Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 595
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 29, 2012, 3:53 PM CDT for Baldwin County, Mobile County, Washington County, Alabama; 18 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 29, 2012, 3:53 PM CDT (20:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 30, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Baldwin County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Ascension Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 30%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 4:15 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Harrison | 4 hr |
| Aug 29, 4:44 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Washington | 3 hr |
| Aug 29, 4:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar, Marion | 5 hr |
| Aug 29, 5:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Harrison | 31 min |
| Aug 29, 6:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Lafourche, Saint Charles, Saint John the Baptist | 3 hr |
| Aug 29, 6:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Harrison | 30 min |
| Aug 29, 7:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Ascension, East Baton Rouge, Livingston, Tangipahoa | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 7:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Jackson | 27 min |
| Aug 29, 7:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Washington | 4 hr |
| Aug 29, 8:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Harrison, Jackson | 8 hr |
| Aug 29, 8:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Jackson | 62 min |
| Aug 29, 8:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 9:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Jackson | 63 min |
| Aug 29, 9:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 9:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 9:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry | 48 min |
| Aug 29, 10:15 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion | 5 hr |
| Aug 29, 10:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 26 min |
| Aug 29, 11:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 11:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Hancock, Pearl River | 29 min |
| Aug 29, 11:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Washington | 5 hr |
| Aug 29, 11:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Hancock, Pearl River | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 625 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 465 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 298 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 338 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.9
- Supercell composite
- 8.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
647
WWUS20 KWNS 292054
SEL5
SPC WW 292054
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-300500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 595...RESENT
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 350 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 594. WATCH NUMBER 594 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
350 PM CDT.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OF TS ISAAC ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIFTING NWD/NWWD FROM THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL
WATERS INTO SERN LA/SRN MS AND SWRN AL INTO THE EVENING. VAD WIND
PROFILES AT KLIX/KMOB/KDGX SHOW 50-70 KT LOW LEVEL WINDS...VERY
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1 KM...AND 150-300 M2/S2 SRH
BASED ON OBSERVED STORM MOTIONS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH RADAR
OBSERVATIONS OF SHALLOW/BRIEF SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
CONVECTIVE BANDS WHICH WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
INTO TONIGHT AS ISAAC MOVES SLOWLY NWWD ACROSS SRN LA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15050.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 1:55 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Mobile, Washington | 2 hr |
| Aug 29, 5:46 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Mobile, Washington | 89 min |
| Aug 29, 6:36 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baldwin, Mobile, Washington | 9 hr |
| Aug 29, 11:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Mobile, Washington | 117 min |
| Aug 29, 3:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Mobile, Washington | 28 min |
| Aug 29, 5:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw and 6 more | 90 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.