Storm Warning 202, NWS Anchorage, AK

920 
FZAK51 PAFC 222157 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
100 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

UPDATED ZONES 129 130 139

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 988 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES ONSHORE AND DISSIPATES ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST NEAR YAKUTAT THROUGH MON MORNING. A WEATHER
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF LATE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-230300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-230300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING W BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-230300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-230300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-230300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-230300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230300-
PASSAGE CANAL
100 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.  
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE MORNING.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-230300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
100 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-230300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-230300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DURING THE EVENING NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-230300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-230300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 7
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING
THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-230300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
100 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR KACHEMAK BAY. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

821 
FZAK51 PAFC 230029
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 35 NM NE OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES ONSHORE AND
DISSIPATES ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST NEAR YAKUTAT LATE MON
MORNING...WITH A RESIDUAL TROUGH PERSISTING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST THROUGH MON NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST
GULF TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
EVENING.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-231500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-231500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-231500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER INCREASING TO
60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-231500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT DIMINISHING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN
ISLANDS.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN
ISLANDS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND
35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-231500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT DIMINISHING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-231500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-231500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.  PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKST SAT DEC 21 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE PRINCIPAL WAVE FEATURE IN THE UPPER LEVELS IS A LONG WAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN BERING SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE
SOUTHEASTERN BERING SEA. DOWNSTREAM AN UPPER RIDGE RESIDES FROM THE
EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA EXTENDING NORTH ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER.
BETWEEN THE TWO...SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH A MULTITUDE OF EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCES CONTINUES TO IMPACT MOST OF SOUTHERN ALASKA WITH ACTIVE
WEATHER. LOW AMPLITUDE TRANSITORY RIDGING RESIDES OVER THE SOUTHERN
BERING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A VERY LARGE 960 MB LOW CURRENTLY 725 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AND EAST TOWARD THE GENERAL
DIRECTION OF THE ALEUTIANS.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF OF ANADYR SPLITS
TONIGHT...PUSHING A POTENT DISTURBANCE EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT. THE RESULTING COLD
ADVECTION FROM THE WEST COMBINED WITH PREFRONTAL DISTURBANCES ALREADY
IN PLACE WILL HELP SQUEEZE OUT AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND GENERATE
ACCUMULATING SNOWS MOST AREAS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL.

OUT WEST...THE STRONG SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL
MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE
ASSOCIATED GALE FORCE WEATHER FRONT (WITH ISOLATED STORM FORCE WINDS
MAINLY IN THE WESTERN BERING) WILL MOVE NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA THROUGH MON NIGHT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE EUROPEAN (EC) MODEL CONTINUES TO INITIALIZE THE KEY WEATHER
FEATURES VERY WELL...WITH THE GFS AND ESPECIALLY THE NAM CONTINUING
TO STRUGGLE A BIT...THOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER
OVER THE LAST 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE
AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE CONTINUES TO RELY MAINLY ON THE EC AS A
RESULT BUT DOES NOT DISCOUNT THE GFS.

THE PRINCIPAL PROBLEM RESIDES WITH EXACT PLACEMENT OF LOWER TO MIDDLE
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS OVER THE GULF. FORECASTED SNOWFALL TOTALS
WILL RELY HEAVILY ON WHICH SOLUTION IS MORE CORRECT...ESPECIALLY FOR
POPULATED CENTERS OF ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU BOROUGH. IF THE EC AND
UKMET MODELS VERIFY WITH A FARTHER WEST SOLUTION OF THESE
FEATURES...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY TO REACH LOW-END ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR ANCHORAGE AND VICINITY...BUT ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA IF THE NAM AND GFS VERIFY WITH A MORE EASTWARD
PLACEMENT OF THESE FEATURES.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...

FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES FOR THE KENAI PENINSULA WERE EXTENDED UNTIL
9 PM THIS EVENING SINCE IT APPEARS AS THOUGH A WARM ABOVE-FREEZING
LAYER STILL EXISTS ABOVE THE COLD SURFACE INVERSION.
OTHERWISE...PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN ALL SNOW EXCEPT FOR NEAR SEA
LEVEL NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE GULF COAST. EXPECTING LIGHT
ACCUMULATING SNOWS INTO THIS EVENING...THEN WITH COLD ADVECTION
INCREASING WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONGER DISTURBANCE APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST WE SHOULD START TO SEE A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN SNOW
RATES FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AND
EXTENDING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE CURRENT THINKING IS TO MAINTAIN
CURRENT FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MOST AREAS...WHICH APPROACHES BUT
DOES NOT QUITE MAKE IT TO ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR ANCHORAGE AND
VICINITY. AS OF RIGHT NOW...WE DO NOT FORSEE ISSUING ANY WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR SNOW WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. HOWEVER...A
GENERAL 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED MOST AREAS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...ENDING SOONER TOWARD THE WEST.

CLEARING COMMENCES MONDAY WITH RIDGING MOVING OVER THE AREA...WITH
THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH AROUND CHRISTMAS
DAY. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION SNOW
AND CONFINED FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE COAST.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY PUSH EAST AS COLD ADVECTION
INCREASES AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH INCREASES IN SPEED. PARTIAL
CLEARING COMMENCES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WITH LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY
CONFINED TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA REGION SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. BY
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...A STRONG FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH INTO AND
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA...BRINGING A RETURN TO SNOW AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION TYPES TO COASTAL AREAS.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...

COLD ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE AKPEN THIS EVENING
BEFORE DIMINISHING. THE NEXT LARGE-SCALE WEATHER MAKER IS A STRONG
GALE-FORCE WEATHER FRONT WHICH MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS SUNDAY...THEN THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOFS AND
POINTS EAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT. WINDS WILL BE STRONG
AND PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO START AS WET SNOW...BUT WILL QUICKLY
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN IN ALL AREAS FAIRLY QUICKLY. AS OF RIGHT NOW IT
APPEARS NO HAZARD PRODUCTS WILL BE NECESSARY FOR THE PUBLIC FORECAST
ZONES OUT WEST.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

THE EC AND WPC ARE SIMILAR IN BRINGING THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW TO THE
ALEUTIANS AND DEVELOPING A TRIPLE POINT LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING ON
TUE. THIS WILL KEEP RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE BERING...ALEUTIANS...AND
SOUTHWEST AK ON TUE. AS THE BERING LOW WEAKENS INTO A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE...COLDER AIR WILL RETURN TO THE WESTERN ISLANDS WED WITH
SOME SNOW SHOWERS. ON THU THE NEXT NORTH PACIFIC LOW TAKES AIM AT THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN FOR THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHWEST AK...AND SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS...PERSISTING INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR SOUTHEAST OF THE AK RANGE...THE BERING FRONT WILL SPREAD SNOW
CHANGING TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST INTO WED...WITH SOME SNOW SPREADING
ACROSS THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS AND REACHING THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE AK
RANGE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES...119 120 131 132 137 138 150 155 160 165 170-178 180
                 185
         STORMS...130
         HVY FRZG SPRY...139 150 160 180 181 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

CC DEC 13