Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Wakefield, VA

349 
WWUS51 KAKQ 310718
SVSAKQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
218 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

VAC036-095-175-181-620-830-310727-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130131T0730Z/
SOUTHAMPTON VA-CITY OF FRANKLIN VA-CITY OF WILLIAMSBURG VA-
CHARLES CITY VA-JAMES CITY VA-SURRY VA-
218 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN SURRY...SOUTHERN JAMES
CITY...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES CITY...CITY OF WILLIAMSBURG...
CITY OF FRANKLIN AND EASTERN SOUTHAMPTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW 
SEVERE LIMITS AND MOVED EAST OF THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3656 7676 3713 7668 3696 7644 3713 7664
      3735 7666 3726 7653 3735 7662 3737 7664
      3743 7625 3743 7624 3730 7627 3737 7640
      3727 7634 3724 7649 3712 7628 3700 7632
      3693 7648 3689 7640 3655 7650
TIME...MOT...LOC 0717Z 253DEG 43KT 3741 7638 3669 7654

$$

VAC073-093-115-199-650-700-735-800-310730-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130131T0730Z/
CITY OF SUFFOLK VA-MATHEWS VA-GLOUCESTER VA-CITY OF POQUOSON VA-
YORK VA-CITY OF HAMPTON VA-ISLE OF WIGHT VA-CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS VA-
218 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CITY OF
NEWPORT NEWS...EASTERN ISLE OF WIGHT...CITY OF HAMPTON...YORK...CITY
OF POQUOSON...SOUTHERN GLOUCESTER...SOUTHERN MATHEWS AND CITY OF
SUFFOLK COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM EST...

AT 217 AM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MOBJACK TO DOWNTOWN
SUFFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HAMPTON UNIVERSITY...NEW POINT COMFORT...LANGLEY AFB AND BAVON
  AROUND 225 AM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE HALLWOOD...
PEARY...NEW POINT...LABAN...PLUM TREE ISLAND REFUGE...MESSICK...
RALEIGH TERRACE...PHOEBUS...LANGLEY VIEW AND FOX HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY 
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED 
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3656 7676 3713 7668 3696 7644 3713 7664
      3735 7666 3726 7653 3735 7662 3737 7664
      3743 7625 3743 7624 3730 7627 3737 7640
      3727 7634 3724 7649 3712 7628 3700 7632
      3693 7648 3689 7640 3655 7650
TIME...MOT...LOC 0717Z 253DEG 43KT 3741 7638 3669 7654
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

MMONTE

041 
WWUS51 KAKQ 310733
SVSAKQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
233 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

VAC073-093-115-199-650-700-735-800-310742-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130131T0730Z/
CITY OF SUFFOLK VA-MATHEWS VA-GLOUCESTER VA-CITY OF POQUOSON VA-
YORK VA-CITY OF HAMPTON VA-ISLE OF WIGHT VA-CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS VA-
233 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS...EASTERN
ISLE OF WIGHT...CITY OF HAMPTON...YORK...CITY OF POQUOSON...SOUTHERN
GLOUCESTER...SOUTHERN MATHEWS AND CITY OF SUFFOLK COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND MOVED
OUT OF THE WARNED AREA.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE STILL 
POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF SHOWERS.

PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE 
LIMBS DOWNED...BY CALLING NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN 
WAKEFIELD AT...1...800...7 3 7...8 6 2 4.

LAT...LON 3656 7676 3713 7668 3696 7644 3713 7664
      3735 7666 3726 7653 3735 7662 3737 7664
      3743 7625 3743 7624 3730 7627 3737 7640
      3727 7634 3724 7649 3712 7628 3700 7632
      3693 7648 3689 7640 3655 7650
TIME...MOT...LOC 0718Z 253DEG 43KT 3741 7636 3669 7653

