Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2013
Storm Warning 174, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 8, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 8, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 9, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
909 FZAK52 PAFC 090019 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-091500- 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 981 MB LOW 220 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 90 NM WEST OF GAMBELL SAT MORNING AT 975 MB THEN OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA SAT EVENING. $$ PKZ150-091500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ155-091500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ160-091500- BRISTOL BAY 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-091500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ170-091500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-091500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-091500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ173-091500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ174-091500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ175-091500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ176-091500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ177-091500- ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ178-091500- KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ179-091500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-091500- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ181-091500- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ185-091500- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
668 FZAK52 PAFC 091254 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-100300- 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 977 MB LOW 270 NM WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 100 NM NORTH OF GAMBELL THIS AFTERNOON AT 972 MB. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA THIS EVENING AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY. $$ PKZ150-100300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ155-100300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ160-100300- BRISTOL BAY 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-100300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ170-100300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ171-100300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-100300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ173-100300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ174-100300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ175-100300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-100300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ177-100300- ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ178-100300- KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ179-100300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-100300- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ181-100300- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ185-100300- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON AND TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
066 FZAK52 PAFC 100007 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-101500- 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 974 MB LOW OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA MOVES TO OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN TONIGHT AND INTENSIFIES. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS BRISTOL BAY LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SUN AND SHIFTS TO THE EASTERN BERING SEA EARLY MONDAY MORNING. A SERIES OF LOWS AND ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONTS SKIRTING THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA INCREASE SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING SUNDAY AND MONDAY. $$ PKZ150-101500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ155-101500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-101500- BRISTOL BAY 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT DIMINISHING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-101500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ170-101500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-101500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-101500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ173-101500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ174-101500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-101500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ176-101500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ177-101500- ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ178-101500- KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ179-101500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-101500- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ181-101500- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ185-101500- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 8, 5:00 AM AKST, 11 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 5:00 AM AKST, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A WEAK CUTOFF LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WHICH HAS
BROUGHT LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO PART OF THE ALASKA GULF COAST AS IT
SLOWLY MOVES SOUTH TOWARD THE NORTH PACIFIC. AT THE SAME TIME...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY AND BUILD
ACROSS THE ALASKA MAINLAND. A NORTH PACIFIC (NPAC) LOW IS BEGINNING
TO INTERACT WITH A LOW OVER THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST AND WILL DRIVE A
WARM FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND THE ALASKA MAINLAND.
SATELLITE DERIVED PWAT VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW
RANGE BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A QUARTER.
THESE VALUES ARE WELL OVER 200% OF THE NORMAL RANGE FOR THIS TIME OF
THE YEAR. THE LONG-WAVE TROUGH OVER KAMCHATKA IS BEING INFLUENCED BY
THESE TWO LOWS AND HAS BEGUN TO AMPLIFY. BECAUSE OF THE HIGH PWAT
VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THE QUICKLY AMPLIFYING
