Areal Flood Warning 3, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1128 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR LEVY...CITRUS...HERNANDO
AND PASCO COUNTIES...

.DISCUSSION...
PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE WITH GUSTYNESS UP TO 30-40 MPH AND
HIGHER GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITHIN THE SHOWERS
AND STORMS. WILL BE UPDATING THE ZONES FOR THE NEW TS WATCH FROM
LEVY SOUTH THROUGH PASCO COUNTIES. REST OF W/W/A INFO WILL REMAIN
THE SAME AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CAUSE MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 25 KNOTS ALSO POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINING IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE
COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NEWLY
IN EFFECT FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY. SCA WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF THE COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS THE
CFW FOR HIGH SURF...RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR CHARLOTTE-
     HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-MANATEE-PINELLAS-SARASOTA.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR
     HILLSBOROUGH-PASCO-PINELLAS.

     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR CITRUS-
     HERNANDO-LEVY.

     TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CITRUS-HERNANDO-LEVY-PASCO.

GULF WATERS...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT
     20 TO 60 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20
     NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR BONITA
     BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-BONITA BEACH TO
     ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS
     OUT 20 NM-TAMPA BAY WATERS.

&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/COLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...21/JELSEMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
550 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-242200-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
550 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE DRIFTING NORTH TODAY...THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON
MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS TO OUR REGION OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL BE
WATERSPOUTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
BOTH RIVER AND URBAN FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AS HEAVY RAIN
AFFECTS THE REGION. WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

...COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDES IS EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NATURE COAST. MINOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR ELSEWHERE
DURING HIGH TIDES.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
WATERSPOUTS ARE LIKELY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD AND BEYOND 20 MILES FROM THE COAST...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH SEAS UP TO 15 FEET. ELSEWHERE
WINDS WILL BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR GALE FORCE...
ESPECIALLY IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY...THEN CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE AS DEBBY MOVES
WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE AREA TOWARD MID-WEEK.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IN THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE ON
MONDAY...THEN WE WILL TRANSITION BACK TO A MORE TYPICAL REGIME OF
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
SOME RIVER AND URBAN FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

...COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NATURE COAST
DURING HIGH TIDES ON MONDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR
ELSEWHERE. WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY TUESDAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS LARGE OCEAN
SWELLS GENERATED BY DEBBY MOVE TOWARD THE GULF COAST.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN AT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH AT
LEAST MID-WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

JILLSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
116 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1227 PM     TORNADO          VENUS                   27.07N 81.35W
06/24/2012                   HIGHLANDS          FL   911 CALL CENTER

            POWER LINES DOWN. MINOR DAMAGE TO HOMES. WINNEBAGO TIPPED
            OVER.

&&

NOAH

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