Severe Thunderstorm Warning 93, NWS Topeka, KS

881 
WWUS53 KTOP 082106
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
406 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

KSC045-087-082115-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-120708T2115Z/
JEFFERSON KS-DOUGLAS KS-
406 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
DOUGLAS AND SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 403 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST 
OF LAWRENCE...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH. A SECOND SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF EUDORA...MOVING SOUTH AT 
10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS.

IMPACT...MINOR TREE DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER
         BROKEN.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTHERN LAWRENCE...EASTERN LAWRENCE...AND EUDORA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 9512 3895 9524 3902 9528 3910 9525
      3914 9518 3897 9518 3898 9516 3897 9513
      3898 9511 3896 9509 3898 9509 3899 9507
      3898 9505 3895 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 358DEG 6KT 3902 9520

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60 MPH

$$

BARJENBRUCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
344 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...

NUMEROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PERSIST ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING AREA
AT MID AFTERNOON. CONVECTION ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I 70 IN
ASSOCIATION WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED INTO THE
EVENING. A MORE CONCENTRATED AREA OF CONVECTION ALONG THE NEBRASKA
BORDER IN A HIGHER THETA-E ADVECTION/DEEPER MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT
WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THAT AREA BY EVENING AND MAY AFFECT THE FAR
EASTERN CWA THIS EVENING. WILL GO WITH A PRE FIRST PERIOD IN THE
FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS SCENARIO. MORE CONVECTION MAY ALSO
DEVELOP TO THE WEST OF THE CWA THIS EVENING WITH REMNANT MCV AND
VORT MAX IN NORTHEAST CO AS THEY PROGRESS SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. THIS
CONVECTION MAY THEN AFFECT MUCH OF THE CWA OVERNIGHT...THEN THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE CWA THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST. PRECIP CHANCES WILL END OVER THE FAR SOUTHWEST CWA BY MID
AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER DEWPOINTS GRADUALLY
OVERSPREADING THE CWA FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST. 63

MONDAY NIGHT MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE SOUTH OF THE CWA AS
DRIER NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW OCCURS. FOR MUCH OF THE UP COMING WEEK
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BE IN A NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE WEST OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. A NORTHEAST TO EAST
SURFACE FLOW WILL BE NOTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE WINDS
BECOME SOUTHEAST. WITH THE ABOVE PATTERN EXPECT A DRY WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL FOR JULY.

53

&&

.AVIATION...

COMPLICATED FORECAST PERIOD FOR THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS AT TERMINALS.
OVERALL VFR CONDS PREVAIL WITH PERIODS OF MVFR CONDS. WIDELY SCT
STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 03Z. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TEMPO
GROUPS INSERTED AT KTOP/KMHK FOR ONGOING CONVECTION...VCTS WAS
USED BASED ON THE LACK OF STRONG UPPER FORCING...WIDESPREAD
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH INTERSECTING SFC BOUNDARIES CREATING MUCH
UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE/WHEN CONVECTION EVOLVES. PREDOMINANT
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KTS MAY BECOME ERRATIC AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
PASS OVERHEAD. AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD
AS CONVECTION FORMS.

BOWEN

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
343 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-092045-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
343 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON EVENING
MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A MARYSVILLE TO EMPORIA LINE. ALTHOUGH
LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF
THESE SLOW MOVING STORMS...LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
151 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

KSZ038-055-081915-
OSAGE-WABAUNSEE-
151 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN OSAGE AND
SOUTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTIES...

THROUGH 215 PM CDT...A SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN OSAGE AND
SOUTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER
RADAR INDICATED THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...STRONG WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
HARVEYVILLE AND BURLINGAME. MOTORISTS ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 155 AND 165 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3865 9580 3869 9595 3874 9595 3874 9605
      3887 9593 3886 9569
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 026DEG 9KT 3884 9584

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
241 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

KSZ012-082015-
BROWN-
241 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BROWN COUNTY...

THROUGH 315 PM CDT...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 5
MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN BROWN COUNTY. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL...STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
ROBINSON...RESERVE AND HIAWATHA.

STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3978 9533 3987 9562 4000 9562 4000 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 268DEG 6KT 3993 9551

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
333 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

KSZ026-040-082045-
DOUGLAS-JEFFERSON-
333 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND NORTH
CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTIES...

THROUGH 345 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE SOUTH AT 5 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND NORTH CENTRAL DOUGLAS
COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM
IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE NORTH LAWRENCE.

&&

LAT...LON 3897 9524 3900 9529 3905 9531 3914 9530
      3917 9523 3910 9518 3905 9518 3901 9518
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 353DEG 4KT 3908 9524

$$ BARJENBRUCH