Gale Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

123 
WHUS71 KBUF 040252
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

LOZ042-041100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST TO 35 KNOTS ON FRIDAY.

* WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT. 7 TO 10 FEET FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-041100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST TO 35 KNOTS FRIDAY.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT. 9 TO 12 FEET FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-041100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. WEST TO 35 KNOTS FRIDAY.

* WAVES...5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT. 8 TO 11 FEET FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-041100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130104T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-041100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-041100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T1200Z-130105T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
952 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

249 
WHUS71 KBUF 040856
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

LOZ043>045-041700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-041700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130104T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-041700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130104T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-041700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130104T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-041700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-041700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0001.130104T0856Z-130105T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
356 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS

103 
WHUS71 KBUF 041425
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
925 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

LOZ042-062-042100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130104T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
925 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-042230-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
925 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-042230-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
925 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-042230-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
925 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

815 
WHUS71 KBUF 042056
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

LOZ042-062-042200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130104T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
356 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 


$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-050000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
356 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-050000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
356 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 40 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-050000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
356 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

009 
WHUS71 KBUF 050029
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
729 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

LEZ040-041-050200-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0002.130105T0029Z-130105T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
729 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-050830-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.130105T0029Z-130105T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
729 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-050830-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.130105T0029Z-130105T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
729 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-063>065-050130-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130105T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
729 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE FORCE.

$$

LOZ042-050830-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.130105T0029Z-130105T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
729 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1041 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL SET UP EAST OF
THE LAKES TONIGHT. THE EXIT OF THIS LOW WILL RESULT IN A RATHER
WINDY DAY FRIDAY...WITH LINGERING LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 15Z...THE SURFACE MAP SHOWS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED JUST EAST OF
LAKE SUPERIOR WITH A RETREATING ARCTIC FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS
WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO TO CENTRAL NEW YORK. AREA RADARS SHOW NOTHING
MORE THAN VERY LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES FORMING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY.
FARTHER TO THE WEST...WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW
AND ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT IS STARTING TO GENERATE A STEADIER LIGHT
SNOW ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO. THE
COMBINATION OF WARM AIR ADVECTION AND THE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING SHORT WAVE WILL CAUSE THE LIGHT SYNOPTIC SNOW TO BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE DAY WEARS ON.

SUPERIMPOSED ON THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC SNOWFALL...EXPECT TO SEE SOME
LAKE ENHANCEMENT NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS BECOME BETTER ALIGNED FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WHILE
THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF MOISTURE WITH FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH...THE
LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY DOES NOT LOOK OVERLY IMPRESSIVE. THIS
SHOULD KEEP ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS NIAGARA AND ERIE COUNTIES WELL
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. A SIMILAR TREND IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE TONIGHT...WHEN A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE PASSES TO OUR NORTH. EVEN THOUGH THE SURFACE LOW IS
WEAK...IT DOES HAVE SOME MOISTURE WITH IT...AND IT IS ACCOMPANIED
BY A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE. THIS WILL INCREASE SOUTHWEST
WINDS THIS EVENING...THEN SHIFT WINDS TO THE WEST LATER TONIGHT.
THE RESULT WILL BE SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW THIS EVENING...THEN
MORE PURELY LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER TONIGHT.

