Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

April 11, 20134 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Apr 11, 2013, 11:51 AM EDT for 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Apr 13, 2013, 7:19 AM EDT. It was in force for 253 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2013, 11:51 AM EDT (15:51 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 13, 2013, 7:19 AM EDT
Expired
Dec 22, 2013, 12:43 PM EST
In force
253 days
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cayuga Creek at Lancaster (LCSN6).

Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04215000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

267 
WGUS41 KBUF 111551
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1151 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-112151-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130413T0300Z-130414T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T0300Z.130413T1200Z.130414T0600Z.UU/
1151 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  NIGHT AND CREST NEAR 6.3 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-112151-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1200Z-130414T1200Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1200Z.130413T1800Z.130414T0600Z.NO/
1151 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 6.2 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-121-112151-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0003.130412T1108Z-130412T2136Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.130412T1108Z.130412T1200Z.130412T1536Z.NO/
1151 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.3 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE 
  ALONG THE LOW LYING AREAS NEXT TO BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY AROUND
  THE STRAWBERRY FIELDS DOWNSTREAM FROM UNION ROAD.

$$

NYC029-121-112151-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0004.130412T0925Z-130412T2000Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130412T0925Z.130412T1200Z.130412T1400Z.UU/
1151 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 8.3 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

NYC029-037-112151-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0005.130412T1948Z-130413T1930Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.130412T1948Z.130413T0600Z.130413T1330Z.NR/
1151 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 9.7 FEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-063-112151-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1400Z.130414T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1151 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE  
  SATURDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 12.7 FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
25 follow-up statements
841 
WGUS81 KBUF 112131
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
531 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-120331-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130413T1000Z-130414T1500Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T1000Z.130413T1800Z.130414T0900Z.UU/
531 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 6.2 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-120331-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1500Z-130414T1200Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1500Z.130413T1800Z.130414T0600Z.NO/
531 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 6.1 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-121-120331-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.130412T1113Z-130413T0109Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.130412T1113Z.130412T1800Z.130412T1909Z.NO/
531 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.5 FEET EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-120331-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.130412T0810Z-130412T2100Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130412T0810Z.130412T1200Z.130412T1500Z.UU/
531 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 8.7 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

NYC029-037-120331-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.130412T1200Z-130413T1938Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.130412T1200Z.130413T0600Z.130413T1338Z.NR/
531 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 8.0 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-063-120331-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1312Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1312Z.130414T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
531 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING 
  AND CREST NEAR 12.7 FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
603 
WGUS81 KBUF 120326
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-120926-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130413T1000Z-130414T1500Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T1000Z.130413T1800Z.130414T0900Z.UU/
1126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 6.2 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-120926-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1500Z-130414T1200Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1500Z.130413T1800Z.130414T0600Z.NO/
1126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 6.1 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-121-120926-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.130412T1602Z-130413T0056Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.130412T1602Z.130412T1800Z.130412T1856Z.NO/
1126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 7.4 FEET EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE 
  ALONG THE LOW LYING AREAS NEXT TO BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY AROUND
  THE STRAWBERRY FIELDS DOWNSTREAM FROM UNION ROAD.

$$

NYC029-121-120926-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.130412T1140Z-130413T0057Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130412T1140Z.130412T1800Z.130412T1857Z.UU/
1126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 8.3 FEET EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

NYC029-037-120926-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.130412T2057Z-130413T1938Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.130412T2057Z.130413T0600Z.130413T1338Z.NO/
1126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 9.0 FEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...SOME FLOODING BEGINS ALONG AERO
  DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO SOME FLOODING 
  ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH AS THE BIKE 
  PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK PARK. LITTLE
  OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

NYC029-063-120926-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1312Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1312Z.130414T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING 
  AND CREST NEAR 12.7 FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$

APFFEL
998 
WGUS81 KBUF 120911
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
511 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-121511-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130414T0000Z-130414T0600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130414T0000Z.130414T0000Z.130414T0000Z.UU/
511 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-121511-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130414T0000Z-130414T0600Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130414T0000Z.130414T0000Z.130414T0000Z.NO/
511 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-121-121511-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.130412T1800Z-130413T0000Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130412T1800Z.130412T1800Z.130412T1800Z.UU/
511 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THIS EVENING.
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

NYC029-037-121511-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.130413T1200Z-130413T1800Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.NO/
511 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...SOME FLOODING BEGINS ALONG AERO
  DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO SOME FLOODING 
  ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH AS THE BIKE 
  PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK PARK. LITTLE
  OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

NYC029-063-121511-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130414T0300Z-130414T1500Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130414T0300Z.130414T0600Z.130414T0900Z.NO/
511 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 12 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
  NIGHT AND CREST NEAR 12.2 FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$

