Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2013

Storm Warning 150, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 26, 2013

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 26, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 26, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 27, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

962 
FZAK52 PAFC 261139
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-270300-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 977 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 140 NM SOUTH OF
DUTCH HARBOR AT 985 MB SUN EVENING AND THEN DISSIPATE. A 988 MB LOW
DEVELOPS LATE SAT EVENING 50 NM W OF ST PAUL AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH
AS IT MOVES TO 200 NM WEST OF DALL POINT MON MORNING. A 1001 MB LOW
DEVELOPS SUN MORNING 520 NM SOUTH OF PORT HEIDEN AND STRENGTHENS TO
986 MB 90 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT HEIDEN MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-270300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-270300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. WIND BECOMING S
30 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-270300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER
GUSTS 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-270300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT.  PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-270300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-270300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-270300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-270300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-270300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-270300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-270300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-270300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-270300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-270300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-270300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS 65 KT NEAR THE WESTERN CAPES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER
GUSTS 65 KT NEAR THE WESTERN CAPES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO  7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-270300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-270300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
876 
FZAK52 PAFC 262321
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271500-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF
DUTCH HARBOR AT 990 MB SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. A 987 MB LOW
DEVELOPS LATE SAT EVENING 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL AND WILL MOVE TO
50 NM WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND SUN EVENING WHERE IT WILL REMAIN
STATIONARY THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKS TO 410
NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 977 MB BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-271500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT DIMINISHING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-271500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-271500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-271500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-271500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-271500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-271500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-271500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-271500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-271500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-271500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-271500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 14
FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-271500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-271500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-271500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-271500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-271500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT N 30 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT N W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS
11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
480 
FZAK52 PAFC 271135
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280300-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 987 MB LOW 100 NM NORTHWEST OF ST PAUL MOVES TO 90 NM NW OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING TO 990 MB AS IT MOVES TO 250
NM NW OF ST PAUL MON NIGHT. A 984 MB LOW 410 NM SW OF DUTCH HARBOR
MOVES TO 150 NM S OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 992 MB TONIGHT AND THEN
DISSIPATES. A 996 MB LOW DEVELOPS 60 NM WEST OF SITKINAK THIS EVENING
AND MOVES INLAND OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-280300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-280300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-280300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-280300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-280300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-280300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-280300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-280300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-280300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-280300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-280300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-280300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-280300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-280300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-280300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-280300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 27 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 25, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 25, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT FRI OCT 25 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A LONGWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE BERING SEA WITH THE MASSIVE
LONGWAVE RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA HOLDING STRONG. THIS
PATTERN IS NOW SEVERAL WEEKS OLD ACROSS THE ALASKAN DOMAIN...AND
ASSOCIATED WARM AIR MOVING INTO THE STATE HAS KEPT TYPICAL FREEZE-UP
ON HOLD ACROSS MANY AREAS OF THE MAINLAND. YESTERDAYS WEATHER-MAKING
LOW OVER THE BERING SEA IS NOW RAPIDLY WEAKENING...WITH THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT NOW BARELY RECOGNIZABLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN
INTERIOR AND THE PANHANDLE. ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND IS WEAKENING AS THE ENTIRE CIRCULATION AROUND THE LOW FALLS
APART. SOME LIGHT RAIN IS LINGERING ACROSS THE NORTH GULF
COAST...WHILE SUN HAS BROKEN OUT FURTHER WEST ACROSS MUCH OF COOK
INLET AND THE MAT-SU VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO HIGH PRESSURE BEGINNING TO
SPREAD INTO THE AREA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE ATMOSPHERIC MODELS ARE SLOWLY COMING INTO SOME BETTER
AGREEMENT...BUT ARE BY NO MEANS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT. THE FIRST
FEATURE OF NOTE IS A SHORTWAVE OVER THE WESTERN GULF THAT WILL
AMPLIFY AS STRONG MIDLEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO THE GULF TONIGHT. ALL
MODELS DEPICT THIS SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE FAR NORTHERN
PANHANDLE...CLIPPING THE FAR EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN WITH SOME
FAIRLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
OVER THE COMING DAYS WILL BE FROM A DRAMATIC NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF
THE WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN RIDGE TO INCLUDE MAINLAND ALASKA. THIS
WILL ONCE AGAIN PLUNGE THE REGION INTO WARM...WET...AND WINDY
SOUTHERLY FLOW AS A SERIES OF IMPULSES MOVE UP THE FRONT OF THE RIDGE
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE FIRST FEATURE WILL BE A VERY STRONG WARM
FRONT THAT BEGINS TO AFFECT THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND SATURDAY EVENING
AND MOVES ON TO SOUTHCENTRAL ON SUNDAY. THE GFS IS A BIT SLOW WITH
THE TIMING OF THE WARM FRONT...BUT IS IN THE SAME BALLPARK AS THE
OTHER MODELS. BASED ON THE STRENGTH OF THE HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BE
IN PLACE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...THINK PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL TIGHTEN
IN A HURRY SUNDAY MORNING. THUS WILL BE ISSUING A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
TURNAGAIN ARM WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. ON MONDAY...THE BULK OF THE
BERING LONGWAVE TROUGH EJECTS NORTHWARD AND LIFTS INTO INTERIOR
ALASKA. WHILE ALL MODELS ARE SHOWING THIS SAME BASIC TREND...THE
STRENGTH AND TIMING OF ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOWS ARE STILL VERY MUCH IN
DOUBT. THE GEM/UKMET ARE BOTH TRYING TO DEVELOP A FAIRLY STRONG LOW
SOMEWHERE OVER THE AKPEN/KODIAK ISLAND REGION...WHILE THE NAM/EC HAVE
BEEN MORE CONSISTENT WITH A WEAKER AND FURTHER WEST TRACK. SINCE THE
GFS IS TRENDING TOWARD THE WEAKER SOLUTION...HIGHEST CONFIDENCE AT
THIS POINT IS IN THE AFOREMENTIONED NAM/EC SOLUTION...AND WILL BE THE
BASIS FOR THE FORECAST TODAY. OF NOTE...EVEN THE WEAKER PRESSURE
GRADIENTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NAM/EC SOLUTION WOULD BE ENOUGH TO
GENERATE VERY STRONG WINDS THROUGH TERRAIN GAPS AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA ON MONDAY. THIS SITUATION WILL BE WATCHED VERY CLOSELY WITH
EACH SUBSEQUENT MODEL CYCLE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AROUND COOK INLET THIS
EVENING BEFORE THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH. AS WARM ADVECTION
BEGINS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS...SOME FOG AROUND THE AREA IS
POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR IMPACT AT
THIS TIME. SATURDAY SHOULD BE A BEAUTIFUL FALL DAY BEFORE AN ABRUPT
TRANSITION BACK TO VERY ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEKEND AND START OF NEXT WEEK. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...A HIGH WIND
WATCH WILL BE POSTED WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE FOR
TURNAGAIN ARM AS WINDS SPIKE QUICKLY ON SUNDAY. THE LULL BETWEEN THE
SUNDAY AND MONDAY STORMS WILL BE WEAK AND SHORT-LIVED AS WIDESPREAD
RAIN OVERSPREADS THE AREA. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A REPEAT
HIGH-WIND EVENT THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM ON MONDAY...LESS CLEAR IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR WINDS TO IMPACT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL WITH THIS SECOND STORM. WILL NOT DRAMATICALLY ALTER THE FORECAST
AT THIS TIME AS THE EXPECTED SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN REMAINS A BIT
UNCLEAR...BUT WILL BE WATCHING FUTURE MODEL RUNS CLOSELY.

