Alert archive / New York / Freezing Rain Advisories in 2013

Freezing Rain Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

April 10, 201313 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this freezing rain advisory at Apr 10, 2013, 12:35 PM EDT for 13 counties in New York. It took effect at Apr 11, 2013, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 10, 2013, 12:35 PM EDT (16:35 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 11, 2013, 4:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 12, 2013, 3:53 AM EDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-04-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2013-04-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
445 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

471 
WWUS41 KBUF 101635
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1235 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

NYZ019>021-110045-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.130411T0600Z-130412T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1235 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN TIER. FREEZING RAIN MOST LIKELY INLAND FROM
  THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 86.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
  LATE OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...THE WEIGHT OF ICE MAY WEIGH DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND
  POWERLINES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY THURSDAY MORNING AND
  AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-110045-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.130411T0600Z-130412T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1235 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN
  FINGER LAKES.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO A THIRD OF AN INCH LATE
  OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. GREATEST ICE
  ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED INLAND FROM THE LAKES AND GENESEE
  VALLEY WESTWARD ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* IMPACTS...THE WEIGHT OF ICE MAY WEIGH DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND
  POWERLINES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY THURSDAY MORNING AND
  AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-110045-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.130411T0600Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1235 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 11 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ON
  THE TUG HILL...AND LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS.
  ICE STORM ACCUMULATION UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH LATE TONIGHT
  THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...THE WEIGHT OF ICE MAY WEIGH DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND
  POWERLINES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY
  MIX THURSDAY MORNING AND AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

THOMAS
9 follow-up statements
677 
WWUS41 KBUF 101937
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
337 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

NYZ019>021-110345-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.130411T0600Z-130412T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
337 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM
EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN TIER. FREEZING RAIN MOST LIKELY INLAND 
  FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 86. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH 
  LATE OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...THE WEIGHT OF ICE MAY WEIGH DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND 
  POWERLINES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY THURSDAY MORNING 
  AND AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-110345-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.130411T0600Z-130412T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
337 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM
EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO A THIRD OF AN INCH LATE 
  OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. GREATEST ICE 
  ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED INLAND FROM THE LAKES AND GENESEE 
  VALLEY WESTWARD ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. 

* IMPACTS...THE WEIGHT OF ICE MAY WEIGH DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND 
  POWERLINES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY THURSDAY MORNING 
  AND AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-110345-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.130411T0600Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
337 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM THURSDAY
TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES 
  ON THE TUG HILL...AND LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS LOWER 
  ELEVATIONS. ICE STORM ACCUMULATION UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH 
  LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...THE WEIGHT OF ICE MAY WEIGH DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND 
  POWERLINES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE 
  WINTRY MIX THURSDAY MORNING AND AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

THOMAS
971 
WWUS41 KBUF 110213
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1013 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

NYZ019>021-111015-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.130411T1200Z-130412T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1013 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN TIER. FREEZING RAIN MOST LIKELY INLAND 
  FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 86. 

* TIMING...THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH THROUGH
  THURSDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY ON THURSDAY MORNING AND
  AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-111015-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.130411T0800Z-130412T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1013 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO A THIRD OF AN INCH LATE THROUGH
  THURSDAY EVENING. GREATEST ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED INLAND
  FROM THE LAKES AND GENESEE VALLEY WESTWARD ACROSS THE NIAGARA
  FRONTIER.

* IMPACTS...THE WEIGHT OF ICE MAY WEIGH DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND 
  POWERLINES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY THURSDAY MORNING 
  AND AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-111015-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.130411T1200Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1013 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THURSDAY TO
11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ON
  THE TUG HILL...AND LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS.
  ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH LATE THROUGH FRIDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY
  MIX THURSDAY MORNING AND AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

APFFEL
161 
WWUS41 KBUF 110816
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
416 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ019>021-110930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.130411T1200Z-130412T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
416 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. 

RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING...BUT IT NOW APPEARS
THAT SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO WARM TO SUPPORT A FREEZING
RAIN THREAT.

$$

NYZ006>008-111630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.130411T2200Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
416 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION AN INCH OR LESS. ICE
  ACCUMULATION UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY
  MIX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-111630-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130412T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
416 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR
  LESS...MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES OR 
  POWER LINES.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

TMA
435 
WWUS41 KBUF 111040
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
640 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-112000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130411T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
640 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR 
  LESS...MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES OR 
  POWER LINES. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-112000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.130411T2200Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
640 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION AN INCH OR LESS. ICE 
  ACCUMULATION UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY 
  MIX. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR/TMA
323 
WWUS41 KBUF 111459
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1059 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-112200-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130411T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1059 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS.
  LOCALIZED QUARTER OF AN INCH INLAND FROM THE LAKES. ICE
  ACCUMULATION MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES
  OR POWER LINES.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-112300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.130411T2200Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1059 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION AN INCH OR LESS. ICE 
  ACCUMULATION UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY 
  MIX. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

THOMAS
439 
WWUS41 KBUF 111726
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ006>008-120130-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.130411T1726Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATING UP TO 2 INCHES
  THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING...MAINLY ACROSS THE TUG HILL. AN INCH
  OR LESS ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS. ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN
  ONE TENTH OF AN INCH THIS AFTERNOON...UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
  TONIGHT...AND LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY 
  MIX. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-112200-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130411T2200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
126 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE TENTH OF
  AN INCH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

THOMAS
788 
WWUS41 KBUF 112146
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
546 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-120300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130412T0300Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
546 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH THIS
  EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME ICY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-120600-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
546 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH UP TO 2 INCHES
  TONIGHT...AND AN INCH OR LESS FRIDAY. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO
  ONE TENTH OF AN INCH TONIGHT...AND LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN
  INCH FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY 
  MIX. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$
624 
WWUS41 KBUF 120227
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1027 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

NYZ003>005-013-014-085-120330-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130412T0300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1027 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST OF THESE
AREAS. ANY ADDITIONAL FREEZING RAIN WOULD BE ISOLATED IN NATURE AS
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-120800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130412T0800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW
1027 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN 
  FINGER LAKES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION LESS THAN ONE TENTH
  OF AN INCH THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES. ICY ROADS AND WALKWAYS
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-121030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1027 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH UP TO 2 INCHES
  TONIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO A QUARTER INCH...MAINLY ACROSS
  HIGHER TERRAIN.

* IMPACTS...ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES. ROADS AND WALKS MAY BECOME
  SLIPPERY FROM THE WINTRY MIX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

APFFEL
298 
WWUS41 KBUF 120753
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
353 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

NYZ001-002-010>012-120900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130412T0800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW
353 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES ARE NOW MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
CLIMB THIS MORNING...THEREFORE THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ006-120900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-130412T1500Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
353 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES ARE NOW MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY RISE THIS MORNING...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ007-008-121500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-130412T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
353 AM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH THIS
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES. ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY
  ALSO BECOME SLIPPERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this freezing rain advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this freezing rain advisory went out at Apr 10, 9:22 AM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 10, 9:22 AM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
922 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS RIDING ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED
FROM THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING
SEVERAL PERIODS OF RAIN TO OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE COLDER
NORTH SIDE OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY LATER TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
REGIONAL RADARS THIS MORNING DISPLAY A BAND OF SHOWERS...WITH SOME
EMBEDDED THUNDER NEAR LAKE ERIE PUSHING INTO WNY. EXPECT ACTIVITY TO
PUSH WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE CWA...REMAINING LARGELY SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO WHICH IS CLOSER TO THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH IS
NEAR THE STATE LINE. WILL INCLUDE A CHANCE FOR SOME THUNDER THIS
MORNING FOR ERIE AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...OTHERWISE WILL LEAVE
SHOWERS AS THE DOMINATE WEATHER TYPE. SOME FOG IS STILL AROUND THE
HIGHER POINTS TO OUR SOUTH AND WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF FOG
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND TOWARDS THE HILLS OF WYOMING AND THE
BRISTOL HILLS.

