Gale Warning 290, NWS Anchorage, AK

959 
FZAK51 PAFC 180109 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

UPDATED 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST + KODIAK ISLAND WATERS + 
COOK INLET...
A 1015 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL DRIFT TO 100 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE SUCKLING BY TUE AFTERNOON AND STRENGTHEN TO 
1005 MB. 

$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
510 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-181500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-181500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-181500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ136-181500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-181500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 


$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT ...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

638 
FZAK51 PAFC 181158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1015 MB LOW 90 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 1008
MB TUE MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE TUE EVENING. BROAD LOW PRESSURE
WILL ENCOMPASS THE GULF THROUGH WED MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-190300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-190300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-190300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-190300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-190300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 18 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 84 HOURS. GENERALLY PREFER THE
NAM FOR ITS BETTER HANDLING OF LOCAL EFFECTS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA THAT
STRETCHES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE INTERIOR INTO THE ARCTIC OCEAN. THERE
IS ANOTHER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE BERING SEA. A SMALL LOW IS ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF ALASKA AND MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST. AN ARCTIC
LOW CENTERED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF BANKS ISLAND CANADA IS MOVING
TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AND WILL HAVE AN INCREASING IMPACT ON WEATHER
OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA LOW WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND INTO THE
GULF OF ALASKA ON MONDAY THEN INTO THE ALASKAN PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY.
AT THE SAME TIME THE CENTRAL ALASKA RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHWEST. AS THE CANADIAN LOW MOVES SOUTH AND THE BERING RIDGE
BUILDS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY THROUGH TUESDAY AND NORTHWESTERLY BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE GAP WINDS AND KEEP THE AIR MASS COLD AND DRY.

FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN STABLE THROUGH
MONDAY AS THE CENTRAL ALASKAN RIDGE WEAKENS. LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY THE GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE
NORTHERLY. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY WITH THE FLOW
ALOFT BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY.

FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS THE LOW
OVER THE AREA MOVES SOUTHEAST. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD PRETTY MUCH END
LATER MONDAY AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF AND THE BERING HIGH
BUILDS. THE FLOW OVER THE AREA WILL ALSO BECOME NORTHERLY BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON USHERING IN MORE COLD AIR THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 130 172 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 130 160 165.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG MAR 13