Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2013

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 18, 2013Monroe County, Wayne County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Jul 18, 2013, 2:05 PM EDT for Monroe County, Wayne County, New York. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2013, 2:05 PM EDT (18:05 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2013, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Monroe County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3057 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3057 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
718 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 18, 2:04 PM EDT, 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 2:04 PM EDT, 1 minute before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 10:36 AM EDT, 3 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1036 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

NYZ001>006-011-013-014-191445-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1036 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE STRESSFUL HEAT
INDEX VALUES IN THE UPPER 90S...AND POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 100 TO 104
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AWAY FROM THE LAKE SHORES.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS NEW YORK FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING AND MAY BRING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING IN POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAYBE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-012-019>021-085-191445-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
1036 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE HEAT INDEX VALUES IN
THE MID 90S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AWAY FROM THE
LAKE SHORES.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS NEW YORK FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING AND MAY BRING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING IN POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAYBE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-191445-
NORTHERN ERIE-
1036 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE HEAT INDEX VALUES IN
THE MID 90S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AWAY FROM THE
LAKE SHORES.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS NEW YORK FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING AND MAY BRING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING IN POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAYBE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-191445-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1036 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRING GUSTY WINDS RESULTING IN
LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LOWER LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING WHICH MAY BRING A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAYBE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 12:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1230 PM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

NYZ004-014-181730-
ONTARIO NY-WAYNE NY-
1230 PM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING...

* AT 1228 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PALMYRA...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
  WINDS...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM MAY INCLUDE...
  PALMYRA AND MANCHESTER...
  CLIFTON SPRINGS...
  NEWARK...
  LYONS...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

LAT...LON 4299 7737 4316 7736 4318 7698 4292 7696

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jul 18, 12:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1243 PM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

NYZ013-014-181745-
LIVINGSTON NY-ONTARIO NY-
1243 PM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 1242 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HEMLOCK...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...VERY
  HEAVY RAINFALL...AND SMALL HAIL.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM MAY INCLUDE...
  CANADICE...
  HONEOYE...
  BRISTOL...
  BRISTOL MOUNTAIN...
  COTTAGE CITY...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

LAT...LON 4277 7771 4287 7767 4287 7709 4276 7712
      4275 7728 4276 7731 4273 7734 4268 7734
      4267 7736

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jul 18, 2:05 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
205 PM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

NYZ003-004-181900-
MONROE NY-WAYNE NY-
205 PM EDT THU JUL 18 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 200 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
  NEAR ROCHESTER...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM MAY INCLUDE...
  EAST ROCHESTER...
  WEBSTER AND FAIRPORT...
  IRONDEQUOIT BAY...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY!

IF ON OR NEAR IRONDEQUOIT BAY...SEEK SHELTER NOW. GET OUT OF THE WATER
AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4313 7776 4331 7774 4331 7768 4324 7755
      4329 7735 4328 7726 4330 7709 4328 7700
      4328 7694 4330 7691 4330 7681 4303 7684

JAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 10:30 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryBUFCayuga, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara and 4 more10 hr
Jul 18, 12:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne60 min
Jul 18, 12:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOntario62 min
Jul 18, 2:19 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBUFWayne3 hr
Jul 18, 2:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFAllegany64 min
Jul 18, 2:28 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF2 hr
Jul 18, 3:13 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF92 min
Jul 18, 4:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson67 min
Jul 18, 4:39 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF47 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2013Every special weather statement in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.