Gale Warning 302, NWS Anchorage, AK

278 
FZAK51 PAFC 231200
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1011 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WEAKENS THIS AFTERNOON.
A 1002 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF SAND POINT THIS AFTERNOON MOVES TO NEAR
KODIAK CITY AT 999 MB SUN MORNING AND TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUN
NIGHT AT 996 MB. 
$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF 
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-240300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-240300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-240300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-240300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-240300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 23 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT FRI MAR 22 2013

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT
84 HRS OUT WEST AND THROUGH ABOUT 60 HRS IN THE EAST. MODELS STRUGGLE
IN THE GULF BEYOND 60 HRS AS MULTIPLE CENTERS FORM IN BROADENING
PRESSURE TROUGH. FORECAST PACKAGES WITH GENERALLY BASED ON THE
NAM/ECMWF OUT WEST. IN THE EAST THE NAM AS USED EARLY ON...THEN
TRANSITIONED TO AN ECMWF BLEND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A MODERATE COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS SW ALASKA AND SHOULD BE
CLEARING EASTERN BRISTOL BAY AROUND NOON AND THEN MOVING ACROSS COOK
INLET AND THE MATSU/ANCHORAGE BOWL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONTAL ZONE ARE CREATING
STRONG GAP WINDS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ESPECIALLY ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM.
BRISK SOUTH WINDS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.
MODERATE SNOW WAS FALLING OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND SPREADING EAST
TOWARD THE ANCHORAGE BOWL.

FURTHER WEST...A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN BERING SEA TO
OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND RAIN ARE
EVIDENT ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOLER AIR WITH RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
ON THE BACKSIDE...AS EVIDENCED BY THE PRESENCE OF OPEN CELL CU.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS COOK
INLET...ANCHORAGE BOWL...AND THE MATSU VALLEYS THIS EVENING. A FAIRLY
STRONG BAND OF SNOW WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. IN THE MEANTIME...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS
IS PRODUCING MODERATE SNOW OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND ALONG THE
TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS. GUSTY SURFACE WINDS THROUGH FAVORED GAPS ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL COMBINED WITH FALLING SNOW WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING
SNOW. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM
AND THE HILLSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AS SNOWFALL INTENSIFIES. COLD
ADVECTION AND SOME DRYING ARE EXPECTED AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE
TONIGHT....THOUGH SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER AROUND INTO THE
MORNING HOURS SAT. A LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES SOUTH OF
THE AK PEN AND BRINGS INCREASING CHANCES OF SNOW TO THE GULF AND
SOUTHCENTRAL SUN.

.SW ALASKA...
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW SNOW SHOWERS OVER BRISTOL BAY THIS
EVENING...CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME SOMEWHAT DRIER ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. THE FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE ALEUTIANS/AK PEN LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WITH SNOW SAT AS ITS
ASSOCIATED LOW CENTER MOVES ACROSS THE AK PEN. CONDITIONS SHOULD
BECOME DRIER AGAIN SUN AS NORTHERLY FLOW SETS UP AGAIN SUN.

.ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...A WEATHER FRONT AND ITS ASSOCIATED LOW
MOVE RAPIDLY E/SE TONIGHT TO SOUTH OF THE AK PEN SAT EVENING. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE BERING SEA SAT. A SECONDARY FRONT MOVES TO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS/WESTERN BERING SEA SUN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK WITH THE JET STREAM OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN MAINLAND
DURING THAT TIME.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 101
MARINE...GALE WARNING 130 138 172 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC MAR 13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1205 PM AKDT FRI MAR 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1203 PM     SNOW             TALKEETNA               62.34N 150.09W
03/22/2013  E0.0 INCH                           AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            4 INCHES NEW SNOW IN TALKEETNA WITH LIGHT SNOW FALLING.
            VISIBILITY AT 3/4 MILE IN SNOW AND FOG.

&&

DP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
147 PM AKDT FRI MAR 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0133 PM     SNOW             SEWARD                  60.11N 149.39W
03/22/2013  E8.0 INCH                           AK   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SEWARD HAD PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN, HEAVY SNOW, AND
            SLEET MAKING ROADWAYS AND WALKING SURFACES EXTREMELY
            SLICK. 8.0 INCHES NEW SNOW AS OF 1PM.

&&

DP