Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 124, NWS Albuquerque, NM

September 18, 2013Rio Arriba County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood warning at Sep 18, 2013, 4:32 PM MDT for Rio Arriba County, New Mexico. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Sep 18, 2013, 4:32 PM MDT (22:32 UTC)
Expired: Sep 18, 2013, 8:30 PM MDT
In force: 4 hr
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon
Emergency: Flash flood emergency
Flood severity: None

County Rio Arriba County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Sep 18, 4:59 PM MDT	FLASH FLOOD	Chamita, NM	HOME FLOODED JUST WEST OF CHAMITA.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 27 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 692 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1087 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

459 
WGUS55 KABQ 182232
FFWABQ
NMC039-190230-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.W.0124.130918T2232Z-130919T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
432 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN RIO ARRIBA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 830 PM MDT

* AT 418 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINFALL DRAINING INTO THE RIO 
  CHAMA. MANY ARROYOS FLOWING INTO THE RIO CHAMA HAVE BEEN 
  FLOODED...AND PORTIONS OF U.S. HIGHWAY 84 NORTH OF ESPANOLA HAVE
  BEEN CLOSED BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 197 TO 204 DUE TO FLOODING. 
  RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND FLOOD 
  WATERS WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WATER IN ARROYOS MAY TRAVEL MANY MILES AND TAKE HOURS TO REACH YOUR
LOCATION FROM UPSTREAM RAIN AREAS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
FORECAST OFFICE IN ALBUQUERQUE AT 1-888-386-7637.

&&

LAT...LON 3621 10633 3628 10621 3606 10597 3600 10606
      3600 10616 3604 10622

$$

2 follow-up statements

742 
WGUS75 KABQ 182311
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
511 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMC039-190230-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.W.0124.000000T0000Z-130919T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RIO ARRIBA-
511 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN RIO ARRIBA COUNTY...
...A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR AREAS ALONG THE RIO CHAMA NEAR AND 
NORTH OF ESPANOLA...

AT 459 PM MDT...NEW MEXICO DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OFFICIALS 
REPORTED FLASH FLOODING ALONG THE RIO CHAMA FROM THE RIO GRANDE 
NORTHWARD OF ESPANOLA THROUGH CHAMITA...CHILI...AND MEDANALES. FLASH 
FLOODING WAS OCCURRING FROM RUNOFF FROM RAIN THAT FELL EARLIER TODAY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ABIQUIU...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOOD WATERS ARE MOVING DOWN THE RIO CHAMA FROM ESPANOLA TO 
MEDANALES. THE FLOOD CREST IS IMPACTING AREAS NEAR THE INTERSECTION 
OF U.S. HIGHWAYS 84 AND U.S. 285.

WATER IN ARROYOS MAY TRAVEL MANY MILES AND TAKE HOURS TO REACH YOUR
LOCATION FROM UPSTREAM RAIN AREAS. REMAIN ALERT TO FLOODED ROAD
CROSSINGS EVEN HOURS LATER.

&&

LAT...LON 3621 10633 3628 10621 3606 10597 3600 10606
      3600 10616 3604 10622

$$

SHOEMAKE

012 
WGUS75 KABQ 190223
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
823 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMC039-190230-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.W.0124.000000T0000Z-130919T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RIO ARRIBA-
823 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM MDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN RIO
ARRIBA COUNTY...

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WAS ENDING ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA...AND THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE. SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS WILL MOVE OVER THE WARNING 
AREA THROUGH 930 PM MDT WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 
GENERALLY A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR LESS. MINOR FLOODING MAY 
CONTINUE...BUT THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING IS ENDING. WATER MAY BE 
SLOW TO RECEDE WHERE THE RIO CHAMA FLOWED OUT OF ITS BANKS.