OFF LAKE ERIE...FOR THE CITY AND SUBURBS OF BUFFALO...THE MAIN
IMPACTS WILL BE FELT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH THE
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. IMPACTS WOULD BE BRIEF...BUT THERE PROBABLY
WILL BE AN HOUR OR TWO OF MODERATE SNOW WITH ACCUMULATION OF AN INCH
OR TWO. THE TIMING OF THIS DOES COINCIDE WITH RUSH HOUR...WHICH MAY
ENHANCE THE IMPACT DESPITE THE RELATIVELY LIGHT SNOW TOTALS
EXPECTED. AFTER THIS...THE BAND WILL SHIFT SOUTH AS WINDS BECOME
WESTERLY. THE RGEM SEEMS TO CAPTURE THIS WELL...WITH THE BEST FOCUS
FOR LAKE SNOWS LIKELY TO BE ON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND BOSTON HILLS
TONIGHT. LAKE INDUCED CAPES TOP OUT AT AROUND 200 J/KG...AND GIVEN
THE FAIRLY BRIEF INFLUENCE OF THE SHORTWAVE THIS APPEARS TO BE A
SUB-ADVISORY EVENT HERE...WITH AMOUNTS IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE. THE
THING TO WATCH IS FOR IS UPSTREAM MOISTURE...OR ORGANIZED
BANDING...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...EXPECT A MORE SIGNIFICANT EVENT...WITH A LONGER
FETCH AND UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT ON THE TUG HILL. LAKE ONTARIO IS ALSO
IN A MORE FAVORABLE POSITION TO BENEFIT FROM MOISTURE FROM UPSTREAM
LAKES. AGAIN FAVORING THE RGEM SOLUTION...WITH SUPPORT FROM THE
NAM AND MANY OF THE VARIOUS MESO-SCALE MODELS...EXPECT SNOW TO
DEVELOP ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AND NEAR WATERTOWN LATE AFTERNOON
AND INTO THIS EVENING. THIS IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE A COUPLE INCHES.
THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW AND SHORTWAVE WILL SHIFT WINDS TO A MORE
WESTERLY DIRECTION...WHICH SHOULD FOCUS LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG
HILL. WHILE GENERALLY MOISTURE DECREASES LATER TONIGHT...UPSTREAM
LAKE APPEAR TO PROVIDE SOME EXTRA JUICE...AND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO
DECREASE LATER IN THE NIGHT...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR A MORE ORGANIZED
BAND. THIS ALL POINTS TO SOME DECENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO TONIGHT...WITH THE BEST FOCUS ON THE TUG HILL. THE BEST
LIFT APPEARS TO BE BELOW THE BEST SNOW GROWTH...EVEN THOUGH MUCH
BETTER THAN 10:1 SNOW RATIOS ARE EXPECTED. ALSO...COULD SEE A
BREAK IN THE ACTION AS MOISTURE WITH THE SHORTWAVE EXITS...BUT
BEFORE WINDS BECOME BETTER ALIGNED. BECAUSE OF THIS...HAVE OPTED
FOR A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR 3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...AND A
STORM TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES. THIS DOES BEAR WATCHING...BECAUSE IF
A BAND BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED THAN EXPECTED...HIGHER TOTALS ARE
POSSIBLE.

OUTSIDE OF THE NORMAL LAKE EFFECT AREAS...EXPECT A FEW SNOW
SHOWERS WITH THE SHORTWAVE LATE AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...BUT
WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE
COOL SIDE TODAY...BUT WILL NOT DROP MUCH TONIGHT AS INCREASING
WINDS PREVENT ANY RADIATIONAL COOLING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN ACTIVE TIME PERIOD FRIDAY AS WE HEAD TOWARDS THE WEEKEND...WITH
WIND AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW. A SYNOPTIC SYSTEM WILL CLOSE THE WEEKEND
WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.

A DIGGING SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL DROP FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES
THIS MORNING...AS SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO EASTERN ONTARIO
CANADA FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN ACROSS NEW YORK STATE DURING THE
COURSE OF FRIDAY. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL REFLECT AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE...WHICH WILL PUSH ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO
AND INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC FRIDAY. FARTHER SOUTHWARD AN AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY.

FOR THE SNOW...EXPECT A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO
CONTINUE TO BE FALLING DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO ON A WESTERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES ALOFT AT 850 HPA TO START THE MORNING WILL AVERAGE
AROUND -10C AT 850 HPA WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS UP TOWARDS 5-6K FEET.
MOISTURE WILL STILL BE EXTENDING UPWARDS INTO THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE
SUPPORTING THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. HOWEVER WE WILL GRADUALLY
WARM ALOFT THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE AND THIS WILL ACT
TO PUSH THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE UPWARDS...AND OUT OF THE GOOD LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE POOL. THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASE WIND SPEEDS ALOFT WILL
ACT TO WEAKEN THE LAKE SNOW BANDS WITH POSSIBLE JUST BROAD LIGHT
SNOW FALLING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
NEARS FROM THE WEST...MOISTURE WILL AGAIN INCREASE JUST AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVE...UPWARDS AGAIN INTO THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE...AND WITH ADDED
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FROM THE NEARING SHORTWAVE THE LAKE SNOWS WILL
LIKELY AGAIN REORGANIZE FOCUSING ADDITIONAL SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION. WITH LOW LEVEL LIFT NOT EXCEPTIONAL...AND
LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE...ADDITIONAL SNOW ON FRIDAY
WILL LIKELY BE IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH THE GREATEST SNOWS ACROSS
THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE TUG HILL.

OFF LAKE ERIE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE MUCH LESS. MOISTURE IS
LIMITED MORE ACROSS LAKE ERIE AND WIND SHEER WILL BE MORE THAN LAKE
ONTARIO. THIS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES ALOFT SLIGHTLY WARMER AT
850 HPA WILL BRING ONLY A FEW MINOR BANDS OF SNOW WITH A FRESH DUSTING
OR COATING...LIKELY ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND NORTHWARD TOWARDS
BUFFALO. OUTSIDE OF THESE SNOW BANDS EXPECT JUST A CHANCE FOR A
FLURRY OR TWO.

