Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS La Crosse, WI

788 
WWUS53 KARX 312010
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
310 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-312100-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130531T2100Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
310 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BUFFALO...
NORTHWESTERN WINONA...EASTERN WABASHA AND EASTERN OLMSTED COUNTIES
UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 306 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WABASHA TO PLAINVIEW TO EYOTA...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. DIME TO NICKLE SIZED HAIL HAS     
         BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  KELLOGG AROUND 315 PM CDT.
  ALMA AROUND 320 PM CDT.
  MODENA AROUND 325 PM CDT.
  ALTURA AND BUFFALO AROUND 330 PM CDT.
  MONDOVI AND ROLLINGSTONE AROUND 335 PM CDT.
  FOUNTAIN CITY AROUND 345 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4444 9221 4442 9209 4458 9204 4460 9199
      4460 9153 4425 9153 4420 9161 4417 9161
      4415 9157 4412 9159 4390 9234
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 241DEG 38KT 4443 9199 4420 9208
          4398 9218

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RRS

719 
WWUS53 KARX 312015
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
315 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-312100-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130531T2100Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
315 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BUFFALO...
NORTHWESTERN WINONA...EASTERN WABASHA AND EAST CENTRAL OLMSTED
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 313 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF WABASHA TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KELLOGG TO DOVER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL WAS     
         REPORTED BETWEEN KELLONG AND PLAINVIEW.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...VEHICLES AND CROPS.
         EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ALMA AROUND 320 PM CDT.
  ALTURA AROUND 325 PM CDT.
  MODENA AROUND 330 PM CDT.
  ROLLINGSTONE AND BUFFALO AROUND 335 PM CDT.
  MONDOVI AROUND 340 PM CDT.
  FOUNTAIN CITY AROUND 345 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4443 9217 4442 9209 4458 9204 4460 9199
      4460 9153 4425 9153 4420 9161 4417 9161
      4415 9157 4412 9159 4394 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 233DEG 39KT 4447 9195 4424 9203
          4402 9213

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RRS

940 
WWUS53 KARX 312025
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
325 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-312100-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130531T2100Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
325 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BUFFALO...
NORTHWESTERN WINONA...EASTERN WABASHA AND EAST CENTRAL OLMSTED
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 321 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF MODENA TO KELLOGG TO 5 MILES
WEST OF ALTURA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. DIME SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED ON   
         THE WEST SIDE OF WABASHA AT 322 PM.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BUFFALO AND MODENA AROUND 330 PM CDT.
  ROLLINGSTONE AROUND 335 PM CDT.
  FOUNTAIN CITY AND MONDOVI AROUND 340 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4434 9213 4446 9207 4458 9204 4460 9199
      4460 9153 4425 9153 4420 9161 4417 9161
      4415 9157 4412 9159 4396 9220
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 233DEG 39KT 4453 9182 4430 9191
          4408 9201

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RRS

320 
WWUS53 KARX 312035
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
335 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-157-169-WIC011-312100-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130531T2100Z/
OLMSTED MN-WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
335 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BUFFALO...
NORTHWESTERN WINONA...SOUTHEASTERN WABASHA AND EAST CENTRAL OLMSTED
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 333 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM MONDOVI TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF MODENA TO 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF ROLLINGSTONE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FOUNTAIN CITY AND MONDOVI AROUND 340 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4441 9200 4460 9199 4460 9153 4425 9153
      4420 9161 4417 9161 4415 9157 4412 9159
      4398 9216
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 233DEG 39KT 4461 9169 4438 9177
          4416 9188

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RRS

708 
WWUS53 KARX 312046
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
346 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MNC109-312056-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130531T2100Z/
OLMSTED MN-
346 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL OLMSTED COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4440 9189 4460 9191 4460 9153 4425 9153
      4420 9161 4417 9161 4415 9157 4412 9159
      4401 9203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 233DEG 39KT 4464 9166 4440 9167
          4410 9181

$$

MNC157-169-WIC011-312100-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130531T2100Z/
WABASHA MN-WINONA MN-BUFFALO WI-
346 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BUFFALO...
NORTH CENTRAL WINONA AND EAST CENTRAL WABASHA COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM
CDT...

