Storm Warning 92, NWS Anchorage, AK

299 
FZAK62 PAFC 261148
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-270300-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 986 MB LOW NEAR 60N 176E WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 969 MB NEAR
NUNIVAK ISLAND THU EVENING BEFORE MOVING TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AT 973
MB FRI MORNING. A 992 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 51N 170E
EARLY SAT MORNING. 

$$

PKZ411-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

620 
FZAK62 PAFC 262350
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-271500-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... 
A 979 MB LOW AT 59N 167W WILL MOVE TO 58N 151W FRI AFTERNOON AT 970
MB THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF FRI NIGHT. A 990 MB LOW AT 48N 162E FRI
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 51N 175E SAT AFTERNOON AT 998 MB.

$$

PKZ411-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING NE 30 KT S OF 55N
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

885 
FZAK62 PAFC 271158
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-280300-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 973 MB LOW AT 58N 158W WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF TONIGHT. A 997 MB
LOW AT 48N 165E FRI AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 49N 176W SAT NIGHT AT 1012
MB.

$$

PKZ411-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N OF 56N...NW WIND 20 KT. S OF 56N...E WIND 15 KT
INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...N OF 56N...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S OF 56N...E WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF 176W...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. W OF 176W...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF 167W...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. W OF 167W...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17
FT. 
.TONIGHT...E OF 167W...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT TO 17 FT. W OF 167W...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF 167W. SEAS 11 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT
W OF 167W. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

111 
FZAK62 PAFC 272350
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-281500-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 969 MB LOW NEAR 57N 149W WILL EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC 
FRI NIGHT AND SAT. A 995 MB LOW NEAR 48N 164E WILL DISSIPATE 
AS IT PASSES SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN FRI NIGHT AND SAT.

$$

PKZ411-281500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-281500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

.TONIGHT...W TO N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-281500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N TO E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-281500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING IS WEAKENING AS IT
MOVES TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF TODAY. A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE MOVED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE FRONT LAST EVENING AND RE-INVIGORATED SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE REGION...RESULTING IN VERY STRONG GAP
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT AND
THIS MORNING. THE FRONT HAS NOW MOVED THROUGH THE MAT-SU VALLEY AND
IS STALLING AND WEAKENING OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST. SHOWERS ARE BEGINNING TO FILL IN ACROSS COOK INLET AND
THE WESTERN GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW CENTER ITSELF AND ASSOCIATED
COLD AIR AND INSTABILITY ALOFT. MEANWHILE...GUSTY WEST WINDS AND
SHOWERS BEHIND THE LOW ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA. FURTHER WEST...AN UNUSUALLY STRONG
JET IS STRENGTHENING ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING...AND WILL BE A KEY
PLAYER IN WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE DECAYING LOW MOVING INTO THE
GULF. THE NAM HAS BEEN PERSISTENTLY FURTHER NORTH THAN THE GFS...A
SUBTLE DIFFERENCE BUT ONE THAT HAS RAMIFICATIONS FOR THE LONGEVITY OF
THE STRONG WINDS/BARRIER JET CURRENTLY AFFECTING PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. THE 12Z ECMWF SHOWS MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS...WHICH
PROBABLY IS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO CONSIDERING THE RAPIDLY
WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL CENTER. THUS WILL OPT FOR A NAM/GFS COMBO THAT
KEEPS A WEAKENED FORM OF THE BARRIER JET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
PERIODS. THE NEXT MAJOR LOW WILL BEGIN RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING BY
THURSDAY MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WITH THE HELP OF AN
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG 215 KT ZONAL JET STREAM. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE WITH POSITION AND TIMING OF THIS LOW...AND MOST RECENTLY
HAVE ALL BEGUN TO TREND NORTHWARD WITH THE LOW POSITION BEFORE TAKING
AN ABRUPT SOUTHERLY TURN AND DROPPING INTO THE GULF. THE GFS SEEMS TO
HAVE HANDLED THIS BEST...WITH ADDED SUPPORT FROM THE 12Z ECMWF AND
12Z GEM GLOBAL SOLUTIONS. THE NAM IS THE MOST OBVIOUS OUTLIER...BEING
MUCH TOO FAR SOUTH WITH THE SURFACE LOW POSITION. WHILE MANY OF THE
DETAILS ARE STILL UP IN THE AIR...ONE THING WE CAN SAY CONFIDENTLY IS
THAT THIS WILL BE A VERY FAST MOVING AND POTENT STORM...WITH WINDS
APPROACHING HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS SOME SECTIONS OF THE EASTERN
BERING/ALASKA PENINSULA BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AND COLD AIR
ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUATION OF NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS TONIGHT
AROUND MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN...WHERE DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. MOST AREAS
WILL DRY OUT SLOWLY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...THOUGH BREAKS OF
SUNSHINE WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAIRLY HARD TO COME BY AS NUMEROUS WEAK
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WITH A
SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERN TRACK OF THE NEXT STORM AM NOW EXPECTING RAIN
TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...WITH UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST EXPECT SIGNIFICANT
DOWNSLOPING WILL BE THE GENERAL PATTERN WHICH WILL CONFINE HEAVY
RAINFALL TO THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS/COASTLINES.

