Gale Warning 74, NWS Anchorage, AK

869 
FZAK51 PAFC 160011 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTED
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

CORRECTED TYPO ZONE 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161500-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WED. A 1012 MB LOW 315 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SITKINAK TUE NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 85 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WED
NIGHT AT 998 MB. THIS LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST THU.

$$

PKZ120-161500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 11
FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-161500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-161500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-161500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-161500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-161500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-161500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-161500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-161500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ136-161500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-161500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-161500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-161500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-161500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

418 
FZAK51 PAFC 160706 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1007 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

UPDATED ZONES 125 126 127 128

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161500-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WED. A 1012 MB LOW 315 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SITKINAK TUE NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 85 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WED
NIGHT AT 998 MB. THIS LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST THU.

$$

PKZ120-161500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 11
FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-161500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-161500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1007 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-161500-
PORT VALDEZ
1007 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-161500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
1007 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-161500-
VALDEZ ARM
1007 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-161500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-161500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-161500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ136-161500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-161500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-161500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-161500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-161500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

352 
FZAK51 PAFC 161215
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170300-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. A PACIFIC LOW FORMING 350
NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT
997 MB EARLY THU MORNING...THEN DRIFT TO AROUND 70 NM EAST OF CAPE
SUCKLING AT 1010 MB FRI MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-170300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-170300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-170300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-170300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-170300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-170300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-170300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-170300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-170300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-170300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-170300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-170300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-170300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-170300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 16 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 15 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE LARGEST FEATURE ON THE WEATHER MAP
IS A LARGE 937 MB LOW SOUTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. THIS LOW IS
TRACKING SLOWLY NORTHEAST AND WILL BECOME THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER FOR
THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS IN SHORT ORDER. THE SURFACE
FEATURES OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AS WELL AS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
EASTERN BERING SEA ARE WEAK TODAY WITH A RIDGE OVER THE GULF THAT
PUSHES INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AND PART OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND A WEAK LOW
IN BRISTOL BAY. THERE IS ALSO A SURFACE LOW IN THE CHUKCHI SEA THAT
HAS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH IT THAT IS MOVING OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE JET STREAM COMES WEST TO EAST OFF OF JAPAN AND IS FEEDING THE
LARGE STORM SOUTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIANS. THE JET THEN WEAKENS SOME AS
IT TURNS MORE TO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN INCREASES OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA THROUGH THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF THE STATE. THIS JET IS THE
REASON FOR THE CLOUDS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA IN SPITE OF THE
SURFACE RIDGE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE ALL LOCKED ON VERY WELL TO THE LARGE
STORM SOUTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. MODEL-TO-MODEL AND
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY WITH THIS STORM IS VERY GOOD. THE MODELS ARE
IMPROVING IN THE GULF OF ALASKA REGION BUT THERE ARE STILL SOME
ISSUES TO RESOLVE. THE NAM AND ECMWF ARE CLOSING IN ON A COMMON
STRUCTURE AND TRACK OF THE LOWS MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO
THE NORTH GULF COAST. THE GFS IS STILL OUT ON ITS OWN WITH VARYING
SOLUTIONS FROM RUN TO RUN. THE CENTRAL PRESSURES OF THE NAM AND ECMWF
HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANT BUT WITH THE NEWEST NAM RUN DEEPENING TO NEAR
THE ECMWF STRENGTH ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT IT FURTHER CONFIRMS THAT THE
NAM/ECMWF GUIDANCE SHOULD BE THE BEST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM ADAK
WESTWARD FOR OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW DUE TO A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE APPROACHING LOW. PRECIPITATION IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
START OFF AS SNOW AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND THEN TURN TO RAIN WITH
THE STRONG WARMING. THERE MAY BE SOME REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR A
SHORT TIME DUE TO BLOWING SNOW BUT IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THIS WILL
LAST VERY LONG IF IT DOES OCCUR.

THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE WEAK LOW IN BRISTOL
BAY IS PRODUCING ENOUGH LIFTING TO BRING A LITTLE SNOWFALL INTO THE
AREA. THIS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT WITH JUST SOME SNOW
REMAINING ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND ALEUTIAN RANGE BY MORNING.
AS THIS WAVE PROGRESSES EASTWARD INTO TOMORROW IT WILL RUN INTO SOME
MOISTURE MOVING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO
CAUSE SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL IN FROM THE KENAI PENINSULA THROUGH THE
SUSITNA VALLEY INCLUDING THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND MATANUSKA VALLEY.
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK LOW NEAR THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL ENHANCE
THE SNOWFALL OVER THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA AND NORTHWARD INTO
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...FOR THIS WEEKEND MODELS STILL SHOW A BROAD
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE AREA HIGHLIGHTED BY THE COMPLEX
UPPER LOW MEANDERING AROUND THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIAN CHAIN WITH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN GULF. AS ENERGY ROTATES
AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH IN THE NORTH PACIFIC AND RUNS UP
AGAINST THE RIDGE...STORM TRACK WILL BE DIRECTED NORTHWARD TOWARDS
THE AKPEN/EASTERN BERING SEA. OVERALL...EXPECTING A FAIRLY WARM AND
ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THE BULK OF THE AREA FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 187 191.
MARINE...GALE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 13