LAT...LON 3621 10633 3628 10621 3606 10597 3600 10606
      3600 10616 3604 10622

$$

SHOEMAKE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 18, 2:56 PM MDT, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 2:56 PM MDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
256 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER ACTIVE WX SCENARIO SHAPING UP OVER THE REGION FOR REMAINDER
OF TODAY THRU THURSDAY. CIRA LAYERED TOTAL PW PRODUCT SHOWS ABUNDANT
LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS
ALOFT. VALUES ARE ON THE ORDER OF 130-160 PCT OF NORMAL. A THIN 30-
50 KT UPPER JET AXIS OVER NM AS SEEN ON THE LATEST AMDAR DATA IS
INTERACTING WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE
A WELL DEFINED BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN NM.
STEERING FLOWS ARE STRONG TODAY HOWEVER THE SHEAR AXIS IS ORIENTED
IN THE DRXN OF STORM MOTION SO MORE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON TAP.
LATEST HRRR SHOWS THIS AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS PROPAGATING EVER
SO SLOWLY EAST THIS EVENING INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND NEARBY
HIGH TERRAIN. HAVE RAISED POPS TO HIGH CHANCE AND LIKELY FOR CENTRAL
NM.

EVEN MORE ACTIVE CONDITIONS WILL TAKE SHAPE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BUT
MORE INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS. A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC
NW WILL SLIDE EAST INTO THE GREAT PLAINS AND HELP DRIVE A SURFACE
BACK DOOR FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO NM. MEANWHILE...A VERY WELL DEFINED
UPPER WAVE EMBEDDED ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LARGE SCALE WAVE WILL
SLIDE OVER NORTHERN NM AND HELP LIFT FOCUS OVER FRONT. CURRENT QPF
VALUES ARE POTENTIALLY TOO LOW FOR THIS EVENT ACROSS THE EAST WHERE
SUBSTANTIALLY MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE. FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED
HOWEVER SOME LOCALIZED IMPACTS ARE LIKELY IF THE RAIN FALLS OVER
THE WRONG SPOT. ALSO RAISED POPS FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS THURSDAY
NIGHT TO LIKELY. TEMPS THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL COOL BELOW NORMAL
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THE EAST.

MODELS DO INDICATE STRONGER WESTERLIES AND DRIER AIR SHIFTING EAST
INTO THE STATE FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY HOWEVER STRONG MOISTURE RECYCLING
PROCESSES WILL STILL BE AT PLAY. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE POSSIBLE
ANY NIGHT ESPECIALLY IF SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS TAPER OFF. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL OUT WEST WHERE MUCH DRIER DEWPOINTS WILL MOVE IN. THE
EXTENDED PATTERN IS STILL HIGHLY UNCERTAIN SO MADE NO CHANGES. THE
ECMWF PROGS A DEEP LARGE SCALE STATIONARY UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT
BASIN WITH A RELATIVELY ABUNDANT MONSOONAL MOISTURE TAP OVER NM. THE
GFS HAS AN EVEN DEEPER TIGHTLY WOUND COLD UPPER LOW DRIVING EAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THRU MID WEEK.

GUYER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SCATTERED WETTING THUNDERSTORMS FOUND ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
AREAS WILL TRANSITION EASTWARD THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING SOME.
DRIER AIR WILL EVENTUALLY FILL IN FROM WEST TO EAST LATER TONIGHT
AND WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A DRIER WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS ON
THURSDAY.

A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY WITH EASTERN
AREAS OBSERVING THAT INFLUENCE. THIS INCLUDES WETTING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WOULD FAVOR MOST OF THE EASTERN PLAINS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA ALTHOUGH TRANSPORT WINDS WILL COME DOWN
MOST AREAS SO VENTILATION RATES WILL LOWER PRETTY MUCH AREAWIDE.

THE BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT AND MOST LIKELY MAKE IT TO THE AZ STATE LINE BY
FRIDAY MORNING. MIXING DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD SET UP A
CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY NEAR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND MOST LIKELY
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS THERE. THE ATMOSPHERE COULD BE TOO
STABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS DUE TO RESIDUAL IMPACTS FROM THE COLD
FRONT. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE UNSEASONABLY HIGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN NORMAL CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS
WHILE BEING NEAR NORMAL WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. VENTILATION
RATES WILL BE LOWEST EXTENDING FROM ZONE 109 NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND AREAS TO THE LEE OF THE SANGRE DE
CRISTOS.

