Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 482
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 8, 2012, 2:48 PM EDT for 20 counties in Indiana; 62 counties in Kentucky; 5 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 8, 2012, 2:48 PM EDT (18:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 8, 2012, 8:27 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 87 counties
Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Greene County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Washington County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Clark County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knott County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Scioto County, OH
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Daviess, Greene, Knox | 41 min |
| Jul 8, 2:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Orange | 29 min |
| Jul 8, 2:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Scioto | 39 min |
| Jul 8, 3:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Washington | 30 min |
| Jul 8, 3:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Hardin, Nelson | 29 min |
| Jul 8, 3:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Jackson | 27 min |
| Jul 8, 3:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Dubois | 21 min |
| Jul 8, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hardin, Meade | 32 min |
| Jul 8, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Greene, Owen | 51 min |
| Jul 8, 3:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Harrison, Orange, Washington | 38 min |
| Jul 8, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Greene | 46 min |
| Jul 8, 3:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Hardin, Nelson | 40 min |
| Jul 8, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Dubois, Orange | 47 min |
| Jul 8, 3:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Fleming, Rowan | 34 min |
| Jul 8, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Lewis | 47 min |
| Jul 8, 4:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison | 29 min |
| Jul 8, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Anderson, Marion, Mercer, Nelson, Washington | 26 min |
| Jul 8, 4:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Harrison, Nicholas | 17 min |
| Jul 8, 4:17 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Bracken, Pendleton | 3 hr |
| Jul 8, 4:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Dubois | 28 min |
| Jul 8, 4:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Grant, Owen, Pendleton | 37 min |
| Jul 8, 4:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Elliott | 28 min |
| Jul 8, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison, Scott | 29 min |
| Jul 8, 5:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Switzerland | 47 min |
| Jul 8, 5:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Fayette, Madison | 28 min |
| Jul 8, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin | 15 min |
| Jul 8, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Elliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe | 45 min |
| Jul 8, 5:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Harrison, Scott | 43 min |
| Jul 8, 5:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Madison | 32 min |
| Jul 8, 5:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Fayette, Harrison, Scott | 28 min |
| Jul 8, 5:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Nicholas | 46 min |
| Jul 8, 6:09 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Harrison, Nicholas, Scott | 95 min |
| Jul 8, 7:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Estill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley | 24 min |
| Jul 8, 7:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Jackson, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle | 44 min |
| Jul 8, 7:42 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Lewis | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2132 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -125 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1196 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 72 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
244
WWUS20 KWNS 081850
SEL2
SPC WW 081850
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-090200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 482
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM EDT SUN JUL 8 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN INDIANA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST
OF JACKSON KENTUCKY TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BLOOMINGTON
INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 481...
DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT FROM SRN
INDIANA INTO EXTREME SRN OH AND NRN KY WITHIN A VERY WARM AND
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /MLCAPE OF 3000-3500 J PER KG/. ALTHOUGH FLOW
ALOFT IS MODEST AT BEST...CONVECTIVE SCALE ORGANIZATION IS APPARENT
WITH COMPLEX OVER SRN INDIANA WHICH IS PROPAGATING EWD. OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS WILL ALSO RESULT IN ADDITIONAL STORMS...WITH
STRONGER CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28015.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 1:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Crawford, Daviess, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd and 20 more | 91 min |
| Jul 8, 4:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois and 17 more | 64 min |
| Jul 8, 1:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boyd, Lawrence, Martin | 61 min |
| Jul 8, 1:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Boyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence | 8 hr |
| Jul 8, 7:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Ballard, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 78 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 8, 4:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gallia | 54 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.