AFTER THAT TIME...CONDITIONS SHOULD QUICKLY DETERIORATE AGAIN FROM
WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE NEXT UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE /CURRENTLY OVER LAKE MICHIGAN/ HEADS OUR WAY AND SPREADS
RENEWED SHOWER CHANCES EASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. GIVEN
UPSTREAM RADAR AND LIGHTNING TRENDS...WHICH ALREADY SHOW A FAIRLY
IMPRESSIVE AREA OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE...HAVE INDICATED CATEGORICAL POPS SPREADING BACK
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON... ALONG THE CHANCE OF SOME THUNDER
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. WITH THE SURFACE FRONT DISPLACED FURTHER
SOUTHWARD...TEMPS TODAY WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER THAN THOSE OF THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S/LOWER
50S ACROSS COUNTIES BORDERING LAKE ONTARIO...TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE
NY/PA BORDER WHICH WILL BE CLOSEST TO THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.

TONIGHT...THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL SLIDE OFF TO OUR EAST
DURING THE EVENING...POSSIBLY ALLOWING FOR A RELATIVE LULL IN THE
SHOWER ACTIVITY BEFORE LIFT/MOISTURE START TO INCREASE AGAIN
OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE MAIN SURFACE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED WARM
FRONT. HAVE REFLECTED THIS IN THE FORECAST BY DROPPING PRECIP
CHANCES BACK TO LIKELY/HIGH CHANCE FOR A TIME SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO.
MEANWHILE FURTHER NORTH...ENOUGH DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE LOOKS TO
ARRIVE FOR THE PRECIP TO LARGELY SHUT OFF ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY
LATER TONIGHT.

WITH RESPECT TO PTYPE...AT THIS POINT EXPECT THE BULK OF THE PRECIP
TO REMAIN IN THE FORM OF PLAIN RAIN TONIGHT. WHILE SOME OF THE SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INSIST ON ENOUGH COOLING OF THE COLUMN TO
RESULT IN A POSSIBLE MIX WITH OR OUTRIGHT CHANGE TO SLEET/FREEZING
RAIN NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT...WE FEEL THAT THIS
APPEARS OVERDONE. WHILE THERE WILL INDEED BE A STRONG HIGH SITUATED
TO THE NORTH THAT WILL HELP TO FEED COLDER AIR SOUTHWARD ON A
NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...THIS WILL STILL HAVE TO CROSS THE
NEAR 40-DEGREE WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO WHICH WILL HELP TO MODERATE
THIS SOME...AND LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP CONDITIONS A BIT WARMER
THAN SUGGESTED BY THE NAM/GFS SOUNDING DATA...OR WARM ENOUGH FOR THE
PRECIP TO REMAIN IN THE FORM OF RAIN ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO. FURTHER TO NORTH AND EAST...ENOUGH COOLING MAY TAKE
PLACE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND ALOFT FOR SOME SLEET AND/OR SNOW TO
MIX IN ALONG THE FAR EASTERN FINGER LAKES OR NORTH COUNTRY...HOWEVER
BY THAT TIME THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE FAR NORTHERN FRINGES OF
THE PRECIP SHIELD...WHICH SHOULD KEEP ANY ACCUMULATIONS MINIMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THE WET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK ON THURSDAY AS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MARK THE BOUNDARY
BETWEEN WARM AND MOIST GULF AIR ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE EASTERN
U.S. AND MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH OVER CANADA. THE
WARM AND MOISTURE-LADEN AIRMASS WILL BE SURGING NORTHWARDS ACROSS
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES IN ADVANCE OF A DEEPENING CYCLONE OVER THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...HOWEVER THE WARM AIR WILL NOT BE FELT AT
THE SURFACE ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. IN FACT EVEN THOUGH 850MB
TEMPS WILL BE CLIMBING TO +10C BY THURSDAY EVENING...TEMPERATURES AT
THE SURFACE WILL BE STUCK IN THE MID 30S THANKS TO NORTHEASTERLY
SURFACE FLOW...ITSELF THE RESULT OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER HUDSON BAY AND THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE FORCING OF THE WARM MOIST AIR
UPWARDS OVER THIS VERY SHALLOW WEDGE OF COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A HOST OF OTHER FAVORABLE DYNAMICS WILL SET THE
STAGE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THERE ARE A COUPLE OF FORECAST CONCERNS TO CONTEND WITH THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FIRST IS PRECIPITATION TYPE. WITH THE
SHALLOW WEDGE OF COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE AND VERY WARM AIR
ALOFT...THERE IS A CONCERN FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION AND IN PARTICULAR
FREEZING RAIN. IF GFS/NAM BUFKIT SOUNDINGS ARE TO BE BELIEVED...THE
STAGE IS SET FOR A SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN EVENT ACROSS MUCH OF
WESTERN/NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK ON THURSDAY HOWEVER THERE A COUPLE OF
FACTORS THAT MAKE THIS A DUBIOUS PROPOSITION. BOTH MODELS SHOW
SURFACE TEMPS RIGHT AT OR A DEGREE BELOW FREEZING IN THE MODEL
SOUNDINGS...HOWEVER FEEL THAT THE COLD AIR MAY BE
OVERDONE...PARTICULARLY SINCE THE FLOW WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY OFF A
LAKE ONTARIO THAT IS CURRENTLY 39 DEGREES F. IN ADDITION...BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS ALL SUGGEST THE FREEZING RAIN WOULD OCCUR DURING THE
DAY...AND GIVEN THE APRIL SUN...THIS JUST DOESN/T ADD UP. BETWEEN
THIS AND THE FACT THAT MOS GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN KEEPING
SFC TEMPS AT LEAST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING...AM INCLINED
TO THINK THAT PRECIP SHOULD STAY ALL RAIN WITH NO ICE ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST AREAS. THE ONLY AREA WHERE FREEZING
PRECIPITATION COULD END UP OCCURRING WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY WHERE THE MODERATING INFLUENCE OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL NOT COME
INTO PLAY...THOUGH EVEN HERE THE WINDOW FOR FREEZING PRECIP WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON JUST HOW COLD SURFACE TEMPS END UP GETTING.

THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. SEE THE HYDROLOGICAL DISCUSSION BELOW FOR
DETAILS...BUT SUFFICE IT TO SAY THAT GIVEN THE RECENT RAINS AND
FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC SETUP...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
ACROSS AREA CREEKS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS FROM LATE THURSDAY
ONWARDS AS HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA. THE GREATEST
THREATS WILL BE ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK AND POSSIBLY THE NORTH
COUNTRY WHERE EVEN THOUGH QPF WILL NOT BE AS
SIGNIFICANT...REMAINING SNOWPACK MAY PRESENT ISSUES.

THE FOCUS OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST ON FRIDAY
AS THE BROAD SURFACE LOW MOVES OVERHEAD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WITH
THE MAIN PRECIP SHIELD MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY BEFORE
EVENTUALLY LIFTING INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT. A BREAK
IN PRECIP FROM WEST TO EAST CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY EVENING AS A DRY SLOT ALOFT MOVES OVERHEAD. EXPECT
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT ONCE AGAIN AS THE MID
LEVEL TROUGH AND WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY STEADY
INT HE LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS MOST AREAS BEFORE FALLING INTO THE MID
30S OVERNIGHT...AND THIS MEANS THAT SOME OF THE RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER TO SNOW ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE NORTH COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT...THOUGH ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD BE NEGLIGIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THAT SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER
WILL LAST THROUGH SATURDAY...BEFORE WE GET ON SUNDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING
NORTH EAST FROM THE PLAINS STATES WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE
60S ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY
AFTER THE SURFACE LOW PUSHES A COLD FRONT EAST ACROSS NEW YORK STATE

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS IN LOW STRATUS/FOG
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE BACK TO IFR/LOW MVFR
WITH DAYTIME MIXING. MEANWHILE FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY...CONDITIONS WILL BE A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR.

