Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 61

March 2, 20125 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 2, 2012, 3:19 PM EST for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 2, 2012, 3:19 PM EST (20:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 2, 2012, 11:38 PM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 100 counties

Banks County, GA, Bartow County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hall County, GA, Hart County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Madison County, GA, Murray County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Towns County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, White County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

70 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 2, 3:34 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXBledsoe, Marion, Sequatchie41 min
Mar 2, 3:35 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPHabersham, Rabun40 min
Mar 2, 3:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLoudon, McMinn, Monroe, Roane46 min
Mar 2, 4:14 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPOconee, Pickens46 min
Mar 2, 4:14 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Meigs, Rhea46 min
Mar 2, 4:24 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXMarion, Sequatchie51 min
Mar 2, 4:55 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLoudon, Roane50 min
Mar 2, 5:24 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXScott36 min
Mar 2, 5:29 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMarion46 min
Mar 2, 5:29 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXAnderson, Knox31 min
Mar 2, 5:33 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXBledsoe, Hamilton, Meigs, Rhea27 min
Mar 2, 5:38 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXScott37 min
Mar 2, 5:57 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMcMinn, Meigs, Rhea18 min
Mar 2, 5:57 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCampbell, Claiborne, Scott33 min
Mar 2, 6:03 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXHamilton, Marion42 min
Mar 2, 6:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLoudon, McMinn, Monroe45 min
Mar 2, 6:28 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton47 min
Mar 2, 6:30 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXBlount, Loudon, McMinn, Monroe45 min
Mar 2, 6:33 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXLee42 min
Mar 2, 6:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Dade, Walker47 min
Mar 2, 7:02 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXBlount, Cocke, Jefferson, Sevier43 min
Mar 2, 7:06 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXPolk39 min
Mar 2, 7:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton50 min
Mar 2, 7:10 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCampbell, Scott50 min
Mar 2, 7:14 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXLee, Scott, Wise, City of Norton46 min
Mar 2, 7:24 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Murray, Walker, Whitfield21 min
Mar 2, 7:36 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCherokee24 min
Mar 2, 7:40 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCocke, Sevier35 min
Mar 2, 7:48 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCampbell, Claiborne, Scott42 min
Mar 2, 7:49 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton, Polk26 min
Mar 2, 7:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHaywood, Madison, Yancey54 min
Mar 2, 7:56 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCherokee, Clay49 min
Mar 2, 8:07 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXBledsoe, Rhea38 min
Mar 2, 8:10 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXPolk35 min
Mar 2, 8:13 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPMacon62 min
Mar 2, 8:21 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXClaiborne, Hancock, Hawkins39 min
Mar 2, 8:29 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Morgan, Scott46 min
Mar 2, 8:34 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCFloyd41 min
Mar 2, 8:35 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCherokee40 min
Mar 2, 8:38 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXLoudon, Morgan, Rhea, Roane37 min
Mar 2, 8:40 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCCherokee, Cobb, Paulding50 min
Mar 2, 8:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery, Burke, Madison, Mitchell, Yancey50 min
Mar 2, 8:52 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCFloyd53 min
Mar 2, 8:54 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPJackson, Macon, Transylvania39 min
Mar 2, 8:56 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXHancock, Hawkins, Sullivan49 min
Mar 2, 8:58 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCherokee, Clay47 min
Mar 2, 9:05 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXAnderson, Knox, Morgan, Roane40 min
Mar 2, 9:11 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCCherokee, Cobb, DeKalb, Forsyth, Fulton, Gwinnett and 1 more49 min
Mar 2, 9:14 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Scott, Union46 min
Mar 2, 9:24 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPTransylvania24 min
Mar 2, 9:26 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCBartow35 min
Mar 2, 9:28 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPMacon, Swain27 min
Mar 2, 9:39 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCBarrow, Forsyth, Gwinnett, Hall, Jackson51 min
Mar 2, 9:41 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXAnderson, Grainger, Jefferson, Knox, Sevier, Union34 min
Mar 2, 9:45 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXJohnson, Sullivan60 min
Mar 2, 9:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Knox, Sevier22 min
Mar 2, 9:59 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXClaiborne, Grainger, Greene, Hancock, Hawkins46 min
Mar 2, 10:05 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCocke, Grainger, Greene, Hamblen, Hawkins, Jefferson and 1 more25 min
Mar 2, 10:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Greene, Hamblen, Sevier, Unicoi48 min
Mar 2, 10:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCherokee, Dawson, Forsyth, Pickens33 min
Mar 2, 10:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCGordon40 min
Mar 2, 10:38 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMadison37 min
Mar 2, 10:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGreene, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington46 min
Mar 2, 10:46 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCGordon44 min
Mar 2, 10:53 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCDawson, Forsyth, Hall, Lumpkin, White37 min
Mar 2, 10:57 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXUnicoi33 min
Mar 2, 10:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattooga, Floyd51 min
Mar 2, 11:03 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMadison, Mitchell, Yancey42 min
Mar 2, 11:19 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningFFCChattooga, Floyd, Gordon4 hr
Mar 2, 11:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery, Mitchell38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-03-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1667 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-03-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1667 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
523 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

171 
WWUS20 KWNS 022020
SEL1  
SPC WW 022020
GAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-030400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 61
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN GEORGIA
       WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA
       EASTERN TENNESSEE
       FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BRISTOL TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHATTANOOGA TENNESSEE.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...WW
59...WW 60...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OVER NRN AL AND SRN MIDDLE
TN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WATCH AREA FROM THE WEST WITH
ADDITIONAL IN SITU STORM FORMATION POSSIBLE ALONG WARM FRONT LIFTING
NWD THROUGH THE SRN APPALACHIANS.  AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO
DESTABILIZE WITH THE NWD PROGRESSION OF WARM FRONT WITH MLCAPE
VALUES INCREASING TO 500-1500 J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH STRONG
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/VORTICITY ALONG WARM
FRONT...SETUP WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A
FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 2, 10:07 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Jackson, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Marshall and 1 more53 min
Mar 2, 10:25 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCDeKalb, Jackson, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Marshall and 1 more5 hr
Mar 2, 12:46 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Jackson, Madison, Marshall, Morgan29 min
Mar 2, 1:57 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 2 more63 min
Mar 2, 2:20 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBlount, Colbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Fayette, Franklin and 14 more9 hr
Mar 2, 3:42 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bullock, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke and 18 more63 min
Mar 2, 4:25 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale and 9 more65 min
Mar 2, 5:37 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 50 more7 hr
Mar 2, 6:41 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 36 more2 hr
Mar 2, 3:30 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Dawson, Fannin, Franklin, Gilmer, Habersham and 8 more90 min
Mar 2, 2:58 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Catoosa, Cherokee, Dawson, Fannin, Forsyth and 14 more62 min
Mar 2, 4:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Fentress, Overton, Pickett, Scott65 min
Mar 2, 10:22 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester, Crockett, Davidson and 28 more113 min
Mar 2, 11:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood, Lake and 5 more62 min
Mar 2, 1:05 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester, Crockett, Davidson and 28 more85 min
Mar 2, 3:35 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Macon, Pickett, Sumner85 min
Mar 2, 4:19 PM ESTTornado Watch PDSSPCBuchanan, Dickenson6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2012Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.