$$

MMONTE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1240 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. COLDER WEATHER WILL
RETURN THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE NORTHEAST STATES ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
TORNADO WATCHES 24 AND 25 ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE FA. MAIN THREAT THOUGH CONTINUES TO BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING LO-TOPPED CONVECTIVE LINE...WHICH
MAY ALLOW FOR STRONG LLJ WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE GROUND. MAIN
ISSUE CONTINUES TO BE LACK OF INSTABILITY WITH NEAR 0 CAPE AND HI
CIN. THE LINE WILL REACH WESTERN FRINGES OF THE FA AROUND
0330Z...RICHMOND/I95 AREA AROUND 06Z...AND COASTAL AREAS A COUPLE
HRS LATER. DON'T EXPECT DAMAGING WINDS TO BE A WIDESPREAD
ISSUE...THOUGH A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THRU OVRNGT AS
GRADIENT WINDS GUSTING UP TO 40-45 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRNT. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED AS WELL WITH
PWATS ~1.5". ARRIVAL OF A STRONG MID-LVL S/W TROF WILL HELP TO
ACCELERATE THE FRNT THRU THE FA OVRNGT.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY...OR DECREASE SLIGHTLY IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONT...BEFORE FALLING QUICKLY POST FRONTAL UNDER CLEARING
SKIES. H85 TEMPS PROGGED TO FALL NEARLY 20C/12 HRS AS LOW LEVEL
THICKNESS VALUES FALL 20M. HOWEVER...STRONG W/SW DOWNSLOPE WINDS
WILL LIMIT TEMPS FROM DROPPING BELOW THE LOW/MID 40S INLAND AND
NEAR 50 ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
ADDITIONAL ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
AS THE MAIN SHORTWAVE LIFTS OVER SE CANADA...RESULTING IN BROAD
CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE NE CONUS. PRECIP WILL PUSH OFFSHORE THURSDAY
MORNING AS W/WSWLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS USHER IN MUCH DRIER AIR THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. STRONG CAA WILL LEAD TO
BREEZY CONDITIONS AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35
MPH. HEIGHT/THICKNESS FALLS WILL BE OVERCOME BY STRONG WLY
FLOW...WITH TEMPS FORECAST IN THE UPPER 40S/LOW 50S.

MID LEVEL VORT MAX WILL DIVE OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION FRIDAY AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM DROPS OVER THE NE. HI RES
MODELS DEVELOP A MESO LOW OVER THE NRN FA WITH A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDING SWD ACROSS THE FA. THIS COULD RESULT IN LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE NRN FA...INCLUDING THE MD ERN SHORE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. HAVE PLACED SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE POPS OVER THE NRN FA
WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS (<1"). ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
BEHIND THE DEPARTING CLIPPER SYSTEM WITH COLD TEMPS AND BREEZY NW
WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. FRIDAY HIGHS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE
MID 30S NW TO MID 40S SE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN US WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL NW FLOW LOCALLY OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST RESULTING
IN A CLEAR/MOSTLY CLEAR SKY AND ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO
THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE FLOW AROUND
THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINS RATHER ACTIVE WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH/VORT MAX DIVING SE FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST ON
SAT...AND PUSHING OFF THE NC COAST BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z SUNDAY.
LATEST ECMWF REMAINS A LITTLE STRONGER WITH THIS FEATURE AND WOULD
SUGGEST BEST POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN MORNING.
MODEL SOUNDINGS REMAIN DRY IN THE LOW LEVELS SAT WITH JUST SOME
INCREASING MAINLY MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
N TO 40-45 CENTRAL AND SOUTH. THERE IS A LITTLE MORE POTENTIAL
FOR PRECIPITATION SAT NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY (ESPECIALLY IF THE ECMWF
VERIFIES) BUT OVERALL THE PATTERN APPEARS FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE AND
CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WOULD OCCUR TOO LATE FOR THIS
TO RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR THE REGION.
HOWEVER THE LATEST FORECAST HAS TRENDED UP TO CHC POPS N AND
SLIGHT CHC ELSEWHERE...WITH MAINLY SNOW AS P-TYPE (RA/SN IN THE
FAR SE). HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 40S. THE
FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER QUICK MOVING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING A SLIGHT CHC FOR MAINLY RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA IN THE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY TIMEFRAME...WITH DRY CONDITIONS WED.
HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S NORTH TO THE
MID 50S SOUTH MON-TUE...FALLING BACK A BIT AGAIN FOR WED (IN THE
40S).

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
PER PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...BIGGEST AVIATION ISSUE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
WIND. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS PREVAIL AHEAD OF STRONG COLD FRONT...ALONG
WITH VFR/MVFR CEILINGS. EXPECT A 3 TO 5 HOUR PERIOD OF
PRECIPITATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRONT...ENDING AT KRIC AROUND
10Z...REACHING KSBY AROUND 06Z...AND KORF/KPHF/KECG IN THE 07Z-
08Z TIME FRAME. WIND SHIFT TO THE SW WILL ACCOMPANY
PRECIPITATION...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS AOA 40KTS IN MOST
INTENSE SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS. HAVE ALSO INCLUDED TEMPO FOR IFR VSBY
IN THE HEAVIER SHWRS. PRECIPITATION CLEARS ALL AREAS BY 12Z
THURSDAY...WITH SKIES CLEARING. HOWEVER...GUSTY W/WNW WINDS WILL
PERSIST THE ENTIRE DAY...WITH SOME GUSTS REACHING OR EXCEEDING 30
KTS.

