Alert archive / North Dakota / Red Flag Warnings in 2013

Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Bismarck, ND

May 13, 201336 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this red flag warning at May 13, 2013, 2:54 PM MDT for 36 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at May 14, 2013, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2013, 2:54 PM MDT (20:54 UTC)
In effect from
May 14, 2013, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
May 14, 2013, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND
All 36 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 14, 11:51 AM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 638 E Roseglen, ND
May 14, 1:58 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 602 N Minot, ND
May 14, 2:38 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 612 N Rolla, ND

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2013-05-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2013-05-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 390 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2889 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
390 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
376 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

512 
WWUS83 KBIS 132054
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
354 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR ALL
OF WEST AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...RED FLAG WARNING TUESDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
EVENING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO AROUND 90 ARE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH NORTHWEST
WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15-20 PERCENT. WITH DORMANT VEGETATION...THESE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE
IGNITE.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING 
FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE
ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO BE IN THE TEENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES AND INCREASE TO 30-35 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTH. EVEN WITH
THE HIGHER HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE NORTH...THE VERY STRONG WINDS ARE
PUSHING THE FIRE DANGER INDEX INTO THE EXTREME CATEGORY ACROSS ALL
BUT THE FAR NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE STATE. THE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS...WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. ANY FIRE STARTED COULD QUICKLY BECOME
UNCONTROLLABLE.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-140500-
/O.UPG.KBIS.FW.A.0004.130514T1700Z-130515T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.FW.W.0004.130514T1700Z-130515T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130514T0100Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
354 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013 /254 PM MDT MON MAY 13 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ TUESDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 
  MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 
  MERCER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 
  MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  031 GOLDEN VALLEY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 
  SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON....AND WEST 25 TO
  35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THEN AGAIN FROM 
  LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 16 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...80 TO 90 THIS AFTERNOON...AND IN THE UPPER 60S TO
  UPPER 70S TUESDAY. 

* LIGHTNING...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTH OF LAKE
  SAKAKAWEA MONDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED. 

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND UNCONTROLLED FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
WAA
6 follow-up statements
999 
WWUS83 KBIS 140007
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
707 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...RED FLAG WARNING TUESDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
EVENING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15-20 PERCENT SUPPORT RAPID FIRE GROWTH
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WITH ABUNDANT DRY VEGETATION. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NORTH OF LAKE SAKAKAWEA
TONIGHT. DRY LIGHTNING CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THESE STORMS
ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE
ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO BE IN THE TEENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES AND INCREASE TO 30-35 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTH. EVEN
WITH THE HIGHER HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE NORTH...THE VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE PUSHING THE FIRE DANGER INDEX INTO THE EXTREME CATEGORY
ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE STATE. THE STRONG
WINDS COMBINED WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS...WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. ANY FIRE STARTED COULD QUICKLY BECOME
UNCONTROLLABLE.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-140815-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130514T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0004.130514T1700Z-130515T0200Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
707 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013 /607 PM MDT MON MAY 13 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 
  MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 
  MERCER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 
  MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  031 GOLDEN VALLEY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 
  SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH THIS EVENING...AND WEST 25 TO 35
  MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THEN AGAIN FROM LATE
  TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 16 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...80 TO 90 THIS EVENING..AND IN THE UPPER 60S TO
  UPPER 70S TUESDAY.

* LIGHTNING...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTH OF LAKE
  SAKAKAWEA MONDAY NIGHT...DRY LIGHT MAY BE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND UNCONTROLLED FIRES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AYD
564 
WWUS83 KBIS 140141
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
841 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
EVENING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON
TUESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO BE
IN THE TEENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND INCREASE TO NEAR 30
PERCENT NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH COMBINED WITH THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S AND 70S AND DRY FUELS ARE
EXPECTED TO YIELD EXTREME FIRE DANGER AND CONDITIONS SUPPORTIVE OF
RAPID FIRE GROWTH ON TUESDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. DRY LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-140945-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0004.130514T1700Z-130515T0200Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
841 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013 /741 PM MDT MON MAY 13 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/
TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 
  MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 
  MERCER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 
  MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  031 GOLDEN VALLEY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 
  SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...WEST-NORTHWEST TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 19 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 60S AND 70S.

