Severe Thunderstorm Warning 138, NWS Cleveland, OH

926 
WWUS51 KCLE 101928
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
328 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

OHC033-063-095-123-143-147-173-175-101938-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-130710T1930Z/
WYANDOT OH-CRAWFORD OH-HANCOCK OH-SENECA OH-WOOD OH-LUCAS OH-
OTTAWA OH-SANDUSKY OH-
328 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH
CENTRAL OHIO...AND SANDUSKY...OTTAWA...NORTHEASTERN LUCAS...EASTERN
WOOD...SENECA...EASTERN HANCOCK AND WYANDOT COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
OHIO EXPIRES AT 330 PM EDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4173 8342 4170 8341 4169 8337 4172 8334
      4164 8321 4162 8309 4153 8296 4152 8291
      4156 8286 4149 8284 4146 8297 4143 8294
      4145 8284 4100 8283 4099 8272 4071 8273
      4069 8331 4070 8350 4081 8351 4082 8356
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 292DEG 55KT 4132 8258 4079 8276

$$

ADAMS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
133 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND MIDWEST WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY THIS
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING EAST TO THE MID-
ATLANTIC INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
GIVEN RAINFALL TOTALS OVERNIGHT HAVE EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH TO COVER THE ENTIRE AREA. NEW GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE EVEN GREATER THAN EARLIER
THOUGHT. SOME DRYING IS EXPECTED AT MID LEVELS WHICH WILL INCREASE
THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS LATER TODAY. HAVE MADE MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TRENDS. SEVERE
WATCHES APPEAR LIKELY LATER TODAY.

ORIGINAL...IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE A BUSY WEATHER DAY ACROSS THE
AREA. FIRST UP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WILL LEAVE AS IS. BY FAR THE
HEAVIEST RAIN OF THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS BEEN ACROSS THE THE
WATCH AREA. WITH ONGOING FLOODING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
TRANSLATE INTO A BROADER FLOOD THREAT AND POTENTIALLY MORE
DANGEROUS SITUATIONS. AS THE SITUATION BEGINS TO DEVELOP TODAY WE
WILL SEE IF WE NEED TO ADD ANOTHER TIER OF COUNTIES.

HAVE HAD CONTINUED CONVECTION DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH WESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET FEEDING THE ACTIVITY. PRIMARY AREA OF
SHOWERS/TS FROM CLE TO WOOSTER AND RAVENNA WILL SHIFT EAST. A FEW
NEW STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WEST...BUT A RELATIVE LULL FOR A
SHORT TIME.

PRIMARY SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN LAKES TODAY AND THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EAST. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO GET NEAR TOLEDO BY LATE AFTERNOON...JUST IN TIME FOR PEAK
HEATING. AREA IS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
WITH THE PRIMARY RISKS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THIS IS
WARRANTED WITH THE SETUP WE HAVE FOR TODAY. INSTABILITY WILL BE
PLENTY. ADVANCING COLD FRONT. DRYING ALOFT MAKING FOR A GREATER
DOWNBURST POTENTIAL. BETTER SHEAR TODAY. THE STORMS WILL HAVE TO
BE WATCHED CLOSELY THIS AFTERNOON. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF
BREAKS/CLEAR SKIES TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL FILL IN WITH TIME AND
MAY GET SOME SHOWERS/TS DEVELOP UPSTREAM ACROSS LOWER MI/NRN IND
BY MID MORNING.

IT WILL BE THIS COLD FRONT THOUGH THAT WILL MOVE THE SUPER HUMID
AIRMASS OUT AND USHER IN A MORE COMFORTABLE AIRMASS. BUT BEFORE
THAT...ONE LAST MUGGY AND WARM DAY. TEMPS AT 4 AM WERE SITTING IN
THE LOWER AND MID 70S. WILL GO FOR MID/UPPER 80S AGAIN TODAY. NO
CHANGES IN THIS EARLY MORNING FORECAST UPDATE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
STORMS WILL BE EXITING IN THE EVENING...HURRAY. WILL START THE
EVENING OFF WITH SHRA/TS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AS THE FRONT MAY BE
A LITTLE SLOW GETTING OUT OF COUNTIES...BUT FRONT WILL GET A
BETTER PUSH LATER IN THE EVENING AS A THE NEXT SHORTWAVE
REINFORCING THE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT/OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES.
UPPER 70S FOR HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...GETTING WARMER BY
SATURDAY AS STRONG UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. LOWS
IN THE 50S WILL BE REFRESHING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD. EXPECT
HIGHS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL WITH ONLY SMALL PRECIP CHANCES LATE IN
THE PERIOD AS THE REMNANTS OF CHANTAL POSSIBLY REACH INTO THE AREA.
CONFIDENCE OF THIS IS LOW GIVEN THAT ONLY THE ECMWF BRINGS THIS IN
WHILE THE GFS DOES NOT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. NON VFR IN ALL THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS COULD OCCUR AND THEN VFR. WITH A
NORTHERLY FLOW NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG AT THE TAF
SITES BUT THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN.
PATCHY MVFR BR WELL INLAND BY DAYBREAK.

.OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
UPDATED TO HAVE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ON THE EAST END OF THE LAKE
BECAUSE OF A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE WINDS AND WAVES WILL DECREASE. AT THIS TIME WATCHING THE
THREAT AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE...IT SHOULD BE 2 TO 4 FEET BUT THIS
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LAKE TODAY AND FINALLY SWEEP
THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OUT OF THE AREA. ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT HOWEVER EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR TODAY. EXPECT A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS THIS
EVENING BUT AFTER THAT HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE LAKE
OVERNIGHT AND LAST THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE SHIFTING EAST TO THE
COAST. ONLY ISSUE WOULD BE THE POST COLD FRONT NNW WINDS TONIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY. GIVEN THE DIRECTION...WAVES COULD APPROACH 4
FEET ON THE SOUTHERN LAKESHORE. FOR NOW WILL ALLOW FOR A BUILD TO
2 TO 4 FEET AND KEEP SMALL CRAFT HEADLINE OUT. BE ADVISED HOWEVER
IT COULD GET CLOSE IN PLACES. FOLLOWING THAT HOWEVER EXPECT
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND FAIR CONDITIONS FOR THE BALANCE OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR OHZ003-
     006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LEZ148-
     149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...OUDEMAN
NEAR TERM...KUBINA/OUDEMAN
SHORT TERM...OUDEMAN
LONG TERM...TK
AVIATION...KIELTYKA
MARINE...KIELTYKA/TK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
118 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-111730-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
118 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 406 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...REPEATING STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MAKING FLOODING A POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT
HAVE ALREADY SEEN HEAVY RAIN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. RAINFALL
THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES IN SOME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-111730-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
118 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ142>149-162>169-111730-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
118 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 406 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND EARLY THIS
EVENING AHEAD OF AND ALONG A COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE. IN ADDITION TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
212 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HAIL             8 S SANDUSKY            41.34N 82.71W
07/10/2013  E1.00 INCH       ERIE               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. ROUTE 4 AND THE
            TURNPIKE. SOME CAR DAMAGE.

&&

LW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
227 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0221 PM     HAIL             GARFIELD HEIGHTS        41.42N 81.60W
07/10/2013  E0.25 INCH       CUYAHOGA           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0222 PM     HAIL             WARRENSVILLE HEIGHTS    41.44N 81.52W
07/10/2013  E1.00 INCH       CUYAHOGA           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
231 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0228 PM     HAIL             BEDFORD HEIGHTS         41.41N 81.51W
07/10/2013  M1.00 INCH       CUYAHOGA           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
            MILES ROAD AND INTERSTATE 271.

&&

KUBINA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
236 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     HAIL             TOLEDO                  41.66N 83.58W
07/10/2013  E1.75 INCH       LUCAS              OH   UNKNOWN

0225 PM     HAIL             PEPPER PIKE             41.48N 81.46W
07/10/2013  E1.00 INCH       CUYAHOGA           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0230 PM     HAIL             MILAN                   41.29N 82.60W
07/10/2013  E1.00 INCH       ERIE               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
244 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0238 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S BOWLING GREEN       41.35N 83.65W
07/10/2013  E54.00 MPH       WOOD               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0239 PM     HAIL             BELLEVUE                41.28N 82.84W
07/10/2013  E1.00 INCH       SANDUSKY           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
249 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     TSTM WND GST     BOWLING GREEN           41.38N 83.65W
07/10/2013  M65 MPH          WOOD               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LW