Small Craft Advisory 596, NWS Anchorage, AK

297 
FZAK51 PAFC 091532 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
725 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

UPDATE TO ZONES 129 AND 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100300-
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE EASTERN GULF SAT.
$$

PKZ120-100300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT W OF CAPE CLEARE 
IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-100300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-100300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-100300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-100300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-100300-
PASSAGE CANAL
725 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-100300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
725 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-100300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-100300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-100300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-100300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO SW BY MID MORNING. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-100300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-100300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

103 
FZAK51 PAFC 092353
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101045-
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND
WEAKEN THE SATURDAY. A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF THROUGH SUNDAY.
$$

PKZ120-101045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-101045-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-101045-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101045-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101045-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-101045-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-101045-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT NE 25 KT WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101045-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-101045-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-101045-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-101045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-101045-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

513 
FZAK51 PAFC 100056 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTED
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

CORRECTED TYPO IN SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101045-
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND
WEAKEN SATURDAY. A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF THROUGH SUNDAY.
$$

PKZ120-101045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-101045-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-101045-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101045-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101045-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-101045-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-101045-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT NE 25 KT WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101045-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-101045-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-101045-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-101045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-101045-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT THU AUG 8 2013

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL INITIALIZATIONS WERE REASONABLE THOUGH A LITTLE OFF ON THE
POSITIONING OF THE UPPER CENTER OVER WESTERN BRISTOL BAY THIS
MORNING. FORECAST TRENDS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT. THE MODELS STRUGGLE THOUGH WITH THE POSITIONING OF A WAVE
APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY. THE ECMWF APPEARS TO
HAVE THE MORE CONSISTENT SOLUTION. ONE OF THE FORECAST CHALLENGES
WILL BE THE TIMING OF IMPULSES THAT RIPPLE NORTH ACROSS THE GULF AND
SOUTHCENTRAL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

.UPPER LEVELS...
.500 MB...
THIS MORNINGS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE TROUGH LIFTING NORTH
ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FOLLOWED BY A NARROW BAND OF DRYING.
FURTHER WEST A LOW IS VISIBLE OVER BRISTOL BAY WITH A SW SURGE OF
MOISTURE FROM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS TO OVER COOK INLET.

THE TROUGH OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN.
THE LOW NEAR BRISTOL BAY WILL DRIFT NORTH AND WEST AND MAINTAIN A
MEAN POSITION NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND THROUGH SAT. THE ASSOCIATED TROUGH
SHARPENS SOUTH OF THE AK PEN AND SETS UP RELATIVELY DEEP SOUTHERLY
FLOW OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT AND INTO SAT. THE MEAN
POSITION OF THE TROUGH AXIS WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST AS SEVERAL
IMPULSES MOVE NORTH ALONG ITS BOUNDARY. THE TIMING OF THESE IMPULSES
WILL BE SOMEWHAT PROBLEMATIC.

.SURFACE...
A FRONTAL TROUGH MOVING NORTH ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL WAS WEAKENING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH SOME BREAKS ON ITS BACKSIDE WERE EVIDENT.
PRESSURE RISES ON THE BACK SIDE WERE PRODUCING GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. GUSTY GAP FLOWS ARE ALSO EVIDENT
ACROSS TURNAGAIN ARM AND FORECAST FOR THE KNIK VALLEY TODAY. FURTHER
WEST THE LOW OVER WESTERN BRISTOL BAY AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WERE
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD RAIN/SHOWERS ACROSS SW ALASKA. A WEAK TROUGH WAS
MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
A FRONTAL TROUGH APPROACHES THE WESTERN GULF THIS EVENING. THE FRONT
WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS THE GULF WITH GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT. THE DEEPER MOISTURE FETCH WITH THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
HIGHER PRECIPITATION VALUES ACROSS THE GULF AND SUSITNA VALLEY THEN
THE ONE CURRENTLY MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE MAINLAND. QPF VALUES OF A
COUPLE OF INCHES OR MORE ARE EXCEPTED ACROSS THE EAST KENAI AND
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND OVER THE NEXT 36 HRS. THE DEEP SOUTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT WILL ALSO ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO SPREAD INTO INLAND AREAS
WHICH ARE NORMALLY PROTECTED BY DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS. PRESSURE
GRADIENTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND PRODUCE STRONG GAP
FLOWS...ESPECIALLY TURNAGAIN ARM...TONIGHT AND FRI AS THE FRONT
PROGRESSES SLOWLY EAST.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND LINGERING SURFACE CENTERS WILL
CONTINUE UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. RAIN TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO SHOWERS FRI AND SAT. STRONG GAP
FLOWS OVER ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

.BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
THE STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE BERING SEA
AND WILL KEEP PERIODIC RAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY FROM THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS EASTWARD. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SLIDE IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM OVER THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
EXTENDED GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A BIT OF A PATTERN SWITCH FROM THE CURRENT
PATTERN WITH THE UPPER LOW BREAKING DOWN AND THE YUKON HIGH SPREADING
OVER THE MAINLAND TO SOME EXTEND. TROUGHING IN SOME SENSE WILL TRY TO
RE-FORM OVER THE BERING SEA WHICH IS CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120 130 132 150
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC AUG 13