* LIGHTNING...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTH OF LAKE
  SAKAKAWEA MONDAY NIGHT...DRY LIGHTNING MAY BE POSSIBLE INTO
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND UNCONTROLLED FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AYD
524 
WWUS83 KBIS 140943
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
443 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR
ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE STATE TODAY. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO BE IN THE TEENS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND INCREASE TO NEAR 30 PERCENT NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH COMBINED WITH THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S...AND DRY FUELS
ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD EXTREME FIRE DANGER AND CONDITIONS
SUPPORTIVE OF RAPID FIRE GROWTH TODAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-141745-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0004.130514T1700Z-130515T0200Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
443 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013 /343 AM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/
TODAY TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR VERY STRONG WINDS...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 
  MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 
  MERCER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 
  MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  031 GOLDEN VALLEY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 
  SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...WEST-NORTHWEST TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT SOUTH AND 25 PERCENT NORTH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

* LIGHTNING...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
  ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING...AND DRY LIGHTNING IS
  POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND UNCONTROLLED FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

JV
652 
WWUS83 KBIS 141800
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH
COMBINED WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S
AND LOWER 80S...AND DRY FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD EXTREME FIRE
DANGER AND CONDITIONS SUPPORTIVE OF RAPID FIRE GROWTH TODAY.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-150200-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130515T0200Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013 /1200 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 
  MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 
  MERCER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 
  MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  031 GOLDEN VALLEY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 
  SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 17 PERCENT SOUTH TO NEAR 30
  PERCENT NORTH.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 70 NORTHWEST TO NEAR 83 SOUTHEAST.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND UNCONTROLLED FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
WAA
107 
WWUS83 KBIS 142036
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
336 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH
COMBINED WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S
AND LOWER 80S...AND DRY FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD EXTREME FIRE
DANGER AND CONDITIONS SUPPORTIVE OF RAPID FIRE GROWTH THROUGH
EARLY EVENING.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-150200-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130515T0200Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
336 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013 /236 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
DRY FUELS FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 
  MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 
  MERCER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 
  MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  031 GOLDEN VALLEY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 
  SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 18 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 70S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND UNCONTROLLED FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
WAA
605 
WWUS83 KBIS 150154
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
854 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT OR 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT...8 PM MDT. WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE
ACROSS THE AREA AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY BEGINS TO RECOVER FROM
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MINIMUMS.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-150300-
/O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130515T0200Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
854 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013 /754 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE ACROSS THE AREA AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BEGINS TO RECOVER FROM AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MINIMUMS.

$$

AYD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 13, 2:45 PM MDT, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 2:45 PM MDT, 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
345 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

SEVERAL CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON REGARDING WINDS AND FIRE WEATHER.
WELL MIXED ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WEST AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. DEBATED ABOUT ISSUING HIGH WIND WARNING ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST FOR LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MODELS NOT IN COMPLETE
AGREEMENT ON THE MAX WIND POTENTIAL. NAM BRINGS IN A 9 MB PRESSURE
RISE BUBBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 12Z ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE. GEOSTROPHIC 1000 MB AND H850 WINDS INDICATE
MARGINAL HIGH WIND WARNING...BUT BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SUGGEST HIGH
END WIND ADVISORY. GFS INDICATING SOMEWHAT LOWER WINDS AND HIGH END
WIND ADVISORY WOULD BE APPROPRIATE FOLLOWING THE GFS. FOR NOW WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE HIGH WIND WATCH DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY.