NYC029-121-120941-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130413T0056Z/
/GDVN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
511 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE.
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5.9 FEET THIS 
  EVENING. THEREFORE THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...ACTION STAGE...HIGH FLOWS. NO FLOODING.

$$
108 
WGUS81 KBUF 121617
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1217 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-122217-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130413T0000Z-130413T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T0000Z.130413T0000Z.130413T0600Z.UU/
1217 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-122217-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1200Z-130414T0000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
1217 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-121-122217-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.130413T0000Z-130413T0600Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130413T0000Z.130413T0000Z.130413T0000Z.UU/
1217 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 11 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

NYC029-037-122217-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.130413T1200Z-130413T1800Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.NO/
1217 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...SOME FLOODING BEGINS ALONG AERO
  DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO SOME FLOODING 
  ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH AS THE BIKE 
  PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK PARK. LITTLE
  OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

NYC029-063-122217-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
1217 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
612 
WGUS81 KBUF 122000
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-130200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130413T0600Z-130413T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T0600Z.130413T0600Z.130413T0600Z.UU/
400 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-130200-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1200Z-130414T0000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
400 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-130200-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
400 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$

NYC029-121-122030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130413T0600Z/
/LCSN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
400 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER.
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7.2 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

NYC029-037-122030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130413T1800Z/
/WILN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
400 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE.
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7.0 FEET 
  SATURDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH THIS EVEING...THEN RISE MODESTLY LATE
  TONIGHT BEFORE REACHING ITS FINAL CREST SATURDAY MORNING. BECAUSE THIS CREST WILL BE BELOW
  FLOOD STATE...THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$

APFFEL
475 
WGUS81 KBUF 130041
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
841 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-130641-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130413T0600Z-130413T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T0600Z.130413T0600Z.130413T0600Z.UU/
841 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-130641-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1200Z-130414T0000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
841 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET AND steady.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-130641-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
841 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
878 
WGUS81 KBUF 130251
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1051 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-130851-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130413T0600Z-130413T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T0600Z.130413T0600Z.130413T0600Z.UU/
1051 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-130851-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
1051 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-130851-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
1051 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
077 
WGUS81 KBUF 130835
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
435 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-131435-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130413T1800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.130413T1200Z.UU/
435 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-131435-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
435 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THIS EVENING.
* AT 4 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-131434-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
435 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THIS EVENING.
* AT 1 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
341 
WGUS81 KBUF 131123
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
723 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-131723-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130413T1119Z-130415T0000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1037Z.130414T0000Z.130414T1800Z.NO/
723 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.2 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-131723-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130413T1800Z-130414T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.130413T1800Z.NO/
723 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THIS EVENING.
* AT 5 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$

NYC037-055-131153-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130413T1800Z/
/GRBN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
723 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT.
* AT 7 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT FLOOD STAGE AT 6.0 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

TMA
889 
WGUS81 KBUF 131526
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1126 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-132126-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130415T2000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1037Z.130414T1200Z.130415T1400Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.6 FEET 
  SUNDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

NYC029-063-132126-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130414T1200Z-130415T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130414T1200Z.130414T1200Z.130414T1800Z.NO/
1126 AM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
499 
WGUS81 KBUF 132109
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
509 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-140309-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130415T1917Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1037Z.130414T1200Z.130415T1317Z.NO/
509 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CREST AROUND 6.5 FEET TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-140309-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130414T1200Z-130415T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130414T1200Z.130414T1200Z.130414T1800Z.NO/
509 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$

APFFEL
378 
WGUS81 KBUF 140247
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1047 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-140847-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130415T0706Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1037Z.130413T2015Z.130415T0106Z.NO/
1047 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-140847-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.130414T1200Z-130415T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.130414T1200Z.130414T1200Z.130414T1800Z.NO/
1047 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$

APFFEL
340 
WGUS81 KBUF 140830
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC037-055-140900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130415T0706Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.130413T1037Z.130413T2015Z.130414T0707Z.NO/
430 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MORE WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING CHURCHVILLE TO 
  CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC029-063-140900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130415T0000Z/
/RAPN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
430 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.4 FEET THIS
  MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE NOT EXPECTED...AND THEREFORE THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...THERE IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY 
  AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$
221 
WGUS41 KBUF 131842
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
242 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...