AFTER THAT TIME...ANOTHER AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS...BEFORE DIMINISHING TO
MORE SCATTERED ACTIVITY SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS EVENING...WHILE
TAPERING OFF OUTRIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. THROUGH
THE BALANCE OF THE PERIOD...GENERALLY EXPECT IFR/LOW-END MVFR
CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE MVFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IMPROVE BACK TO MVFR/VFR TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN. CHANCE OF
FZRA/SLEET/SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
SUNDAY... MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN DRAPED JUST SOUTH
OF THE LOWER LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
SLIDES EASTWARD ALONG THIS BOUNDARY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AND ASSOCIATED WAVES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT...BEFORE INCREASING TO
ADVISORY CRITERIA VERY LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING LOW.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SOME OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION OF THE WEEK IS LIKELY TO FALL
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS WESTERN NEW YORK BECOMES THE FOCUS
OF DEEP ISENTROPIC UPLIFT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SURFACE/MID
LEVEL CYCLONE. THIS COUPLED WITH PWATS IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 1.25
INCHES...3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...MEANS THAT WE WILL
SEE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER AND FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER
FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AMOUNTS GRADUALLY TAPERING
OFF TO 1.5 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

GIVEN THAT RECENT RAINS HAVE ALREADY PUSHED A NUMBER OF THE
FASTER-RESPONDING CREEKS AROUND BUFFALO TOWARDS BANK-FULL OVER THE
LAST 12 HOURS...THERE IS A CONCERN THAT THE COMING PRECIPITATION
COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OF AREA CREEKS AND LOW-LYING
AREAS ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. IN ADDITION...THERE IS A CONCERN IN
LIGHT OF THE ROBUST SNOWPACK THAT IS STILL IN PLACE ON THE TUG
HILL PLATEAU...HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THAT AREA COULD ALSO YIELD
FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY EVEN THOUGH
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS HEFTY AS THEY ARE
PREDICTED TO BE FARTHER WEST. THE SITUATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED CLOSELY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND RESIDENTS
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH- CENTRAL NEW YORK ARE ADVISED TO STAY
TUNED FOR ANY WATCHES AND WARNINGS SHOULD THEY BE NEEDED.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR/THOMAS
SHORT TERM...WOOD
LONG TERM...TJP
AVIATION...APFFEL/JJR
MARINE...JJR
HYDROLOGY...WOOD
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 10, 5:15 AM EDT, 7 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
515 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-110915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
515 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A STALLED FRONT WILL BRING PERIODS OF
STEADY RAIN TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING THIS
TIME...TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE...WITH THE
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND
CREEKS...ALONG WITH SOME FLOODING IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-110915-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
515 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-110915-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
515 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A STALLED FRONT WILL BRING PERIODS OF
STEADY RAIN TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING THIS
TIME...UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE
STEADIEST PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS
RAINFALL...COMBINED WITH THE MELTING OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK...
COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND
CREEKS...ALONG WITH SOME FLOODING IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

IN ADDITION THERE IS A POTENTIAL THAT SOME OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED
PRECIPITATION MAY FALL IN THE FORM OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
ACROSS THE PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS POINT AS THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY NOT GET QUITE COLD
ENOUGH FOR PRECIPITATION TO FREEZE AT THE SURFACE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

WOOD

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 10, 6:36 AM EDT, 5 hours 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
636 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-101400-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
636 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...AREAS OF FOG ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...

ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS IS RESULTING IN AREAS OF FOG
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS
MORNING. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION AS VISIBILITIES
MAY OCCASIONALLY DROP AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES THIS
MORNING. EXPECT THE FOG TO DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING.

WOOD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 12:07 PM EDTFlood WatchBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 7 more51 hr
Apr 10, 12:35 PM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego51 hr
Apr 10, 3:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara58 min
Apr 10, 3:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee, Wyoming65 min
Apr 10, 3:44 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF4 days
Apr 10, 4:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario44 min
Apr 10, 5:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua58 min
Apr 10, 6:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFAllegany34 min

Nearby

Freezing Rain Advisories in New York, 2013Every freezing rain advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.