Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS State College, PA

535 
WGUS71 KCTP 112230
FFSCTP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
630 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

PAC105-112241-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130911T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POTTER PA-
630 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR CENTRAL POTTER
COUNTY...

THE WATERS FROM THE EARLIER HEAVY RAINS ARE RECEDING AND FLOOD WATERS
NO LONGER POSE A THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE FLASH
FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RURAL AREAS
OF CENTRAL POTTER COUNTY.

WATER IS RECEDING...BUT JUST SOME MINOR FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY
CONTINUE FOR AN HOUR OR TWO.

LAT...LON 4163 7811 4170 7805 4172 7794 4176 7785
      4171 7776 4158 7782 4155 7789 4155 7798

$$

FORECASTER: CERU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
348 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UNSEASONABLY HOT AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL BE DISPLACED WHEN A
COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER TASTE OF FALL WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER THE ALLEGHENIES AND
CENTRAL MTS. RAIN HAS BEEN GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH SO
FAR...BUT SOME MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS THE
STORMS SLOWLY WEAKEN AND SOME MOVE OVER WETTER AREAS. FFG IS
REALLY HIGH SINCE IT HAS BEEN SO DRY. COLD RAIN PROCESS SEEMS TO
BE DOMINATING...WITH PLENTY OF ICE TO MAKE LTG. SO AS EXPECTED
WW520 WILL CONTINUE FOR NOW - BUT THE COLD AIR GENERATED IN THE
STORMS IS STARTING TO STABILIZE THE REGION. THE CAPES CONTINUE TO
BE VERY HIGH AND SHEAR LOW. SO THE PULSE NATURE OF THESE STORMS
SHOULD CONTINUE. FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH THE
HIGH AMBIENT MSTR AND SOME CLEARING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /11 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
WITH SUNSET...THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN/DISSIPATE IF THEY
HAVE NOT ALREADY. WILL LINGER POPS INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE
NIGHT FOR THE NORTH AND SOUTH. A BREAK IN THE PRECIP SHOULD OCCUR
FOR 6-12 HRS...UNTIL THE FRONT NEARS AND THE MAIN SHORT WAVE
TROUGH DIGS THE BIG TROUGH OFF TO OUR WEST. FROPA EXPECTED THROUGH
THE DAYLIGHT HRS FROM NW-SE. AREA CONTINUES TO BE OUTLOOKED FOR
SLIGHT RISK...AND THIS SEEMS VERY LIKELY. CAPES SHOULD GROW LARGE
AND SHEAR BECOMES A BIG FACTOR. THIS SHOULD LEND MUCH MORE
ORGANIZATION TO THE STORMS...GENERALLY MULTI-CELL CLUSTERS MOST
LIKELY IN THE MORNING TRANSITIONING TO BOWING SEGMENTS/LONG BOW
ECHO. WILL TRY TO FOLLOW THE FRONT WITH POP GRIDS...RAMPING UP
INTO THE AFTN AND TAPERING THEM IN THE AFTN FROM NW-SE.

FRONT SHOULD HAVE CLEARED THE CWA BY NIGHT FALL. THUS...POPS
SHOULD ONLY BE NECESSARY IN THE FAR E AND MAYBE THE N THURS NIGHT.
TEMPS THURS WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN WED...BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PREV...
UPPER RIDGING AND CONTINUING PRESENCE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
FROM CANADA WILL KEEP PENNSYLVANIA MAINLY DRY THROUGH THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. DEEP UPPER TROF OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GREAT
LAKES TO START THE PERIOD WILL LIFT OUT INTO NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...ALLOWING UPPER HEIGHTS TO BECOME MORE ZONAL
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT SHOULD BE EXITING TO THE EAST AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD ON FRIDAY...WITH THE FIRST LARGE SFC
ANTICYCLONE BUILDING IN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO DROP THROUGH THE UPPER FLOW SOMETIME
MONDAY BRINGING ANOTHER FRONT. THE WEAKNESS OF THE SYSTEM AND THE
DRYNESS OF THE AIR IN PLACE BRINGING INTO QUESTION HOW MUCH PCPN MAY
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...SO KEPT MINIMAL POPS ATTM. THE SECOND
ANTICYCLONE FOLLOWS TUE INTO WEDNESDAY FOR YET MORE DRY WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NUMEROUS TSTORMS ALREADY GOING...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING. STABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR IN THE COLD POOL OVER SWRN
TERMINALS AFTER 21Z. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
DOWNDRAFTS OF ANY CELL. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE AND LIGHT FOR MOST
LOCATIONS AFTER THE STORMS DIE OFF - BUT GENERALLY OUT OF THE
WEST/SOUTHWEST UNTIL THEN. CIGS AND VSBYS MAY DIP TO IFR IF ONE
OF THESE SCT SHRA MOVES OVERHEAD.

LLVL MSTR WILL REMAIN VERY HIGH OVERNIGHT AND LKLY RESULT SOME
MVFR VISBYS. THE FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO A WELL-DEFINED COLD FRONT
PUSHING SEWD FROM THE LWR LKS. EXPECT THIS BOUNDARY TO BE
CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE AS IT CROSSES THE AIRSPACE ON THURSDAY...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR STG TO SVR TSTORMS.

STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING MID-DAY THU WILL CREATE
WIDESPREAD STORMS...WITH MVFR VSBYS/CIGS LIKELY...GENERALLY
BETWEEN 15-18Z IN THE NW AND ENDING AROUND 00Z IN THE SE. COLD AIR
ALOFT UNDER A TROUGH MOVING STEADILY W-E MAY ALLOW SCT SHRA IN
THE WRN HIGHLANDS ON FRIDAY AFTN. OTHERWISE...OUTSIDE THE NORMAL
MORNING FOG...VFR IS EXPECTED FOR FRI.