TONIGHT...STRONG ARM ADVECTION WILL SUPPORT SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NORTH. THERE COULD BE SOME GUSTY WINDS WITH
THE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHWEST DUE TO STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS. AT THIS
TIME DID NOT MENTION SEVERE AS BELIEVE TO ISOLATED THREAT.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 CDT MON MAY 13 2013

THE FOCUS IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITATION
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

QUASI ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL TRANSITION TO
RIDGING ALOFT THURSDAY OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. LIKEWISE A TROUGH
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THURSDAY AND WILL DEEPEN INTO
SATURDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOR WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH PROPAGATES ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAIN STATES BY
SUNDAY. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS PATTERN AND ON THE
ARRIVAL OF THE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. MODELS
DURING THE 18 UTC THURSDAY TO 06 UTC SUNDAY TIME FRAME SHOW SEVERAL
OPPORTUNITIES FOR PRECIPITATION OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA. BEGINNING SUNDAY THE GFS AND EURO DIVERGE ON THE POSITION OF
THE TROUGH. THE EURO HAS THE TROUGH STALLING OUT OVER THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN PLAINS...WITH A CLOSED LOW FORMING DIRECTLY OVER
NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA. THIS SOLUTION KEEPS CHANCES FOR MODERATE
RAINFALL OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND PUSHES THE TROUGH FURTHER EAST BEFORE
DEVELOPING A CLOSED LOW JUST NORTH OF MINNESOTA...WHICH HAS CENTRAL
AND WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA ESSENTIALLY RAIN FREE FROM SUNDAY 18 UTC
ON. THIS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED MOVING FORWARD...AS WPC HAS QPF
VALUES JUST OVER AN INCH OVER NORTH DAKOTA FROM THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WOULD BE SUFFICIENT RAINFALL TO INCREASE
GREENNESS ACROSS THE STATE AND MINIMIZE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

AS FOR SEVERE WEATHER...THE FIRST CHANCE LOOKS TO BE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WEST FROM A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING IN FROM EASTERN
MONTANA. THERE WILL ALSO BE CHANCES ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FROM A SURFACE LOW AND WARM FRONT SET UP IN
SOUTH DAKOTA. OVER THIS TIME FRAME DEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR VALUES WILL
BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KT RANGE WITH MOST UNSTABLE CAPE VALUES IN THE
1000 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE. THIS IS CERTAINLY ENOUGH FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...HOWEVER
SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE LIMITED IN SOME RESPECT BY
CLOUD COVER AND THE WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY GOING ON DURING THIS
TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 345 CDT MON MAY 13 2013

MAIN HAZARDS TO AVIATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL BE
NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS TO 20 TO 30 KTS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 8 PM CDT FROM KISN-
KMOT. THEN ON TUESDAY... ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING STRONG
SURFACE WINDS OF 30 TO 45 KTS ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 15Z KISN-
KMOT-KDIK. CONDITIONS SPREADING SOUTHEAST AFTER 18Z TO KBIS-KJMS.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY WINDS AND DRY PASTURES.

UPGRADED FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO RED FLAG WARNING FOR TUESDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY RANGELAND
CONDITIONS.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM
MDT/ TUESDAY FOR NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-
050-051.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
NDZ003-004-011-012-019>022-034-035-042-045-046.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NDZ005-013-023-025-036-037-047.

&&

SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...MM/KS
AVIATION...WAA
FIRE WEATHER...WAA
Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 12:02 PM MDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
102 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

NDZ004-012-141815-
BOTTINEAU-MCHENRY-
102 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGHOUT THE LOWER SOURIS
BASIN. FOR DETAILED INFORMATION IN YOUR AREA...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BISMARCK. FOR INFORMATION ON RIVER STAGES AND
FORECASTS CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB NEAR THE TOP OF THE
MAIN PAGE.

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM MID
MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT TUESDAY. A
HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH AND PEAK GUSTS TO
60 MPH. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS...FIRE DANGER WILL BE EXTREME
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.
PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BISMARCK FOR DETAILS.

AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS
WEEK...BRINGING A THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ001>003-005-009>011-013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-
141815-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-PIERCE-
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-
SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-
MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
102 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013 /1202 PM MDT MON MAY 13 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM MID
MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 2
CORRIDOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT TUESDAY. A
HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH AND PEAK GUSTS TO
60 MPH. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS...FIRE DANGER WILL BE EXTREME
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.
PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BISMARCK FOR DETAILS.

AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS
WEEK...BRINGING A THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

WAA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 3:39 AM MDTRed Flag WarningBISAdams, Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burke, Burleigh and 30 more15 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in North Dakota, 2013Every red flag warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.