Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 633

September 7, 20126 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 7, 2012, 8:10 PM CDT for 6 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 7, 2012, 8:10 PM CDT (01:10 UTC)
Expired
Sep 8, 2012, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 165 counties

Lee County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOrange, Washington45 min
Sep 7, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFayette, Franklin, Ripley51 min
Sep 7, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKDubois, Orange32 min
Sep 7, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall41 min
Sep 7, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry29 min
Sep 7, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Crawford, Dubois, Harrison, Orange, Perry and 2 more40 min
Sep 7, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNWayne25 min
Sep 7, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry43 min
Sep 7, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Perry40 min
Sep 7, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison, Washington29 min
Sep 7, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Henderson, Henry and 3 more24 min
Sep 7, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson, Scott40 min
Sep 7, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison46 min
Sep 7, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison29 min
Sep 7, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBenton, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Stewart58 min
Sep 7, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNOhio, Switzerland45 min
Sep 7, 10:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Meade28 min
Sep 7, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNGreene, Montgomery34 min
Sep 7, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNSwitzerland38 min
Sep 7, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMontgomery, Stewart51 min
Sep 7, 11:30 PM CDTTornado WarningILNBoone, Gallatin, Grant, Pendleton20 min
Sep 7, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBrown, Clermont, Clinton, Highland, Warren32 min
Sep 7, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Campbell, Grant, Kenton, Mason, Owen and 2 more48 min
Sep 7, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNChampaign, Clark, Greene, Madison, Union32 min
Sep 8, 12:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, Perry29 min
Sep 8, 12:04 AM CDTTornado WarningILNBracken, Pendleton16 min
Sep 8, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams, Clinton, Fayette, Highland, Pike, Ross45 min
Sep 8, 12:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNMadison, Union26 min
Sep 8, 12:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan32 min
Sep 8, 12:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Williamson32 min
Sep 8, 12:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Lewis, Mason, Robertson45 min
Sep 8, 1:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis, Mason40 min
Sep 8, 1:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Franklin, Licking24 min
Sep 8, 1:23 AM CDTTornado WarningILNDelaware, Licking37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-09-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2335 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-09-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2335 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1287 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 11:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Morgan84 min
Sep 8, 1:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Coffee and 19 more117 min
Sep 7, 8:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner, Garland and 16 more96 min
Sep 7, 7:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 43 more66 min
Sep 7, 11:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Bourbon, Boyd, Bracken, Breathitt and 39 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.