Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2013
Storm Warning 17, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 18, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 18, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 20, 2013, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
493 FZAK52 PAFC 190026 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-191500- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 981 MB LOW 290 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL STRENGTHEN TO 972 MB 120 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR SAT AFTERNOON. A 982 MB LOW 610 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 964 MB 390 NM SOUTH OF ADAK SAT AFTERNOON. THESE TWO LOWS WILL COMBINE INTO A LARGE AND COMPLEX 973 MB LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ150-191500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ155-191500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ160-191500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ165-191500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ180-191500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. .SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SNOW. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. $$ PKZ170-191500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ171-191500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-191500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ175-191500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-191500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ185-191500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ179-191500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
416 FZAK52 PAFC 191135 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-200300- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 982 MB LOW 360 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL STRENGTHEN TO 973 MB 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND SUN MORNING. A 973 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 966 MB 420 NM SOUTH OF UMNAK ISLAND SUN MORNING. THESE TWO LOWS WILL COMBINE INTO A LARGE AND COMPLEX 983 MB LOW ALONG THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MON MORNING. $$ PKZ150-200300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ155-200300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ160-200300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-200300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ180-200300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 30 KT. .TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ170-200300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 14 FT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 15 FT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 8 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ171-200300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-200300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT W 25 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND.. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ175-200300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-200300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ185-200300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT EXCEPT 40 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 45 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ179-200300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
017 FZAK52 PAFC 200010 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-201500- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 972 MB LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 981 MB 250 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MON AFTERNOON. A 961 MB LOW 430 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL WEAKEN TO 987 MB 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-201500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ155-201500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT W OF SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ160-201500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ165-201500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ180-201500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ170-201500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT W OF DUTCH HARBOR. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ171-201500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-201500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ175-201500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ176-201500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF 175E. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF 175E. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF 175E. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ185-201500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ179-201500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
285 FZAK52 PAFC 201214 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-210300- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 973 MB LOW 210 NM NORTHWEST OF UMNAK ISLAND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 979 MB 270 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA MON MORNING AND THEN CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TO 983 MB AS IT MOVES TO 270 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA TUE MORNING. A 965 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF UMNAK ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 983 MB 315 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT MON MORNING AND THEN MOVE TO 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND ON TUE MORNING AT THE SAME STRENGTH. $$ PKZ150-210300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ155-210300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...DIMINISHING TO 20 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ160-210300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-210300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...DIMINISHING TO 25 KT W OF PORT MOLLER AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ180-210300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ170-210300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ171-210300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-210300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ175-210300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ176-210300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ185-210300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 45 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ179-210300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 18, 1:00 PM AKST, 3 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 1:00 PM AKST, 3 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKST FRI JAN 18 2013
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A FAIRLY COMPLEX UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ALASKAN
AOR THIS AFTERNOON. AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER MUCH OF MAINLAND
ALASKA AT THIS TIME...BUT IS BEING PUSHED NORTHEASTWARD BY A SHARP
MEDIUM-AMPLITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA. A 100 KT
BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM IS DRIVING THE MOVEMENT OF THE RIDGE TO THE
NORTH. FURTHER WEST...COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER SHARP
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHWARD WELL SOUTH OF THE BERING
SEA...TRYING TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE NEAR 40N LATITUDE. AT THE
SURFACE...A 983 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS MOVING
NORTHWARD AND BRINGING RAIN AND WIND TO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
ALEUTIANS. FURTHER NORTH...MIDLEVEL CLOUDINESS IS LINGERING ACROSS
MANY OF THE INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AS RELATIVELY WEAK
SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE IS HAVING A HARD TIME CLEARING
SKIES ACROSS THE AREA.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN ABOVE-AVERAGE SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT. THE NAM HAS BEEN
AN OUTLIER OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...BUT HAS COME INTO MUCH MORE
REASONABLE AGREEMENT TODAY WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE COMPLEX LOW OVER
THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA THIS WEEKEND. ALL MODELS NOW AGREE ON THE LOW
CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ANOTHER LOW MOVING IN
FROM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA MERGING TOGETHER INTO ONE LARGE AND COMPLEX
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. DESPITE THE WELL-KNOWN COMPLEXITIES
OF SUCH AN INTERACTION...THERE IS EVEN SURPRISINGLY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE LONGEVITY AND POSITION OF THE INDIVIDUAL SURFACE LOWS.