GENLY DRY/VFR THEREAFTER...ASIDE FROM A CLIPPER SYSTEM BRINGING A
CHC FOR -SHSN ON FRI...WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES AT KSBY.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNING TODAY THRU THU MORNG...DUE TO VERY STRONG S WINDS AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT AND STRONG COLD AIR SURGE BEHIND THE FRONT. THE
FRONT WILL PUSH ACRS THE WATERS BETWEEN 06Z AND 10Z TNGT INTO EARLY
THU MORNG. A STRONG SSW LO-LEVEL JET IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. HOWEVER...THE MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE VERY
STABLE...AS LAND TEMPS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL (70-75 THIS AFTN)
AND WATER TEMPS ARE 40-45. THIS MAY MAKE IT TOUGH TO ATTAIN
SUSTAINED GALE FORCE WINDS LATE THIS AFTN INTO EARLY THU MORNG.
BUT...DO THINK THE STRONG LO LEVEL JET WILL HELP BRING DOWN ENOUGH
FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 KTS ACRS THE WTRS...ESPLY IN
HEAVIER SHOWERS (CONVECTION). SEAS WILL BLD TO 7-12 FT OUT NEAR 20NM
LATER THIS AFTN INTO TNGT.

BREEZY CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THU AND THU NGT WITH A 20-25 KT
W WIND GUSTING TO OVER 30 KT...WITH SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED. A LO
PRES SYSTEM CROSSES THE AREA FRI MORNG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF CAA
EXPECTED LATER FRI AFTN AND EVENG. HI PRES BRIEFLY CROSSES THE
REGION SAT FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER QUICK MOVING LO PRES SYSTEM SAT
NGT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RIVER LEVELS WILL SHOW A SIGNIFICANT RISE BEGINNING TONIGHT AND
PERSISTING INTO THU/FRI. LATEST DATA AND RFC FORECAST SHOWS
POSSIBILITY OF SOME FLOODING FOR THE JAMES RIVER BASIN INCLUDING
RICHMOND WESTHAM BY FRI. WILL NOT BE ISSUING ANY WARNINGS YET AS
THERE IS STILL A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING QPF AMOUNTS
FROM THE FRONT WED NIGHT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
HAVE RAISED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY EARLY THU FOR THE MD ERN
SHORE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE CHES BAY BASED ON LATEST OBS
SHOWING SURGING WATER LEVELS (NOW TO 1.0-1.5 FT ABOVE NORMAL). THE
LATEST EXTRATROPICAL CBOFS GUIDANCE NOW DEPICTS A WATER LEVEL
AROUND 4.0 FT MLLW AT CAMBRIDGE (ABOUT A 2.5 FT ANOMALY). THIS
WATER LEVEL IS AT THE THRESHOLD BETWEEN MINOR AND MODERATE
FLOODING...SO IT MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING IF ANOMALIES
INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY (WILL BE ABLE TO ADJUST W/ SIGNIFICANT LEAD
TIME AS THE HIGH TIDES OF CONCERN ARE GENLY NOT UNTIL AFTER 3 AM).
PERSISTENT WESTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL TIDES LATER
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR MDZ021>025.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     MDZ021>023.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NCZ012-013-
     030.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NCZ014>017-
     031-032-102.
VA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR VAZ048-049-
     060>076-079>083-087>090-092.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR VAZ077-078-
     084>086-091-093>100.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ630>632-634-
     650-652-654-656-658.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR ANZ633-
     635>638.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ALB/SAM
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...SAM
LONG TERM...LKB
AVIATION...WRS
MARINE...TMG/DAP
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