FOR THE WINDS...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ON FRIDAY WILL INCREASE
BETWEEN THE NEARING SURFACE LOW ACROSS CANADA AND THE BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH. SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE REGION WITH WIND GUSTS UPWARDS TOWARDS 45
MPH OR SO. STRONGEST GUSTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER
AND NORTHERN GENESEE VALLEY WHERE A 55 TO 60 KNOT 850-925 HPA LLJ
JET WILL CROSS THE REGION. WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR
FRIDAY...BUT WITH THIS CASE NOT BEING THE CLASSIC DEEPENING LOW
PASSING TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY WIND
HEADLINES AS OF NOW AND JUST MENTION THIS WIND EVENT IN THE HWO FOR
NOW.

BLOWING SNOW...WITH THE WINDS INCREASING FRIDAY OVER EXPECTED FRESH
FALLING SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION AREAS OF BLOWING
SNOW ARE LIKELY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL CLIMB TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK ACROSS
LOWER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR THE LAKE SHORES...WHILE INLAND AREAS AND
THE TUG HILL REGION WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY TO BE CONTINUING FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH
DIMINISHING AS MOISTURE FIELDS START TO FADE...AND THIS LOSS OF
MOISTURE WITHIN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE CONTINUES. THIS COMBINED WITH
THE LOSS OF LOW LEVEL LIFT WILL DROP CHANCES FOR SNOW LATER FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO THE CHANCE RANGE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. OFF LAKE ERIE AN EARLY
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWER SOUTH OF BUFFALO IS POSSIBLE OTHERWISE MUCH OF
THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
DEPARTS TO THE EAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL FALL BACK INTO
THE MID 20S ACROSS THE LAKE PLAINS WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND NORTH COUNTRY FALLING INTO THE TEENS TO AROUND 20.

ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES TOWARDS FAR SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC. ALOFT AT 850 HPA THE
AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE
FACTORS...COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA WILL ALLOW
FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TO END...WITH SOME
POSSIBLE CLEARING OF THE CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. CLEARING IS MOST
LIKELY TOWARDS EVENING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN CLOSER PROXIMITY
TO THE SFC HIGH. WITH CLOUDS LIKELY HANGING ON INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT EXPECT HIGHS SATURDAY
TO BE A DEGREE OR TWO COLDER THAN FRIDAY.

SATURDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES COULD FALL QUICKLY ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY UNDER A BRIEF PERIOD OF CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. HARD TO
TIME THIS WINDOW AT THIS POINT...BUT TEMPERATURES COULD RADIATE
QUICKLY INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS EARLY BEFORE RISING
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH INCREASE CLOUD COVER.

TO OUR WEST SATURDAY NIGHT A SHORTWAVE WILL BE RIDING NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE WILL
ADVANCE MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH
CLOUDS THICKENING AND CHANCES FOR SYNOPTIC SNOW LATER IN THE NIGHT.
IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL BE
DIVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. WHETHER OR NOT THESE
TWO FEATURES PHASE OF NOT IS STILL IN QUESTION...BUT A GENERAL LIGHT
WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS LIKELY BY SUNDAY ACROSS THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL BE AROUND SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. THIS WILL MEAN HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER
AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...WHILE THE LAKE PLAIN SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO MAY REACH TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE JET STREAM THAT HAS BEEN LOCATED TO OUR SOUTH AND ALLOWING COLD
AIR TO FILTER ACROSS OUR REGION OF LATE WILL MIGRATE NORTH BACK INTO
CANADA DURING THIS PERIOD AS A MUCH LOWER AMPLITUDE FLOW DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE CONTINENT...ALLOWING MILD PACIFIC AIR TO SPILL EAST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY AND BRINGING A MID-WINTER
THAW TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES NEXT WEEK. LEST WE GET TOO FAR AHEAD
OF OURSELVES HOWEVER...SUNDAY NIGHT CONTINUES WITH THE CHANCE FOR
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE REGION. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AS 850MB TEMPS IN THE -8C TO -10C RANGE WILL NOT GENERATE
MUCH OF A LAKE RESPONSE GIVEN HOW COLD THE LAKES ARE
GETTING...HOWEVER SYNOPTIC LIFTING WITH THIS FEATURE COULD  PRODUCE
A WIDESPREAD INCH OR TWO ACROSS THE REGION.

