Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2013

Gale Warning 490, NWS Anchorage, AK

August 9, 2013

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Aug 9, 2013, 7:25 AM AKDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2013, 7:25 AM AKDT (15:25 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2013, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

297 
FZAK51 PAFC 091532 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
725 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

UPDATE TO ZONES 129 AND 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100300-
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE EASTERN GULF SAT.
$$

PKZ120-100300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT W OF CAPE CLEARE 
IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-100300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-100300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-100300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-100300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-100300-
PASSAGE CANAL
725 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-100300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
725 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-100300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-100300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-100300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-100300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO SW BY MID MORNING. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-100300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-100300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
1 follow-up statement
513 
FZAK51 PAFC 100056 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTED
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

CORRECTED TYPO IN SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101045-
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND
WEAKEN SATURDAY. A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF THROUGH SUNDAY.
$$

PKZ120-101045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-101045-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-101045-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101045-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101045-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-101045-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-101045-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT NE 25 KT WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101045-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-101045-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-101045-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-101045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-101045-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Aug 9, 5:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 5:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A CLOSED UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA THIS
MORNING...SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY TOWARD THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THE
SURROUNDING LONGWAVE TROUGH IS GRADUALLY PIVOTING AROUND THE CLOSED
LOW...BRINGING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THIS
WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE...A FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC
TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF. STRATIFORM RAIN IS FALLING OVER THE GULF
COAST AND COOK INLET AREAS...WHILE MORE SHOWERY PRECIPITATION IS
FALLING OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. GAP WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW
THROUGHOUT SOUTHCENTRAL AK AS THE FRONT APPROACHES.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MAJOR FEATURES...HOWEVER
THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES THAT ARE
MOVING THROUGH THE OVERALL TROUGH. WITH NO CLEAR PREFERRED MODEL AT
THIS TIME...WILL PLAN TO MAKE MINIMAL CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
OVERALL. IT DOES LOOK LIKE THERE WILL BE ANOTHER PATTERN CHANGE AS
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH SWINGS DOWN FROM THE NORTH INTO THE WESTERN
BERING SEA NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING QUITE A BIT WITH THIS
PATTERN CHANGE SO WE WILL TAKE A BROAD APPROACH FOR NOW BUT TEND
TOWARD THE ECMWF.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AND GULF OF ALASKA INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY...KEEPING RAIN CHANCES HIGH FOR
MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH THAT TIME. THERE WILL THEN BE A BRIEF
BREAK...ALBEIT WITH SOME SHOWERS AROUND...UNTIL THE MAIN TROUGH
SWINGS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. AS THE MAIN SURFACE
FRONT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA...GAP WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FAVORABLE AREAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...SIMILAR TO THE STORY OF SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA...SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL CONTINUE SPINNING AROUND THE PARENT
LOW THAT IS OFF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST AND WILL BRING PERIODS OF
RAIN TO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WHILE THERE COULD
BE SOME GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE CHANNELED TERRAIN OF THE ALEUTIAN AND
ALASKA RANGES...THEY WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS THE GAP WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN IN
PLACE BEFORE EVENTUALLY MOVING OFF TO THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL KEEP SHOWERY/RAINY CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WHILE THE WESTERN BERING SEA
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THERE WILL BE A SHIFT IN THE PATTERN NEXT WEEK WITH THE MAIN UPPER
LOW BEING OVER THE WESTERN BERING INSTEAD OF THE EASTERN
BERING/SOUTHWEST MAINLAND COAST. THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY
DURING THIS TIME SO WE KEPT THE FORECAST FAIRLY GENERAL FOR NOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 120 125 351
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

SCHRECK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Aug 8, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Aug 9, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC23 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2013Every gale warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.