SOUTHWEST...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE FROM WEST TO EAST
TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF. AFTER A VERY BRIEF REPRIEVE
THE NEXT STORM WILL SPREAD RAIN AND WIND TO THE COASTLINE THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH RAIN SPREADING INLAND DURING THE DAY. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO NUNIVAK ISLAND AND THEN LOOSELY PARALLEL THE
COASTLINE DOWN TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BEHIND
THE LOW CENTER AND ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO STAY JUST OFFSHORE.
HOWEVER...WINDS ALONG THE COASTLINE WILL BE HIGHLY SENSITIVE TO
CHANGES IN THE LOW POSITION.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...STRONG WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL
RAPIDLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY MOVES INTO THE
REGION. THE NEXT LOW WILL REALLY START TO GET ITS ACT TOGETHER OVER
THE NORTHERN BERING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE RAPID STRENGTHENING OF THIS STORM WILL BE AMPLIFIED BY AN
EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG JET STREAM OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. AT THIS
TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL GET A GLANCING BLOW FROM
THE STORM AS THE LOW CENTER PIVOTS SOUTHWARD NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND. THE
FULL STRENGTH OF THE STORM WILL STAY OVER THE OPEN WATER OF THE
EASTERN BERING SEA BEFORE MOVING ONSHORE THE ALASKA PENINSULA NEAR
PORT HEIDEN. WHILE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM ITSELF WILL BE
FAIRLY STRONG IN THE UPPER 960S. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHARACTERISTIC
WILL BE A FORWARD SPEED OF NEARLY 40 MPH. IN ADDITION...A MODEST
AMOUNT OF COLD AIR WILL BE PULLED SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE STORM. ALL
THESE FACTORS WILL WORK TOGETHER TO PACK A POWERFUL
PUNCH...ESPECIALLY TO LOCATIONS IMMEDIATELY WEST OF THE LOW AS IT
CROSSES INTO THE GULF ON FRIDAY. BASED ON CONTINUED MODEL UNCERTAINTY
IN THE FORECAST TRACK...WILL LEAVE THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE ALASKA
PENINSULA LARGELY AS-IS WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST. STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES TO THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND NOW APPEARS THAT IT WILL PERSIST
AT LEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY-BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...WITH THE STORM TRACK CONTINUING TO TAKE LOWS
ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND THEN DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 181
         FLOOD ADVISORY 101
MARINE...STORM 160 165 170 172 175
         GALE 150 155 171 176 179 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD SEP 13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
350 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

AKZ161-181-271400-

...HIGH WAVE ACTION POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING ALONG THE BERING COAST OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL BRING
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND HIGH SEAS TO THE BERING COAST OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA STARTING LATE THIS EVENING. THE HIGHEST WAVES ARE
CURRENTLY EXPECTED BETWEEN COLD BAY AND PILOT POINT...AND WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE ON FRIDAY EVENING.

THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST IN THIS AREA SHOULD CONSIDER
MOVING VALUABLES INLAND. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO SECURE OBJECTS ALONG
THE COAST...AS HIGH WINDS AND WAVES MAY MOVE LOOSE DEBRIS AND DAMAGE
PROPERTY.

KOCHEVAR