Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2013
Gale Warning 580, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 11, 2013, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 11, 2013, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 12, 2013, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
683 FZAK51 PAFC 112337 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-121500- 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT. A 986 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR THU MORNING WILL MOVE TO 180 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK FRI AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 1005 MB. $$ PKZ120-121500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ121-121500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-121500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-121500- PORT VALDEZ 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-121500- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-121500- VALDEZ ARM 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-121500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-121500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 30 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-121500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ136-121500- CHINIAK BAY 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ137-121500- MARMOT BAY 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ138-121500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-121500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-121500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
381 FZAK51 PAFC 121159 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-130300- 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 985 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI WILL MOVE TO 140 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK FRI AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 1005 MB. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 260 NM SOUTH OF CHINIAK AT 1006 MB EARLY SAT MORNING. $$ PKZ120-130300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-130300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-130300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-130300- PORT VALDEZ 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-130300- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-130300- VALDEZ ARM 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-130300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .TODAY...E WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-130300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 15 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-130300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ136-130300- CHINIAK BAY 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ137-130300- MARMOT BAY 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ138-130300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-130300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT S OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT S OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-130300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT THU SEP 12 2013 .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 11, 2:00 PM AKDT, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 2:00 PM AKDT, 2 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT WED SEP 11 2013
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH A
SURFACE LOW CENTERED JUST TO THE EAST. ANOTHER LOW IS OVER EXTREME
NORTHEAST RUSSIA. THERE IS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 84 HOURS.
THERE IS A BIT OF A SPLIT IN MODEL SOLUTIONS AFTER 60 HOURS...WITH
THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVING A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SOLUTION THAN THE
NAM...UKMET AND GEM. THIS IS FAIRLY MINOR...AND WITH THE GFS AND
ECMWF SOLUTIONS IN AGREEMENT CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST IS FAIRLY
HIGH.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE TROUGH OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA WILL EXIT TO THE NORTH LATE THIS EVENING. THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN LOW WILL MOVE EAST AND FRONTAL PRECIPITATION WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL REACH SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE TONIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL ON
THURSDAY. THE UPPER LOW ITSELF WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR WESTERN GULF
THURSDAY NIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME THE RUSSIAN LOW WILL MOVE EAST...AND
ENTER NORTHWEST ALASKA FRI MORNING. THESE TWO LOWS WILL MOVE EAST
TOGETHER (THOUGH NOT PHASING UP) AND BOTH BE ALONG 150 DEGREES WEST
LONGITUDE SATURDAY MORNING. THE ALEUTIAN LOW IS CURRENTLY FAIRLY
STRONG...BUT WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST AND INTO THE GULF.
THE BERING SEA HIGH WILL FOLLOW THESE LOWS..AND WILL HAVE MIGRATED
INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON FRIDAY AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ON SATURDAY.
THIS WILL BRING IN A DRYING TREND FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
FOR THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND
THE EXITING LOW. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA ON THURSDAY. THE NEXT (MUCH WEAKER)
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS
ON THURSDAY...BUT SLOW DOWN CONSIDERABLY AND POSSIBLY ONLY MAKE IT
TO THE CENTRAL BERING/ALEUTIANS ON SATURDAY.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA DURING THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL LIKELY
REMAIN DRY THOUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWEST ALASKA COULD SEE SOME SHOWERS ON
SUNDAY AND A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN ON MONDAY AS WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
RETURNS.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 172.
GALE WARNING 130 132 150 155 160 165 170 175 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
LUDWIG SEP 13The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Sep 11, 4:26 PM AKDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AFC | 42 hr | |
| Sep 12, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Sep 12, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | ||
| Sep 12, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 12, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Sep 12, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.