  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-121-140042-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0001.130613T2153Z-130614T1021Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.130613T2153Z.130614T0000Z.130614T0421Z.NO/
242 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 7.6 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-140042-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0002.130613T1842Z-130614T1017Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130613T1839Z.130614T0000Z.130614T0417Z.UU/
242 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 8.7 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

HITCHCOCK
995 
WGUS81 KBUF 132211
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
611 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-121-140411-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130614T0600Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130613T1831Z.130613T2015Z.130614T0000Z.UU/
611 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

NYC029-132241-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130614T0614Z/
/EBZN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
611 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER.
* AT 6 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8.8 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 4.7 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

NYC029-121-132241-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130614T1021Z/
/GDVN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
611 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE.
* AT 5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7.0 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 4.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE 
  ALONG THE LOW LYING AREAS NEXT TO BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY AROUND
  THE STRAWBERRY FIELDS DOWNSTREAM FROM UNION ROAD.

$$
752 
WGUS81 KBUF 132315
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
715 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-121-132345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130614T0600Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.130613T1831Z.130613T2015Z.130613T2143Z.UU/
715 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER.
* AT 6 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$
013 
WGUS41 KBUF 211131
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
631 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...

  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC009-013-029-121-211731-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0001.131221T2342Z-131223T1243Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.131221T2342Z.131222T1800Z.131223T0643Z.NO/
631 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-211731-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0002.131222T0735Z-131223T0625Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.131222T0735Z.131222T1200Z.131223T0025Z.UU/
631 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 11.9 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE
  IN VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA; CONSIDERABLE 
  FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH BUFFALO AND WEST 
  SENECA.

$$

NYC029-121-211731-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0003.131222T0819Z-131222T2049Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.131222T0819Z.131222T1200Z.131222T1449Z.NO/
631 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 6 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND
  CREST NEAR 7.8 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-211731-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0004.131222T0208Z-131223T0150Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.131222T0208Z.131222T1200Z.131222T1950Z.UU/
631 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS EVENING 
  AND CREST NEAR 8.9 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

APFFEL
372 
WGUS81 KBUF 211503
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1003 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC009-013-029-121-212103-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.131221T2342Z-131223T1243Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.131221T2342Z.131222T1800Z.131223T0643Z.NO/
1003 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-212103-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.131222T0735Z-131223T0625Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.131222T0735Z.131222T1200Z.131223T0025Z.UU/
1003 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 11.9 FEET ON SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE
  IN VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA; CONSIDERABLE 
  FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH BUFFALO AND WEST 
  SENECA.

$$

NYC029-121-212103-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.131222T0819Z-131222T2049Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.131222T0819Z.131222T1200Z.131222T1449Z.NO/
1003 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.8 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-212103-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.131222T0208Z-131223T0150Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.131222T0208Z.131222T1200Z.131222T1950Z.UU/
1003 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT 
  AND CREST NEAR 8.9 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

HITCHCOCK
384 
WGUS41 KBUF 211633
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...

  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...
  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC009-013-029-121-212233-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.131221T2308Z-131223T0448Z/
/GOWN6.2.ER.131221T2308Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2248Z.NO/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-212233-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.131221T1700Z-131223T0220Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.131221T1700Z.131222T0600Z.131222T2020Z.UU/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS 
  POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA. 
  CONSIDERABLE FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH 
  BUFFALO AND WEST SENECA.

$$

NYC029-121-212233-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.131221T2240Z-131222T2110Z/
/GDVN6.2.ER.131221T2240Z.131222T0600Z.131222T1510Z.NO/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 8.1 FEET LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-212233-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.131221T2136Z-131223T0438Z/
/LCSN6.2.ER.131221T2136Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2238Z.UU/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 10.1 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OF BACKYARDS, 
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA...ESPECIALLY NEAR 
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR UNION 
  ROAD.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-212233-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0005.131222T1113Z-131223T2116Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T1113Z.131223T0000Z.131223T1516Z.NO/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.2 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 1O FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE
  ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN THE 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS...AND PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-063-212233-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0006.131223T1242Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T1242Z.131224T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...THERE ARE MANY ROAD CLOSURES
  FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON INCLUDING
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD AND RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS 
  INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM...BLACK...
  BEEMAN...AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF FARMLAND.

$$

NYC003-051-121-212233-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0007.131222T1405Z-131223T1120Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.131222T1405Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0520Z.NO/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 20.6 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS FROM BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH. LITTLE DAMAGE.

