Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2013
Gale Warning 49, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 24, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 21 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 24, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2013, 1:27 PM AKST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
318 FZAK51 PAJK 250048 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-251400- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WILL TRACK NORTH TO A LOCATION WEST OF SITKA BY FRI AFTERNOON...WEAKENING ALONG THE WAY. THE LOW WILL THEN DIMINISH TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT AS ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS OFFSHORE OF YAKUTAT INTO SAT. $$ PKZ011-251400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-251400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .SUN...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ013-251400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND BECOMING 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-251400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. SNOW LATE. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-251400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-251400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-251400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-251400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-251400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-251400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-251400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
370 FZAK51 PAJK 250651 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-260100- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WILL TRACK NORTH TO A LOCATION WEST OF SITKA BY FRI AFTERNOON...WEAKENING ALONG THE WAY. THE LOW WILL THEN DIMINISH TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT AS ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS OFFSHORE OF YAKUTAT INTO SAT. $$ PKZ011-260100- GLACIER BAY- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-260100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FLURRIES. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .SUN...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ013-260100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FLURRIES AND RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND BECOMING 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-260100- ICY STRAIT- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-260100- CROSS SOUND- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-260100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-260100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-260100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-260100- FREDERICK SOUND- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-260100- SUMNER STRAIT- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-260100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 948 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
333 FZAK51 PAJK 251253 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-260100- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW WEST OF SITKA WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT THEN DRIFT OVER THE PANHANDLE AS A TROUGH ON SATURDAY. A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL TRACK EAST ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ PKZ011-260100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-260100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-260100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ021-260100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF GLACIER BAY. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-260100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-260100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-260100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-260100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-260100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-260100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-260100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
549 FZAK51 PAJK 252227 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-261630- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW W OF SITKA WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE FRI NIGHT THEN DRIFT OVER THE PANHANDLE AS A TROUGH ON SAT. A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL TRACK E ALONG THE N COAST OF THE GULF THROUGH SAT. A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE YUKON ON SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ011-261630- GLACIER BAY- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-261630- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN THROUGH MON...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-261630- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ021-261630- ICY STRAIT- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF GLACIER BAY. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-261630- CROSS SOUND- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-261630- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-261630- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-261630- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-261630- FREDERICK SOUND- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-261630- SUMNER STRAIT- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-261630- CLARENCE STRAIT- 127 PM AKST FRI JAN 25 2013 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 24, 3:33 PM AKST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 3:33 PM AKST, 27 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
333 PM AKST THU JAN 24 2013
.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS LOW FINALLY MAKING IT INTO
SOUTHEAST GULF WITH CIRRUS ENCROACHING THE SKIES OVER THE
NORTHERN ZONES. GALES OVER THE SOUTH...WITH EXCEPTION OF CAPE
DECISION HAVE NOT MATERIALIZED AS OF YET. LATE OBS FROM HYDABURG
OF 33 KT...THUS WE HAVE STRONG WINDS. WINDS WILL ONLY INCREASE
THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT IN ZONES 23, 27, AND 28. BOTH NAM
AND MM5 SUGGESTING GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THESE ZONES AND
ADJACENT WATERS TONIGHT. NAM WINDS AT 850 ALSO STILL REVEALING
850 JET UP TO 60 KTS THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS.
GALES HAVE BEEN PLACED FOR MARINE ZONES THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE
WATERS AND NOW INCLUDING ZONE 43 FOR ANTICIPATION OF SOME
FAVORABLE OUTFLOW DIRECTION FROM CROSS SOUND. THUS CROSS SOUND
WILL ALSO SEE GALE THIS EVENING SLOWLY DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT AS
LOW IN THE GULF BEGINS TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH. SOUTHERN
OCEAN ENTRANCE PASSAGES ALSO WILL SEE GALE OVERNIGHT WITH
CLARENCE WINDS LASTING GALE FORCE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...STILL WAITING FOR LYNN CANAL DIRECTIONS TO FLIP...AND
FLIP IT SHOULD TO NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASING OVERNIGHT
TO SCA LEVEL. STEPHENS PASSAGE WILL FLIP FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
LATER TONIGHT AND NORTHERN CHATHAM SHOULD DO THE SAME AROUND
DAYBREAK. ON THE FLIP SIDE...WINDS AROUND THE NORTHEAST GULF LAND
AREAS SHOULD GO LIGHT FRIDAY. FRIDAY...A WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO
BUILD WEST FROM BC AND WILL THUS SHIFT LYNN CANAL YET AGAIN TO
SOUTH.
PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER, THERE
HAS BEEN LIGHT PERIODS OF RAIN ALL DAY OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
ALASKA. ORIGINAL INTENT WAS TO HAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN OVER MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN ZONES BUT AS THE ROADS ARE REPORTING FLURRIES AND
LYNN CANAL HAS HAD FEW BREAKS TODAY FROM PRECIPITATION, ELECTED
TO GO LATE WITH HIGH POPS, LIGHT PRECIP...WORDING FLURRIES AND
SPRINKLES FROM HOONAH NORTHWARD INTO LYNN CANAL. FOR JUNEAU
ELECTED TO GO WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN WITH HEAVIER STUFF FOR
FRIDAY. CONTINUED MILD TEMPERATURES FROM JUNEAU SOUTH SHOULD KEEP
MOST SPOTS LIQUID PRECIP. PAST EXPERIENCE WITH MIXING THE
PREVIOUS DAYSHIFTS HAS NOT YIELDED MUCH FRUIT. ALSO DECIDED TO
PLACE SOME PATCHY FOG IN YAKUTAT TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING FOR
POTENTIAL CLEARING AND COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN PREVIOUS
FORECAST. DID LOWER TEMPERATURES HERE TWO OR THREE DEGREES. FOR
JUNEAU ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG THIS EVENING AS SOME FORMED DEEP IN
THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT, THINK JUST ENOUGH STIRRING
FROM THE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE COAST WILL DISSIPATE ANY FOG THAT
DID FORM.
MODELS OF CHOICE WERE AGAIN THE ECMWF AND THE NAM. OVERALL
SYSTEM ARRIVING SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN ANTICIPATED EARLIER...BUT
STILL THINK MAGNITUDES WILL BE GOOD FOR TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE GOOD
FOR SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND SHAKY ON THE DETAILS.
&&
.LONG TERM...MAIN CONCERN IN THE LONG RANGE IS WHEN A COLD AIR
OUTBREAK WILL SHOW UP AND WHEN IT WILL DEPART THE PANHANDLE THIS
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS STILL IN DECENT AGREEMENT INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH THE YUKON HIGH AND ACCOMPANYING UPPER TROUGH
DIVING SOUTH THIS WEEKEND. NORTH WINDS WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH SAT NIGHT AND WILL QUICKLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY UP
TO GALE AND EVEN STORM FORCE IN LYNN CANAL BY SUN AFTERNOON.
NORTHERLY SMALL CRAFTS WILL INFECT MOST OF THE INNER CHANNELS BY
LATE SUN NIGHT AS THE YUKON HIGH CONTINUES TO SPREAD ITS INFLUENCE
OVER THE PANHANDLE. GFS WAS A BIT OF AN OUTLIER EARLY ON AS IT WAS
GOING TOO SW WITH THE REMAINING LOW IN THE SE GULF AND WAS A
LITTLE TOO WEAK ON THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST
MOUNTAINS. DECIDED ON USING THE NAM AND EC FOR ITS DETAILS IN THAT
AREA.
THE MAJOR PROBLEMS START SHOWING UP MON AND INTO THE REST OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AS THE MODELS TRY AND FIGURE OUT HOW LONG THE
ARCTIC AIR STICKS AROUND. THE 0Z ECMWF WAS ONE OF THE DRIEST
AND COLDEST OF THE MODEL RUNS WITH A GENERALLY DRY FORECAST INTO
MID WEEK COURTESY OF A VERY SHARP UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF. THE
12Z RUN OF THE ECMWF DID A COMPLETE 180 AND FLATTENED THE UPPER
RIDGE CONSIDERABLY. THE RESULT IS A VERY MOIST FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE PANHANDLE ON MON AND WITH THE COLD AIR STILL IN PLACE
THIS WILL BRING A RATHER SIGNIFICANT SNOW DUMP TO THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE. SINCE THIS WAS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE OVER THE PREVIOUS
RUN I DID NOT PUT MUCH WEIGHT ON THE 12Z SOLUTION AND WILL WAIT TO
SEE IF FUTURE RUNS CONTINUE THIS SCENARIO. THE GFS WAS SOMEWHERE
IN BETWEEN THE 0Z AND 12Z ECMWF ON HOW LONG THE COLD AIR STICKS
AROUND AND HOW MOIST IT WILL BE. IN ALL CASES THE EXTENDED PERIOD
IS GENERALLY WARMER AND WETTER AS THE ARCTIC HIGH GETS PUSHED TO
THE EAST AND THE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS DIMINISH ON MON NIGHT AND
TUES. A FEW WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST THOUGHT THE REST OF THE EXTENDED BUT TIMING AND POSITION
OF THE WAVES ARE DEBATED. GENERALLY DECIDED ON A GFS AND 0Z ECMWF
BLEND ON MONDAY AND MON NIGHT THEN USED HPC GUIDANCE FOR THE REST
OF THE LONG RANGE. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE UP TO SUN
THEN DROPS RAPIDLY TO POOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ027.
STRONG WIND FROM 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
AKZ023.
STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-033-035-036-041>043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-031-034-051-052.
&&
JWA/EALThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Jan 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 days | |
| Jan 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 25, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 19 hr | |
| Jan 25, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Jan 25, 1:27 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 10 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.