Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 482

July 8, 201220 counties in Indiana; 62 counties in Kentucky; 5 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 8, 2012, 2:48 PM EDT for 20 counties in Indiana; 62 counties in Kentucky; 5 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2012, 2:48 PM EDT (18:48 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2012, 8:27 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 87 counties

Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Greene County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Washington County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Clark County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knott County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Scioto County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDDaviess, Greene, Knox41 min
Jul 8, 2:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Orange29 min
Jul 8, 2:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNScioto39 min
Jul 8, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKWashington30 min
Jul 8, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Nelson29 min
Jul 8, 3:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJackson27 min
Jul 8, 3:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKDubois21 min
Jul 8, 3:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Hardin, Meade32 min
Jul 8, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDGreene, Owen51 min
Jul 8, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Orange, Washington38 min
Jul 8, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDGreene46 min
Jul 8, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Nelson40 min
Jul 8, 3:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Orange47 min
Jul 8, 3:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFleming, Rowan34 min
Jul 8, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis47 min
Jul 8, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison29 min
Jul 8, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Marion, Mercer, Nelson, Washington26 min
Jul 8, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Harrison, Nicholas17 min
Jul 8, 4:17 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNBracken, Pendleton3 hr
Jul 8, 4:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKDubois28 min
Jul 8, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNGrant, Owen, Pendleton37 min
Jul 8, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott28 min
Jul 8, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison, Scott29 min
Jul 8, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNSwitzerland47 min
Jul 8, 5:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette, Madison28 min
Jul 8, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGrayson, Hardin15 min
Jul 8, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe45 min
Jul 8, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Clark, Fayette, Harrison, Scott43 min
Jul 8, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMadison32 min
Jul 8, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFayette, Harrison, Scott28 min
Jul 8, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Nicholas46 min
Jul 8, 6:09 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMKBourbon, Clark, Fayette, Harrison, Nicholas, Scott95 min
Jul 8, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley24 min
Jul 8, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJackson, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle44 min
Jul 8, 7:42 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNLewis63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2132 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2132 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1196 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

244 
WWUS20 KWNS 081850
SEL2  
SPC WW 081850
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-090200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 482
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM EDT SUN JUL 8 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHERN INDIANA
       NORTHERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
       SOUTHERN OHIO

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST
OF JACKSON KENTUCKY TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BLOOMINGTON
INDIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 481...

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT FROM SRN
INDIANA INTO EXTREME SRN OH AND NRN KY WITHIN A VERY WARM AND
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /MLCAPE OF 3000-3500 J PER KG/.  ALTHOUGH FLOW
ALOFT IS MODEST AT BEST...CONVECTIVE SCALE ORGANIZATION IS APPARENT
WITH COMPLEX OVER SRN INDIANA WHICH IS PROPAGATING EWD.  OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS WILL ALSO RESULT IN ADDITIONAL STORMS...WITH
STRONGER CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28015.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Daviess, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd and 20 more91 min
Jul 8, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois and 17 more64 min
Jul 8, 1:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Lawrence, Martin61 min
Jul 8, 1:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence8 hr
Jul 8, 7:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Ballard, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 78 more3 hr
Jul 8, 4:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallia54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.