Blizzard Warning 29, NWS Fairbanks, AK

286 
WWAK42 PAFG 302050
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1150 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

AKZ207-010600-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131201T2100Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
1150 AM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST SUNDAY
NORTH OF KIVALINA...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...NORTH OF KIVALINA.

* VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN SNOW AND 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 35 MPH SATURDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE VERY POOR AT TIMES. WHITEOUT 
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE EXPECTED. TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES 
  WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK42 PAFG 010515
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
815 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

AKZ207-011500-
/X.CAN.PAFG.BZ.W.0029.000000T0000Z-131201T2100Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.WW.Y.0099.131201T0515Z-131201T2100Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
815 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST SUNDAY
FROM KIVALINA NORTH...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON
AKST SUNDAY. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
*
* LOCATION...KIVALINA NORTH.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO
  ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH NOON SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITY MAY BE DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT ONE OR MORE WINTER WEATHER
HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
200 PM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LARGE SCALE DETAILS
ON A RIDGE BUILDING NORTH AND EAST FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL BERING
SEA TONIGHT THROUGH THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR BY MONDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR TONIGHT MIGRATES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE PANHANDLE SUNDAY WHERE IT WEAKENS AND MOVES
SOUTHEAST ALONG THE BC COAST THROUGH MONDAY.

ON THE SURFACE A 1015 MB LOW MOVING NORTHWEST OUT OF THE MACKENZIE
DELTA IS BRINGING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN ARCTIC
SLOPE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HOISTED FOR
BARTAR ISLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR BLOWING SNOW. WINDS ALONG
THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE WILL DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT. A STRONG
SHORTWAVE IF FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH SLOPE
SUNDAY AND THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WITH THE SYSTEM...EXPECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

ACROSS THE INTERIOR A COLD AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE AND WILL
RESULT IN ANOTHER NIGHT OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. PATCHY
NATURE OF THE CLOUD COVER WILL AGAIN MAKE FOR A WIDE RANGE OF
TEMPERATURES OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIMES AS CLEAR PATCHES MOVE IN
AND OUT OVER THE AREA. THE AIR MASS IS QUIT COLD AND IS CAPABLE OF
DROPPING TO NEAR 35 BELOW OR COLDER GIVEN SEVERAL HOURS OF CLEAR
SKIES HOWEVER BELIEVE CLOUDS WILL BE IN AND OUT IN MOST LOCATIONS
SO LOWS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 25 BELOW ACROSS THE
INTERIOR TONIGHT AND 25 TO 35 BELOW TOMORROW NIGHT AS CLOUDS
DIMINISH.

ACROSS THE WEST COAST THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH
NORTH A ND EAST. WARMER AIR WILL PUSH NORTH AND EAST OUT OF THE
BERING SEA WITH A GRADUAL WARM UP EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE TROUGH MID WEEK. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR STORM SYSTEM
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA. STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL BRING THE RISK FOR RAIN AND FREEZING
RAIN TO THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR TUESDAY AND INTO
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THE GFS IS BULLISH ON THE WARM AIR AND
MOISTURE WHILE THE ECMWF HAS BE COOLER AND DRIER. THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO FLIP FLOP IN THE EXTENDED TIME RANGE SO CONFIDENCE IS
BELOW AVERAGE ON ANY PARTICULAR SOLUTION IN THAT TIME RANGE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ204.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ235-PKZ245.
&&

CCC NOV 13