Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 556

August 3, 20127 counties in Minnesota; 14 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 3, 2012, 10:57 PM CDT for 7 counties in Minnesota; 14 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2012, 10:57 PM CDT (03:57 UTC)
Expired
Aug 4, 2012, 2:50 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 21 counties

Dodge County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXPolk33 min
Aug 3, 11:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Rice, Scott, Washington42 min
Aug 3, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBarron, Dunn, Polk, Saint Croix67 min
Aug 3, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge, Olmsted, Wabasha62 min
Aug 3, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Washington61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2012-08-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 576 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2012-08-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 100 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
576 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-95 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1840 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
257 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
7.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

852 
WWUS20 KWNS 040356
SEL6
SPC WW 040356
MNZ000-WIZ000-040900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 556
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1100 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
       WESTERN WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1100 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN TO 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
ROCHESTER MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 554...WW 555...

DISCUSSION...A RELATIVELY FAST MOVING SQUALL LINE WILL TRACK
EASTWARD INTO WESTERN WI DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  THIS LINE HAS
PRODUCE LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND MAY
CONTINUE TO DO SO GIVEN BOWING LINE SEGMENTS AND SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27040.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Anoka, Beltrami, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown and 53 more6 hr
Aug 3, 10:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 33 more87 min
Aug 4, 1:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Iron, Jackson, La Crosse, Lincoln, Marathon and 6 more64 min
Aug 4, 10:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGrant, Green, Lafayette, Rock, Walworth49 min
Aug 4, 1:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreen, Lafayette66 min
Aug 4, 1:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDane, Dodge, Green, Jefferson, Kenosha, Lafayette and 7 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.