$$

NYC037-055-212233-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0008.131223T0130Z-131224T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1200Z.131224T0600Z.UU/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 6.4 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS WITH SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC009-212232-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0009.131222T0742Z-131225T1312Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T0742Z.131224T0000Z.131225T0712Z.NO/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 12.9 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO EAST 
  RIVERSIDE DRIVE 1 TO 3 MILES UPSTREAM FROM UNION STREET BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-212232-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0010.131222T1530Z-131223T1800Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.131222T1530Z.131223T0000Z.131223T1200Z.NO/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS ALONG
  THE ENTIRE REACH NEAR SALAMANCA IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-212232-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0011.131222T0703Z-131223T1948Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0703Z.131223T0600Z.131223T1348Z.NR/
1133 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. AMHERST BIKE PATH NEAR THE UNIVERSITY OF BUFFALO 
  FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA 
  POSSIBLY CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL. 
  AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
810 
WGUS81 KBUF 212050
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC009-013-029-121-220250-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.131221T2325Z-131223T0448Z/
/GOWN6.2.ER.131221T2325Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2248Z.NO/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-220250-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131223T0220Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.131221T1834Z.131222T0600Z.131222T2020Z.UU/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS 
  POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA. 
  CONSIDERABLE FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH 
  BUFFALO AND WEST SENECA.

$$

NYC029-121-220250-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.131221T2201Z-131222T2110Z/
/GDVN6.2.ER.131221T2201Z.131222T0600Z.131222T1510Z.NO/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 8.1 FEET LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-220250-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.131221T2130Z-131223T0438Z/
/LCSN6.2.ER.131221T2130Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2238Z.UU/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 10.1 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OF BACKYARDS, 
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA...ESPECIALLY NEAR 
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-220250-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.131222T1113Z-131223T2116Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T1113Z.131223T0000Z.131223T1516Z.NO/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.2 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 1O FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE
  ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN THE 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS...AND PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-063-220250-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.131223T1242Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T1242Z.131224T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...THERE ARE MANY ROAD CLOSURES
  FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON INCLUDING
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD AND RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS 
  INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM...BLACK...
  BEEMAN...AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF FARMLAND.

$$

NYC003-051-121-220250-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0007.131222T1405Z-131223T1120Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.131222T1405Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0520Z.NO/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 20.6 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS FROM BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH. LITTLE DAMAGE.

$$

NYC037-055-220250-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0008.131223T0130Z-131224T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1200Z.131224T0600Z.UU/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 6.4 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC009-220250-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.131222T1000Z-131224T2248Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1000Z.131222T1800Z.131224T1648Z.NO/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.2 FEET EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO EAST 
  RIVERSIDE DRIVE 1 TO 3 MILES UPSTREAM FROM UNION STREET BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-220250-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.131223T0000Z-131223T0600Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.NO/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE 
  REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-220249-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.131222T0703Z-131223T1948Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0703Z.131223T0600Z.131223T1348Z.NR/
350 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. AMHERST BIKE PATH NEAR UNIVERSITY OF BUFFALO FLOODED 
  AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. 
  FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST 
  FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
498 
WGUS81 KBUF 220023
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC009-013-029-121-220623-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-131223T0448Z/
/GOWN6.2.ER.131221T2217Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2248Z.NO/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-220623-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131223T0220Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.131221T1834Z.131222T0600Z.131222T2020Z.UU/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS 
  POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA. 
  CONSIDERABLE FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH 
  BUFFALO AND WEST SENECA.

$$

NYC029-121-220623-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-131222T2110Z/
/GDVN6.2.ER.131221T2145Z.131222T0600Z.131222T1510Z.NO/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 8.1 FEET 
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-220623-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131223T0438Z/
/LCSN6.2.ER.131221T2205Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2238Z.UU/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.1 FEET
  SUNDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OF BACKYARDS, 
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA...ESPECIALLY NEAR 
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-220623-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.131222T1113Z-131223T2116Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T1113Z.131223T0000Z.131223T1516Z.NO/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.2 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE
  ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN THE 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS...AND PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-063-220623-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.131223T1242Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T1242Z.131224T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...THERE ARE MANY ROAD CLOSURES
  FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON INCLUDING
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD AND RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS 
  INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM...BLACK...
  BEEMAN...AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF FARMLAND.

$$

NYC003-051-121-220622-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0007.131222T1405Z-131223T1120Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.131222T1405Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0520Z.NO/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 20.6 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS FROM BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH. LITTLE DAMAGE.

$$

NYC037-055-220622-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0008.131223T0130Z-131224T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.131223T0130Z.131223T1200Z.131224T0600Z.UU/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 6.4 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC009-220622-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.131222T1000Z-131224T2248Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1000Z.131222T1800Z.131224T1648Z.NO/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.2 FEET EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO EAST 
  RIVERSIDE DRIVE 1 TO 3 MILES UPSTREAM FROM UNION STREET BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-220622-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.131223T0000Z-131223T0600Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.NO/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE 
  REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-220622-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.131222T0703Z-131223T1948Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0703Z.131223T0600Z.131223T1348Z.NR/
723 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. AMHERST BIKE PATH NEAR UNIVERSITY OF BUFFALO FLOODED 
  AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. 
  FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST 
  FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

$$
573 
WGUS81 KBUF 220414
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC009-013-029-121-221014-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-131223T0448Z/
/GOWN6.2.ER.131221T2217Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2248Z.NO/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET
  SUNDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-221014-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131223T0220Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.131221T1834Z.131222T0600Z.131222T2020Z.UU/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS 
  POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA. 
  CONSIDERABLE FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH 
  BUFFALO AND WEST SENECA.