THE NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH WILL PLUNGE INTO THE FAR WESTERN US SATURDAY
AND CONTINUE TO TRAVERSE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ON SUNDAY.
MOISTURE WILL TRY TO SEEP UP FROM MEXICO AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH SO
LOOK FOR UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE WEST ON SATURDAY TRANSITIONING
SOME EASTWARD ON SUNDAY. WETTING RAIN WOULD CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE
ALTHOUGH NOT AS WIDESPREAD AS THE PREVIOUS WEEK. HUMIDITY IS
EXPECTED TO TREND UP ACROSS THE WEST ON SATURDAY WHILE LOWER ACROSS
THE EAST. ON SUNDAY...HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO LOWER AREAWIDE
ALTHOUGH THIS COULD CHANGE. VENTILATION WILL INCREASE DURING THE
WEEKEND THANKS TO STRONGER WEST/SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WIND. CONFIDENCE
IS PRETTY GOOD THAT A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL IMPACT THE AREA BUT STILL
NOT TOTALLY SURE ABOUT HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL SEEP UP FROM THE SOUTH
AND FEED THE TROUGH. SURFACE WIND SHOULD ALSO INCREASE DURING THE
WEEKEND PERIOD.

ANOTHER PACIFIC TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WESTERN US BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE LONG RANGE MODELS DIFFER SOMEWHAT IN THE
EXTENSION SOUTHWARD OF THE TROUGH BUT EITHER WAY IMPACT POTENTIAL
WOULD INCREASE BY MID NEXT WEEK. DEPENDING ON HOW THE TROUGH COMES
IN...ADDITIONAL WETTING RAIN WOULD BE POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS FOLLOWING
THE TROUGH PASSAGE COULD LEAD TO THE MOUNTAINS FIRST BIG FREEZE OF
THE FALL SEASON SO WILL BE WATCHING THAT AS THAT WOULD BEGIN THE
CURING PROCESS TO THE ABUNDANT FUELS THAT HAVE GREENED UP THIS SUMMER.

50

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
SATELLITE...RADAR IMAGERY AND LIGHTNING TRENDS POINT TOWARDS A
POTENT UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND MID LEVEL FRONTAL BAND PASSAGE TODAY.
THE MOST ACTIVE AREA WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN TRANSITION EASTWARD DURING THE
EVENING. WENT BULLISH FOR VCSH AND VCTS AND ASSOCIATED CB/S AT
MANY TERMINAL SITES. WENT WITH A TEMPO AT SAF WITH SOME MODERATE
VIS RESTRICTIONS AND GUSTIER WINDS. BUT CANT RULE OUT THAT AT ABQ
AND EVENTUALLY LVS AS THE DAY PROCEEDS. WILL DEFINITELY UPDATE
ONCE A CLEARER PICTURE OF THE STORM EFFECTS COMES INTO VIEW. GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS AND PAST MOVING STORMS WITH BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS
WILL BE THE THREAT OF THE DAY. CANT RULE OUT CONVECTIVE GUSTS TO 50
KT IN THIS ENVIRONMENT ALTHOUGH WENT LIGHTER IN THE TERMINAL
FORECASTS. FOLLOWING THE DISTURBANCE PASSAGE...A BRIEF BREAK COULD
CREATE ADDITIONAL LOW CIGS/VIS RESTRICTIONS ACROSS EASTERN AND
CENTRAL AREAS. THE HIGH MOUNTAIN BASINS ARE SUSCEPTIBLE BUT ALSO
THINKING PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS LIKE WHAT WAS OBSERVED
EARLIER THIS MORNING. WILL BE WATCHING ROW CLOSELY TONIGHT.

