Storm Warning 128, NWS Anchorage, AK

428 
FZAK52 PAFC 081724 RRA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 80 NM NORTHEAST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL WEAKEN AS
IT CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND THROUGH TUE. A LOW MOVES TO 130 NM NORTH
OF SHEMYA AT 983 MB WED MORNING AND TRACKS TO 60 NM NORTHWEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND THU MORNING...THEN MOVES TO 130 NM NORTHEAST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 983 MB FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-090300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-090300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-090300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 14
FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-090300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-090300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-090300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-090300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-090300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-090300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-090300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-090300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-090300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-090300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-090300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-090300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-090300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-090300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 30 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS
12 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

986 
FZAK52 PAFC 082351
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091500-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 976 MB LOW 350 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL BECOME A COMPLEX LOW 
AS IT ENTERS THE WESTERN BERING WED MORNING...THEN TRACK TO 140 NM
NORTHEAST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AT 985 MB. A LOW WILL
FORM EAST OF KAMCHATKA THU MORNING AND MOVE TO 170 NM NORTHWEST OF
SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON AT 992 MB.
$$

PKZ150-091500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-091500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SW 35 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-091500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-091500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-091500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-091500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-091500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-091500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-091500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-091500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-091500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-091500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-091500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-091500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-091500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-091500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-091500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
125 PM AKDT MON OCT 7 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH CONTINUES TO
DIG SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC WITH CAUSING
AMPLIFICATION OF THE DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THE
FOCUS THIS MORNING IS IN THE ZONE BETWEEN THE TWO WHERE A 160KT+
SUBTROPICAL JET IS TRANSPORTING TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN BERING SEA TO MAINLAND ALASKA. THE PERCENT OF NORMAL
TPW (TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER) SATELLITE PRODUCT SHOWS A LONG
FETCH OF GREATER THAN 200% OF NORMAL TPW. THE GEFS (GLOBAL ENSEMBLE
FORECAST SYSTEM) ANOMALIES ALSO REFLECTS THE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT
OF MOISTURE WITH STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES OF ABOUT 4 TO 5 1/2 FOR
SPECIFIC HUMIDITY AS ALL OF THIS MOISTURE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CYCLOGENESIS IS ONGOING WEST OF DUTCH
HARBOR AND EXPECT RAPID INTENSIFICATION OUT AHEAD OF AN UPPER WAVE
AND JET STREAK TRACKING UP THE EAST SIDE OF THE TROUGH. RAIN IS
SPREADING WELL OUT AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE SYSTEM INTO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS MORNING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THERE ARE STILL SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN
TRACK OF THE DEVELOPING STORM...BUT NOTHING SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH
TO FUNDAMENTALLY AFFECT THE FORECAST. ALL SOLUTIONS HAVE CONVERGED
ON BOTTOMING THE LOW OUT IN THE LOWER TO MID 960S EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING LEADING TO INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE WIND FORECAST.
THERE IS ALSO DECENT AGREEMENT WITH NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE
BERING SEA ON WEDNESDAY. THUS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE
AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AS THIS
MAJOR EARLY SEASON STORM SYSTEM RAPIDLY TRACKS TO THE WEST COAST
OF ALASKA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN RAPIDLY WEAKENS OVER
INTERIOR ALASKA TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH GREATER CONFIDENCE IN THE STORM
TRACK AND DEPTH HAVE FINE TUNED THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR ANCHORAGE.
AS IS TYPICAL IN THESE TYPE OF EVENTS...EXPECT VARYING WINDS AND
DIFFERENCES IN TIMING/DURATION OF WINDS ACROSS ANCHORAGE AND
VICINITY. SOME OF THE KEY POINTS FOR THIS HIGH WIND EVENT FOR THE
ANCHORAGE AREA INCLUDE...A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WITH A SHORT DURATION
OF THE HIGHEST WINDS (ESPECIALLY FOR MOST OF THE ANCHORAGE BOWL)...A
LACK OF A TRAPPING INVERSION AT OR ABOVE MOUNTAIN TOP WHICH WILL
KEEP THE MOST EXTREME WINDS CONFINED TO THE UPPER HILLSIDE...AND A
SATURATED NON-FROZEN GROUND WHICH MEANS TREES WILL BE MORE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FALLING OVER IN HIGH WINDS.

SHIFTING THE FOCUS TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST...MODELS NOW BOTTOM THE
LOW OUT A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THAN PRIOR RUNS WHICH MEANS WINDS
COULD BE A LITTLE STRONGER THAN FORECAST ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
COAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WHEN FACTORING IN PRESSURE RISES...WEAK
COLD ADVECTION...AND A MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THE LOW COULD SEE A FEW ISOLATED GUSTS NEARING WARNING LEVELS.
STORM SURGE GUIDANCE HAS SETTLED IN ON A VERY MARGINAL EVENT.
THEREFORE...ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM HOOPER BAY TO GOODNEWS
BAY TO HIGHLIGHT HIGH WAVE ACTION AND SURF WITH MINOR COASTAL
EROSION. THE IMMEDIATE COAST IS USED TO SEEING THESE TYPES OF
WINDS...BUT THEY ARE RARER FOR INTERIOR AREAS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
WITH PRESSURE RISES OF 2 MB OR MORE PER HOUR EXPECT STRONG WINDS
TO EXTEND INLAND ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WITH SUCH ABUNDANT MOISTURE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES AS THIS
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. AT THIS POINT IN TIME MAJOR RIVERS AND STREAM
ARE RUNNING FAIRLY LOW...SO DON'T ANTICIPATE ANY FLOODING PROBLEMS
THERE. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE RAPID RISES ON THE SMALLER CREEKS
AND STREAMS DURING PERIODS OF INTENSE RAINFALL...SO THERE COULD BE
LOCALIZED FLOODING AND MINOR PONDING OR FLOODING IN LOW LYING URBAN
AREAS.

AS THE LOW WEAKENS OVER INTERIOR ALASKA TUESDAY NIGHT AN UPPER WAVE
CROSSING THE BERING SEA WILL DROP DOWN THE BACK OF THE TROUGH INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA ACCOMPANIED BY LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION...SURFACE
PRESSURE RISES...AND WITH A RIDGE BUILDING IN BEHIND IT. ALL OF THESE
POINT TOWARD VERY STRONG WINDS THROUGH GAPS OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL ALSO PRODUCE SOME MORE
LOCALIZED GAP WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND IN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND.

WITH VERY PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THERE WON'T BE MUCH BREAK
BEFORE THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN. THIS PARTICULAR LOW WILL
BOTTOM OUT OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS TO THE EASTERN BERING SEA THURSDAY.
THEREFORE...EXPECT MUCH MILDER WEATHER AND IMPACTS FROM THIS
STORM...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...LOOK FOR PROGRESSIVE UPPER FLOW AND ACTIVE
WEATHER TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA DURING THE
DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101.
         HIGH SURF ADVISORY 155 161.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...119.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 130 131 132 136 137 138 139 140 141
                        150 155 160 165 171 172 173 174 175 176 177
                        178 179 180 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB OCT 13