$$

NYC029-121-221014-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-131222T2110Z/
/GDVN6.2.ER.131221T2145Z.131222T0600Z.131222T1510Z.NO/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 8.1 FEET 
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-121-221014-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131223T0438Z/
/LCSN6.2.ER.131221T2205Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2238Z.UU/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT 
  AND CREST NEAR 10.1 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OF BACKYARDS, 
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA...ESPECIALLY NEAR 
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-221014-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.131222T1113Z-131223T2116Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T1113Z.131223T0000Z.131223T1516Z.NO/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.2 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE
  ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN THE 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS...AND PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-063-221014-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.131223T1242Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T1242Z.131224T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...THERE ARE MANY ROAD CLOSURES
  FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON INCLUDING
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD AND RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS 
  INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM...BLACK...
  BEEMAN...AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF FARMLAND.

$$

NYC003-051-121-221013-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.131222T1118Z-131223T0312Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.131222T1118Z.131222T1800Z.131222T2112Z.NO/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 19.8 FEET EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS FROM BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH. LITTLE DAMAGE.

$$

NYC037-055-221013-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0008.131222T1648Z-131224T0900Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.131222T1648Z.131223T0600Z.131224T0300Z.UU/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 6.5 FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...GENERAL FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE AND
  GARBUTT.

$$

NYC009-221013-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.131222T1014Z-131225T0448Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1014Z.131223T0000Z.131224T2248Z.NO/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.9 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO EAST 
  RIVERSIDE DRIVE 1 TO 3 MILES UPSTREAM FROM UNION STREET BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-221013-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.131222T2136Z-131223T1330Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.131222T2136Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0730Z.NO/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 12.2 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE 
  REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-221013-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.131222T0703Z-131223T1948Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0703Z.131223T0600Z.131223T1348Z.NR/
1114 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. AMHERST BIKE PATH NEAR UNIVERSITY OF BUFFALO FLOODED 
  AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. 
  FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST 
  FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

$$
208 
WGUS81 KBUF 220940
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.

&&

NYC009-013-029-121-221540-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-131223T0440Z/
/GOWN6.2.ER.131221T2217Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2240Z.NR/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 12.4 FEET
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-221540-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131223T0240Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.131221T1834Z.131222T1200Z.131222T2040Z.UU/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 12.4 FEET
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE
  IN VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA; CONSIDERABLE 
  FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH BUFFALO AND WEST 
  SENECA.

$$

NYC029-121-221540-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-131222T2200Z/
/GDVN6.2.ER.131221T2145Z.131222T1200Z.131222T1600Z.NO/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 8.0 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-221540-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.131222T0933Z-131223T1800Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0818Z.131222T1800Z.131223T1200Z.NO/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.1 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE 
  REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN ALABAMA SWAMPS, 
  RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND ALSO IN CITY OF 
  BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-063-221540-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.131223T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131223T0400Z.131224T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CREST 
  NEAR 15.6 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC003-051-121-221539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.131222T1536Z-131223T0207Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.131222T1536Z.131222T1800Z.131222T2007Z.NO/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
* FROM THIS MORNING TO THIS EVENING.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 19.6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS FROM BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH. LITTLE DAMAGE.

$$

NYC009-221539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.131222T1128Z-131225T0448Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1128Z.131223T0000Z.131224T2248Z.NO/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.9 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO EAST 
  RIVERSIDE DRIVE 1 TO 3 MILES UPSTREAM FROM UNION STREET BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-221539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.131222T2136Z-131223T1330Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.131222T2136Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0730Z.NO/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 12.2 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE 
  REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-121-221539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131222T1918Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.131221T2205Z.131222T1200Z.131222T1318Z.UU/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 8.5 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING IN LOWLYING 
  AREAS OF LANCASTER AND ALDEN.

$$

NYC029-037-221539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131223T1600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0701Z.131222T1800Z.131223T1000Z.NR/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-221010-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131224T0900Z/
/GRBN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
440 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT.
* AT 4 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5.2 FEET THIS 
  MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE NOT EXPECTED...AND THEREFORE THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...ACTION STAGE...SOME MINOR OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS NEAR CONFLUENCE WITH GENESEE RIVER. NO DAMAGES.