NCZ013-030-VAZ072>076-089-090-010600-
HERTFORD-BERTIE-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-
RICHMOND-SURRY-JAMES CITY-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...TORNADO WATCH 27 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...EAST CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD
FRONT THE WEST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND MODERATE RAINFALL AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ012-VAZ063-064-070-071-079>083-087-088-092-010600-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HANOVER-CAROLINE-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-BRUNSWICK-
DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-
SOUTHAMPTON-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 25 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD
FRONT THE WEST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND MODERATE RAINFALL AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ048-049-060>062-065>069-010600-
FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-MECKLENBURG-
LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD
FRONT THE WEST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND MODERATE RAINFALL AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ021>023-010600-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...TORNADO WATCH 27 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRONT THE
WEST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
MODERATE RAINFALL AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ014>016-031-032-VAZ077-078-084>086-091-093>097-010600-
GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...TORNADO WATCH 27 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD
FRONT THE WEST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND MODERATE RAINFALL AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ630>632-634-650-652-654-656-658-010600-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO
20 NM-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...TORNADO WATCH 27 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE
BAY...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ633-635>638-010600-
CURRITUCK SOUND-RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT-
YORK RIVER-JAMES RIVER FROM JAMESTOWN TO THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE-
JAMES RIVER FROM THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE TO THE HAMPTON ROADS BRIDGE-
TUNNEL-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...TORNADO WATCH 27 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CURRITUCK SOUND...THE EASTERN
JAMES RIVER...THE EASTERN RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER AND THE EASTERN YORK
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ024-025-NCZ017-102-VAZ098>100-010600-
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-INLAND CURRITUCK-
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
1251 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...TORNADO WATCH 27 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER
BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA AND THE
EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD
FRONT THE WEST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND MODERATE RAINFALL AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1201 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

VAZ049-060>076-079>083-087-088-310615-
AMELIA VA-BRUNSWICK VA-CAROLINE VA-CHARLES CITY VA-CHESTERFIELD
VA-CUMBERLAND VA-DINWIDDIE VA-ESSEX VA-GOOCHLAND VA-GREENSVILLE
VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-LOUISA
VA-LUNENBURG VA-MECKLENBURG VA-NEW KENT VA-NOTTOWAY VA-POWHATAN
VA-PRINCE EDWARD VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-RICHMOND VA-SUSSEX
VA-WESTMORELAND VA-
1201 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...SHOWERS ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS HEADING TOWARD THE INTERSTATE
95 CORRIDOR...

AT 1158 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM BUMPASS TO 17 MILES SOUTH OF BOYDTON...OR
FROM 5 MILES EAST OF MINERAL TO 7 MILES NORTH OF HENDERSON NC
...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
NEAR...LOCUST CREEK AROUND 1210 AM EST...MURDOCKS AROUND 1215 AM
EST...SPAINVILLE AROUND 1225 AM EST...RUTHER GLEN AROUND 1230 AM
EST...WOODFORD AROUND 1235 AM EST...AND VILLBORO AROUND 1240 AM EST.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN BRING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES.

LAT...LON 3743 7827 3812 7792 3800 7764 3826 7734
      3823 7728 3825 7727 3824 7723 3819 7724
      3821 7722 3817 7717 3816 7707 3823 7706
      3829 7699 3825 7694 3822 7695 3818 7687
      3816 7666 3672 7747 3654 7857

WRS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1217 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOSWELLS TAVERN         38.07N  78.19W
01/30/2013                   LOUISA             VA   911 CALL CENTER

            COUPLE OF TREES DOWN WESTERN PORTION OF COUNTY.

0830 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG COLONIAL HEIGHTS        37.26N  77.40W
01/30/2013                   CITY OF COLONIAL H VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE DOWNED TREE WITH PROPERTY DAMAGE

0915 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NW BEXLEY             37.48N  77.57W
01/30/2013                   CHESTERFIELD       VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN

1021 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST SALISBURY               38.33N  75.50W
01/30/2013  M49 MPH          WICOMICO           MD   ASOS

1040 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ASHLAND                 37.76N  77.48W
01/30/2013  M44 MPH          HANOVER            VA   ASOS

            REPORTED AT KOFP

1045 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NORFOLK                 36.90N  76.20W
01/30/2013  M47 MPH          CITY OF NORFOLK    VA   ASOS

1050 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST RICHMOND                37.50N  77.33W
01/30/2013  M49 MPH          HENRICO            VA   ASOS

1050 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST OCEANA NAS              36.82N  76.03W
01/30/2013  M47 MPH          CITY OF VIRGINIA B VA   ASOS

1107 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST OCEANA NAS              36.82N  76.03W
01/30/2013  M47 MPH          CITY OF VIRGINIA B VA   ASOS

1132 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NORFOLK                 36.90N  76.20W
01/30/2013  M54 MPH          CITY OF NORFOLK    VA   ASOS

1145 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST FARMVILLE               37.35N  78.43W
01/30/2013  M43 MPH          CUMBERLAND         VA   AWOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1300207 AKQ1300208 AKQ1300209 AKQ1300214 AKQ1300215
AKQ1300210 AKQ1300211 AKQ1300216 AKQ1300217 AKQ1300212 AKQ1300213

WRS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1217 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOSWELLS TAVERN         38.07N  78.19W
01/30/2013                   LOUISA             VA   911 CALL CENTER

            COUPLE OF TREES DOWN WESTERN PORTION OF COUNTY.

