Gale Warning 836, NWS Anchorage, AK

587 
FZAK52 PAFC 290104 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

UPDATED ZONE 155

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-291500-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL SHIFT TO THE 
EASTERN BERING FRI THEN MOVE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA SAT. A STRONG 
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS THU NIGHT 
AND FRI THEN WEAKEN ON SAT. A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 200 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA SAT AFTERNOON AT 996 MB.

$$

PKZ150-291500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.   

$$

PKZ155-291500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.   

$$

PKZ160-291500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-291500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-291500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-291500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-291500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-291500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-291500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-291500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-291500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.   

$$

PKZ177-291500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-291500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF SHEMYA. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 40 KT W OF SHEMYA. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.

.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-291500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-291500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-291500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-291500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 20 KT
BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING
S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT.
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

611 
FZAK52 PAFC 291231
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-300300-
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL REACH MAINLAND ALASKA SAT.
A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS
TODAY THEN WEAKEN ON SAT. A 1000 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA SAT
MORNING WILL MOVE TO 185 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AT 996 MB SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-300300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-300300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-300300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-300300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-300300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-300300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-300300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-300300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-300300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-300300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-300300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-300300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-300300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-300300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-300300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-300300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-300300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 29 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1225 PM AKST THU NOV 28 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS BUILDING OVER THE BERING
SEA WHILE A COLD UPPER LOW SINKS SOUTHWARD ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA.
THE TROUGH DIGGING OUT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW IS BRINGING SNOW TO
PORTIONS OF EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN...WITH MOST OF THE SNOW ACCUMULATION OCCURRING INLAND. ARCTIC
AIR WITH THE TROUGH IS POURING SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
WITH STRONG GAP WINDS BEING OBSERVED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN
AND WESTERN GULF. A WEAK SHORT-WAVE MOVING OVER TOP OF THE BERING
RIDGE IS TRACKING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST...WITH SNOW BEGINNING
TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THIS MORNING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER
MAINLAND ALASKA AND EMBEDDED WAVES ROTATING AROUND IT AS IT WOBBLES
ITS WAY SOUTH AND EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THE MAIN
IMPACT OF THESE UPPER WAVES WILL BE ON THE STRENGTH OF GAP FLOW
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST/PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WITH LOW CONFIDENCE
IN THE DETAILS OF THESE WAVES...WILL JUST HOLD CLOSE TO EXISTING
FORECAST WHICH DOES INDICATE STRENGTHENING GAP WINDS AS WE HEAD
INTO THE WEEKEND.

MODELS ARE ALSO STRUGGLING WITH DETAILS OF TROUGH EXITING ASIA AND
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BERING THIS WEEKEND. 12Z GFS AND ECMWF BOTH
REFLECT A SIMILAR SOLUTION OF PHASING OF UPPER SHORT-WAVES WHICH
PICKS UP A LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND LIFTS IT NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. OTHER SOLUTIONS ARE NEARLY AS
AGGRESSIVE BUT FLOW SEEMS TO SUPPORT THAT SOME SORT OF LOW WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD. SINCE THIS IS NOT REFLECTED AT ALL IN THE CURRENT
FORECAST WILL TREND HEAVILY THAT DIRECTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS THE UPPER LOW SHIFTS SOUTH AND EAST AND A
SURFACE HIGH BECOMES WELL ESTABLISHED OVER INTERIOR ALASKA THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS SOUTHCENTRAL WILL SETTLE INTO THE DEEP FREEZE. STRONG
GAP WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL
PERSIST (AND STRENGTHEN IN SOME LOCATIONS) MAINTAINING WARMER
TEMPERATURES IN THOSE LOCALES. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS
IN THE VALDEZ AREA THIS WEEKEND. THIS IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
STRENGTH OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES TRANSITING THE AREA WHICH AS MENTIONED
ABOVE THERE IS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE UPPER WAVE MOVING TOWARD THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
WILL RAPIDLY DIVE SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE BERING RIDGE
SO SNOW WILL NOT LAST LONG IN ANY ONE PLACE AS IT MOVES THROUGH.
OTHERWISE...ARCTIC AIR WILL PROVIDE CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE BERING WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE THIS WEEKEND ALLOWING WARMER AIR ALOFT
TO BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW
TO WARM WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...BUT THE MOUNTAIN TOPS
WILL WARM SETTING UP A STEEP LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSION.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT EASTWARD ALLOWING A COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC TO
MARCH EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
SOUTHERLY FLOW OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE FOR SOME
WARMING ALONG THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY STALL
AS THE PARENT LOW TRACKS NORTHWARD OVER EASTERN RUSSIA AND FRONT
BECOMES ELONGATED. ARRIVAL OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL
THEN LIFT A PACIFIC LOW NORTHWARD RIGHT ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WEATHER ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING
WILL REMAIN BENIGN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...SHORT-WAVES MOVING UP AGAINST THE WEST SIDE
OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL FORCE IT TO CONTINUE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER
MAINLAND ALASKA EARLY NEXT WEEK. INITIALLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
SIGNIFICANTLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF MAINLAND ALASKA BUT MUCH MORE
GRADUALLY AT THE SURFACE. MODELS DISAGREE ON THE EXACT LOCATION AND
ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE NEXT WEEK...BUT GENERALLY LOOKS LIKE A
GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIP RETURNING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA MID WEEK WHILE
SOUTHCENTRAL MAY REMAIN DRY UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEK. WEATHER OVER
THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS WILL BECOME MUCH MORE ACTIVE WITH STORMS
TRACKING UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY 131.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...127 130 131 132 150 170 172 173 174 176 178.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...121 126 127 128 129 130 131
                                        136 137 138 141.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 13