SOUTHWEST...STRONG SOUTHERLY ONSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING
AS HIGH PRESSURE CLIPS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY. CONDITIONS
WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE SATURDAY NIGHT AS WIND AND RAIN
ARRIVE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE. NOT EXPECTING WINDS TO
REACH WARNING-LEVEL AT THIS TIME...BUT GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE
LIKELY THROUGH GAPS IN THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. THE STORM ON MONDAY WILL
BE FAR ENOUGH EAST THAT A REPEAT HIGH-WIND EVENT IS UNLIKELY ACROSS
THE AREA...THOUGH ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAIN IS
EXTREMELY LIKELY.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...THE CYCLE CONTINUES AS ONE LOW WEAKENS
TONIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN BERING AND ANOTHER STORM MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN BERING WITH WIND AND RAIN. THE LOW
CENTER...CURRENTLY AROUND 982 MB...WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND
AT THE SAME STRENGTH THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE LONGWAVE PATTERN UNDERGOES
SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OVER THE GULF. GALE
FORCE WINDS AND RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING WILL GIVE WAY TO MORE
SHOWERY CONDITIONS AND DIMINISHING WINDS BY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE
MOST ACTIVE WEATHER SHIFTS TO THE EAST FOR THE START OF THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LONG-RANGE MODELS HAD BEEN SUGGESTING A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DOMAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT ARE NOW
SHOWING SIGNS THAT THE MORE PROGRESSIVE PARADE OF FORMER TROPICAL
SYSTEMS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
WHILE THE EXTREME WARMTH AND RAINFALL OF THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND ARE
NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REPEAT...A CONTINUED PATTERN OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND WETTER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS IS LIKELY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 101
MARINE...GALE 120 130 131 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 172 173 174 175
177 178 180 181
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD OCT 13

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC4 days
Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Oct 25, 4:05 PM AKDTHigh Wind WatchAFC66 hr
Oct 26, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 26, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Oct 26, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Oct 26, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Oct 26, 4:47 AM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAFC24 hr
Oct 26, 7:12 AM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC4 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2013Every storm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.