Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

354 
WWUS52 KTBW 261106
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
706 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

FLC015-027-055-071-115-261115-
/O.CON.KTBW.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-120626T1115Z/
LEE FL-DESOTO FL-HIGHLANDS FL-SARASOTA FL-CHARLOTTE FL-
706 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM EDT
FOR CHARLOTTE...SOUTHEASTERN SARASOTA...SOUTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS...
SOUTHERN DESOTO AND LEE COUNTIES...

AT 654 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 
MPH. THIS LINE WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF BABCOCK RANCH...OR 
18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ARCADIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. IF YOU 
ARE ON THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY 
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 2643 8186 2676 8208 2687 8207 2692 8211
      2695 8207 2691 8216 2697 8221 2716 8190
      2723 8158 2724 8138 2716 8121 2711 8126
      2703 8130 2703 8156 2651 8156 2641 8162
      2642 8165 2639 8166
TIME...MOT...LOC 1105Z 214DEG 39KT 2712 8159

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
438 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

.SHORT TERM (TODAY - THURSDAY)...NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED WITH REGARDS
TO TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WHICH IS STILL MOVING VERY LITTLE IN THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM DEBBY IS FORECAST TO MOVE
SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...APPROACHING THE NATURE COAST ON
WEDNESDAY THEN WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER NORTH
FLORIDA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL LEAVE OUR REGION IN A GENERAL
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW TODAY AND WEDNESDAY SHIFTING TO A
WESTERLY WIND AS THE STORM TRAVERSES FLORIDA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY.

THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUES CONTINUE TO BE COASTAL FLOODING...INLAND
FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. BANDS OF SHOWERS
HAVE BEEN SLOWLY BUT STEADILY INCREASING IN ORGANIZATION
OVERNIGHT...SO IT LOOKS LIKE WE COULD SEE MORE HEAVY RAINFALL IN
PLACES TODAY. WIND PROFILES WILL STILL SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS
WITH A TORNADO THREAT...BUT THE MAIN THREAT FOR TORNADOES MAY BE
AFTER THE SUN HAS BEEN UP FOR A WHILE AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE 80S.

COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO REACH MODERATE LEVELS DURING THIS
MORNINGS HIGH TIDES. WINDS HAVE MORE OF AN ONSHORE COMPONENT TODAY
THAN THEY DID YESTERDAY...WHICH MAY ADD ANOTHER FOOT COMPARED TO
YESTERDAYS MAX HEIGHTS.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT-MONDAY)...
DEBBY WILL BE MOVING OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY WITH A MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FORECAST TO
BUILD OVER THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND. MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE
THE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND THIS
WILL CONTINUE A WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. SOME DRIER AIR
WILL ALSO BE MOVING INTO THE AREA IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS AND
THEREFORE RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO 20 TO 30
PERCENT DURING THE PERIOD WITH BEST CHANCES OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL
AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SETTLES OVER THE AREA WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS CLIMBING MOSTLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 90S...EXCEPT RIGHT
ALONG THE COAST WHERE READINGS SHOULD STAY IN THE 80S. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL REMAIN NEAR TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO THE
ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS WITH SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES IN
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BREEZY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL ALSO
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY THEN DIMINISH SOME TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS CONTINUE NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD AS
SLOW MOVING DEBBY KEEPS WINDS AND SEAS AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS FOR
BOATERS. DEBBY WILL IMPACT OUR WEATHER FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS...BUT
EXPECT SOME IMPROVEMENT ON THURSDAY WITH MUCH BETTER CONDITIONS BY
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HUMIDITY PROBLEMS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY STRONG TRANSPORT WINDS WILL RESULT IN HIGH
DISPERSION NUMBERS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  87  78  87  77 /  80  70  70  50
FMY  88  78  88  77 /  60  50  70  50
GIF  88  75  87  74 /  80  70  70  50
SRQ  85  79  88  78 /  70  60  70  50
BKV  87  76  87  74 /  80  70  70  50
SPG  86  79  86  80 /  70  70  70  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-
     DESOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
     LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CITRUS-HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-
     LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-SARASOTA.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     CHARLOTTE-LEE.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     CHARLOTTE-LEE.

GULF WATERS...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT
     20 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
     TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT
     20 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR BONITA
     BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-BONITA BEACH TO
     ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...63/JILLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...69/CLOSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
643 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLZ039-042-048>051-055-060-GMZ830-850-853-870-873-252000-
LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
643 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE DRIFTING NORTH TODAY. THIS WILL BRING A MYRIAD OF
HAZARDS TO OUR REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...TORNADO AND WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOES.

...FLOOD AND RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS ALONG NUMEROUS AREA RIVERS. SOME FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED AND THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...COASTAL FLOOD AND RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDES
IS EXPECTED ALONG MUCH OF THE WEST FLORIDA COAST. ALSO HIGH SURF
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE AT AREA BEACHES.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE COASTAL WATERS
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM WITH SEAS
10 TO 16 FEET OFFSHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE ONCE DEBBY MOVES
AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER IN THE WEEK.

...THUNDERSTORM AND WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
MID-WEEK ALONG NUMEROUS AREA RIVERS.

...COASTAL FLOOD AND RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDES
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY ALONG MUCH OF THE WEST FLORIDA COAST.
ALSO HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE AT AREA
BEACHES.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE ONCE DEBBY
MOVES OUT OF THE AREA AND THEN REMAIN AT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

FLZ062-065-GMZ856-876-252000-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
643 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE DRIFTING NORTH TODAY. THIS WILL BRING A MYRIAD OF
HAZARDS TO OUR REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...THUNDERSTORM AND WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOES.

...FLOOD AND RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS ALONG NUMEROUS AREA RIVERS. SOME FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED AND THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...COASTAL FLOOD AND RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDES
IS EXPECTED ALONG MUCH OF THE WEST FLORIDA COAST. ALSO HIGH SURF
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE AT AREA BEACHES.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE WITH WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND
GUSTS NEAR GALE FORCE FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT TO 60 NM
WITH SEAS 8 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE ONCE DEBBY MOVES
AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER IN THE WEEK.

...THUNDERSTORM AND WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
MID-WEEK ALONG NUMEROUS AREA RIVERS.

...COASTAL FLOOD AND RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDES
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY ALONG MUCH OF THE WEST FLORIDA COAST.
ALSO HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE AT AREA
BEACHES.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN AT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH
AT LEAST MID-WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

FLZ043-052-056-057-061-252000-
SUMTER-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-
643 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE DRIFTING NORTH TODAY. THIS WILL BRING A MYRIAD OF
HAZARDS TO OUR REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
TORNADOES.

...FLOOD AND RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS ALONG NUMEROUS AREA RIVERS. SOME FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED AND THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE ONCE DEBBY MOVES
AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER IN THE WEEK.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE TORNADOES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
MID-WEEK ALONG NUMEROUS AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

COLSON