50

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  55  80  50  80 /  20   5   5   5
DULCE...........................  48  76  42  76 /  30   5  10   5
CUBA............................  51  79  46  76 /  50  10  10   5
GALLUP..........................  50  78  44  78 /  20   5   5   5
EL MORRO........................  48  74  45  73 /  40  10  10   5
GRANTS..........................  49  76  45  74 /  40   5  10   5
QUEMADO.........................  51  78  48  77 /  40  10  10   5
GLENWOOD........................  54  81  54  82 /  30  10   5  10
CHAMA...........................  47  68  41  68 /  40  10  10  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  55  75  51  70 /  60  10  10   5
PECOS...........................  53  71  49  64 /  50  20  30  10
CERRO/QUESTA....................  51  73  45  70 /  50  20  20   5
RED RIVER.......................  44  64  40  61 /  60  30  30  10
ANGEL FIRE......................  40  68  36  64 /  50  30  30   5
TAOS............................  51  74  44  71 /  50  20  20   5
MORA............................  50  72  45  64 /  40  30  30  10
ESPANOLA........................  55  81  51  76 /  50  10  10   5
SANTA FE........................  55  74  51  70 /  50  10  20  10
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  55  78  53  72 /  50  10  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  60  80  57  76 /  50   5  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  62  82  60  78 /  50   5  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  61  83  59  79 /  50   5  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  60  84  58  80 /  50   5  10   5
LOS LUNAS.......................  60  83  58  79 /  50   5  10   5
RIO RANCHO......................  60  84  58  79 /  50   5  10   5
SOCORRO.........................  62  84  61  81 /  50  10  10   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  56  79  52  73 /  60  20  20  10
TIJERAS.........................  56  77  53  72 /  60  10  20   5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  51  75  50  69 /  50  20  30  10
CLINES CORNERS..................  54  74  51  66 /  40  30  50  10
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  55  75  52  70 /  40  20  30  10
CARRIZOZO.......................  57  77  56  73 /  20  10  20  10
RUIDOSO.........................  52  69  53  65 /  30  30  30  30
CAPULIN.........................  56  72  48  66 /  20  40  40   5
RATON...........................  54  76  49  69 /  20  30  40   5
SPRINGER........................  55  78  50  70 /  20  30  40   5
LAS VEGAS.......................  53  74  48  65 /  30  30  40   5
CLAYTON.........................  62  76  54  71 /  20  40  50   5
ROY.............................  58  77  53  68 /  20  40  50   5
CONCHAS.........................  64  82  60  73 /  10  30  50   5
SANTA ROSA......................  62  82  59  72 /  20  30  60  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  66  84  61  76 /  10  30  60   5
CLOVIS..........................  63  80  61  74 /   5  30  60  10
PORTALES........................  62  80  61  74 /   5  30  60  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  64  82  62  76 /  10  20  60  10
ROSWELL.........................  65  83  64  79 /  10  30  40  20
PICACHO.........................  58  78  57  72 /  20  20  30  20
ELK.............................  55  73  54  68 /  40  30  30  40

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 5:15 AM MDT, 11 hours 17 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
515 AM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMZ501>540-191200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
515 AM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG AND PRODUCE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS
AND NORTHEAST PLAINS LATE THURSDAY ALONG A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

11

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 3:09 PM MDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
309 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMZ504-182200-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
309 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SAN JUAN AND EXTREME
WESTERN RIO ARRIBA COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM MDT...

AT 306 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NAGEEZI...OR ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTH OF
BLOOMFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...NAGEEZI.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3647 10762 3625 10753 3622 10781 3632 10786
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 247DEG 11KT 3631 10777

SHY

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 3:19 PM MDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
319 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMZ501-503-504-182200-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-
319 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MCKINLEY...SOUTHEASTERN
SAN JUAN...WESTERN RIO ARRIBA AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN SANDOVAL
COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM MDT...

AT 312 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
NAVAJO DAM TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHACO CANYON...AND MOVING EAST AT
10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...NAGEEZI...HIGHWAY 550...AND
THE JICARILLA APACHE RESERVATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3676 10716 3578 10783 3613 10798 3674 10757
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 254DEG 10KT 3670 10752 3617 10788

SHY

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 3:32 PM MDT, 1 hour before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
332 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMZ507-519-182215-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-WEST CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS-
332 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME EASTERN CIBOLA...WESTERN
BERNALILLO AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN VALENCIA COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM
MDT...

