Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 595

August 29, 2012Baldwin County, Mobile County, Washington County, Alabama; 18 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 29, 2012, 3:53 PM CDT for Baldwin County, Mobile County, Washington County, Alabama; 18 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 29, 2012, 3:53 PM CDT (20:53 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Ascension Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 4:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXHarrison4 hr
Aug 29, 4:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington3 hr
Aug 29, 4:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar, Marion5 hr
Aug 29, 5:14 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison31 min
Aug 29, 6:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXLafourche, Saint Charles, Saint John the Baptist3 hr
Aug 29, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison30 min
Aug 29, 7:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXAscension, East Baton Rouge, Livingston, Tangipahoa6 hr
Aug 29, 7:18 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson27 min
Aug 29, 7:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington4 hr
Aug 29, 8:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson8 hr
Aug 29, 8:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson62 min
Aug 29, 8:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone6 hr
Aug 29, 9:27 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson63 min
Aug 29, 9:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar6 hr
Aug 29, 9:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion6 hr
Aug 29, 9:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry48 min
Aug 29, 10:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion5 hr
Aug 29, 10:25 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne26 min
Aug 29, 11:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne6 hr
Aug 29, 11:31 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River29 min
Aug 29, 11:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXWashington5 hr
Aug 29, 11:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-08-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 625 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-08-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 298 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
625 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
465 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
298 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
338 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
8.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

647 
WWUS20 KWNS 292054
SEL5
SPC WW 292054
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-300500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 595...RESENT
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       FAR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
       SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
       SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 350 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE
ALABAMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 594. WATCH NUMBER 594 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
350 PM CDT.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OF TS ISAAC ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIFTING NWD/NWWD FROM THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL
WATERS INTO SERN LA/SRN MS AND SWRN AL INTO THE EVENING.  VAD WIND
PROFILES AT KLIX/KMOB/KDGX SHOW 50-70 KT LOW LEVEL WINDS...VERY
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1 KM...AND 150-300 M2/S2 SRH
BASED ON OBSERVED STORM MOTIONS.  THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH RADAR
OBSERVATIONS OF SHALLOW/BRIEF SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
CONVECTIVE BANDS WHICH WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
INTO TONIGHT AS ISAAC MOVES SLOWLY NWWD ACROSS SRN LA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15050.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 1:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington2 hr
Aug 29, 5:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington89 min
Aug 29, 6:36 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington9 hr
Aug 29, 11:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington117 min
Aug 29, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington28 min
Aug 29, 5:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Butler, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw and 6 more90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.