Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 670

October 17, 201214 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 17, 2012, 8:23 PM CDT for 14 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 2012, 8:23 PM CDT (01:23 UTC)
Expired
Oct 18, 2012, 1:31 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, DeSoto, Marshall38 min
Oct 17, 9:23 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Marshall37 min
Oct 17, 9:26 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate49 min
Oct 17, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Marshall, Panola39 min
Oct 17, 9:46 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Marshall, Tate29 min
Oct 17, 9:49 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGTallahatchie, Yalobusha26 min
Oct 17, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Marshall, Tippah50 min
Oct 17, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Prentiss and 2 more40 min
Oct 17, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Panola, Yalobusha49 min
Oct 17, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Tippah, Tishomingo64 min
Oct 17, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more55 min
Oct 17, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Yalobusha48 min
Oct 17, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-10-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 947 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-10-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 228 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
947 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1045 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
236 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
4.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

749 
WWUS20 KWNS 180124
SEL0
SPC WW 180124
MSZ000-180800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 670
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
825 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 825 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF TUPELO
MISSISSIPPI TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OXFORD MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 667...WW 668...WW 669...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN SQLN WITH LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS NOW CROSSING
INTO NW MS FROM AR EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD INTO NE MS LATER TNGT.
AREA SFC OBSERVATIONS AND PRESSURE CHANGE DATA ...COUPLED WITH VERY
STRONG...DEEPLY VEERING WIND PROFILE AT MEMPHIS...SUGGEST THAT A
COUPLE SUPERCELLS...AND THEIR ATTENDANT TORNADO THREAT...MAY EXTEND
EWD INTO SOMEWHAT DRIER LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT OVER NE MS GIVEN THE
FAST FORWARD MOTION OF THE STORMS...AND RAPIDLY RECOVERING AIR MASS
JUST ABOVE THE NOCTURNAL SKIN LAYER.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 7:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 35 more8 hr
Oct 17, 7:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie and 2 more85 min
Oct 17, 8:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn53 min
Oct 17, 9:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll and 42 more92 min
Oct 17, 11:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Claiborne and 31 more86 min
Oct 18, 1:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone96 min
Oct 18, 2:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmite, Clarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene and 12 more65 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.