0830 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG COLONIAL HEIGHTS        37.26N  77.40W
01/30/2013                   CITY OF COLONIAL H VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE DOWNED TREE WITH PROPERTY DAMAGE

0915 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NW BEXLEY             37.48N  77.57W
01/30/2013                   CHESTERFIELD       VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN

1021 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST SALISBURY               38.33N  75.50W
01/30/2013  M449 MPH         WICOMICO           MD   ASOS

1040 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ASHLAND                 37.76N  77.48W
01/30/2013  M44 MPH          HANOVER            VA   ASOS

            REPORTED AT KOFP

1045 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NORFOLK                 36.90N  76.20W
01/30/2013  M47 MPH          CITY OF NORFOLK    VA   ASOS

1050 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST RICHMOND                37.50N  77.33W
01/30/2013  M49 MPH          HENRICO            VA   ASOS

1050 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST OCEANA NAS              36.82N  76.03W
01/30/2013  M47 MPH          CITY OF VIRGINIA B VA   ASOS

1107 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST OCEANA NAS              36.82N  76.03W
01/30/2013  M47 MPH          CITY OF VIRGINIA B VA   ASOS

1132 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NORFOLK                 36.90N  76.20W
01/30/2013  M54 MPH          CITY OF NORFOLK    VA   ASOS

1145 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST FARMVILLE               37.35N  78.43W
01/30/2013  M43 MPH          CUMBERLAND         VA   AWOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1300207 AKQ1300208 AKQ1300209 AKQ1300214 AKQ1300215
AKQ1300210 AKQ1300211 AKQ1300216 AKQ1300217 AKQ1300212 AKQ1300213

WRS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1235 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

NCZ012-VAZ065-079-087-092-310615-
BRUNSWICK VA-GREENSVILLE VA-MECKLENBURG VA-NORTHAMPTON NC-SOUTHAMPTON
VA-
1235 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...SHOWERS ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS HEADED TOWARD EMPORIA AND
ROANOKE RAPIDS...

AT 1232 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM BRODNAX TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LOUISBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE NEAR...GASBURG AROUND 1245 AM EST...BARLEY AROUND 100 AM EST...
GASTON AROUND 105 AM EST...AND GARYSBURG AROUND 110 AM EST.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN BRING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES.

LAT...LON 3664 7808 3671 7746 3632 7745 3630 7750
      3630 7756 3635 7759 3638 7755 3640 7755
      3644 7763 3648 7765 3648 7777 3650 7781
      3650 7789 3654 7792 3654 7809

WRS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
104 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

VAZ063-064-070>076-082-083-310700-
CAROLINE-CHARLES CITY-CHESTERFIELD-ESSEX-HANOVER-HENRICO-KING AND
QUEEN-KING WILLIAM-NEW KENT-RICHMOND-WESTMORELAND-
104 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST OF RICHMOND METRO TOWARDS
NORTHERN NECK...

AT 103 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF POTOMAC
BEACH TO BELLWOOD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST
OF COLONIAL BEACH TO CHESTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...NEWTOWN...NEW KENT
AIRPORT...TALLEYSVILLE...SLATERVILLE...ROSE GARDEN...KING AND QUEEN
COURT HOUSE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

LAT...LON 3826 7695 3822 7695 3818 7687 3816 7661
      3750 7688 3729 7748 3751 7741 3752 7739
      3754 7740 3819 7720 3817 7717 3816 7707
      3826 7705 3828 7698

05

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
108 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

NCZ012-013-VAZ070-080-081-084-087>093-310700-
CHESTERFIELD-DINWIDDIE-GLOUCESTER-GREENSVILLE-HERTFORD-ISLE OF
WIGHT-JAMES CITY-NORTHAMPTON-PRINCE
GEORGE-SOUTHAMPTON-SURRY-SUSSEX-YORK-
108 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA TOWARDS
MIDDLE PENINSULA...

AT 107 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HOPEWELL TO JARRATT TO 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MUD CASTLE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
HOPEWELL TO 7 MILES EAST OF PURDY TO HALIFAX...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...BOONES CROSSROADS...
MARGARETTSVILLE...SEVERN...SHILOH...SUNBEAM...HUNTERDALE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

LAT...LON 3635 7759 3640 7755 3644 7763 3728 7741
      3732 7722 3731 7709 3727 7707 3731 7701
      3722 7689 3729 7686 3743 7690 3747 7674
      3743 7671 3751 7665 3750 7659 3721 7670
      3718 7677 3715 7672 3658 7693 3630 7756

MMONTE