Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 457

July 3, 201212 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 3, 2012, 1:41 PM MDT for 12 counties in Montana. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2012, 1:41 PM MDT (19:41 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2012, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 2:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWValley64 min
Jul 3, 3:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley42 min
Jul 3, 3:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Valley60 min
Jul 3, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Garfield, McCone, Roosevelt, Valley32 min
Jul 3, 4:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie, Richland53 min
Jul 3, 4:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley65 min
Jul 3, 4:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt, Valley61 min
Jul 3, 5:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan64 min
Jul 3, 5:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie, Richland54 min
Jul 3, 6:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan52 min
Jul 3, 6:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland33 min
Jul 3, 7:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWRichland, Roosevelt, Sheridan54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 15 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2012-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2012-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 198 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2166 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 12:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Daniels, Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Petroleum and 7 more92 min
Jul 3, 5:15 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaniels, Dawson, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan and 1 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.