AT 324 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES EAST OF MESITA...OR ABOUT 16 MILES EAST
OF LAGUNA PUEBLO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF WESTERN
BERNALILLO COUNTY INCLUDING INTERSTATE 25 FROM MILE MARKER 125 TO
MILE MARKER 140.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3516 10703 3497 10687 3491 10711 3500 10718
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 233DEG 9KT 3501 10708

SHY

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 4:00 PM MDT, 32 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
400 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMZ503-504-510-182245-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
400 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL RIO ARRIBA COUNTY THROUGH
445 PM MDT...

AT 354 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HERON LAKE STATE PARK...OR
ABOUT 26 MILES SOUTH OF DULCE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HERON LAKE STATE PARK...EL
VADO LAKE STATE PARK AND EL VADO.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 10684 3642 10660 3641 10687 3646 10712
      3665 10722
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 246DEG 11KT 3656 10703

SHY

Local storm report, Sep 18, 4:17 PM MDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
417 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 AM     HAIL             10 S DULCE              36.79N 107.00W
09/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       RIO ARRIBA         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1301395

JF

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 4:17 PM MDT, 15 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
417 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

NMZ512-518-523-182300-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS-
417 PM MDT WED SEP 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SANTA FE COUNTY THROUGH
500 PM MDT...

AT 412 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GALISTEO...OR ABOUT 23 MILES SOUTH OF SANTA
FE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...GALISTEO AND LAMY.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF...BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON THE HIGHWAYS AS THIS STORM MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 3553 10584 3530 10573 3528 10602 3536 10605
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 249DEG 11KT 3535 10596

SHY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 17, 7:25 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Chaves	4 hr
Sep 17, 11:19 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Chaves	4 hr
Sep 18, 10:45 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Rio Arriba	45 min
Sep 18, 10:50 AM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Rio Arriba, San Juan	3 hr
Sep 18, 11:18 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Rio Arriba	42 min
Sep 18, 11:39 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Cibola	51 min
Sep 18, 12:37 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Los Alamos	38 min
Sep 18, 12:48 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	McKinley	3 hr
Sep 18, 12:52 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Sandoval	38 min
Sep 18, 1:20 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Cibola, McKinley, Sandoval	3 hr
Sep 18, 1:27 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Rio Arriba, Sandoval, Santa Fe	3 hr
Sep 18, 1:44 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Juan	31 min
Sep 18, 1:49 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Juan	26 min
Sep 18, 1:52 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	San Juan	3 hr
Sep 18, 1:56 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Juan	49 min
Sep 18, 2:05 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	40 min
Sep 18, 2:18 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Juan	42 min
Sep 18, 2:21 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		39 min
Sep 18, 2:28 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Mora	3 hr
Sep 18, 2:34 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Juan	41 min
Sep 18, 2:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Rio Arriba, San Juan	52 min
Sep 18, 2:43 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	McKinley	47 min
Sep 18, 2:52 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		38 min
Sep 18, 2:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	50 min
Sep 18, 3:09 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		51 min
Sep 18, 3:13 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Bernalillo, Torrance	2 hr
Sep 18, 3:19 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		41 min
Sep 18, 3:23 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	San Juan	3 hr
Sep 18, 3:26 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Bernalillo, Cibola, Sandoval, Valencia	3 hr
Sep 18, 3:32 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	43 min
Sep 18, 3:35 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel, Santa Fe	40 min
Sep 18, 3:38 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	San Miguel, Santa Fe	3 hr
Sep 18, 3:41 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Santa Fe, Torrance	2 hr
Sep 18, 3:49 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Cibola, Sandoval	116 min
Sep 18, 3:53 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	San Miguel, Santa Fe	2 hr
Sep 18, 3:56 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Socorro	2 hr
Sep 18, 4:00 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Rio Arriba	45 min
Sep 18, 4:02 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Rio Arriba, San Juan	3 hr
Sep 18, 4:17 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Santa Fe	43 min
Sep 18, 4:35 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Lincoln	115 min
Sep 18, 4:38 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Valencia	52 min
Sep 18, 4:43 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Rio Arriba	3 hr
Sep 18, 4:48 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Chaves, Lincoln	3 hr
Sep 18, 4:51 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Valencia	24 min
Sep 18, 5:02 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Valencia	118 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2013 Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.