FURTHER TO THE EAST...MODELS AGREE THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ALASKA PENINSULA LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF SATURDAY MORNING AND
BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE EASTERN KENAI
PENINSULA SATURDAY NIGHT...SHIFTING TO NORTHERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
ON SUNDAY AND TOWARD THE PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT. MODEL CONSENSUS OVER
THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS TRENDED A BIT COLDER WITH THE FRONT MOVING
INTO THE GULF...AND THUS EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO STAY SNOW DOWN TO
SEA LEVEL IN MOST LOCATIONS FOR AT LEAST THE MAJORITY OF THE EVENT.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...MIDLEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE
THIS EVENING...BUT QUICKLY BE REPLACED BY HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING STORM. OVERALL FLOW THROUGH THE
ATMOSPHERE WITH THIS STORM WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY AND MUCH COOLER
THAN THE STORM LAST WEEKEND...AND THUS EXPECT A TYPICAL
UPSLOPE/DOWNLSOPE PATTERN TO DEVELOP AS WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THE COLDER TREND IN THE MODELS MAKES IT MORE LIKELY THAT THE
PORTAGE AREA MAY SEE SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW DEVELOP LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE BLIZZARD POTENTIAL. THE COOK INLET AREA MAY
SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION IMMEDIATELY BEFORE THE
WINDS INCREASE...BUT NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING SUBSTANTIAL AT THIS TIME.
THE MORE NOTABLE ISSUE FOR THE ANCHORAGE AREA WILL PROBABLY BE RECENT
LOW-DENSITY SNOWFALL BEING PICKED UP AND BLOWN ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM
AND THE HILLSIDE. NOT EXPECTING WINDS TO MAKE IT TOO FAR DOWN THE
HILLSIDE...BUT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED.
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...A STEADY INCREASE IN NORTHEASTERLY OFFSHORE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS THE LOW AND FRONT APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. PRECIP MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY...AND SHOULD BE SNOW AT
MOST LOCATIONS EXCEPT ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA. WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE...AS WELL AS THE DELTA COAST WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES STAY COLD ENOUGH TO CREATE ISSUES WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW AS THE STORM UNFOLDS. CONFIDENCE IS
HIGHER IN PORTIONS OF THE DELTA COAST SEEING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS...THUS A BLIZZARD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED WITH THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE.
BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...PRECIP SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAS
MOVED INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA TODAY.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED FAIRLY QUICKLY AND RAIN IS NOW FALLING AT
MOST LOCATIONS WITH GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS. TEMPERATURES ARE REMAINING
MUCH COLDER OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...AND CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS STEADY SNOW BEGINS.
AS THE TWO LOWS MENTIONED ABOVE WEAKEN AND COMBINE BY SUNDAY MORNING
OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...THE REGION WILL FALL INTO A MORE SHOWERY
PATTERN THAT IS CHARACTERIZED BY COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SNOW SHOWERS
OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND
A RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN BERING.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LONGWAVE TROUGH WITH COMPLEX LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE BERING SEA WILL
GRADUALLY SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE MAINLAND NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE-AVERAGE...WITH SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST AND MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS INLAND.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 155 195
BLIZZARD WATCH 125
MARINE...STORM 185
GALE 120 130 132 136 137 138 140 150 155 160 165 170 179 180
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 140 160 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE
AMD JAN 13The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Jan 18, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 18, 4:19 PM AKST | Blizzard Watch | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Jan 19, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 51 hr | |
| Jan 19, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 19, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 19, 9:58 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Jan 19, 10:10 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 18 hr | |
| Jan 19, 10:44 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 17 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.