$$

APFFEL
757 
WGUS81 KBUF 221500
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-037-063-121-222059-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131223T2212Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0809Z.131222T1800Z.131223T1612Z.NO/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING ALONG ROUTE 5 IN THE
  TOWN OF BATAVIA JUST WEST OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-063-222059-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.131222T2012Z-131224T2327Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131222T2012Z.131223T1800Z.131224T1727Z.NR/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 15.4 FEET EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC003-051-121-222059-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.131222T1635Z-131223T0207Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.131222T1635Z.131222T1800Z.131222T2007Z.NO/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 19.6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS FROM BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH. LITTLE DAMAGE.

$$

NYC009-222059-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131225T0130Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1541Z.131224T0000Z.131224T1930Z.NO/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.2 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER
  IS THEN EXPECTED TO FALL THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN HAVE A SECOND
  CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-222059-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.131223T0000Z-131223T0600Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.NO/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE 
  REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC009-013-029-121-222059-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-131223T0440Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.131221T2217Z.131222T0700Z.131222T2240Z.NO/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.4 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...CREEK OVERFLOWS LEFT BANK 
  0.5 TO 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA...SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. CONTINUED FLOODING ON RIGHT BANK. FLOODING ALSO 
  POSSIBLE IN ARCADE, AT SUNSET BAY ON LAKE ERIE, AND ALONG THATCHER 
  BROOK IN GOWANDA.

$$

NYC029-222059-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131223T0240Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.131221T1834Z.131222T1000Z.131222T2040Z.UU/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING CAN BE 
  EXPECTED IN LOW LYING AREAS EAST OF ORCHARD PARK AND SOUTH OF
  RIDGE ROAD IN WEST SENECA. SOME FLOODING IN CAZENOVIA PARK IN
  SOUTH BUFFALO.

$$

NYC029-121-222059-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-131222T2215Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.131221T2145Z.131222T1215Z.131222T1615Z.NO/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS 
  AVENUE, ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH 
  OF THE BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

$$

NYC029-037-222059-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131223T1600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0701Z.131222T1800Z.131223T1000Z.NR/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. AMHERST BIKE PATH NEAR UNIVERSITY OF BUFFALO FLOODED 
  AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. 
  FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST 
  FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-121-221530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131222T1918Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.131221T2205Z.131222T1045Z.131222T1316Z.UU/
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

HITCHCOCK
735 
WGUS81 KBUF 221743
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-037-063-121-222343-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131223T2212Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.131222T0809Z.131222T1800Z.131223T1612Z.NO/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING ALONG ROUTE 5 IN THE
  TOWN OF BATAVIA JUST WEST OF THE CITY OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-063-222343-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.131222T2012Z-131224T2254Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.131222T2012Z.131223T1800Z.131224T1654Z.NR/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING 
  IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, AND NEWSTEAD
  ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES, INCLUDING MILLERSPORT HIGHWAY AND 
  TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST IS INUNDATED
  WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS. 
  THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA SWAMPS.

$$

NYC009-222343-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131225T0130Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.131222T1505Z.131224T0000Z.131224T1930Z.NO/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.2 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER MAY FALL SOME TONIGHT...THEN IT WILL
  LIKELY HAVE A SECOND CREST OF NEAR 10.4 FEET MONDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-222343-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.131223T0000Z-131223T0600Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.131223T0000Z.NO/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE 
  REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC009-013-029-121-222343-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-131223T0147Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.131221T2217Z.131222T0700Z.131222T1947Z.NO/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS 
  AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG RIGHT 
  BANK 0.5 TO 1.0 MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM GOWANDA, MOSTLY IN INDUSTRIAL 
  AND COMMERCIAL AREAS. WATCH FOR DEVELOPING PROBLEMS ALONG THATCHER 
  CREEK IN GOWANDA, IN TRAILER COURTS IN THE VILLAGE OF ARCADE, AND 
  AT SUNSET BAY AT THE MOUTH NEAR LAKE ERIE.

$$

NYC029-037-222343-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131224T0030Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.131222T0701Z.131223T0600Z.131223T1830Z.NO/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET 
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC003-051-121-221813-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131223T0207Z/
/PRTN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 18.0 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 13.4 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

NYC029-221813-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-131223T0240Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.131221T1834Z.131222T1000Z.131222T1536Z.UU/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 6.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

NYC029-121-221813-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-131222T2215Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.131221T2145Z.131222T1215Z.131222T1542Z.NO/
1243 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 3.7 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

HITCHCOCK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 11, 10:51 AM EDT, 1 hour earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 10:51 AM EDT, 1 hour before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1051 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS RIDING ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED
FROM THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING
PERIODS OF RAIN TO OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL
ALSO BE A CHANCE FOR SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN SPOTS THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
REGIONAL RADARS DISPLAY OCCASIONAL RAIN ACROSS THE
REGION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND GENESEE VALLEY
AND NOW ENTERING INTO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. BASED ON
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND SPOTTER REPORTS THERE ARE POCKETS OF
FREEZING RAIN...ACROSS BOTH THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND INTO THE
GENESEE VALLEY. MOST REPORTS DISPLAY JUST A LIGHT GLAZING...WITH
SOME LOCALIZED AREAS WELL INLAND AND TOWARDS THE HILLS OF WYOMING
COUNTY UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON TREE BRANCHES.

WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED JUST TO OUR SOUTH...AND SHALLOW
COLD AIR PUSHING SOUTHWARD FROM A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE NEAR
JAMES BAY WILL CONTINUE WITH POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING RAIN...MAINLY
FROM ABOUT WAYNE AND ONTARIO COUNTIES WESTWARD...WHERE THE COLD
NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE AROUND FREEZING TEMPERATURES AT THE
SURFACE.

HIGHS WILL LINGER IN THE 30S WITH A NORTHEAST FLOW...EXCEPT FOR THE
SOUTHERN TIER WHERE LOW TO MID 40 AIR TEMPERATURES WILL PUSH
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE LINE.

DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT...THE MAIN SURFACE LOW WILL LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD FROM OHIO INTO WESTERN NEW YORK. PLENTY OF WARM
ADVECTIVE LIFT AND MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW WILL RESULT IN
ANOTHER ROUND OF MORE SIGNIFICANT AND POTENTIALLY HEAVY PRECIP
SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVER
TIME...FOR WHICH HIGH-END CATEGORICAL POPS WILL BE IN PLACE.
AT THE SAME TIME...THE COLUMN WILL WARM AGAIN WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN
MAINLY RAIN FALLING SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH A MIX OF RAIN/
FREEZING RAIN/SLEET AFFECTING THE NORTH COUNTRY WHERE SOME MINOR
ICING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING AS THE MAIN UPPER
TROUGH AXIS PIVOTS THROUGH THE REGION. THE RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM
WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY...ONCE THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST AND
THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT CROSS THE REGION...WITH THE HINT OF A
DRY SLOT BRIEFLY WRAPPING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. BEHIND THE
TROUGH AND OCCLUDED FRONT...THE OVERALL PATTERN QUIETS DOWN SOMEWHAT
AS COLDER AIR FLOW INTO THE AREA WITHIN THE EMERGING NORTHWEST FLOW.
CHANCES FOR RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST WITHIN THIS COLD UNSETTLE
CYCLONIC FLOW...BUT WIDESPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION THAT WE HAVE
SEEN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS IS NOT EXPECTED. WET SNOW IS MOST
LIKELY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY NIGHT AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR -8C. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS FOR THE MOST PART SHOULD BE LIGHT...ALTHOUGH WE CAN NOT RULE
OF SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHEST TERRAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS IN POOR AGREEMENT TODAY WITH RESPECT TO THE
HANDLING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK...AND THE POSITION OF ANOTHER QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL
ZONE. THE GFS BRINGS A STRONG WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SIGNIFICANT RAIN
BACK INTO WESTERN NY SUNDAY EVENING...WITH A FRONTAL ZONE STALLING
OVER WESTERN NY THROUGH MIDWEEK...SIMILAR TO WHAT WE HAVE THIS WEEK.
THE ECMWF IS COMPLETELY DIFFERENT...WITH THE FIRST WAVE PASSING INTO
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE REMAINING
MAINLY TO OUR NORTH AND WEST...WITH JUST A SMALLER CHANCE OF RAIN BY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

GIVEN THE MODEL UNCERTAINTY...FOR NOW WE WILL JUST STICK CLOSE TO
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH LOW CHANCES OF RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. AFTER A CHILLY WEEKEND TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND AGAIN...
ESPECIALLY IF THE MORE NORTHERLY ECMWF SOLUTION VERIFIES.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1130Z...CONDITIONS RANGED FROM VFR UNDER SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...TO A RANGE OF LOW VFR TO IFR CONDITIONS SOUTH
OF THE LAKE...WITH PROGRESSIVELY LOWER CONDITIONS FOUND FURTHER
SOUTH. IN TERMS OF PRECIP...THE LEADING EDGE OF THE NEXT SWATH OF
PRECIP IS NOW PUSHING FROM THE NIAGARA FRONTIER INTO THE GENESEE
VALLEY...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA LARGELY DRY AS OF THIS
WRITING.

