Gale Warning 608, NWS Anchorage, AK

188 
FZAK51 PAFC 260328 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
730 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

UPDATED ZONES 127 129 130 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261500-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 994 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF CHIGNIK WILL WEAKEN TO 1000 MB 150 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD THU MORNING AND DISSIPATE THU AFTERNOON. A
RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND
AT 969 MB THU EVENING AND MOVE TO 90 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT
SAME STRENGTH FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-261500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ121-261500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT... N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-261500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45
KT IN THE EVENING IN THE EASTERN SOUND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-261500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ127-261500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
730 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-261500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-261500-
PASSAGE CANAL
730 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-261500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
730 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15
KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT W 15 KT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND
20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-261500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING
TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-261500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .  

$$

PKZ137-261500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-261500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-261500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-261500-
KACHEMAK BAY
730 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

283 
FZAK51 PAFC 261200
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270300-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 999 MB LOW 80 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 140
NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING AND DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. A RAPIDLY
STRENGTHENING BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE TO 80 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK
CITY AT 973 MB FRI MORNING AND THEN MOVE TO 420 NM SOUTH OF CAPE
SUCKLING AT THE SAME STRENGTH EARLY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-270300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT E 50 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-270300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-270300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-270300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-270300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-270300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-270300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-270300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE 35 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-270300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT S 35 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-270300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-270300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-270300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-270300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 9 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-270300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING IS WEAKENING AS IT
MOVES TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF TODAY. A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE MOVED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE FRONT LAST EVENING AND RE-INVIGORATED SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE REGION...RESULTING IN VERY STRONG GAP
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT AND
THIS MORNING. THE FRONT HAS NOW MOVED THROUGH THE MAT-SU VALLEY AND
IS STALLING AND WEAKENING OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST. SHOWERS ARE BEGINNING TO FILL IN ACROSS COOK INLET AND
THE WESTERN GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW CENTER ITSELF AND ASSOCIATED
COLD AIR AND INSTABILITY ALOFT. MEANWHILE...GUSTY WEST WINDS AND
SHOWERS BEHIND THE LOW ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA. FURTHER WEST...AN UNUSUALLY STRONG
JET IS STRENGTHENING ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING...AND WILL BE A KEY
PLAYER IN WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE DECAYING LOW MOVING INTO THE
GULF. THE NAM HAS BEEN PERSISTENTLY FURTHER NORTH THAN THE GFS...A
SUBTLE DIFFERENCE BUT ONE THAT HAS RAMIFICATIONS FOR THE LONGEVITY OF
THE STRONG WINDS/BARRIER JET CURRENTLY AFFECTING PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. THE 12Z ECMWF SHOWS MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS...WHICH
PROBABLY IS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO CONSIDERING THE RAPIDLY
WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL CENTER. THUS WILL OPT FOR A NAM/GFS COMBO THAT
KEEPS A WEAKENED FORM OF THE BARRIER JET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
PERIODS. THE NEXT MAJOR LOW WILL BEGIN RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING BY
THURSDAY MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WITH THE HELP OF AN
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG 215 KT ZONAL JET STREAM. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE WITH POSITION AND TIMING OF THIS LOW...AND MOST RECENTLY
HAVE ALL BEGUN TO TREND NORTHWARD WITH THE LOW POSITION BEFORE TAKING
AN ABRUPT SOUTHERLY TURN AND DROPPING INTO THE GULF. THE GFS SEEMS TO
HAVE HANDLED THIS BEST...WITH ADDED SUPPORT FROM THE 12Z ECMWF AND
12Z GEM GLOBAL SOLUTIONS. THE NAM IS THE MOST OBVIOUS OUTLIER...BEING
MUCH TOO FAR SOUTH WITH THE SURFACE LOW POSITION. WHILE MANY OF THE
DETAILS ARE STILL UP IN THE AIR...ONE THING WE CAN SAY CONFIDENTLY IS
THAT THIS WILL BE A VERY FAST MOVING AND POTENT STORM...WITH WINDS
APPROACHING HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS SOME SECTIONS OF THE EASTERN
BERING/ALASKA PENINSULA BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AND COLD AIR
ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUATION OF NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS TONIGHT
AROUND MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN...WHERE DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. MOST AREAS
WILL DRY OUT SLOWLY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...THOUGH BREAKS OF
SUNSHINE WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAIRLY HARD TO COME BY AS NUMEROUS WEAK
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WITH A
SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERN TRACK OF THE NEXT STORM AM NOW EXPECTING RAIN
TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...WITH UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST EXPECT SIGNIFICANT
DOWNSLOPING WILL BE THE GENERAL PATTERN WHICH WILL CONFINE HEAVY
RAINFALL TO THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS/COASTLINES.