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...PRECIPITATING A
MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES STARTING MONDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
MILD PACIFIC AIRMASS SURGES EAST ACROSS THE COUNTRY AS A SERIES OF
CLIPPERS TRACK ACROSS CANADA NEXT WEEK...LARGELY BYPASSING OUR AREA.
IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL
GUIDANCE AS TO HOW WARM WE WILL GET BASED ON HOW FAR NORTH THE JET
STREAM RETREATS AND ON THE TIMING OF THE VARIOUS SYSTEMS IN THIS
FAST MOVING FLOW. THE EXACT POSITION OF THE JET WILL ALSO DETERMINE
WHETHER WE RECEIVE ANY PASSING SHOWERS FROM THESE CLIPPERS OR
WHETHER THEY STAY TO OUR NORTH. AT THIS POINT THE FORECAST FAVORS A
COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF THAT WILL FEATURE TEMPERATURES
RISING INTO THE MID 30S MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH LOW CHANCE
POPS...MAINLY OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ELSEWHERE.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXPECT MAINLY A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS DUE TO CLOUDS THROUGH
21Z. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE AN AREA OF LIGHT LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...WHICH MAY BRIEFLY LOWER VSBY TO 2SM OR LESS AT BUF/IAG THIS MORNING.

AFTER THIS...A DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST...AND CAUSE
LAKE ENHANCED SNOWS TO BECOME A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD LATE AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THE FLOW WILL BRIEFLY BECOME SOUTHWEST...WHICH MAY
PROBABLY LEAD TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AT BUF/IAG/ART. A PERIOD
OF 2SM IN SNOW IS LIKELY...BUT BRIEF PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOWS TO
1/2SM ARE POSSIBLE. BANDS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE LAKES LATER
TONIGHT...AS WINDS GO TO THE WEST.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR...THOUGH MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO. WINDY.
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR.
SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSING TO THE NORTH AND A STRONG AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL RESULT IN A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ON ON FRIDAY. INITIALLY...WINDS WILL
PICK UP LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...THEN WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO
GALES ON FRIDAY. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT..THEN
MORE SO ON SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS ACROSS THE
WATERS. THEN A RELATIVELY LIGHT FLOW IS EXPECTED ON THE LAKES
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
OUR THREE CLIMATE SITES HAVE EITHER SET...OR TIED THEIR WARMEST YEAR
ON RECORD. BOTH BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN HAVE FINISHED A FULL DEGREE
OR MORE WARMER THAN THEIR PREVIOUS YEARS ON RECORD. ONE NOTE FOR BUFFALO
IS TEMPERATURE RECORDS WERE RECORDED DOWNTOWN AND CLOSER TO LAKE
ERIE UNTIL THE SUMMER OF 1943.

ROCHESTER TIED FOR THEIR WARMEST YEAR ON RECORD WITH THE YEAR
1931...WHICH WAS A PARTICULARLY WARM YEAR FOR THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION.

TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR BOTH BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER GO BACK TO 1871.
WHILE WATERTOWN HAS A SHORTER PERIOD OF RECORD WITH ANNUAL
TEMPERATURES GOING BACK TO ONLY 1950.

BUFFALO

1   2012    52.1
2   1998    50.9
3   2006    50.6
    1991    50.6
    1921    50.6

ROCHESTER

1   2012    51.8 (TIE)
    1931    51.8
3   2006    51.5
4   1921    51.4
5   1998    50.7

WATERTOWN

1   2012    49.2
2   1953    48.1
3   1998    48.0
4   2006    47.4
5   1952    47.2

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
     FRIDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
         FOR LOZ043>045-063>065.
         GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
         FOR LOZ042-062.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
         FRIDAY FOR LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
         FRIDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APFFEL
NEAR TERM...APFFEL/TJP
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...WOOD
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...APFFEL/THOMAS
CLIMATE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

NYZ006>008-042100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-042100-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-014-021-042100-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-043>045-063>065-042100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-042100-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ024-042100-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-042100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-020-085-042100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
353 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES MAY
EXCEED ONE INCH PER HOUR FOR PERIOD OF ONE TO TWO HOURS CREATING
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1117 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013

NYZ001-010-011-085-040030-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1117 AM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TO MOVE THROUGH THE NIAGARA
FRONTIER DURING RUSH HOUR THIS EVENING...

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP THROUGH
THE AREA LATER TODAY DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE HOME. HEAVY SNOW
SNOW COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN THE HEAVIEST
BURSTS OF SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

THE HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO A QUARTER
MILE OR LESS AT TIMES...AS WELL AS SLICK AND SNOW COVERED
ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH THEIR DESTINATIONS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
RIDE HOME.

JAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
318 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

NYZ001-010-011-085-040445-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
318 PM EST THU JAN 3 2013

...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE NIAGARA
FRONTIER DURING RUSH HOUR...

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA
DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE HOME. HEAVY SNOW COMBINED WITH STRONG
WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE
OR LESS IN THE HEAVIEST BURSTS OF SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH
OR MORE PER HOUR WILL CREATE SLICK AND SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS. A
QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR
DESTINATIONS THIS EVENING.

JAM/SMITH