Gale Warning 86, NWS Anchorage, AK

288 
FZAK51 PAFC 201546 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
645 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

UPDATED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WILL PUSH INLAND THIS
EVENING. A 965 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF UMNAK ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 
983 MB 315 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT MON MORNING AND THEN MOVE TO 510 
NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT THE SAME STRENGTH ON TUE MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
645 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL ISLAND. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-210300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-210300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-210300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-210300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-210300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT DIMINISHING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

103 
FZAK51 PAFC 210017
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211500-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW 510 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 340 NM SOUTH OF
SITKINAK AND WEAKEN TO 984 MB MON AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING MON
NIGHT. A 983 MB LOW WILL FORM 430 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MON
NIGHT AND MOVE TO 310 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WHILE
STRENGTHENING TO 976 MB TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-211500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E
WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES 
HEAD. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE
THIS EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-211500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-211500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-211500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. E OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 15 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-211500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-211500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-211500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 20 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
430 PM AKST SAT JAN 19 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE FAR EASTERN PACIFIC
WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TO
NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. MEANWHILE...A COMPLEX UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED LOW PRESSURE CENTERS EXTENDS THROUGH THE BERING
SEA AND INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. THE MOST PROMINENT OF THESE
EMBEDDED FEATURES IS A STRENGTHENING UPPER LOW WHICH IS FAST
APPROACHING THE AKPEN FROM THE SOUTH...WITH ANOTHER UPPER LOW WELL
SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
ALSO LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PART OF THE CHAIN. AT THE
SURFACE...A SUB 980 MB LOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE EASTERN
BERING BETWEEN DUTCH HARBOR AND THE TIP OF THE AKPEN WITH AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE AKPEN INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA. THIS FEATURE CONTINUES TO BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO
SOUTHERN ALASKA...WITH RAIN FALLING FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
AKPEN TO KODIAK ISLAND AND SNOW SHOWERS OCCASIONALLY MIXING WITH RAIN
FURTHER NORTH OVER THE MAINLAND. GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT ARE SUPPORTING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PRIBILOFS AND
OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH RESPECT
TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE AKPEN LOW WILL MOVE WESTWARD
THROUGH THE BERING DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK WHILE THE LOW
CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS CONTINUES EASTWARD AND
REACHES THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA BY LATE TUESDAY. YET ANOTHER NORTH
PACIFIC LOW WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THAT SYSTEM...TRACKING SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE LOW PUSHES INTO THE
BERING AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AK.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD ALONG THE GULF COAST AND WILL
BE LIMITED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FURTHER INLAND. ALONG THE
COAST...PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL STAY PREDOMINANTLY SNOW THROUGH
TONIGHT AND THEN BEGIN TO MIX WITH RAIN DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY AS
WARMER AIR CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. KODIAK
ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO SEE ALL RAIN. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE
THROUGH...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT
THROUGH THE PORTAGE VALLEY AND ALONG THE TURNAGAIN ARM.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND AKPEN AS THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVE
INTO THE EASTERN BERING. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ALONG THE COAST
OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY
SNOW NORTH AND WEST OF DILLINGHAM WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWER
TO WARM...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE COAST.
AREAS EAST OF DILLINGHAM AND ALONG THE AKPEN WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A
RAIN/SNOW MIX. PRECIPITATION WILL START TO TAPER OFF ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING...BUT WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE AKPEN AS THE NEXT FRONT BEGINS
TO IMPACT THE AREA.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE PRIBILOFS INTO THE EVENING
HOURS BEFORE IMPROVING TONIGHT AS STRONG WINDS BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND THE LOW MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE PRIBILOFS AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTH. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF THE CHAIN AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER
THE BERING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE WILL MOVE EASTWARD BY MID WEEK...ALLOWING
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING TO BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA WITH EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES KEEPING A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
IN THE FORECAST INTO THE EXTENDED TERM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 155 195
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 125 161
MARINE...STORM WARNING 130 185
         GALE WARNING 120 138 140 150 155 160 165 172 175 179 180
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 140 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

CB JAN 13