SOUTHWEST...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE FROM WEST TO EAST
TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF. AFTER A VERY BRIEF REPRIEVE
THE NEXT STORM WILL SPREAD RAIN AND WIND TO THE COASTLINE THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH RAIN SPREADING INLAND DURING THE DAY. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO NUNIVAK ISLAND AND THEN LOOSELY PARALLEL THE
COASTLINE DOWN TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BEHIND
THE LOW CENTER AND ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO STAY JUST OFFSHORE.
HOWEVER...WINDS ALONG THE COASTLINE WILL BE HIGHLY SENSITIVE TO
CHANGES IN THE LOW POSITION.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...STRONG WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL
RAPIDLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY MOVES INTO THE
REGION. THE NEXT LOW WILL REALLY START TO GET ITS ACT TOGETHER OVER
THE NORTHERN BERING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE RAPID STRENGTHENING OF THIS STORM WILL BE AMPLIFIED BY AN
EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG JET STREAM OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. AT THIS
TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL GET A GLANCING BLOW FROM
THE STORM AS THE LOW CENTER PIVOTS SOUTHWARD NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND. THE
FULL STRENGTH OF THE STORM WILL STAY OVER THE OPEN WATER OF THE
EASTERN BERING SEA BEFORE MOVING ONSHORE THE ALASKA PENINSULA NEAR
PORT HEIDEN. WHILE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM ITSELF WILL BE
FAIRLY STRONG IN THE UPPER 960S. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHARACTERISTIC
WILL BE A FORWARD SPEED OF NEARLY 40 MPH. IN ADDITION...A MODEST
AMOUNT OF COLD AIR WILL BE PULLED SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE STORM. ALL
THESE FACTORS WILL WORK TOGETHER TO PACK A POWERFUL
PUNCH...ESPECIALLY TO LOCATIONS IMMEDIATELY WEST OF THE LOW AS IT
CROSSES INTO THE GULF ON FRIDAY. BASED ON CONTINUED MODEL UNCERTAINTY
IN THE FORECAST TRACK...WILL LEAVE THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE ALASKA
PENINSULA LARGELY AS-IS WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST. STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES TO THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND NOW APPEARS THAT IT WILL PERSIST
AT LEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY-BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...WITH THE STORM TRACK CONTINUING TO TAKE LOWS
ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND THEN DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 181
         FLOOD ADVISORY 101
MARINE...STORM 160 165 170 172 175
         GALE 150 155 171 176 179 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD SEP 13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
350 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

AKZ161-181-271400-

...HIGH WAVE ACTION POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING ALONG THE BERING COAST OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL BRING
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND HIGH SEAS TO THE BERING COAST OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA STARTING LATE THIS EVENING. THE HIGHEST WAVES ARE
CURRENTLY EXPECTED BETWEEN COLD BAY AND PILOT POINT...AND WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE ON FRIDAY EVENING.

THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST IN THIS AREA SHOULD CONSIDER
MOVING VALUABLES INLAND. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO SECURE OBJECTS ALONG
THE COAST...AS HIGH WINDS AND WAVES MAY MOVE LOOSE DEBRIS AND DAMAGE
PROPERTY.

KOCHEVAR