Blizzard Warning 31, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
WWAK41 PAFC 181901
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1001 AM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

AKZ135-182015-
/X.CAN.PAFC.BZ.A.0027.131219T0300Z-131219T1300Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
1001 AM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...BLIZZARD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE
BLIZZARD WATCH. 

$$

AKZ125-190815-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0031.131219T0300Z-131219T1400Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
1001 AM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 AM AKST THURSDAY NORTH OF MOOSE PASS...

* LOCATION...NORTH OF MOOSE PASS

* SNOW...9 TO 15 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WIND...NORTH TO EAST WINDS 30 TO 50 MPH...STRONGEST THROUGH 
  PORTAGE VALLEY AND ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT 
  TIMES THIS EVENING. LOW VISIBILITIES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW 
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW 
  WILL PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. DRIVING MAY BECOME 
  VERY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. ALL TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR
ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ121-190815-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0048.131219T0300Z-131219T1400Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
1001 AM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IN EFFECT
FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM AKST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA.

* SNOW...5 TO 10 INCHES...HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE INLET AND 
  ALONG KACHEMAK BAY. 

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT 
  TIMES THIS EVENING. LOW VISIBILITIES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW 
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT THEN IMPROVE AS WINDS AND 
  SNOW DIMINISH THURSDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME VERY DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$

AKZ145-190815-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0048.131219T0300Z-131219T1400Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
1001 AM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 AM AKST THURSDAY...

* SNOW...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING OVER THE 
  SOUTHERN VALLEY AND MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOW SHOULD 
  DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY THURSDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED 
  VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK41 PAFC 190102
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
402 PM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

AKZ125-191400-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0031.131219T0300Z-131219T1400Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
402 PM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST THURSDAY
NORTH OF MOOSE PASS...

* LOCATION...NORTH OF MOOSE PASS.

* SNOW...8 TO 14 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 50 MPH...STRONGEST THROUGH PORTAGE
  VALLEY AND ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT 
  TIMES THIS EVENING. LOW VISIBILITIES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW 
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW 
  WILL PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. DRIVING WILL BECOME 
  VERY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. ALL TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR
ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ101-191400-
/X.EXB.PAFC.WW.Y.0048.131219T0500Z-131219T1400Z/
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA
402 PM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IN EFFECT
FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM AKST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM AKST THURSDAY. 

* SNOW...4 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH EXCEPT SOUTHEAST 30 TO 45 MPH
  ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* VISIBILITY...ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BLOWING
  SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY
  THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW BETWEEN 9PM
  AND 1AM. SNOW WILL DECREASE IN INTENSITY BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY
  MID-MORNING THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED 
  VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

AKZ135-191400-
/X.EXB.PAFC.WW.Y.0048.131219T0500Z-131219T1400Z/
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CORDOVA
402 PM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM
THIS EVENING TO 5 AM AKST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM AKST THURSDAY. 

* SNOW...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* WIND...EAST WIND 10 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF
  MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY
  THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SNOW SHOULD DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED 
  VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

AKZ121-191400-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0048.131219T0300Z-131219T1400Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
402 PM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM AKST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA.

* SNOW...5 TO 10 INCHES...HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE INLET AND 
  ALONG KACHEMAK BAY. 

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT 
  TIMES THIS EVENING. LOW VISIBILITIES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW 
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT THEN IMPROVE AS WINDS AND 
  SNOW DIMINISH THURSDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...DRIVING MAY BECOME VERY DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$

AKZ145-191400-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0048.131219T0300Z-131219T1400Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
402 PM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM
AKST THURSDAY...

* SNOW...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING OVER THE 
  SOUTHERN VALLEY AND MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOW SHOULD 
  DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY THURSDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED 
  VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK41 PAFC 191338
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
438 AM AKST THU DEC 19 2013


AKZ125-191445-
/X.CAN.PAFC.BZ.W.0031.000000T0000Z-131219T1400Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
438 AM AKST THU DEC 19 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELED NORTH OF MOOSE PASS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELED THE
BLIZZARD WARNING.

CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED AS WINDS AND SNOW HAVE DIMINISHED.

$$

AKZ101-121-135-145-191445-
/X.CAN.PAFC.WW.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-131219T1400Z/
ANCHORAGE-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...CORDOVA...
TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
438 AM AKST THU DEC 19 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

SNOW HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REGION AND SHOULD END IN MOST
LOCATIONS BY AFTERNOON.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST WED DEC 18 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT PATTERN SHIFT IS
UNDERWAY THIS MORNING. AFTER SEVERAL DAYS WITH A RIDGE OVER THE
BERING THAT EXTENDED INTO THE MAINLAND...A STRONG AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS NOW APPROACHING THE ALEUTIANS. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
HAS BEEN QUITE COMPLEX AND CAUSED FITS AMONGST THE MODELS (SEE MODEL
DISCUSSION). IT IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A 120+ KT POLAR JET THAT DIGS
DOWN ALL THE WAY TO 25N LATITUDE BEFORE SURGING NORTHWARD INTO OUR
AREA. THIS MEANS THIS SYSTEM HAS A VERY HEALTHY MOISTURE TAP. DERIVED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.75
INCHES...WHICH IS OVER 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE WARM FRONT DROPPED
1.4 INCHES OF RAIN IN 4 HOURS OVER DUTCH HARBOR JUST TO PUT IT INTO
PERSPECTIVE. IN THE MEANTIME...THE LAST BIT OF RIDGING IS HANGING ON
OVER MUCH OF THE MAINLAND MAKING FOR CLEAR SKIES AND ANOTHER VERY
COLD NIGHT. THE ONE OTHER FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A WEAK COLD TROUGH
NEAR THE BERING STRAIT. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE WILL PLAY AN
IMPORTANT ROLE AS IT ACTS TO SHUNT THE NORTHBOUND LOW OFF TO THE
EAST. SO RATHER THAN TRACKING INTO BRISTOL BAY...IT WILL DEVELOP INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...AFTER A SIGNIFICANT MODEL FLIP-FLOP DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY...IT APPEARS THAT THEY HAVE COME BACK INTO SOLID
AGREEMENT. MOST OF THE RUNS YESTERDAY STARTED TO SHOW THE ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH OUR APPROACHING SYSTEM BREAKING INTO TWO PIECES. THEY
TOOK ONE LOW INTO BRISTOL BAY AND ONE INTO THE GULF OF AK. THE ONE
MODEL TO HOLD OUT WAS THE ECMWF...KEEPING ONLY ONE LOW MOVING EAST
THROUGH THE GULF. AND SURE ENOUGH...THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT MODELS
ALL TRENDED BACK TOWARDS THIS SOLUTION. SO ONCE AGAIN THEY ARE ALL IN
GOOD AGREEMENT OF A LOW 990 MB LOW DEVELOPING NEAR KODIAK ISLAND
LATER TONIGHT AND TRACKING INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT. BEYOND THAT TIME-FRAME THEIR AGREEMENT IS NOT QUITE AS
GOOD...BUT IT IS AN IMPROVEMENT OVER 24HRS AGO. THEY ALL NOW SHOW
ANOTHER WEAK WAVE PHASING WITH THE TROUGH OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND
PRODUCING ANOTHER SURFACE LOW ON FRIDAY. THEY THEN TRACK THIS FEATURE
ALONG THE WEST COAST. BUT HERE IS WHERE THEY DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY IN
PLACEMENT. WHILE A GFS/EC BLEND WAS USED FOR THIS PACKAGE...FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS AT OR BELOW AVERAGE DUE TO THIS MODEL VARIABILITY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL....
WHILE THE MORNING WILL START VERY SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW
DAYS...SIGNS OF THE APPROACHING LOW WILL BE EVIDENT BY THIS
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG CONTINUES TO PLAGUE MUCH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA
AND ANCHORAGE BOWL. VISIBILITIES HAVE DROPPED AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER
MILE OVERNIGHT WITH MOISTURE SPILLING IN FROM THE INLET. BUT TRENDS
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS HAVE SHOWN IMPROVEMENT AND WITH THE LOW
STRENGTHENING TO OUR SOUTH...STRONGER DOWN INLET FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE
TO DISSIPATE THE LOW STUFF. STILL CANT RULE OUT ANOTHER SUNRISE
SURPRISE LIKE YESTERDAY THOUGH...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING SUNRISE
COINCIDES WITH HIGH TIDE.

MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES INTO THE GULF. WITH THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...IT
APPEARS THAT JUST ABOUT EVERYONE WILL SEE SOME SNOW. AND IT LOOKS
LIKE THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SNOW THROUGH THE EVENT FOR ALL
AREAS EXCEPT KODIAK...WHO WILL SEE THINGS TURN TO RAIN LATE TODAY.
THE ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT...MORE WEST TO EAST...SHOULD LIMIT
DOWNSLOPING. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW WILL BE CRITICAL IN
DETERMINING EXACT WIND DIRECTIONS AND THUS...SPECIFIC SNOW AMOUNTS. A
BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONE 125 NORTH OF MOOSE PASS
WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IN EFFECT
FOR 121. IF WINDS REMAIN MORE EASTERLY NEAR CORDOVA AS THE LOW TRACKS
THROUGH THE GULF...THEIR WINDS WOULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY CALMER THAN IF
THEY GOT A SOUTHERLY PUSH. WITH THIS UNCERTAINTY...WE OPTED TO LEAVE
A BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND TODAY...BRINGING PRECIPITATION AND GUSTY WINDS TO ESPECIALLY
THE BRISTOL BAY AREA. THE PROJECTED TRACK OF THE LOW NOW SUGGESTS
THAT BRISTOL BAY WILL NOT SEE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...HOWEVER THERE
SHOULD BE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT REDUCE VISIBILITY ENOUGH TO MAKE
A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WARRANTED. WHILE PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN ALONG THE AKPEN...ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE MAINLAND PORTION OF THE ZONE FOR 5 TO 10
INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL. PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY END ON THURSDAY
ACROSS THE AREA...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD STILL BE SOME LIGHT SNOW
FALLING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ALSO...WITH THE FRONT BEING A
BIT SLOWER AND THE LOW A BIT STRONGER THAN ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS...A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
ALASKA PENINSULA FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING AS THE FRONT PASSES.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SHOULD
IMPROVE QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND
NORTH. WINDS WILL NOT DIMINISH AS MUCH OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
AND FOR THE PRIBILOFS...SNOW AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND
POSSIBLY CHANGE BACK AND FORTH AS THE FREEZING LINE REMAINS IN THE
VICINITY. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS THE LOW WEAKENS
AND MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST.

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE END OF THE WEEKEND
WILL SEE ONE LOW EXITING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE WITH ANOTHER
ONE QUEING UP OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. IN BETWEEN THESE WILL BE A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE PROVIDING A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY CONDITIONS. MODELS
INDICATE THAT THIS RIDGE WILL START TO AMPLIFY NORTHWARD MONDAY.
THERE IS SOME MODEL DISCREPANCY AS TO THE ORIENTATION OF THIS RIDGE
WITH THE GFS GIVING IT A MUCH GREATER NEGATIVE TILT. THIS WOULD KEEP
THE MAINLAND DRY AND COLD A BIT LONGER. BUT EITHER WAY...IT APPEARS
TO BE A TEMPORARY FEATURE WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW RETURNING BY
MID WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125
         BLIZZARD WATCH 135
         HIGH WIND WARNING 181
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 145 121
MARINE...STORM WARNING 177 411 413 119 130 131 132 136 137 138 139
                       140 351 352
         GALE WARNING 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 173 175 178 179 180
                      181 185 412 414 120 127
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181 185 121 127 128 130 139 140 141
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MSO/MBS DEC 13