Storm Warning 163, NWS Anchorage, AK

034 
FZAK62 PAFC 090009
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-091500-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 981 MB LOW NEAR 55N 170E WILL MOVE TO 63N 175W SAT MORNING AT 975
MB THEN OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER
THE WESTERN BERING SEA SAT EVENING.

$$

PKZ411-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 TO 26 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 TO 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
TO 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 TO 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 25 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 TO 23
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

403 
FZAK62 PAFC 091225
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-100300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 977 MB LOW NEAR 61N 178E WILL MOVE TO 65N 173W THIS AFTERNOON AT
972 MB. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA THIS
EVENING AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ411-100300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
  

$$

PKZ412-100300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 30 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 TO 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ413-100300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ414-100300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
TO 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

967 
FZAK62 PAFC 100004
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-101500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 974 MB LOW NEAR 65N 172W MOVES TO OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN TONIGHT AND
INTENSIFIES. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS BRISTOL BAY LATE
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SUN AND
SHIFTS TO THE EASTERN BERING SEA EARLY MON MORNING. A SERIES OF LOWS
AND ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONTS SKIRTING THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA
INCREASE SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING
SEA SUN AND MON. 

$$

PKZ411-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 9 2013

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST THU NOV 7 2013

.MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS WAS CHOSE FIR THE WESTERN DOMAIN. THE EASTERN AREA
USES NAM FOR THE FIRST 3 OR 4 PERIODS THEN SWITCHES TO THE GFS OUT THROUGH
THE EXTENDED.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
STATE FROM THE GULF TO THE ARCTIC. UPPER TROUGH CROSSING THE ALASKA
PENINSULA THIS MORNING HAS TURNED MORE EAST IN ITS TRACK AS IT PASSES SOUTH
OF KODIAK ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON. COLD POLAR LOW CENTERED IN THE
NORTHEAST SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVES TO WRANGELL ISLAND AS ANOTHER CENTER MOVES TO
ITS FORMER POSITION SATURDAY. STRONG WEST AND SOUTHWEST JET ACROSS THE
BERING HAS ALREADY MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST AS THE FIRST IN A
SERIES OF FRONT DISSIPATES IN SPLIT FLOW ALONG 162W. RIDGE TRYING TO BUILD
NORTHWARD BEHIND THE GULF LOW WILL BE SUPPRESSED WITH A SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AXIS EXTENDING TO ROUGHLY YAKUTAT. UPPER TROUGH SWINGS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE BERING LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND NEARLY STALLS ALONG
160W SUNDAY EVENING DUE TO THE SHARPENING AMPLITUDE OF THE UPPER WAVES.
ENOUGH RIDGING OCCURS OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY TO
FORCE THE TROUGH EASTWARD OVER COOK INLET.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...PRECIPITATION FROM AFOGNAK ISLAND AND THE SOUTHERN
INLET EXTENDS WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND WILL LINGER INTO
THURSDAY EVENING THEN END BY FRIDAY MORNING. A COUPLE OF FAST MOVING
MODERATE LOWS TRACK NORTHEAST IN THE WESTERN BERING BUT DOES NOT MAKE IT
EAST OF 180 UNTIL THEY REACH 62N. LIGHT WARM FRONT RAINS REACH THE SOUTHWEST
COAST FRIDAY MORNING AND REACH THE ALASKA RANGE FRIDAY NIGHT. MAIN COLD
FRONT DRAGS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA SATURDAY NIGHT PRODUCING MORE
SIGNIFICANT RAIN AMOUNTS. PRECIPITATION WILL BE SLOW TO ADVANCE EAST AND MAY
TAKE UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT TO ARRIVE IN SOUTHCENTRAL AREAS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...CHANGEABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH OUT THE WEEK WITH THE
POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT COLDER PATTERN TOWARD THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING 155 161.
MARINE...STORM 178 185. GALE 103 132 150 155 165 170 THRU 177 AND 179 THRU
181.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DPERCY NOV 13