THROUGH THE REST OF THIS MORNING...EXPECT STEADIER PRECIPITATION AND
ASSOCIATED LOWER CIGS/VSBYS TO GRADUALLY SPREAD EAST ACROSS AREAS
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH MID MORNING...WITH CONDITIONS LOWERING
BACK TO IFR/LIFR WHERE ANY IMPROVEMENT OCCURRED OVERNIGHT. THIS
AFTERNOON...EXPECT A GENERAL WEST TO EAST DIMINISHING TREND TO THE
SWATH OF PRECIP AS ITS PARENT SHORTWAVE PUSHES EAST OF OUR REGION...
WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BACK TO LOWER-END MVFR.

WITH RESPECT TO PTYPE...THE PRECIP SHOULD START OFF AS ALL RAIN THIS
MORNING...THEN WITH SOME COOLING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER COULD
POTENTIALLY MIX WITH A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY
TO MID AFTERNOON NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. MEANWHILE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER... CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN WARM ENOUGH FOR
MAINLY RAIN...WHILE PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL LIKELY REMAIN
DRY WITH VFR CIGS CONTINUING.

TONIGHT...A WAVE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD INTO WESTERN NEW YORK STATE. THIS WILL BRING MORE
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND IFR CONDITIONS BACK INTO THE AREA. IN
TERMS OF PTYPE...THE PRECIP SHOULD PRIMARILY FALL AS RAIN SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE A WINTRY MIX WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR IN RAIN TAPERING OFF...WITH A CHANCE OF MIXED
PRECIP ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN THE MORNING.
SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLE
HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR.
MONDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN DRAPED JUST SOUTH
OF THE LOWER LAKES TODAY...BEFORE LOW PRESSURE RIPPLES EASTWARD
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. IN ADVANCE OF
THIS  LOW...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY...THEN WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY AND
DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. EXPECT WINDS AND
WAVES TO EASILY REACH ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER LAKES
TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOR WHICH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN
EFFECT AS OUTLINED BELOW.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A STALLED FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR NUMEROUS ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. TOTAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN NY...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY. TRAINING CONVECTION MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

EXPECT THE RIVER FLOOD RISK TO INCREASE BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THE FASTER RESPONDING CREEKS...SUCH AS MOST OF THE BUFFALO
AREA CREEKS AND CATTARAUGUS CREEK MAY APPROACH FLOOD STAGE SEVERAL
TIMES FOLLOWING EACH BATCH OF HEAVY RAIN...BUT SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH
TIME TO RECEDE BETWEEN BATCHES TO KEEP ANY FLOODING RELATIVELY
MINOR. OF GREATER CONCERN IS THE SLOWER RESPONDING RIVERS...SUCH
AS TONAWANDA CREEK...BLACK CREEK...AND POSSIBLY THE ALLEGHENY
RIVER. SINCE THESE ARE SLOWER TO RESPOND...EACH BATCH OF RAIN WILL
ADD TO THE PREVIOUS...WITH A STAIR-STEP CLIMB IN STAGE THROUGH
FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. IF THESE SLOWER RIVERS DO END UP
FLOODING...THEY WOULD NOT CREST UNTIL THE WEEKEND.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EDT
     FRIDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>005-010>014-
     019>021-085.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ001>005-010>014-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR LOZ042>044.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR/THOMAS
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJR
HYDROLOGY...HITCHCOCK/APFFEL/JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 4:31 AM EDT, 7 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
431 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-120845-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
431 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019>021-120845-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
431 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-120845-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
431 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-120845-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
431 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 11, 10:59 AM EDT, 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1059 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ020-021-111700-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1059 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...

PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN...WITH ISOLATED POCKETS OF
FREEZING RAIN...MAY OCCUR IN SOME AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN MAY PUT A LIGHT GLAZE ON
TREES AND POWERLINES...ALONG WITH OTHER ELEVATED AND UNTREATED
SURFACES. NORTHERN AREAS OF BOTH COUNTIES WILL HAVE THE BEST
CHANCE OF SEEING THE FREEZING RAIN.

ALTHOUGH THE MAJORITY OF ROADS WILL BE JUST WET...DRIVERS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS...AS THERE MAY BE A FEW SLICK SPOTS OUT THERE. IN
PARTICULAR BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND AREAS NORMALLY SHADED FROM
SUNLIGHT.

JM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 11:51 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Monroe, Wyoming255 days
Apr 11, 11:51 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningBUFErie, Wyoming255 days
Apr 11, 11:51 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningBUFErie, Wyoming255 days
Apr 11, 11:51 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Wyoming256 days
Apr 11, 11:51 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningBUFErie, Niagara259 days
Apr 11, 1:35 PM EDTWind AdvisoryBUFMonroe, Niagara, Orleans14 hr
Apr 11, 3:48 PM EDTGale WarningBUF16 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.