OUTLOOK...
SAT-SUN...VFR. NO SIG WX.
MON...CFROPA POSS...MAINLY VFR WITH GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DANGELO
NEAR TERM...DANGELO
SHORT TERM...DANGELO
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...DANGELO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1244 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>027-033-034-037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-121645-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
SOMERSET-BEDFORD-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
1244 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 520 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AND PUSH
EASTWARD TOMORROW AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PAZ028-035-036-056>059-063>066-121645-
JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
1244 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS THE COLD FRONT
ADVANCES EASTWARD TOMORROW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
329 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

PAZ019-026-112015-
HUNTINGDON PA-SOUTHERN CENTRE PA-
329 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN HUNTINGDON AND
SOUTH CENTRAL CENTRE COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...

AT 327 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR PINE GROVE MILLS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
EXPECT FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THIS
STORM. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN
LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.
THIS STORM WILL AFFECT STATE COLLEGE AND BOALSBURG.

OTHER NOTABLE LOCATIONS IMPACTED WILL BE... PENNSYLVANIA MILITARY
MUSEUM...TUSSEY MOUNTAIN SKI AREA AND PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY.

THIS WILL IMPACT I-99 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 73 AND 76.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 220...ROUTE
322...STATE ROAD 26...STATE ROAD 45.

LAT...LON 4058 7800 4066 7802 4086 7784 4075 7762
      4073 7768 4072 7768 4070 7770 4068 7770
      4056 7790

FORECASTER: LAMBERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
337 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

PAZ006-037-112030-
POTTER PA-TIOGA PA-
337 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN POTTER AND
NORTHWESTERN TIOGA COUNTIES...

AT 334 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
WESTFIELD TO SKI DENTON SKI AREA TO CHERRY SPRINGS STATE PARK...
MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. EXPECT FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM
THESE STORMS. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES
WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES. A 20 TO 30 MINUTES PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL
FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT CHERRY SPRINGS STATE
PARK...WESTFIELD...KNOXVILLE...GALETON AND ELKLAND.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 6...ROUTE
15...STATE ROAD 449.

LAT...LON 4181 7747 4161 7755 4160 7804 4176 7799
      4190 7783 4201 7762 4200 7713

FORECASTER: LAMBERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
344 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

PAZ037-112030-
TIOGA PA-
344 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN TIOGA COUNTY THROUGH
430 PM EDT...

AT 339 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR COVINGTON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND UP TO PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM. EXPECT FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER
UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A
THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT MANSFIELD AND
ROSEVILLE.

OTHER NOTABLE LOCATIONS IMPACTED WILL BE... MANSFIELD UNIVERSITY.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 6...ROUTE 15.

LAT...LON 4199 7699 4193 7691 4166 7688 4156 7710
      4154 7721 4167 7728

FORECASTER: LAMBERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
352 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

PAZ019-045-046-049-051-052-112045-
MONTOUR PA-NORTHUMBERLAND PA-SOUTHERN CENTRE PA-SOUTHERN CLINTON PA-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING PA-UNION PA-
352 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL CENTRE...
NORTHWESTERN NORTHUMBERLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CLINTON...SOUTHERN
LYCOMING...UNION AND WESTERN MONTOUR COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM EDT...

AT 349 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
MILLHEIM TO SAND BRIDGE STATE PARK TO TURBOTVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND UP TO PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS. EXPECT FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK
SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A
THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT MCCALL DAM STATE
PARK...MACKEYVILLE...MUNCY...PICTURE ROCKS...JERSEY SHORE AND
DUBOISTOWN.

OTHER NOTABLE LOCATIONS IMPACTED WILL BE... LITTLE LEAGUE WORLD
SERIES COMPLEX AND BUCKNELL UNIVERSITY.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 177 AND 220...I-180 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1
AND 29.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...STATE HIGHWAY
147...ROUTE 15...ROUTE 220...STATE ROAD 45...STATE ROAD 118.

LAT...LON 4116 7659 4115 7664 4110 7662 4098 7671
      4084 7716 4081 7736 4085 7737 4078 7754
      4101 7748 4122 7731 4135 7679 4126 7647

FORECASTER: LAMBERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
417 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

PAZ024-025-112100-
BLAIR PA-CAMBRIA PA-
417 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL CAMBRIA AND WEST CENTRAL
BLAIR COUNTIES THROUGH 5 PM EDT...

AT 416 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR SPRING HILL...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT CASSANDRA...LILLY...CRESSON AND
TUNNELHILL.

OTHER NOTABLE LOCATIONS IMPACTED WILL BE... ALLEGHENY PORTAGE
RAILROAD NATIONAL HISTORIC SITE...SAINT FRANCIS UNIVERSITY AND MT.
ALOYSIUS COLLEGE.

THIS WILL IMPACT ROUTE 22.

LAT...LON 4055 7865 4050 7842 4034 7860 4033 7867
      4037 7872

FORECASTER: LAMBERT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
441 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RENOVO                  41.33N  77.75W
09/11/2013                   CLINTON            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES ON WIRES IN RENOVO

0407 PM     HAIL             HUGHESVILLE             41.24N  76.73W
09/11/2013  E0.75 INCH       LYCOMING           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0435 PM     HAIL             EBENSBURG               40.49N  78.73W
09/11/2013  E0.70 INCH       CAMBRIA            PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1300385 CTP1300386 CTP1300387

COLBERT