLER-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CERRO GORDO-CRAWFORD-DAVIS-EMMET-
FRANKLIN-GREENE-GRUNDY-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HARDIN-HUMBOLDT-JASPER-
KOSSUTH-MAHASKA-MARION-MARSHALL-MONROE-PALO ALTO-POCAHONTAS-POLK-
POWESHIEK-SAC-STORY-TAMA-WAPELLO-WARREN-WEBSTER-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-
WRIGHT.

&&

SHORT TERM...MS
LONG TERM...AWB
AVIATION...DONAVON
HYDROLOGY...AWB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
503 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

IAZ057>059-070>072-081>084-092>096-281100-
AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-
TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-
503 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FEW CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...POSSIBLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING OR AREAL
FLOODING WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS THE MAIN THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL. SEVERE WEATHER MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED PERIODICALLY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-085-086-
097-281100-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-WARREN-MARION-
MAHASKA-MONROE-WAPELLO-DAVIS-
503 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FEW CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE REFER TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...POSSIBLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING OR AREAL
FLOODING WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS THE MAIN THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL. SEVERE WEATHER MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED PERIODICALLY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AWB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
432 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BAYARD                  41.85N 94.56W
05/27/2013                   GUTHRIE            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY 25 RAILROAD UNDERPASS FLOODED. HIGHWAY HAS BEEN
            CLOSED.

0422 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SSW BAGLEY            41.78N 94.46W
05/27/2013                   GUTHRIE            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER SPILLWAY AND ROAD IN SPRINGBROOK STATE PARK.
            DNR IS EVACUATING THE PARK.

0430 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S BAGLEY              41.82N 94.43W
05/27/2013                   GUTHRIE            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER QUAIL ROAD.

&&

SKOW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
833 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

IAZ025>027-035>038-046>048-058>060-271600-
WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARION...HAMPTON...ALLISON...
FORT DODGE...WEBSTER CITY...ELDORA...GRUNDY CENTER...JEFFERSON...
BOONE...AMES...GUTHRIE CENTER...ADEL...DES MOINES
833 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS...

STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY TO 45
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL TO NORTH CENTRAL IOWA THROUGH
11 AM CDT BEFORE DIMINISHING. DUE TO THE VERY SATURATED
GROUND...MANY TREES MAY BECOME EASILY UPROOTED DUE TO THE STRONG
GUSTS.

KLP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
855 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 W HUBBARD             42.31N 93.34W
05/27/2013                   HARDIN             IA   PUBLIC

            LARGE COTTONWOOD TREE UPROOTED. GROUND HIGHLY SATURATED
            BEFORE STRONG WINDS ARRVIED

0805 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N BUCKEYE             42.49N 93.38W
05/27/2013                   HARDIN             IA   PUBLIC

            AN OLD SHED WAS BLOWN OVER BY NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
924 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0923 AM     FLOOD            BAGLEY                  41.85N 94.43W
05/27/2013                   GUTHRIE            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOOD WATERS ARE MOVING OVER HIGHWAY 141 FROM WATER
            FLOWING OFF THE FIELDS.

&&

JJOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
944 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W NEW HARTFORD        42.57N 92.64W
05/27/2013                   BUTLER             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TERRACE AVENUE, A GRAVEL ROAD, IS FAILING AND WATER
            STARTING TO FLOW INTO NEW HARTFORD

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1001 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

IAZ036>038-047>049-059>061-271715-
HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEBSTER CITY...ELDORA...GRUNDY CENTER...
BOONE...AMES...MARSHALLTOWN...ADEL...DES MOINES...NEWTON
1001 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS...

STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL IOWA THROUGH 11 AM CDT
BEFORE DIMINISHING. THE HIGH WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY FROM MARSHALL
COUNTY SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHERN POLK COUNTY. DUE TO THE VERY
SATURATED GROUND...MANY TREES MAY BECOME EASILY UPROOTED DUE TO
THE STRONG GUSTS.