TROUGH...THE WARM FRONT THAT WILL CLASH WITH THE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ADVECT WARM AND MOIST SUBTROPICAL AIR TOWARD THE
MAINLAND OF ALASKA...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO A SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
EVENT ON SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE RIDGE WILL SHUT-OFF THE COLD AIR DIVING DOWN
FROM THE ARCTIC AS WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY
ALOFT. THE NPAC LOW THAT IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH THE LOW OVER
THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST WILL PUSH A FRONT ACROSS ALASKA ON FRIDAY AND
THE EARLY PARTS OF SATURDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BE COLLIDING UP AGAINST
THE AMPLIFYING RIDGE AND PUSH IT EAST TOWARD CANADA AND THE WEST
COAST OF THE CONUS. AS THE RIDGE PUSHES EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL AMPLIFY RAPIDLY OVER THE BERING SEA AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
CAUSING SUBTROPICAL AIR TO GET ADVECTED NORTHWARD TOWARDS
ALASKA...BRINGING ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH ON SUNDAY WITH COLD AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND
QUICKLY. BEFORE THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH AND COLD AIR SETTLES
INTO THE REGION...RAIN WILL BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL AIR MOVING NORTHWARD AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. MODELS DISAGREE ON HOW FAST THE COLD AIR MOVES IN
BEHIND THE FRONT...THEREFORE IT IS DIFFICULT AT THIS TIME TO
DETERMINE HOW MUCH RAIN/SNOWFALL WILL BE RECEIVED. MODELS AGREE THAT
RAINFALL BETWEEN ONE HALF OF AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A QUARTER WILL BE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THERE SHOULD BE A TRANSITION TO SNOW ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE COLD FRONT...BUT THE EXACT DETAILS ARE A LITTLE TOO
FAR OUT TO PINPOINT.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST...TODAY SHOULD BE ANOTHER CLEAR AND CRISP
DAY ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE REGION. HOWEVER...THESE CONDITIONS WILL NOT LAST LONG AS TWO
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL INTERACT AND DRIVE A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OVER THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...POCKETS
OF FREEZING RAIN COULD BE SEEN THIS EVENING AS THE WARM AIR OVERRUNS
THE COLD AIR THAT HAS SETTLED IN THE VALLEY. LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED AS TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE
FREEZING AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE RIDGE WILL BE SHIFTED EASTWARD BY THIS
WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WHICH WILL BRING SUBTROPICAL AIR
ONCE AGAIN TO THE REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE (5 TO 10 DEGREES IN SOME AREAS) FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. AS THE SUBTROPICAL AIR GAINS A FOOTHOLD...A COLD FRONT WILL
BEGIN TO APPROACH LATE SATURDAY EVENING. AS THE TWO AIR MASSES
INTERACT...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL START OFF AS RAIN IN MOST PLACES DUE TO THE WARM
SUBTROPICAL AIR PUSHED INTO THE REGION...BUT WILL LIKELY TRANSITION
TO SNOWFALL ON THE BACK END OF THE COLD FRONT. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL
BE PLACES EAST OF THE CHUGACH RANGE...WHERE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL
RESIDE AND ONLY SNOWFALL WILL BE SEEN. THE MAIN VARIABLE IN THIS CASE
WILL BE HOW FAST THE COLD AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE HALF OF AN INCH AND AN INCH WILL BE
COMMON...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING HIGHER VALUES FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BE AN UNUSUAL NOVEMBER HEAVY
RAINFALL...WITH SEVERAL PLACES LIKELY TO SET RECORD RAINFALL TOTALS
ON SUNDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME ARE TRICKY WITH THIS
SITUATION AND FURTHER DETAILS WILL BECOME CLEARER AS THE EVENT GETS
CLOSER.
BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...THE AFOREMENTIONED LOWS WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A LARGE SWATH OF GALES AND A FEW AREAS OF
STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS
THE ALEUTIANS THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS WARM AND MOIST AIR MOVES INTO THE
REGION. BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVES FROM
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TOWARDS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BRINGING PERIOD
OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BE SEEN
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH
LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN OMEGA BLOCKING PATTERN WILL START OFF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WHICH
WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BACK TO THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY.
ONCE THE PATTERN BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN ON THURSDAY...COLD AIR WILL
DROP OUT OF THE ARCTIC AND BRING A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN TO THE
REGION. THERE IS STILL A BIT OF MODEL DISAGREEMENT ON HOW THE OMEGA
PATTERN BREAKS DOWN...BUT A COLD SURGE DOES APPEAR TO BE ON THE
HORIZON. AS THE COLD AIR SURGES DOWN BEHIND A COLD
FRONT...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE PRETTY WIDESPREAD...LEADING TO RAIN
ON THURSDAY TRANSITIONING TO SNOWFALL BY FRIDAY ACROSS MOST OF THE
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...155
MARINE...STORM...178
GALE...165 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 179 180 181 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE
MMC NOV 13The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 8, 9:28 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 7 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 5 days | |
| Nov 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 9, 5:01 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 38 hr | |
| Nov 9, 11:27 AM AKST | Areal Flood Advisory | AFC | 29 hr | |
| Nov 9, 2:12 PM AKST | Freezing Rain Advisory | AFC | 15 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.