Gale Warning 844, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 051202
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-060300-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 5 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 990 MB LOW NEAR 60N 172E WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKEN
THROUGH FRI NIGHT. A 986 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 50N 164W
SAT MORNING AT 991 MB.

$$

PKZ411-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 TO 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT
SE 30 KT E OF 167W. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT SE 30 KT E OF 167W. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 060019
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-061500-
400 PM AKST THU DEC 5 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 994 MB LOW NEAR 58N 169E WILL MOVE ON SHORE NEAR 60N 170W AT 1000
MB FRI MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO
THE EASTERN BERING SEA THU NIGHT AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD
THROUGH SAT.

$$

PKZ411-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

.TONIGHT...SW TO NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW TO NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW TO NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W TO NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W TO NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST THU DEC 5 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT E OF 167W. SEAS 10 TO 15
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT E OF 168 W. SEAS 10
TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 061239
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-070300-
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH
SAT EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH
SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT E OF 174W . SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 15 TO 25 KT E OF 174W. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT E OF 175W. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT E OF 175W. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT E OF 167W. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT E OF 167W. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT E OF 167W. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 070000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-071500-
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE SLOWLY WEST
THROUGH SUN. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA
SAT AND REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH SUN. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SEPARATE THESE FRONTS.

$$

PKZ411-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

.TONIGHT...W TO N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE TO 15 KT W OF 178W. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE TO 20 KT W OF 178W. SEAS 9
FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.SAT...W TO N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE TO 15 KT W OF 178W. SEAS 6
TO 14 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W OF 167W...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT. E OF 167W...SE WIND 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...W OF 168W...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. E OF 168W...SE TO E WIND 15 TO
30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 071219
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-080300-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE SLOWLY
WESTWARD TO THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH EARLY MON MORNING. A 1004 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 52N 174E BY EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-080300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-080300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF 176W. SEAS 7 TO 11
FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-080300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT W OF 177W. SEAS 9 TO 14
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-080300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT E OF 168W. SEAS 10 TO 15
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT E OF 168W. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 080012
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-081500-
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 999 MB COMPLEX LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. A 1009 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR 48N 172E SUN
AFTERNOON AND STRENGTHEN TO 1006 MB NEAR 53N 177E MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-081500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ412-081500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT W OF 176W...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ413-081500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ414-081500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 7 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST WED DEC 4 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
DOMINATES THE WEATHER MAP OVER MAINLAND ALASKA TODAY. THE RIDGE AXIS
IS EDGING EASTWARD OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THIS IS OPENING THE
DOOR FOR SOME PRECIPITATION N THE COOK INLET REGION AS WELL AS
BRINGING THE RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
A LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND THIS IS BRINGING A STRONG SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE ARE MOVING NORTHWARD IN THIS FLOW AND A FEW HAVE BEEN
CAUGHT UP IN THE FLOW OVER THE RIDGE...BRINGING THEM TO THE ALASKA
RANGE AND COOK INLET REGIONS.
AT THE SURFACE THE STORM TRACK IS SET FROM THE ALASKA PENINSULA
THROUGH THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA. THERE ARE THREE LOW THAT WILL BE
TRAVERSING ALONG THIS LINE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE HOLDING TOGETHER WELL...ESPECIALLY
WITH SUCH AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. THE MODEL AGREEMENT AND RUN TO
RUN CONSISTENCY ARE QUITE GOOD. THERE ARE SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN
THE COOK INLET REGION WHERE THE NAM IS SHOWING A GREATER CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION THAN THE GFS OR ECMWF. THIS IS LIKELY TO BE THE CASE
JUDGING BY THE WAY THE RADAR IS FILLING IN WITH ECHOES SINCE EARLY
AFTERNOON. THE NAM IS ALSO THE MODEL GOING STRONGLY TOWARD THE
FREEZING DRIZZLE OCCURRING. THIS IS ALSO GIVEN A LOT OF WEIGHT DUE TO
THE SUPERIOR RESOLUTION OF THE NAM AND THAT IS LIKELY WHAT IS DRIVING
IT TOWARD SEEING THESE DETAILS THAT ARE SMOOTHED OVER BY THE MODELS
WITH LESS RESOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT WAS A BIT STRONGER
THAN ANTICIPATED HAS BROUGHT SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TO THE COOK
INLET REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THIS INDICATES THAT THE RIDGE OVER THE
AREA MAY BE WEAKENING FASTER THAN EXPECTED AND INCREASES THE LIKELY
HOOD FOR ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING MAY BE A MIXED BAG BUT BY
MIDNIGHT THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE CONDUCIVE FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE
AFTER THIS WAVE MOVES THROUGH. AS MORE WARMING OCCURS TOMORROW INTO
TOMORROW NIGHT THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL LIKELY BE FREEZING
RAIN...BUT THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISHING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REASSERTS ITSELF WEST OF COOK INLET.

SOUTHWEST...THE SURFACE HAS WARMED ABOVE FREEZING FOR JUST ABOUT ALL
OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY ZONES. THIS HAS CAUSED ALL THE
PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS RAIN TODAY WITH THE ONLY FREEZING RAIN
REMAINING IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WHERE THE COLD AIR IN THE VALLEY
HAS REMAINED. TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME COOLING DOWN
MUCH OVERNIGHT AS THE HEART OF THE WARM AIR ALOFT MOVES OVER THIS
REGION. THE ENTIRE AREA FROM KODIAK ISLAND TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
AND THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM AREA FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE LOWS MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH FOLLOW ALMOST THE
EXACT SAME TRACK AS THE PREVIOUS LOW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND THE MODELS ARE
STILL CHANGING THEIR STORY FROM DAY TO DAY WITH REGARD TO HOW THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL BEHAVE DURING THAT TIME. THAT WILL IMPACT HOW FAR
EAST THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ABLE TO GET. AT THIS TIME IT STILL
LOOKS LIKE THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF THE COOK
INLET AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST ALASKA AT GREATER RISK FOR
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 101 121 152.
MARINE...GALE 155 170 172 173 178 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DEC 13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1235 PM AKST WED DEC 4 2013

AKZ101-111-121-145-050112-

...CHANCE OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

SOME SUBTLE BUT IMPORTANT CHANGES ARE TAKING PLACE IN THE ATMOSPHERE
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WHICH IS MAKING THE ATMOSPHERE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS RIDING OVER THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION AND THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SNOW
SHOWERS TO POP UP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AFTER THE PASSAGE OF
THIS DISTURBANCE THERE WILL BE WARMING ALOFT COMBINED WITH AN
INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH WILL LIKELY SWITCH THE
PRECIPITATION TYPE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE.

THIS IS NOT A REPEAT OF THE RECENT FREEZING RAIN EVENTS AS FREEZING
DRIZZLE IS GENERALLY VERY LIGHT AND SPOTTY OVER THE AREA. IT WILL
GIVE SOME PLACES A THIN GLAZE OF ICE WHILE NEARBY LOCATIONS DO NOT
HAVE ANY. BE AWARE THAT IF THE FREEZING DRIZZLE DOES DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT IT WILL IMPACT THE MORNING COMMUTE WITH SOME VERY SLICK
LOCATIONS AROUND THE ENTIRE COOK INLET REGION FROM CLAM GULCH
NORTHWARD...INCLUDING THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MAT-SU VALLEY.