Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013
Small Craft Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jan 3, 2013, 9:47 AM EST. It took effect at Jan 3, 2013, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 3, 2013, 9:47 AM EST (14:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 3, 2013, 12:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 4, 2013, 3:56 AM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
872 WHUS71 KBUF 031447 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 947 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 LOZ042-032300- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.130103T2100Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 947 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-032300- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.130103T1700Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 947 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-032300- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.130104T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 947 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...12 TO 16 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-032300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 947 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ063>065-032300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 947 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...12 TO 16 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
3 follow-up statements
445 WHUS71 KBUF 032111 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 411 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 LOZ042-040515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 411 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE GALE WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES ON FRIDAY. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-040515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.130104T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 411 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE GALE WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES ON FRIDAY. * WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-040515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 411 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE GALE WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WINDS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES ON FRIDAY. * WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-040515- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 411 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE GALE WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INCREASING TO GALES GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ063>065-040515- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 411 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE GALE WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * WINDS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INCREASING TO GALES GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-040515- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 411 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
123 WHUS71 KBUF 040252 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 LOZ042-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST TO 35 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT. 7 TO 10 FEET FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST TO 35 KNOTS FRIDAY. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT. 9 TO 12 FEET FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST TO 35 KNOTS FRIDAY. * WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT. 8 TO 11 FEET FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ063>065-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
249 WHUS71 KBUF 040856 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 LOZ043>045-041700- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-041700- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-041700- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-041700- /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130104T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ063>065-041700- /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-041700- /O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- 356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ THOMAS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 3, 6:56 AM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 6:56 AM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
656 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL SET UP EAST OF
THE LAKES TONIGHT. THE EXIT OF THIS LOW WILL RESULT IN A RATHER
WINDY DAY FRIDAY...WITH LINGERING LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL THROUGH
SATURDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
FOR THIS MORNING...THE MAIN AREA OF FOCUS IS AN AREA OF LIGHT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING ON EASTERN LAKE ERIE. LIMITED
MOISTURE AND LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP THIS FROM
BECOMING TOO ORGANIZED...BUT RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST SOME MODEST
ENHANCEMENT ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY THROUGH 630 AM. BOTH THE
HRRR/RGEM DO CAPTURE THIS AREA...AND FORECAST WHATEVER BAND DOES
DEVELOP TO LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THIS MORNING. THE LIKELY IMPACT
WILL BE A FEW FLURRIES OR A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION OF A DUSTING
TO A HALF INCH OF SNOW ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA BETWEEN 700
AM AND 1000 AM. ELSEWHERE...SNOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO SHOULD
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD...AND NOT IMPACT OUR REGION THIS
MORNING.
THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE TONIGHT...WHEN A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE PASSES TO OUR NORTH. EVEN THOUGH THE SURFACE LOW IS
WEAK...IT DOES HAVE SOME MOISTURE WITH IT...AND IT IS ACCOMPANIED
BY A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE. THIS WILL INCREASE SOUTHWEST
WINDS THIS EVENING...THEN SHIFT WINDS TO THE WEST LATER TONIGHT.
THE RESULT WILL BE SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW THIS EVENING...THEN
MORE PURELY LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER TONIGHT.
OFF LAKE ERIE...FOR THE CITY AND SUBURBS OF BUFFALO...THE MAIN
IMPACTS WILL BE FELT LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH THE
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. IMPACTS WOULD BE BRIEF...BUT THERE PROBABLY
WILL BE AN HOUR OR TWO OF MODERATE SNOW WITH ACCUMULATION OF AN
INCH OR TWO. THE TIMING OF THIS DOES COINCIDE WITH RUSH HOUR...WHICH
MAY ENHANCE THE IMPACT DESPITE THE RELATIVELY LIGHT SNOW TOTALS
EXPECTED. AFTER THIS...THE BAND WILL SHIFT SOUTH AS WINDS BECOME
WESTERLY. THE RGEM SEEMS TO CAPTURE THIS WELL...WITH THE BEST FOCUS
FOR LAKE SNOWS LIKELY TO BE ON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND BOSTON
HILLS TONIGHT. LAKE INDUCED CAPES TOP OUT AT AROUND 200 J/KG...AND
GIVEN THE FAIRLY BRIEF INFLUENCE OF THE SHORTWAVE THIS APPEARS TO
BE A SUB-ADVISORY EVENT HERE...WITH AMOUNTS IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH
RANGE. THE THING TO WATCH IS FOR IS UPSTREAM MOISTURE...OR
ORGANIZED BANDING...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...EXPECT A MORE SIGNIFICANT EVENT...WITH A LONGER
FETCH AND UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT ON THE TUG HILL. LAKE ONTARIO IS ALSO
IN A MORE FAVORABLE POSITION TO BENEFIT FROM MOISTURE FROM UPSTREAM
LAKES. AGAIN FAVORING THE RGEM SOLUTION...WITH SUPPORT FROM THE
NAM AND MANY OF THE VARIOUS MESO-SCALE MODELS...EXPECT SNOW TO
DEVELOP ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AND NEAR WATERTOWN LATE AFTERNOON
AND INTO THIS EVENING. THIS IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE A COUPLE INCHES.
THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW AND SHORTWAVE WILL SHIFT WINDS TO A MORE
WESTERLY DIRECTION...WHICH SHOULD FOCUS LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG
HILL. WHILE GENERALLY MOISTURE DECREASES LATER TONIGHT...UPSTREAM
LAKE APPEAR TO PROVIDE SOME EXTRA JUICE...AND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO
DECREASE LATER IN THE NIGHT...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR A MORE ORGANIZED
BAND. THIS ALL POINTS TO SOME DECENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO TONIGHT...WITH THE BEST FOCUS ON THE TUG HILL. THE BEST
LIFT APPEARS TO BE BELOW THE BEST SNOW GROWTH...EVEN THOUGH MUCH
BETTER THAN 10:1 SNOW RATIOS ARE EXPECTED. ALSO...COULD SEE A
BREAK IN THE ACTION AS MOISTURE WITH THE SHORTWAVE EXITS...BUT
BEFORE WINDS BECOME BETTER ALIGNED. BECAUSE OF THIS...HAVE OPTED
FOR A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR 3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...AND A
STORM TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES. THIS DOES BEAR WATCHING...BECAUSE IF
A BAND BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED THAN EXPECTED...HIGHER TOTALS ARE
POSSIBLE.
OUTSIDE OF THE NORMAL LAKE EFFECT AREAS...EXPECT A FEW SNOW
SHOWERS WITH THE SHORTWAVE LATE AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...BUT
WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE
COOL SIDE TODAY...BUT WILL NOT DROP MUCH TONIGHT AS INCREASING
WINDS PREVENT ANY RADIATIONAL COOLING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN ACTIVE TIME PERIOD FRIDAY AS WE HEAD TOWARDS THE WEEKEND...WITH
WIND AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW. A SYNOPTIC SYSTEM WILL CLOSE THE WEEKEND
WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
A DIGGING SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL DROP FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES
THIS MORNING...AS SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO EASTERN ONTARIO
CANADA FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN ACROSS NEW YORK STATE DURING THE
COURSE OF FRIDAY. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL REFLECT AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE...WHICH WILL PUSH ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO
AND INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC FRIDAY. FARTHER SOUTHWARD AN AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY.
FOR THE SNOW...EXPECT A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO
CONTINUE TO BE FALLING DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO ON A WESTERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES ALOFT AT 850 HPA TO START THE MORNING WILL AVERAGE
AROUND -10C AT 850 HPA WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS UP TOWARDS 5-6K FEET.
MOISTURE WILL STILL BE EXTENDING UPWARDS INTO THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE
SUPPORTING THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. HOWEVER WE WILL GRADUALLY
WARM ALOFT THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE AND THIS WILL ACT
TO PUSH THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE UPWARDS...AND OUT OF THE GOOD LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE POOL. THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASE WIND SPEEDS ALOFT WILL
ACT TO WEAKEN THE LAKE SNOW BANDS WITH POSSIBLE JUST BROAD LIGHT
SNOW FALLING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
NEARS FROM THE WEST...MOISTURE WILL AGAIN INCREASE JUST AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVE...UPWARDS AGAIN INTO THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE...AND WITH ADDED
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FROM THE NEARING SHORTWAVE THE LAKE SNOWS WILL
LIKELY AGAIN REORGANIZE FOCUSING ADDITIONAL SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION. WITH LOW LEVEL LIFT NOT EXCEPTIONAL...AND
LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE...ADDITIONAL SNOW ON FRIDAY
WILL LIKELY BE IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH THE GREATEST SNOWS ACROSS
THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE TUG HILL.
OFF LAKE ERIE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE MUCH LESS. MOISTURE IS
LIMITED MORE ACROSS LAKE ERIE AND WIND SHEER WILL BE MORE THAN LAKE
ONTARIO. THIS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES ALOFT SLIGHTLY WARMER AT
850 HPA WILL BRING ONLY A FEW MINOR BANDS OF SNOW WITH A FRESH DUSTING
OR COATING...LIKELY ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND NORTHWARD TOWARDS
BUFFALO. OUTSIDE OF THESE SNOW BANDS EXPECT JUST A CHANCE FOR A
FLURRY OR TWO.