AT 341 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM MONDOVI TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MODENA TO
ALTURA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FOUNTAIN CITY AROUND 355 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4440 9189 4460 9191 4460 9153 4425 9153
      4420 9161 4417 9161 4415 9157 4412 9159
      4401 9203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 233DEG 39KT 4464 9166 4440 9167
          4410 9181

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RRS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
227 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/RAP ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING A CLOSED LOW
OVER THE DAKOTAS WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING
NORTHEAST ACROSS IA. THIS WAS KICKING OFF CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST MN/NORTHEAST IA WHERE LAPS WAS PRODUCING AN AXIS OF
1000-1500J/KG 0-1KM MLCAPE. 0-6KM BULK SHEAR WAS RUNNING AROUND
65KT. CONVECTION...SOME SEVERE WITH INCREASING CAPE AND HIGHER-END
BULK SHEAR...WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH ROTATES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LOOK TO BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH AN
ISOLATED TORNADO ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE BULK OF THE
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.

LOOK FOR THE CLOSED LOW TO FILL AS IT ROTATES INTO THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
COOL/CYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE THE IMPETUS FOR MORE SHOWER AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY GOING INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. NAM INDICATING 0-1KM MLCAPE IN THE 150-300J/KG RANGE WITH ANY
DECENT BULK SHEAR SHIFTING ACROSS EASTERN WI. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS BY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE
65-70 DEGREE ACROSS NORTHEAST IA/SOUTHEAST MN...TO THE 70-75 DEGREE
RANGE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE
MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS ROTATES EAST THROUGH THE AREA WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 40S AND LOWER 50S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY FOR A
MUCH DESERVED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
A BIT ON THE COOLER THAN NORMAL SIDE THOUGH WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE
60S. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE LOWER 40S ALONG
AND NORTHEAST OF I-94...TO THE MID/UPPER 40S ELSEWHERE.

FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ANOTHER CLOSED LOW IS SLATED TO MOVE
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
REGION. THIS WILL GIVE THE AREA ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH OVERALL COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
MODELS ARE INDICATING THE LOW LIFTING OUT OF THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT/FRIDAY TIME FRAME. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN FOR NOW
AND WILL PASS ALONG TO LATER SHIFTS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DRYING
THINGS OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED
AT 1248 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE MAIN FOCUS AT THE TAF SITES IS WITH THE TIMING ON WHEN ANY
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL GET INTO THE TAF SITES. SHOWERS HAVE
ALREADY DEVELOPED NEAR RST AND WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WITH AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...THESE SHOWERS
WILL QUICKLY STRENGTHEN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY AT RST BETWEEN 19Z/23Z. AS THE STORMS MARCH EAST...THEY
SHOULD REACH LSE SOMETIME BETWEEN 23Z AND 02Z. MVFR CUMULUS FIELD
WILL LIKELY STAY IN PLACE OR GRADUALLY CLIMB THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS COME IN WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS
SHOULD CLEAR OUT LATER THIS EVENING WITH WINDS SUBSIDING
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

WITH THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMING PROGRESSIVELY DRIER TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...LOOK FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO BE SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER
WITH ANY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. THEREFORE...RUNOFF IS
EXPECTED TO BE LESS OF AN ISSUE GOING INTO THIS WEEKEND. AS OF THIS
AFTERNOON...SEVERAL RIVERWAYS INCLUDING THE TURKEY...UPPER
IOWA...AND TREMPEALEAU STILL HAVE ONGOING FLOODING. FOR FURTHER
DETAILS...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...DAS
LONG TERM...DAS
AVIATION...HALBACH
HYDROLOGY...DAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1153 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-011200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-
MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-
WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
1153 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SOME OF THESE POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE.  THESE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST
IOWA BEFORE BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN
THIS EVENING.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO ARE
ALL POSSIBLE HAZARDS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THE MAIN TIME FRAME
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A TORNADO IS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS BEFORE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE BECOMES THE MAIN HAZARD.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE UPPER IOWA AND TURKEY RIVERS IN
NORTHEAST IOWA...AND THE BLACK AND TREMPEALEAU RIVERS IN WESTERN
WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ON SATURDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA. NONE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
SEVERE.

MANY RIVERS WILL BE IN FLOOD OR RUNNING HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. IT IS TOO EARLY DISCERN WHETHER ANY OF THEM WILL
BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

RAINFALL REPORTS ARE APPRECIATED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

BOYNE/04/HALBACH