Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 677
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 9, 2012, 2:10 PM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 9, 2012, 2:10 PM CST (20:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 9, 2012, 11:00 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 73 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Union County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Izard, Sharp | 48 min |
| Dec 9, 2:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Van Buren | 46 min |
| Dec 9, 2:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Sharp | 36 min |
| Dec 9, 2:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne | 32 min |
| Dec 9, 3:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 40 min |
| Dec 9, 3:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 32 min |
| Dec 9, 3:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Butler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne | 17 min |
| Dec 9, 3:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Independence, Stone | 39 min |
| Dec 9, 3:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Wayne | 30 min |
| Dec 9, 3:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne | 29 min |
| Dec 9, 3:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Greene, Randolph | 35 min |
| Dec 9, 3:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Sharp | 45 min |
| Dec 9, 4:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Independence | 44 min |
| Dec 9, 4:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner | 19 min |
| Dec 9, 4:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson | 44 min |
| Dec 9, 4:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White | 37 min |
| Dec 9, 4:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson | 31 min |
| Dec 9, 5:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Pulaski, White | 22 min |
| Dec 9, 5:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring, Saline | 37 min |
| Dec 9, 5:44 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 99 min |
| Dec 9, 5:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White | 29 min |
| Dec 9, 6:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 37 min |
| Dec 9, 6:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 52 min |
| Dec 9, 8:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, St. Francis | 32 min |
| Dec 9, 8:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton | 23 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 344 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -16 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 445 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 200 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 219 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
279
WWUS20 KWNS 092010
SEL7
SPC WW 092010
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-100300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 677
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 900
PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE
GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO 25 MILES WEST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY OVER CENTRAL
AR ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AS LOW LEVEL WINDS
STRENGTHEN. A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
ARE EXPECTED. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH A RISK OF
A TORNADO OR TWO THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 10:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Conway, Garland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Polk and 2 more | 117 min |
| Dec 9, 1:46 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Garland, Lee, Lonoke, Monroe and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 9, 12:38 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 41 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 9, 5:04 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller and 2 more | 116 min |
| Dec 9, 5:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark, Cleveland and 9 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 9, 5:54 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 20 more | 96 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.