Gale Warning 113, NWS Fairbanks, AK

998 
FZAK52 PAFG 302258
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-011400-
158 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN SAINT PAUL ISLAND AND
NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL MOVE EAST TO CENTER OVER THE LOWER YUKON
VALLEY SUNDAY MORNING. A 994 MB LOW NEAR SHEMYA TONIGHT WILL
WEAKEN TO 1004 MB AS IT MOVES NORTH INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA
MONDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ200-011400-
NORTON SOUND-
158 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-011400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
158 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-011400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
158 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-011400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
158 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CCC/DA NOV 13

137 
FZAK52 PAFG 011241
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
341 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-020345-
341 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER INTERIOR ALASKA WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS ITS CENTER CONTINUES EAST INTO CANADA. A 994 MB LOW NEAR SHEMYA
WILL WEAKEN TO 1008 MB AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO BE NEAR CAPE
NAVARIN AT 3 PM MONDAY.

$$

PKZ200-020345-
NORTON SOUND-
341 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-020345-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
341 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT...EXCEPT SE 25 KT
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. FOG. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.
SE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 ELSEWHERE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG...SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-020345-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
341 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-020345-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
341 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY NOON. FOG...SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SE. FOG.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. FOG...SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

JB/DJH DEC 13

648 
FZAK52 PAFG 012306
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
206 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-021415-
206 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER INTERIOR ALASKA WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS ITS CENTER CONTINUES EAST INTO CANADA. A 997 MB LOW 240 NM
NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE NORTH OVER EASTERN RUSSIA MONDAY
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-021415-
NORTON SOUND-
206 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-021415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
206 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-021415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
206 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-021415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
206 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CCC/DA DEC 13

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
200 PM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LARGE SCALE DETAILS
ON A RIDGE BUILDING NORTH AND EAST FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL BERING
SEA TONIGHT THROUGH THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR BY MONDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR TONIGHT MIGRATES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE PANHANDLE SUNDAY WHERE IT WEAKENS AND MOVES
SOUTHEAST ALONG THE BC COAST THROUGH MONDAY.

ON THE SURFACE A 1015 MB LOW MOVING NORTHWEST OUT OF THE MACKENZIE
DELTA IS BRINGING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN ARCTIC
SLOPE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HOISTED FOR
BARTAR ISLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR BLOWING SNOW. WINDS ALONG
THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE WILL DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT. A STRONG
SHORTWAVE IF FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH SLOPE
SUNDAY AND THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WITH THE SYSTEM...EXPECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

ACROSS THE INTERIOR A COLD AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE AND WILL
RESULT IN ANOTHER NIGHT OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. PATCHY
NATURE OF THE CLOUD COVER WILL AGAIN MAKE FOR A WIDE RANGE OF
TEMPERATURES OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIMES AS CLEAR PATCHES MOVE IN
AND OUT OVER THE AREA. THE AIR MASS IS QUIT COLD AND IS CAPABLE OF
DROPPING TO NEAR 35 BELOW OR COLDER GIVEN SEVERAL HOURS OF CLEAR
SKIES HOWEVER BELIEVE CLOUDS WILL BE IN AND OUT IN MOST LOCATIONS
SO LOWS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 25 BELOW ACROSS THE
INTERIOR TONIGHT AND 25 TO 35 BELOW TOMORROW NIGHT AS CLOUDS
DIMINISH.

ACROSS THE WEST COAST THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH
NORTH A ND EAST. WARMER AIR WILL PUSH NORTH AND EAST OUT OF THE
BERING SEA WITH A GRADUAL WARM UP EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE TROUGH MID WEEK. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR STORM SYSTEM
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA. STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL BRING THE RISK FOR RAIN AND FREEZING
RAIN TO THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR TUESDAY AND INTO
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THE GFS IS BULLISH ON THE WARM AIR AND
MOISTURE WHILE THE ECMWF HAS BE COOLER AND DRIER. THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO FLIP FLOP IN THE EXTENDED TIME RANGE SO CONFIDENCE IS
BELOW AVERAGE ON ANY PARTICULAR SOLUTION IN THAT TIME RANGE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ204.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ235-PKZ245.
&&

CCC NOV 13