FOR THE WINDS...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ON FRIDAY WILL INCREASE
BETWEEN THE NEARING SURFACE LOW ACROSS CANADA AND THE BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH. SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE REGION WITH WIND GUSTS UPWARDS TOWARDS 45
MPH OR SO. STRONGEST GUSTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER
AND NORTHERN GENESEE VALLEY WHERE A 55 TO 60 KNOT 850-925 HPA LLJ
JET WILL CROSS THE REGION. WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR
FRIDAY...BUT WITH THIS CASE NOT BEING THE CLASSIC DEEPENING LOW
PASSING TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY WIND
HEADLINES AS OF NOW AND JUST MENTION THIS WIND EVENT IN THE HWO FOR
NOW.
BLOWING SNOW...WITH THE WINDS INCREASING FRIDAY OVER EXPECTED FRESH
FALLING SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION AREAS OF BLOWING
SNOW ARE LIKELY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL CLIMB TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK ACROSS
LOWER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR THE LAKE SHORES...WHILE INLAND AREAS AND
THE TUG HILL REGION WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO BE CONTINUING FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH
DIMINISHING AS MOISTURE FIELDS START TO FADE...AND THIS LOSS OF
MOISTURE WITHIN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE CONTINUES. THIS COMBINED WITH
THE LOSS OF LOW LEVEL LIFT WILL DROP CHANCES FOR SNOW LATER FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO THE CHANCE RANGE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. OFF LAKE ERIE AN EARLY
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWER SOUTH OF BUFFALO IS POSSIBLE OTHERWISE MUCH OF
THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
DEPARTS TO THE EAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL FALL BACK INTO
THE MID 20S ACROSS THE LAKE PLAINS WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND NORTH COUNTRY FALLING INTO THE TEENS TO AROUND 20.
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES TOWARDS FAR SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC. ALOFT AT 850 HPA THE
AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE
FACTORS...COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA WILL ALLOW
FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TO END...WITH SOME
POSSIBLE CLEARING OF THE CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. CLEARING IS MOST
LIKELY TOWARDS EVENING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN CLOSER PROXIMITY
TO THE SFC HIGH. WITH CLOUDS LIKELY HANGING ON INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT EXPECT HIGHS SATURDAY
TO BE A DEGREE OR TWO COLDER THAN FRIDAY.
SATURDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES COULD FALL QUICKLY ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY UNDER A BRIEF PERIOD OF CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. HARD TO
TIME THIS WINDOW AT THIS POINT...BUT TEMPERATURES COULD RADIATE
QUICKLY INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS EARLY BEFORE RISING
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH INCREASE CLOUD COVER.
TO OUR WEST SATURDAY NIGHT A SHORTWAVE WILL BE RIDING NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE WILL
ADVANCE MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH
CLOUDS THICKENING AND CHANCES FOR SYNOPTIC SNOW LATER IN THE NIGHT.
IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL BE
DIVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. WHETHER OR NOT THESE
TWO FEATURES PHASE OF NOT IS STILL IN QUESTION...BUT A GENERAL LIGHT
WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS LIKELY BY SUNDAY ACROSS THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL BE AROUND SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. THIS WILL MEAN HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER
AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...WHILE THE LAKE PLAIN SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO MAY REACH TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE JET STREAM THAT HAS BEEN LOCATED TO OUR SOUTH AND ALLOWING COLD
AIR TO FILTER ACROSS OUR REGION OF LATE WILL MIGRATE NORTH BACK INTO
CANADA DURING THIS PERIOD AS A MUCH LOWER AMPLITUDE FLOW DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE CONTINENT...ALLOWING MILD PACIFIC AIR TO SPILL EAST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY AND BRINGING A MID-WINTER
THAW TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES NEXT WEEK. LEST WE GET TOO FAR AHEAD
OF OURSELVES HOWEVER...SUNDAY NIGHT CONTINUES WITH THE CHANCE FOR
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE REGION. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AS 850MB TEMPS IN THE -8C TO -10C RANGE WILL NOT GENERATE
MUCH OF A LAKE RESPONSE GIVEN HOW COLD THE LAKES ARE
GETTING...HOWEVER SYNOPTIC LIFTING WITH THIS FEATURE COULD PRODUCE
A WIDESPREAD INCH OR TWO ACROSS THE REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...PRECIPITATING A
MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES STARTING MONDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
MILD PACIFIC AIRMASS SURGES EAST ACROSS THE COUNTRY AS A SERIES OF
CLIPPERS TRACK ACROSS CANADA NEXT WEEK...LARGELY BYPASSING OUR AREA.
IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL
GUIDANCE AS TO HOW WARM WE WILL GET BASED ON HOW FAR NORTH THE JET
STREAM RETREATS AND ON THE TIMING OF THE VARIOUS SYSTEMS IN THIS
FAST MOVING FLOW. THE EXACT POSITION OF THE JET WILL ALSO DETERMINE
WHETHER WE RECEIVE ANY PASSING SHOWERS FROM THESE CLIPPERS OR
WHETHER THEY STAY TO OUR NORTH. AT THIS POINT THE FORECAST FAVORS A
COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF THAT WILL FEATURE TEMPERATURES
RISING INTO THE MID 30S MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH LOW CHANCE
POPS...MAINLY OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ELSEWHERE.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXPECT MAINLY A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS DUE TO CLOUDS THROUGH
21Z. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE AN AREA OF LIGHT LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...WHICH MAY BRIEFLY LOWER VSBY TO 2SM OR LESS AT BUF/IAG THIS MORNING.
AFTER THIS...A DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST...AND CAUSE
LAKE ENHANCED SNOWS TO BECOME A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD LATE AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THE FLOW WILL BRIEFLY BECOME SOUTHWEST...WHICH MAY
PROBABLY LEAD TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AT BUF/IAG/ART. A PERIOD
OF 2SM IN SNOW IS LIKELY...BUT BRIEF PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOWS TO
1/2SM ARE POSSIBLE. BANDS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE LAKES LATER
TONIGHT...AS WINDS GO TO THE WEST.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR...THOUGH MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO. WINDY.
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR.
SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSING TO THE NORTH AND A STRONG AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL RESULT IN A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ON ON FRIDAY. INITIALLY...WINDS WILL
PICK UP LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...THEN WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO
GALES ON FRIDAY. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT..THEN
MORE SO ON SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS ACROSS THE
WATERS. THEN A RELATIVELY LIGHT FLOW IS EXPECTED ON THE LAKES
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.CLIMATE...
OUR THREE CLIMATE SITES HAVE EITHER SET...OR TIED THEIR WARMEST YEAR
ON RECORD. BOTH BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN HAVE FINISHED A FULL DEGREE
OR MORE WARMER THAN THEIR PREVIOUS YEARS ON RECORD. ONE NOTE FOR BUFFALO
IS TEMPERATURE RECORDS WERE RECORDED DOWNTOWN AND CLOSER TO LAKE
ERIE UNTIL THE SUMMER OF 1943.
ROCHESTER TIED FOR THEIR WARMEST YEAR ON RECORD WITH THE YEAR
1931...WHICH WAS A PARTICULARLY WARM YEAR FOR THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION.
TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR BOTH BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER GO BACK TO 1871.
WHILE WATERTOWN HAS A SHORTER PERIOD OF RECORD WITH ANNUAL
TEMPERATURES GOING BACK TO ONLY 1950.
BUFFALO
1 2012 52.1
2 1998 50.9
3 2006 50.6
1991 50.6
1921 50.6
ROCHESTER
1 2012 51.8 (TIE)
1931 51.8
3 2006 51.5
4 1921 51.4
5 1998 50.7
WATERTOWN
1 2012 49.2
2 1953 48.1
3 1998 48.0
4 2006 47.4
5 1952 47.2
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
LEZ040-041.
GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
FOR LOZ043>045-063>065.
GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR LOZ042-062.
&&
SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...WOOD
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...APFFEL/THOMAS
CLIMATE...THOMASHazardous weather outlook, Jan 3, 5:23 AM EST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 523 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 NYZ006>008-041030- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 523 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY POSSIBLY GUSTING OVER 45 MPH. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH THE FRESH SNOW WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...RESULTING IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-041030- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- SOUTHERN ERIE- 523 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY ON FRIDAY. WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 45 MPH OR SO WHICH WOULD LEAD TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW IN OPEN AREAS. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-041030- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 523 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ040-041-LOZ042-062-041030- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 523 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LOZ043>045-063>065-041030- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 523 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF THOMAS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 9:58 PM EST | Gale Watch | BUF | 18 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:15 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 25 hr |
| Jan 3, 3:42 PM EST | Wind Advisory | BUF | Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson and 7 more | 26 hr |
| Jan 3, 4:11 PM EST | Gale Warning | BUF | 27 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.